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Mexico Selling 100 Year Sovereign Bonds, US Consols To Follow

Tyler Durden's picture




 

If anyone needs any confirmation that investors are now fully aware repayments at maturity of sovereign debt issues will likely not occur, ever, is today's announcement that Mexico is in the market with a $500 million century issue (100 year maturity). Lead underwriters on this brilliant piece of paper are Deutsche Bank and Goldman. We are willing to wager that it will also be these two firms' restructuring groups which will handle the ensuing insolvency of the southern neighbor. Which, however, will not occur before the US brings back that other brilliant invention- the consol (which was so brilliant, one wonders if Goldman did not exist back in the 18th century).

From Bloomberg:

Mexico plans to sell $500 million of bonds due in 100 years in the country’s longest-maturity debt issue.

The government will sell the bonds as soon as today, said a person familiar with the transaction. Deutsche Bank AG and Goldman Sachs Group Inc. are arranging the sale, said the person, who declined to be identified because terms aren’t set.

Mexico sold 850 million euros ($1.08 billion) of seven-year bonds July 8 in its first European offering since 2005. It has raised $4.1 billion in international markets this year, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. Mexico’s 6.05 percent bond due in 2040 is currently the country’s longest-maturity security, Bloomberg data show.

The extra yield investors demand to own Mexican debt instead of U.S. Treasuries narrowed one basis point, or 0.01 percentage point, to 1.51 percentage points at 12:08 p.m. in New York, according to JPMorgan Chase & Co.’s EMBI index.

 

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Tue, 10/05/2010 - 14:03 | 626546 Zexe
Zexe's picture

The whole.system is based on rolling debt over to infinity. It shud be no surprise to anyone. When this crumbles ( and it will) everything will start from scratch. some fools will be left with worthless debt. Musical chairs!!!

Tue, 10/05/2010 - 15:33 | 626999 Bob
Bob's picture

I'm surprised it's not denominated in US dollars--what about safety?

Tue, 10/05/2010 - 14:04 | 626553 FubarNation
FubarNation's picture

Is this an Onion story?

Tue, 10/05/2010 - 14:16 | 626625 HarryWanger
HarryWanger's picture

Sadly, as much as it seems to be an Onion story, it's true. Crazy ass stuff here.

Tue, 10/05/2010 - 14:45 | 626783 MarketTruth
MarketTruth's picture

OMG!!!  US Government Coup Wipes Out National Debt!!!

www.theonion.com/video/us-government-stages-fake-coup-to-wipe-out-nationa,14356/

Tue, 10/05/2010 - 14:04 | 626556 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

Infinity bonds next! Full retard mode in full swing, very dangerous here! You NEVER go full retard!

Tue, 10/05/2010 - 14:45 | 626753 infotechsailor
infotechsailor's picture

   .ROFL ROFL:LOL:ROFL:ROFL.
           ---------^-------
L        /                     [] \
O ===          FRB          /
L         \-------------------
               __I___I__,

 

             |   |
              |    |
            __X_
           /   $   \
           \____/

                          |    |
                        |    |
                       __X_
                      /   $   \
                      \____/

           

 

Tue, 10/05/2010 - 15:25 | 626962 Buckaroo Banzai
Buckaroo Banzai's picture

THE ROFLCOPTER GOES LOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOL

LOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOOLOL

LOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOL

Tue, 10/05/2010 - 18:07 | 627473 Conrad Murray
Conrad Murray's picture

+55K

Tue, 10/05/2010 - 14:07 | 626571 Shameful
Shameful's picture

Yes!  I want to see more countries do this.  I NEED to see what a 100 year Treasury sells for.  Why not sell a 100 year, after all 30 year isn't getting paid back either.

Tue, 10/05/2010 - 14:10 | 626572 hedgeless_horseman
hedgeless_horseman's picture

100 years is nothing, Tyler.  The zero coupon Federal Reserve Notes in my pocket NEVER mature.  Never is infinitely better than 100 years.

Tue, 10/05/2010 - 14:26 | 626691 citationneeded
citationneeded's picture

+ 1/0

Tue, 10/05/2010 - 14:08 | 626576 pragmatic hobo
pragmatic hobo's picture

hey ... I'll be able to calculate my cash flow for next hundred years!

