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The New New Normal? Futures Take Out 1,150, Carry Crumbles, Gold On Verge Of $1,200

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Was this it for the bear market rally? The new new normal, same as the old normal: Risk and Carry off, Gold on...Meanwhile, the panic over at the Eccles building can be felt all the way in Europe.

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Thu, 05/06/2010 - 12:02 | 334632 BlackBeard
BlackBeard's picture

Well.  These Keynesian clowns have REALLY done it now...

Thu, 05/06/2010 - 13:35 | 334928 Crab Cake
Crab Cake's picture

At this point calling the financial terrorists and corrupt government officials, Keynesians is a misnomer.  What these clowns are is criminals and fraudsters of the highest usurious order.

Thu, 05/06/2010 - 18:08 | 335394 BumpSkool
BumpSkool's picture

Cmon you Precterite / Denninger "Gold going to $500...we're in a deflationary panic" Where arrrrreee yooouuu? The S+P/Gold spread just swung 98 points in a day... As you can see... when stocks go down... Gold goes right down with it eh? PWNED!

Thu, 05/06/2010 - 12:04 | 334636 BrianOFlanagan
BrianOFlanagan's picture

fiat collapse coming sooner rather than later

Thu, 05/06/2010 - 12:06 | 334642 mephisto
mephisto's picture

UK election effect due to massive uncertainty. Check cable to see.

UK online brokers open all night for drunken gambling - FX, gilts, FTSE. Buy gamma...

Thu, 05/06/2010 - 12:07 | 334645 SWRichmond
SWRichmond's picture

When this is all over and we have audited and closed the Fed we need to leave the building standing as a monument to the stupidity of central planning, with one of those bronze historic information plaques out front.

Anyone care to offer text?

Thu, 05/06/2010 - 12:10 | 334655 JacksCompleteLa...
JacksCompleteLackOfSuprise's picture

The map is not the territory, but gold is money.

Thu, 05/06/2010 - 12:11 | 334665 Jim in MN
Jim in MN's picture

Just use the chart in this post.

Thu, 05/06/2010 - 13:43 | 334959 duo
duo's picture

I heard talking heads on CNBC use "gold" and "reserve currency" in the same sentence twice today.  How dare they turn on their masters.

Thu, 05/06/2010 - 12:11 | 334660 buzzsaw99
buzzsaw99's picture

Declare it an epa superfund toxic waste dump and cordone it off.

Thu, 05/06/2010 - 12:33 | 334732 Kaiser Sousa
Kaiser Sousa's picture

yes, how bout - 

"Death cometh to all bankers"....

Thu, 05/06/2010 - 13:07 | 334806 ZerOhead
ZerOhead's picture

Churchill... famous 1940 Battle of Britain speech slightly revised should do the trick! (I'm a firm believer in recycling you know...)

"Never in the field of human conflict was so much owed by so few to so many"...

Do I win?

Thu, 05/06/2010 - 13:31 | 334911 Tipo anónimo
Tipo anónimo's picture

Appropriately twisted

Thu, 05/06/2010 - 13:31 | 334912 buzzsaw99
buzzsaw99's picture

you have it backwards.

Thu, 05/06/2010 - 13:52 | 334986 ZerOhead
ZerOhead's picture

I said 'early' prototype Buzzy!

Thu, 05/06/2010 - 12:37 | 334747 WaterWings
WaterWings's picture
The desire of gold is not for gold. It is for the means of freedom and benefit. - Ralph Waldo Emerson
Thu, 05/06/2010 - 13:48 | 334972 depression
depression's picture

"The rich rules over the poor, And the borrower becomes the lender's slave."

Proverbs 22:7

Thu, 05/06/2010 - 13:58 | 335005 ZerOhead
ZerOhead's picture

"Until shit happens and they don't"

Washroom 7:11

Thu, 05/06/2010 - 13:48 | 334975 crosey
crosey's picture

+1000 WW!

Thu, 05/06/2010 - 12:44 | 334764 stewie
stewie's picture

Site of the biggest failed experiment attempting to disprove the basic laws of science.

Thu, 05/06/2010 - 13:01 | 334814 MaxFrost
MaxFrost's picture

That's easy: "There's no such thing as a free lunch."

Thu, 05/06/2010 - 13:42 | 334955 Greyzone
Greyzone's picture

TANSTAAFL - There Ain't No Such Thing As A Free Lunch.

