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Meet The New Regime: Welcome AUDJPY, Goodbye EURJPY
Europe is now irrelevant, at least according to FX traders, and, well, everyone else. The gyration of the Euro currency, previously moving the market tick for tick, now exists purely in its own vacuum, as more and more hedge fund will unwind and outright liquidate positions. In order not to be caught facing some multi-billion macro fund with its pants down as it faces massive massive margin calls, the ever declining population of market participants has decided to shift the market signal to the AUDJPY, the last bastion of the carry trade. Anyone tracking the FX-ES trade will now need to recalibrate their models to be driven of the Aussie-Yen, and to completely disregard or materially mute inputs coming out of a bankrupt Europe.
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Welcome, bitchez
Oil traders have known this one for quite some time... try the CAD :)
Perfect call. Thanks. After retesting .854, AUD moved up quickly to .864 and pulled ES and NDX futures up. Probably someone screwing with the algos.
Meet the new boss...
....same as the old boss!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
I tip my hat to the new constitution/take a bow for the new revolution/small and grin at the change all around me!!!!!!!!
well, how bout dat
Tyler, thanks for keeping us up on this. As a close observer I noticed a few days ago the correlation appeared to coming to a close. Is this the ultimately signal of no faith in the euro or Europe?
I've successfully loaded the new cartridge into my Atari 2600. Thanks,
Good, the AUD is approaching massive resistance, and the Yen looks ready to break out.
This is so tits.
The big mystery in all this is how the JPY remains a flight to quality currency. Is it a case of Bag over the Head or enough Budweisers makes anything possible?
All currentseas are but nothing more than hope. See where that gets ya.
I welcome our new aussie overlords.
AUDJPY is far less liquid than EURJPY. That would imply ever increasing volatility in the already erratic ES when the algos are running the show.
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