Tue, 10/05/2010 - 14:11 | 626586 Everyman
Everyman's picture

THIS IS JUST GETTING RIDICULOUS.  DO THESE "ECONOMIC WIZARDS" ACTUALLY BELIEVE THIS CARP THEY CONTINUE TO ROLL OUT?

THIS MAKES NO SENSE.  HOW THE HELL DO THEY KNOW WHAT IS GOING TO HAPPEN IN MEXICO OVER THE NEXT HUNDERD YEARS????

Mexico is a narco-state, and out of their 107 million polulation 28 million have left to go to the US.

And these idiots sell a 100 year bond on that????

Tue, 10/05/2010 - 14:16 | 626629 Dr. No
Dr. No's picture

The seller is not the idot.  It is the BUYER.

Tue, 10/05/2010 - 14:22 | 626658 AccreditedEYE
AccreditedEYE's picture

+1 They are probably putting together a CDS simultaneously that will be bought off balance sheet. This system is such a rigged game it's pathetic. What the F ever happened to the risk/reward relationship. So much for bond vigilantes these days.... their horses are dead and their guns full of blanks.

Tue, 10/05/2010 - 14:38 | 626737 hambone
hambone's picture

The seller likely is the buyer?  Left hand, meet right hand.

Tue, 10/05/2010 - 14:51 | 626814 Dr. No
Dr. No's picture

The great thing about sovereign paper is the endless supply.  Demand is up and supply just keeps coming.  Keeps prices low.  Of course when demand drops.....

Tue, 10/05/2010 - 18:09 | 627479 Conrad Murray
Conrad Murray's picture

Here's an insider view of the thought process:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7edeOEuXdMU

Tue, 10/05/2010 - 14:14 | 626609 Mercury
Mercury's picture

Forget the consol, go right to the tontine: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tontine

 

Tue, 10/05/2010 - 14:15 | 626618 hambone
hambone's picture

What is going on?  I really don't recognize this place.  Where are we going and why did someone think we wanted to go there?

Tue, 10/05/2010 - 14:15 | 626619 Everyman
Everyman's picture

BTW did anyone see this?  What is the FAZ/FAS ETF trading on now???

http://blogs.stockcharts.com/status/2010/10/oct-5th-2010-1045am-russell-....

 

Oct. 5th, 2010 @ 10:45am - Russell Index Update By Chip Anderson Data Circuits


Yesterday, Russell decided to discontinue several of their index products. That caused problems for our data vendor which resulted in all of the Russell indexes missing data on Monday.

Russell has discontinued the following indexes:

$RMC Russell MidCap Index 
$RDG Russell MidCap Growth Index 
$RMV Russell MidCap Value Index 
$RIENG Russell 1000 Energy RGS Index 
$RIFIN Russell 1000 Financial Services RGS Index 
$RITEC Russell 1000 Technology RGS Index

 

Is this legal????

 

Tue, 10/05/2010 - 14:19 | 626645 Ungaro
Ungaro's picture

I think FAS and FAZ are pegged to XLF.

Tue, 10/05/2010 - 14:15 | 626620 Ungaro
Ungaro's picture

So????? The Fed has been issuing perpetual, zero-coupon notes (we used to call them Quayle bonds: no interest, no maturity) since 1913. You probably have some in your wallet.

Tue, 10/05/2010 - 14:20 | 626648 TraderTimm
TraderTimm's picture

*Throws up hands*

100 years. Unbelievable. What, so you give this piece of paper to someone in your family hoping they will be able to collect? Is this whole planet insane?

 

Tue, 10/05/2010 - 14:20 | 626651 john_connor
john_connor's picture

"Perpetual bonds will be issued until morale improves and multiple Ipads are purchased."

 

Tue, 10/05/2010 - 14:31 | 626712 sweet ebony diamond
sweet ebony diamond's picture

The perpetual no interest rate bond will surely be the financial crack Nancy & Barney have been loooking for.