Thu, 05/06/2010 - 13:04 | 334822 Lux Fiat
Lux Fiat's picture

Spendthrift policy makers who intentionally debase currencies and blow bubbles

Destroy the wealth and social fabric of nations and bring calamitous Troubles

Thu, 05/06/2010 - 13:20 | 334873 faustian bargain
faustian bargain's picture
“Abandon hope, all ye who enter here”
Thu, 05/06/2010 - 13:26 | 334892 Missing_Link
Missing_Link's picture

"On a long enough timeline, the survival rate for any central bank drops to zero."

Thu, 05/06/2010 - 13:26 | 334896 RecoveringDebtJunkie
RecoveringDebtJunkie's picture

"They called us 'central planners', but we couldn't centrally plan shit. We didn't set interest rates and we didn't determine the money supply. The only thing we could do was treat our private bank shareholders with trillions in taxpayer money after they blew up the economy."

Thu, 05/06/2010 - 13:36 | 334930 DonnieD
DonnieD's picture

"There's always a bull market somewhere"

Thu, 05/06/2010 - 13:56 | 334997 AccreditedEYE
AccreditedEYE's picture

Yeah, speaking of that a$$ clown, I can't wait to see him wiggle his way out of "go long the banks" call. I hope, in the pit of his stomach, he begins to see the beginning of the end for him and his ultra-elite big money/government crew. (aka The Squid) The cards are being reshuffled boys and there is nothing you can do to stop it this time.

Thu, 05/06/2010 - 13:59 | 335002 Dr. Acula
Dr. Acula's picture

"There is no means of avoiding a final collapse of a boom brought about by credit expansion. The alternative is only whether the crisis should come sooner as a result of a voluntary abandonment of further credit expansion or later as a final and total catastrophe of the currency system involved."

- Ludwig von Mises

Thu, 05/06/2010 - 21:21 | 335961 Absinthe Minded
Absinthe Minded's picture

Federal Reverse.

Thu, 05/06/2010 - 12:07 | 334647 Quintus
Quintus's picture

I like this New Normal.

Thu, 05/06/2010 - 12:44 | 334766 john_connor
john_connor's picture

me too.  love the name btw.

Thu, 05/06/2010 - 12:08 | 334648 Jack H Barnes
Jack H Barnes's picture

Euro to Par and goes away, Pound to $1.20, Gold to $1,500

You can pay me in old gold coins,

 

 

Thu, 05/06/2010 - 12:08 | 334649 John McCloy
John McCloy's picture

Markets up & gold up. The central banks boogeyman that they hoped would never come out of the closet just started sneaking out.

Thu, 05/06/2010 - 12:15 | 334679 truont
truont's picture

You mean markets DOWN and gold up, eh?

Thu, 05/06/2010 - 12:37 | 334752 John McCloy
John McCloy's picture

Yeah the carry trade brainwash even has me mixed up at this point.

Thu, 05/06/2010 - 12:09 | 334651 Lord Peter Pipsqueak
Lord Peter Pipsqueak's picture

1147 has held,party on..........

Thu, 05/06/2010 - 12:09 | 334654 Mitchman
Mitchman's picture

Bye, Bye...

Thu, 05/06/2010 - 12:10 | 334656 John McCloy
John McCloy's picture

The only two things you can own are the dollar and gold. Best house on a crap block but still the only currency you can own.

Thu, 05/06/2010 - 12:26 | 334711 ExistentialSkeptic
ExistentialSkeptic's picture

You don't own dollars -- you only hold them. ("Federal Reserve Note" is printed right on them in case you need a reminder!)

Thu, 05/06/2010 - 12:44 | 334765 MsCreant
MsCreant's picture

Actually our dollars are debt. They own us.

Thu, 05/06/2010 - 12:49 | 334780 Hulk
Hulk's picture

All our "stuff" owns us...

Thu, 05/06/2010 - 13:25 | 334887 SteveNYC
SteveNYC's picture

I keep trying to tell my wife that. Instead of saying "Steve, you are so right, thank you for liberating me" I get the "Well, just because you don't need shit to get by, it doesn't mean we are all like that. You know, some people just like to have nice things, to look good, to drive a nice car".

And I say "Thank you for proving my point. I'm going to meditate now".

 

Haha!

Thu, 05/06/2010 - 13:38 | 334937 Cheeky Bastard
Cheeky Bastard's picture

Fuck ownership and accumulation. Its what got us into this mess. 

