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Moody's Says A Fresh European Slowdown Will Result In A New Round Of Rating Downgrades

Tyler Durden's picture




 

According to Moody's semi-annual European Sovereign Outlook report, published earlier, the rating agency is once again on track to destabilize Europe, by firing the latest warning shot. In the report the agency, which at last check is still without a sovereign research head after the current one left some time ago, said that slower economic growth in Europe might spark downgrades to credit ratings for countries on the continent, as any slowdown could weaken the ability of individual countries to absorb additional shocks to the system, as cited by Dow Jones. "The ratings agency said that the fiscal and economic adjustments necessary to stabilize government debt ratios are likely to be difficult and painful." In other words more than magic may be required to keep the insolvent continent together (and for the very unshocking observation that Spain has been using its social security fund to buy up its bond to keep the false impression that all is good, read today's Frontrunning). In other words, the latest currency devaluation race is once again on. And for the time being the AUD seems to be taking its overnight mispricing from much lower fair values in stride.

More from Dow Jones:

"Given the magnitude of the fiscal challenge and the need to sustain tight fiscal policy for several years, the risk to economic growth are clearly a downside risk for sovereign ratings," the European Sovereign Outlook report said.

Moody's also noted the divergence continuing to spread as European countries cope with their individual fiscal positions.

"Another challenge is the need to manage the fallout from the wide discrepancies in economic and fiscal performance over the past few years," it said.

In this, the process of deleveraging might also be a specific danger to the ratings of certain countries.

"Those countries that are facing persistently strong deleveraging could experience renewed negative pressure on their ratings in the future, depending on how long the process lasts," Moody's said.

 

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Mon, 08/23/2010 - 08:00 | 537248 dan22
dan22's picture

No More Austerity Measures, Greek Government says

This should have gotten some notice! 

Mon, 08/23/2010 - 08:02 | 537250 Translational Lift
Translational Lift's picture

Moody's is TOTALLY irrelevant!!  What a waste..............

Mon, 08/23/2010 - 08:06 | 537252 Sean7k
Sean7k's picture

Now, all of a sudden, Moody's is making realistic observations? Where were they during the subprime debacle? Where are they reporting on US and British debt levels? No concerns? 

Not that they are wrong here, but me thinks he doth protest too much. 

Must be europe's turn in the barrel...long the dollar...til it's our turn again.

Mon, 08/23/2010 - 08:13 | 537256 French Frog
French Frog's picture

'Frontrunning'. where art thou ?

Mon, 08/23/2010 - 08:17 | 537264 Sudden Debt
Sudden Debt's picture

Moodys... just close that whorehouse down.

Mon, 08/23/2010 - 08:32 | 537282 bugs_
bugs_'s picture

Deep Shah.

A "fresh slowdown" the sweet new name for the double dip, continued dip, or second lost decade.

 

Mon, 08/23/2010 - 08:41 | 537297 LeBalance
LeBalance's picture

Moody's dives deep into the phone booth and emerges as:

CAPTAIN OBVIOUS!

Mon, 08/23/2010 - 08:50 | 537301 knukles
knukles's picture

No shit.
My day has been made, my intellectual curiosity overwhelmed.  My shortfall of morals, ethics and character repaired.  My cup runneth over.  Sunlight subsumes the darkness in which I have struggled.  The pee in my pants stays warm.  I am happy and content.  They make me lie face down in still waters.  They steal my soul.

(Primal Scream)

And it's all predicated upon the European Stress Test results.

Arrrrrrraaaaaaaggggggggggggggggahhh. 
(soft whining sounds) 

Mon, 08/23/2010 - 08:53 | 537312 knukles
knukles's picture

Uh boss?  Best send Knukles home, dontcha think?  I know its before the open on Monday morning, but that just doesn't sound right this early in the week, even for him and...

Mon, 08/23/2010 - 08:53 | 537316 Amsterdammer
Amsterdammer's picture

Self-defeating Moody-like logic: Deleveraging, from the mountain-high pile of debt,

deleveraging, deleveraging, everyone !!

'Avoiding disorderly deleveraging'

http://voxeu.org/index.php?q=node/1115

The FT had it last week: China, diversify, diversify, diversify

Mon, 08/23/2010 - 09:26 | 537331 greased up deaf guy
greased up deaf guy's picture

why does this article have a "not so fresh" feeling to it? like deja vu all over again...

Mon, 08/23/2010 - 09:11 | 537341 Leo Kolivakis
Leo Kolivakis's picture

You know things are bad in Europe when Greece and Serbia get into a nasty basketball brawl:

 

Mon, 08/23/2010 - 10:06 | 537414 Hang The Fed
Hang The Fed's picture

Is is just me, or has everyone with a finger on a button gone totally batshit insane?  I think the clowns at the ratings agencies must get together with Bernanke's Rat-Pack, and they piss themselves laughing...

   "Wait!  Wait!  I've got a great one!  How about MORE Q.E.?  HAHAHAHAHA!!  Let's see anyone try to buy anything after THAT!  We'll be able to export to MEXICO!"

   "Ooooohhh, that's a good one, but...WE'RE GOING TO DOWNGRADE EUROPE AGAIN!!  Forget about 'frosty' credit markets...by the time we're done, they won't be able to borrow a cup of sugar!  BWHAHAHAHAHAAAA!!  Hey, anyone else want some more of this coke?"

At that point, Geithner vomits from the twelfth beer that he's just finished funneling.

Fri, 10/01/2010 - 07:17 | 617752 Herry12
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