Tue, 10/05/2010 - 14:21 | 626659 CheapKUNGFU
CheapKUNGFU's picture

The best kind of debt to create is one that is 'supposed' to be paid/rolled in a currency that wont exist (defaults) when its time to roll... get it?\

brilliant really when you think about it...

All your 100 years are belong to us, make your time...

CKF

Tue, 10/05/2010 - 14:26 | 626686 Internet Tough Guy
Internet Tough Guy's picture

US Dollar plunges to Nearly 2year low against Turkish Lira.

Seriously, I just saw that headline. Not making it up.

 

Tue, 10/05/2010 - 14:28 | 626701 lsbumblebee
lsbumblebee's picture

"Okay, okay, and a free bottle of Jose Cuerva too." 

Tue, 10/05/2010 - 14:32 | 626713 Stevm30
Stevm30's picture

Who in Gods name would buy this trash over gold, silver, property, food, land, toilet paper, duct tape, or really... anything?

Tue, 10/05/2010 - 15:30 | 626983 fiftybagger
fiftybagger's picture

Ummmm, pension, retirement, and mutuals funds which are run by criminals who are on the same payroll as the crooks selling this trash....

Tue, 10/05/2010 - 16:24 | 627156 NotApplicable
NotApplicable's picture

You are, of course (via proxy).

What's in your wallet?

Why it's Bernanke's hand!

Tue, 10/05/2010 - 14:38 | 626746 ZeroPoint
ZeroPoint's picture

Who the hell bought these? Is the 1000 year bond next?

Tue, 10/05/2010 - 14:43 | 626771 Captain Willard
Captain Willard's picture

Well, Mexico CDS are 117bp.

Buy 100 year, buy protection, lock in spread, shot of Cuervo, salt, lime. Of course, you will have to roll your CDS after a few years, if you can.

Repeat, until the next crisis. Last time they defaulted, we bailed them out anyway.

Tue, 10/05/2010 - 14:45 | 626780 TheGoodDoctor
TheGoodDoctor's picture

In the year 2000, in the year 2000!

Tue, 10/05/2010 - 16:31 | 627168 PhattyBuoy
PhattyBuoy's picture

In the year 2110, in the year 2110!

Tue, 10/05/2010 - 14:51 | 626811 reading
reading's picture

So basically, just today, the things I need to buy likely inflated about 1.5-1.8%, the dollars I have to buy them with deflated about 1%.  I didn't get a raise today and the interest on my mortgage didn't go down, but the "value" of my 401k might have gone up about 1.8% -- getting me right back where I was in 2001 -- of course that college tuition I have to pay has gone up about 100% since then -- wow, I'm feeling super rich right now and I am going out to buy an iPad.  

Actually, scratch that I'll take one of those mexican century bonds instead.

Tue, 10/05/2010 - 15:11 | 626904 omi
omi's picture

My immediate thought is that 100 years are awesome. 

If GS buys those 100s and Mexico lowers rates, say form 4.5 to 3.5, that bond can appreciate much more than 30 year bond. I look at this purely as a recommendation emminating from traders, which is consistent with GS being run by traders as opposed to investment bankers now. 

Tue, 10/05/2010 - 15:12 | 626907 Kurtieboy
Kurtieboy's picture

Classic! LMAO!

Tue, 10/05/2010 - 15:44 | 627032 Rob Jones
Rob Jones's picture

In other news, the FDIC's Sheila Bair warns "there's a bit of a bond bubble now":

http://www.moneynews.com/StreetTalk/FDIC-Bair-Bond-Bubble/2010/10/05/id/...

Perhaps that might be a bit of an understatement?

Tue, 10/05/2010 - 16:06 | 627103 trav7777
trav7777's picture

Mexico won't be around in 100yrs.

Passing to oil importer, drug gangs in control of a lot of territory...just waiting for a coup or disintegration.

Hey wait, here's a great idea; let's get as MANY of them as we can to move up here to turn up here into just like Mexico!!!!  AWSUMZ

Tue, 10/05/2010 - 16:53 | 627240 Saxxon
Saxxon's picture

Our Federal Govt. will buy the 100-year Mexicans.  Watch and see.

Wed, 10/06/2010 - 04:10 | 628523 sbenard
sbenard's picture

If this isn't the sign of a bubble, what is?

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