It all went downhill when some fucking caveman put a stick into the Earth and said " This is mine" and clobbered the next guy over the head just so he could enjoy a false sense of freedom that he gained while supposing that owning means to be free. We all live on borrowed time, which in itself is not even a flicker on the long line of eternity.

Thu, 05/06/2010 - 13:46 | 334968 Hulk
Hulk's picture

Mathematically speaking, we don't exist...I proved that in a real analysis class..

Know why cavemen drag cavewomen by the hair?

Thu, 05/06/2010 - 13:59 | 335008 Cheeky Bastard
Cheeky Bastard's picture

Yeah, i once proved absolute existence of God via refining Godels modal ontological argument which had some flaws with its sub-constructive modes. Its futile , but it was good fun.

And no, why do cavemen drag cavewomen by the hair. 

Thu, 05/06/2010 - 14:01 | 335015 Hulk
Hulk's picture

So they don't fill up with sand!

Thu, 05/06/2010 - 13:34 | 334921 Cheeky Bastard
Cheeky Bastard's picture

"The unreal is more powerful than the real. Because nothing is as perfect as you can imagine it. Because its only intangible ideas, concepts, beliefs, fantasies that last. Stone crumbles. Wood rots. People, well, they die. But things as fragile as a thought, a dream, a legend, they can go on and on. If you can change the way people think. The way they see themselves. The way they see the world. You can change the way people live their lives. That's the only lasting thing you can create." 
— Chuck Palahniuk (Choke)

"The things you own end up owning you." 
— Chuck Palahniuk

Thu, 05/06/2010 - 13:53 | 334988 duo
duo's picture

I thought "You don't own stuff, your stuff owns you", was from Fight Club?

Thu, 05/06/2010 - 13:55 | 334994 Cheeky Bastard
Cheeky Bastard's picture

It is, but Chuck wrote the book Fight Club which was the basis for the movie. Its his quote.

Thu, 05/06/2010 - 14:03 | 335022 Hulk
Hulk's picture

If memory serves, I believe I read that in Walden...Thoreau

Thu, 05/06/2010 - 14:05 | 335035 duo
duo's picture

aaaah, understood.

 

Those 8 words condense today's situation eloquently.

 

Maybe some day they will be sewn into a flag.

Thu, 05/06/2010 - 14:16 | 335074 ZerOhead
ZerOhead's picture

Nice one Cheeky!

Thu, 05/06/2010 - 14:19 | 335086 velobabe
velobabe's picture

oh, cheeky i just fell in love   º   º

                                               †

                                             ……

Thu, 05/06/2010 - 18:55 | 335545 dark pools of soros
dark pools of soros's picture

it's also the basis behind the power of symbolism 

Thu, 05/06/2010 - 14:21 | 335100 CosmicCharley
CosmicCharley's picture

I know. I find myself saying in my head, "Boy, I'm sure glad I can get stuff like food and beer for these stupid green things".

 

Oh yeah, I almost forgot GOLD - BITCHES!

Thu, 05/06/2010 - 22:36 | 336162 Rusty Shorts
Rusty Shorts's picture

 - yeah, you better get while the getting is good.

Thu, 05/06/2010 - 12:11 | 334659 truont
truont's picture

Gold rallying as Euro falls.

Imagine what Gold would do if the USD fell!

Thu, 05/06/2010 - 12:55 | 334795 Whizbang
Whizbang's picture

Too bad the dollar is increasing in value faster than gold against the euro. I'm glad I'm holding dollars.

Thu, 05/06/2010 - 13:06 | 334830 merehuman
merehuman's picture

USD can Fall even faster thanit went up. Buyer beware applies.

Thu, 05/06/2010 - 13:21 | 334876 dumpster
dumpster's picture

dollars to gold ... ther folks all over converting their local currencies for dollars to buy gold .

the dollar looks strong . to the dopes that can not see. longer than the nose on face

 

Thu, 05/06/2010 - 14:20 | 335092 potatomafia
potatomafia's picture

I wonder how many people around the world are selling physical gold for dollars?

 

....

Thu, 05/06/2010 - 13:27 | 334901 Mr Lennon Hendrix
Mr Lennon Hendrix's picture

Ah, you wish to see the future?

Thu, 05/06/2010 - 13:54 | 334991 dumpster
dumpster's picture

the nose on the face . extends for one day future lol

the paper bugs  are looking in egg timer time

Thu, 05/06/2010 - 12:13 | 334669 monmick
monmick's picture

Let's see if the Embry 2% Rule is still enforceable...

Thu, 05/06/2010 - 12:13 | 334671 Jim in MN
Jim in MN's picture

Yawn, wake me at Dow 5,000/Gold 5,000

I had a dip for you to buy but he got away (again).....

Thu, 05/06/2010 - 12:20 | 334684 truont
truont's picture

There's a dip right now, if you're expecting Dow 5K & Gold 5K...

Step right up...buy the amazing inert lump of ore that beats the pants off of corporate debt and common equity shares worldwide!  It's the incredible piece of shiny metal!  Only $1200 per ounce, folks!  Step right up!

Thu, 05/06/2010 - 13:10 | 334842 chet
chet's picture

And silver isn't following gold at this point.  Buy silver now if you have faith.

Thu, 05/06/2010 - 13:30 | 334907 Mr Lennon Hendrix
Mr Lennon Hendrix's picture

Silver does not follow gold.  Silver tracks oil. 

Thu, 05/06/2010 - 14:23 | 335116 potatomafia
potatomafia's picture

Until the 95% of people who have no clue of whats going on finally realize they need to start buying something that holds its value... and Gold will be way to expensive for them.  You know the drill, right?

 

The rubber band is being stretched right now (gold/silver ratio), but it will snap back.

Thu, 05/06/2010 - 14:27 | 335144 43 Steelie
43 Steelie's picture

EXACTLY

Sprott loves silver almost more than he loves gold right now.

A gold/silver ratio in the high 60s is completely unsustainable. Silver will decouple from oil soon enough.

 

Thu, 05/06/2010 - 12:14 | 334675 wagefreedom
wagefreedom's picture

Hey sorry I'm a bit slow, but when everybody devalues their currency on the same Sunday afternoon, I'm supposed to be in gold with my credit cards totally maxed out in my new Vegas condo gotten with as little down as possible.

Right?

Thu, 05/06/2010 - 13:32 | 334914 Mr Lennon Hendrix
Mr Lennon Hendrix's picture

Change your location and you are better off.  Why would you want to be in the middle of the desert when the SHTF?

Thu, 05/06/2010 - 13:46 | 334962 WaterWings
WaterWings's picture

+1

Reading his post I was thinking of that game: Which one does not belong?

Thu, 05/06/2010 - 14:38 | 335189 faustian bargain
faustian bargain's picture

Not only that, but in the middle of the desert with a bunch of angry gamblers and out-of-work casino workers.

Thu, 05/06/2010 - 12:14 | 334676 Mako
Mako's picture

Well I would hate to be policeman in Athens right now.  The odds don't look good for them.

Thu, 05/06/2010 - 12:17 | 334681 Turd Ferguson
Turd Ferguson's picture

They'll be striking soon, too, as their benefits are getting cut just like the protesters.

Thu, 05/06/2010 - 12:21 | 334691 Mako
Mako's picture

The police are there to protect the top feeders from the bottom dwellers once the bottom dwellers can't supply the top with what they need to cycle back to themselves.

The can protest and kill and do whatever, there is nothing anyone can do in that government.  Eventually the whole world will look like that.

Actually so far they look pretty peaceful.  Unfortunately it's not going to stay like that medium or long term.

Thu, 05/06/2010 - 13:07 | 334831 Fraud-Esq
Fraud-Esq's picture

I bet they get cut less. Anyone know? If you cut them too much, you're gonna need Blackwater. That's more pricey

Thu, 05/06/2010 - 13:28 | 334893 Dr. Richard Head
Dr. Richard Head's picture

Soldiers were awarded higher salaries before any other civil "serf"ants when inflation took hold in Zimbabwe. - http://www.thedailynewszw.com/?p=28311

I would assume the Greek government wil be no different in their economic crisis and will make sure that the "just doing their job" soldiers and police will continue to do their job of protecting their masters.

Thu, 05/06/2010 - 13:27 | 334900 SteveNYC
SteveNYC's picture

I think you should reframe: "The equation does not look good for them". But you are 100% right.

Thu, 05/06/2010 - 12:14 | 334677 TomB
TomB's picture

Prices of 1 troy ounce gold coins have just hit 1000EUR in Europe.

Thu, 05/06/2010 - 12:27 | 334712 TomB
TomB's picture

I check http://www.gold4ex.be

 

This firm is the biggest physical gold dealer in Belgium.

Thu, 05/06/2010 - 12:15 | 334678 Sudden Debt
Sudden Debt's picture

Tomorrow, Friday, will be a massive selloff!

Nobody will go into the weekend with all this crap happing at the same time

Thu, 05/06/2010 - 12:24 | 334703 DosZap
DosZap's picture

I beg to differ, I say NO ONE in their right mind takes it off the table, esp since it's the weekend like none we have ever seen.( unless your talking stocks).

No telling where it will be come Monday, damn sure not better.

Their fighting like hell to keep it under $1,200.00..........

Thu, 05/06/2010 - 12:50 | 334781 WaterWings
WaterWings's picture

Be sure to watch gold price 1800 eastern on Sunday when asian markets open.

Thu, 05/06/2010 - 13:36 | 334932 Mr Lennon Hendrix
Mr Lennon Hendrix's picture

The Shanghai Split

Went Global

It will continue

Forever.......

Thu, 05/06/2010 - 14:40 | 335197 faustian bargain
faustian bargain's picture

One night in Bangkok and the world's your oyster...

Thu, 05/06/2010 - 13:33 | 334917 Dr. Richard Head
Dr. Richard Head's picture

I would have to agree on a continued sell-off in the overall equity markets, at least until Tuesday or Wednesday.  Votes for the "Financial Regulation" bill in the Senate looks like they will not take place until Tuesday or Wednesday of next week.  Senator Sanders, DeMint, and others are trying to get the Audit the Fed provision in the bill, so expect for a "shake in your boots little people" sell off to send a strong message to anyone who dares stand up to the rigged-market-capitalistic juggernaut.  Fear is the greatest weapon of all. 

Thu, 05/06/2010 - 12:15 | 334680 Common_Cents22
Common_Cents22's picture

If the PTB decides to take down gold and puts their weight behind it can they do it?

Thu, 05/06/2010 - 12:31 | 334699 JacksCompleteLa...
JacksCompleteLackOfSuprise's picture

edit... yep

Thu, 05/06/2010 - 13:33 | 334918 tmosley
tmosley's picture

Perhaps, but not through trickery. They would have to raise interest rates to 20+% and default on debt (giving a haircut to creditors).

The only thing that can genuinely stop gold at this point is a return to long absent good fiscal policy.

Of course, that will never happen.

Thu, 05/06/2010 - 12:17 | 334682 lsbumblebee
lsbumblebee's picture

Da Boyz better call the IMF and request another emergency paper dump.

http://www.gata.org/node/8601

Thu, 05/06/2010 - 12:37 | 334750 silvertrain
silvertrain's picture

 Wait till all these folks show up at the pickup window to take  physical delivery of there bullion...

Thu, 05/06/2010 - 13:40 | 334946 Mr Lennon Hendrix
Mr Lennon Hendrix's picture

+1

Thu, 05/06/2010 - 12:18 | 334686 Al Huxley
Al Huxley's picture

Harry Wanger, where are you?  I need some advice on what to buy on this dip.

Thu, 05/06/2010 - 12:31 | 334727 ExistentialSkeptic
ExistentialSkeptic's picture

LOL!

Good one.

Thu, 05/06/2010 - 12:51 | 334783 economessed
economessed's picture

Harry is eating crow for lunch and black swan for dinner.  Washed down with a giant glass of mea culpa.

I generally like people who are optimistic, but not those that are foolish.  Seriously -- who couldn't read these tea leaves?  To suggest this is all going to "blow over" is ludacris.  Our ONLY hope is to limit the severity of the pain from this point.

Thu, 05/06/2010 - 13:17 | 334863 AccreditedEYE
AccreditedEYE's picture

He's also unhappily on the other side of my AAPL bet. Poor, poor Johnny Bravo. LOL

Thu, 05/06/2010 - 12:54 | 334794 RockyRacoon
RockyRacoon's picture

I noticed a scarcity of Harry Bates, or is that Master Wanger.  Since MB got a new moniker we might keep an eye out for HW to log-in under a new cognomen.

Thu, 05/06/2010 - 13:04 | 334824 WaterWings
WaterWings's picture

yipcarl is yapping down lower. It's either personal issues or paid trolling with these guys.

Thu, 05/06/2010 - 13:14 | 334853 Hulk
Hulk's picture

Sometimes this feels like the Bates/Wanker/Yipper whack a mole show!

Thu, 05/06/2010 - 13:25 | 334885 RockyRacoon
RockyRacoon's picture

What wonderous topic could Tyler(s) post to attract all three of these misanthropes?

That would be a laugh riot!

Thu, 05/06/2010 - 13:54 | 334992 Tipo anónimo
Tipo anónimo's picture

Thanks for the laugh!

 

I can just picture their tiny heads popping up to say "But don't forget the census effect in the jobs report on Friday." or "Apple is just reloaded for another rocket shot."

Fri, 05/07/2010 - 00:09 | 336371 floydian slip
floydian slip's picture

snort snicker hahahaha

Thu, 05/06/2010 - 12:55 | 334796 curbyourrisk
curbyourrisk's picture

HarryWanger....RIP, along with the markets!

Thu, 05/06/2010 - 13:37 | 334936 Rider
Rider's picture

Don't think so, at the first of a rally he will be here again sharing sapience... 

Thu, 05/06/2010 - 13:35 | 334923 buzzsaw99
buzzsaw99's picture

Doin' the Wango Tango no doubt:

 

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LqFUEcM9wR0

Thu, 05/06/2010 - 13:41 | 334950 Crab Cake
Crab Cake's picture

You haven't been paying attention Al...

AAPL 251.15 -5.26 -1.99%

The man with the teeth is all in.

Thu, 05/06/2010 - 12:19 | 334689 koaj
koaj's picture

http://www.aftonbladet.se/webbtv/nyheter/utrikes/article7086788.ab

 

greek riot (potential) video / live feed

Thu, 05/06/2010 - 12:33 | 334734 SWRichmond
SWRichmond's picture

awesome, ty!

Thu, 05/06/2010 - 13:04 | 334800 RockyRacoon
RockyRacoon's picture

Wow.  Imagine live feeds during the storming of the Bastille!

They could just go ape and burn that sombitch down.

This is the SAME feed next to Carl Quentinilla reporting from Greece on CNBC at this moment!

Thu, 05/06/2010 - 13:00 | 334810 AnXmarine
AnXmarine's picture

What building is that to the left of the picture?  It looks like one of those Hollywood wooden facades.  Reminds me of the town in Blazing Saddles.

Thu, 05/06/2010 - 13:06 | 334827 RockyRacoon
RockyRacoon's picture

Oh, that's the Potemkin Village view.

Thu, 05/06/2010 - 13:23 | 334881 koaj
koaj's picture

i think its greek parliament building

Thu, 05/06/2010 - 13:45 | 334965 Mr Lennon Hendrix
Mr Lennon Hendrix's picture

I love Greeks.  They are my new favorite people!  America, and the rest of Europe for that matter, take note.

Thu, 05/06/2010 - 13:52 | 334987 faustian bargain
faustian bargain's picture

Wow...is that really a live feed?

Thu, 05/06/2010 - 14:02 | 335017 Frank Owen
Frank Owen's picture

That dog seems to be leading the protest... lol

Thu, 05/06/2010 - 14:05 | 335030 faustian bargain
faustian bargain's picture

haha, yeah he's not going to be too happy if he catches one of those flash-bangs before it goes off.

Thu, 05/06/2010 - 14:20 | 335095 faustian bargain
faustian bargain's picture

whoa...shit, now some stuff is happening.

Thu, 05/06/2010 - 14:23 | 335117 faustian bargain
faustian bargain's picture

They're breaking stuff now.

Thu, 05/06/2010 - 14:21 | 335101 Mr Lennon Hendrix
Mr Lennon Hendrix's picture

OH SNAP!!  I HOPE EVERYONE IS WATCHING THIS!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Thu, 05/06/2010 - 12:20 | 334693 taraxias
taraxias's picture

Where's Nic Lenoire????

He may want to rethink that "gold is not the answer" statement of a couple of days ago.

Thu, 05/06/2010 - 12:27 | 334702 Mako
Mako's picture

The gold holders in Europe didn't fair too well last time.  A lot of them were put in ovens.  Even the ones that hide it in their teeth didn't fair too well.  There is no safe haven. 

Over time you will get less and less because less and less will be produced.  Until that time huge spikes in both directions.    The US was able to avoid complete collapse last time at the expense of a complete destruction of Europe and large portions of Asia.  This time it will be everywhere.

Thu, 05/06/2010 - 12:33 | 334735 taraxias
taraxias's picture

Brilliant Mako!!! We can't run away from the equation, sell gold and go long gas chambers and oversized ovens. Got it.

You are so offside on your gold call, it's beginning to show.

P.S. I do agree with you however that we can't run away from the equation, it's just that I don't want to hear it every thread.

Thu, 05/06/2010 - 12:40 | 334740 Mako
Mako's picture

Now you are just putting words in my mouth.

Never said to sell your gold, but when this goes down this time it's not going to get you rich and it's ain't going to stop the tanks and you can't eat it. 

It's not the solution you make it out to be, I certainly could not blame someone for holding on to some but no it will probably not save you either.

To be honest, I am just waiting on the Greeks to throw some bankers out the window... it doesn't change anything but it might be entertaining.   Someone is going to have to go.

So far the Greeks are putting in a poor showing, looks more like a soccer match instead of a riot.

 

Thu, 05/06/2010 - 12:48 | 334777 taraxias
taraxias's picture

Just pulling your leg there, Mako. I know this is not what you meant.

Truthfully, I do enjoy your posts, and you have my gratitude for getting me to think in ways I wouldn't otherwise consider.

Many thanks, and keep posting.

Thu, 05/06/2010 - 12:51 | 334782 Mako
Mako's picture

I appreciate your posts as well.  Just remember, this ain't going to be pretty and it doesn't matter what you have.   It's going to suck, keep your head down is really the only answer which is really not an answer at all.

 

Thu, 05/06/2010 - 13:39 | 334942 cougar_w
cougar_w's picture

Fact

Thu, 05/06/2010 - 13:57 | 335003 Greyzone
Greyzone's picture

Right now people keep looking for investments. You shouldn't be looking for investments in a time like this. And gold is not an investment. It's a store of value.

In 1913 when the Federal Reserve came into existence, I could buy one of the finest pistols on the shelf with a $20 gold piece or $20 in paper money. Or using the same payment I could buy a very fine suit.

Today, for one ounce of gold I can still buy one of the finest pistols on the shelf or a very fine suit. But for $20 in cash I can't even buy the cufflinks or a full box of ammo.

If you invest in gold, you deserve whatever you get. But if you use gold as a place to hold value while one economic system collapses and until a new one gets established, you stand a reasonable chance of moving a large part of your wealth through that collapse intact.

My advice to friends is never invest in gold. Given that this is a possible social collapse facing us, I tell people to make sure they have the proverbial "guns, grain, and gear" all taken care of first. Then and only then do you add the 4th G - gold - to your personal preparations, purely as a vehicle for moving wealth from here to some future point relatively intact.

Thu, 05/06/2010 - 14:14 | 335064 ExistentialSkeptic
ExistentialSkeptic's picture

Thanks Grayzone -- I tell my friends and they ignore me.  Sigh.

Fri, 05/07/2010 - 00:15 | 336379 floydian slip
floydian slip's picture

<<makes list of things you cant eat>>

 

gold

tanks

ovens

<<things you can eat>>

greek bankers

Thu, 05/06/2010 - 12:43 | 334763 DiverCity
DiverCity's picture

Your broad generalizations don't hold water, even though I tend toward a mildly dystopian view myself.  With respect to the European gold holders, what about the Swiss?  They faired quite well -- a little too well, of course, as they never had to repatriate some of the gold that was deposited by the victims to which you refer.

Thu, 05/06/2010 - 12:33 | 334731 10044
10044's picture

He just popped an anti depressant pill while waiting at crimex's pantry

Thu, 05/06/2010 - 12:21 | 334698 Madcow
Madcow's picture

So simple its stupid.

DEFLATION. For 20-30 years at least ...

In deflation, hold money (real money) and short everything else.

GOLD will maintain its purchasing power. Everything else gets flushed.

 

Thu, 05/06/2010 - 12:27 | 334713 A Nanny Moose
A Nanny Moose's picture

Looks like the Black Holers were right about Hadron. Now watch as everything gets pulled into the singularity.

Thu, 05/06/2010 - 12:29 | 334716 Cyan Lite
Cyan Lite's picture

I'm not Harry, but I remain cautiously optimistic.  The support at 1147'ish held, as expected.  I think we can rally back up to 1170 near the 50sma where it will be resistance.  I bought some GOOG today (right before it popped $6, luckily).

Non-Farm Payrolls are out in the morning, and I expect it to be a rather good number with the addition of the Census jobs.  Interpolating the ADP numbers, we could see a +250k number, which will be incredible headlines to trumpet into the weekend for the bulls.

I remain underwater on my main SPY position, but I will hold further. I'm also looking at buying some Morgan Stanley (MS) if it gets to around $27.  Major support right there.

Also, AAPL is very juicy at $247'ish.

Thu, 05/06/2010 - 12:57 | 334802 curbyourrisk
curbyourrisk's picture

support held at 1147ish....this time.

 

We can;t take out every level of support in one day.

 

give it time, as that support turns into resisitence!

Thu, 05/06/2010 - 13:21 | 334875 Lux Fiat
Lux Fiat's picture

My concern is that if we have enough foreign banks and entities about to go tits up, we may be on the receiving end of ring fencing, which will mean selling by [some] foreigners of US assets.  Get enough selling, and even the PPT may not be able to right the ship, if it triggers cascading and self-reinforcing margin calls.  I think that during the 2008 debacle, a lot of foreign markets got a double whammy - derisking and ring fencing by US insolvent entities.  We're going to be on the receiving end this time.

Thu, 05/06/2010 - 13:25 | 334889 ElvisDog
ElvisDog's picture

I thought you and Harry said AAPL was a "can't miss" at $260. Is it "more can't miss" at $247? If it falls to $200 would it be "mega can't miss"?

Thu, 05/06/2010 - 13:42 | 334956 AccreditedEYE
AccreditedEYE's picture

No offense Cyan, but I think you are out of your mind to be touching AAPL at these levels. It's begging for a vicious correction here. The new trend is down for this beast...you'll never see over 272 again.

Thu, 05/06/2010 - 14:00 | 335010 Greyzone
Greyzone's picture

What's that about 1147 again? Hello 1145 and still dropping!

Thu, 05/06/2010 - 12:29 | 334719 Modus
Modus's picture

question: where is harry?

 

answer: trying to meet his margin requirements

 

 

Thu, 05/06/2010 - 12:30 | 334724 Mako
Mako's picture

I at least had some respect for him when I "thought" he was a trader, but when I went though his post of a few years ago... it became apparent he was all in long and had been since 14,000. 

 

Thu, 05/06/2010 - 12:38 | 334753 taraxias
taraxias's picture

The guy lost all credibility as far as I'm concerned. I don't mind listening and considering a dissenting point of view (eg. Leo's solars) as long as those putting forth those arguments don't disappear without a trace as soon as the market goes the other way.

I'm sure Harry will be posting again the first day we close green again.

Thu, 05/06/2010 - 13:38 | 334939 AccreditedEYE
AccreditedEYE's picture

answer: trying to meet his margin requirements

LMAO! 

Thu, 05/06/2010 - 12:30 | 334722 economists_do_i...
economists_do_it_with_models's picture

I'll go out on a limb and say either from noon today (Thur) or tomorrow for sure, we'll see at least a 1-day gain for the Dow.  Perhaps a slide slightly further.  Double bottom.  And then the rally will resume.

Several 'reasons' to justify a rally.  A perceived resolution to the drama involving GS as well as Greece being 2.  Gulf oil spill being capped would be another.  Jobs report at 8:30AM on FRI.  AIG earnings before the bell also.

Is is all B.S. ??  No doubt.  But that's been the story for a year...

Today would be the best time for an up day.  Selloff into the weekend to setup for the usual Monday meltup.

Dow -72 @ 12:30.  It would take a heck of a stick save to make it to plus territory, but odder things have happened.

Thu, 05/06/2010 - 12:57 | 334799 docj
docj's picture

The street tickers are starting to look like the end of the new Star Trek movie

Get us out of here, Scotty.

You bet your ass, Captain.
(They go nowhere, start to sink into the black hole)

I said get us out of here, Scotty.

I'm giving her all she's got, Captain!

(They sink deeper)

All she's got isn't good enough, what else do you got?

----

All that's left is for acting Captain James Tiberius Bernanke to order the ejection of the warp core, shouting "Do it, do it, DO IT!"

Unfortunately for Europe, my guess is they are said warp core.

Thu, 05/06/2010 - 12:30 | 334723 You Cant Handle...
You Cant Handle the Truth's picture

So, the U.S. (via GS antics in Greece) has worked to destroy the EURO, as a means to guarantee oil will be forever traded in a USD bourse?  Was it all worth it?

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