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The New Paradigm: Drop On Big Volume, Ramp On Flat/Declining

Tyler Durden's picture




 

No news here really. Market starts dropping: volume immediately picks up to 10 million above average. Then stocks retrace all their losses and add gains as volume flatlines, or actually decreases during the day. In the past week shorters will not short, sellers will not sell, aside from the first 30 minutes of market trading, when market volume ramps. In the meantime someone (fund managers with career risk as disclosed yesterday) is accumulating all those lifted offers as the market ploughs into the parabolic phase.

 

 

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Tue, 09/15/2009 - 13:43 | 69924 Anonymous
Anonymous's picture

Maybe Insiders are told to dump early in the morning to offset all the green shoot propaganda that is released.

Tue, 09/15/2009 - 13:43 | 69925 lizzy36
lizzy36's picture

"my friends......" apparently Obama and McCain have become one.  which would explain Obama's newly spouted grey hair, 

Tue, 09/15/2009 - 15:04 | 70048 Anonymous
Anonymous's picture

One thing all Presidents have in common: it takes about two months to go grey.

Tue, 09/15/2009 - 13:45 | 69934 Ivanovich
Ivanovich's picture

The dollar just took a crap again.  New highs for the year in EUR/USD.

Tue, 09/15/2009 - 13:47 | 69938 capitalisa
capitalisa's picture

SEC is reportedly asking issuers and banks to share data used to rate bonds

- SEC notes that data would be shared with other credit rating agencies in order to generate unsolicited ratings
Tue, 09/15/2009 - 13:49 | 69940 . . .
. . .'s picture

It is too bad there aren't more shorts that borrow using term stock loans, instead of demand stock loans.  With demand stock loans, Rahm/Summers/etc can jawbone institutional holders to recall the stock, screwing over the shorts.  With term stock loans, Rahm/Summers/etc are SOL since the lenders don't have the power to recall the stock on demand.  Even better if the collateral is held by a third party custodian, so the banks cannot apply collateral to close the trade in breach of contract.

Tue, 09/15/2009 - 14:17 | 69982 J.D. Swampfox
J.D. Swampfox's picture

Sounds like a good idea for a start-up: to offer-facilitate such long term share borrowings that are safe from the manipulators to the retail investor...

Tue, 09/15/2009 - 13:50 | 69943 Anonymous
Anonymous's picture

Simply unbelievable, when the short interest ramps up buy volume appears out of nowhere and they run the shorts. The shorts cover and the market trends up with the direction of the buy and twice the clip.

At sometime the shorts will be fed up, there will be plenty of air pockets that will deflate at rapid succession with no buy interest. I am guessing the game is up after the quad opx.

Tue, 09/15/2009 - 13:51 | 69945 Anonymous
Anonymous's picture

The New Paradigm: Stocks never drop more than half a percent at anytime of the trading day.

Tue, 09/15/2009 - 13:54 | 69947 They steal from...
They steal from us everyday's picture

This market will need a very significant trigger to drop IMO.

I see nothing but imaginary greenshoots for a while, and retail sales actually may have had a real green shoot for a change with the +1.1%, but I don't know what to make of those figures just yet.

It is hard to screen out the noise.

I still won't believe recovery until the credit/debt destruction occurs but it just does not make sense to short this market.

Tue, 09/15/2009 - 15:00 | 70042 Bearish Spirits
Bearish Spirits's picture

Personally, I think it's hilarious that not even a "pending trade war" with the Chinese could produce a down day in this market.

Regarding retail sales, have you noticed the absence of the words "back-to-school" from many of the reports over the last few days?  I think a 0.7% rise in retail sales excluding autos and gasoline is completely pathetic.

We have had price inflation, especially at the grocery stores.  We had back-to-school, with some govt. subsidies(remember New York State?).  And all we got was +0.7% over July.  Bad. 

Nice how the market is ignoring Best Buy and Kroger doing badly.

Tue, 09/15/2009 - 16:51 | 70238 mikeyv1970
mikeyv1970's picture

Bearish Spirits,  I concur and would add that a 0.7% rise is pathetic if you also include the number of tax holidays targeting the back to school sales!  Back to School is the 2nd biggest shopping season of the year....this portends a very lackluster Xmas season.  Has anyone else seen all of the Xmas stuff already going up at stores?

 

-Michael

Tue, 09/15/2009 - 15:11 | 70057 Anonymous
Anonymous's picture

I would think that a horrible holiday season might do it, but they're able to spend/ignore all kinds of bad news, so....

Tue, 09/15/2009 - 13:58 | 69955 curbyourrisk
curbyourrisk's picture

Glenn Beck gonna spill some news today.

Tue, 09/15/2009 - 13:58 | 69957 Hondo
Hondo's picture

When this market caps out I hope all these idiot PM's buying this crap with no valuation and supposedly as fiduciaries are sued personally for incompetence.

Tue, 09/15/2009 - 14:06 | 69959 Gordon_Gekko
Gordon_Gekko's picture

Looks like the Chinese read ZH too...Gold blasted past $1002.50 a few minutes after I posted this comment. LOL!

So Mr. Vitaliy Kat-whatever-the-f--k-it-is, you didn't forget to buy Gold, DID YOU? It just gave me more gains than all the cash-flow-income-yielding-bullshit-paper-assets I and my family have EVER owned.

Tue, 09/15/2009 - 14:02 | 69966 Anonymous
Anonymous's picture

What happen to those massive put buyers on WFC with OCT 26's. CRUSHED

Tue, 09/15/2009 - 16:01 | 70121 Anonymous
Anonymous's picture

Oct 16th is a long way off, friend.

Tue, 09/15/2009 - 14:41 | 70013 Anonymous
Anonymous's picture

My big question is: how ugly will things get when everyone rushes to lock in their gains? You can bet more than one PM who have decent paper gains have a finger ever-present on the trigger.

Anemic market volume is no surprise: investors who got lucky by buying in around the March lows are sitting pretty as computers fondle each other and their portfolios get an erection watching the action.

Tue, 09/15/2009 - 14:46 | 70021 thetechnicaltake
thetechnicaltake's picture

Very simple strategy....take hourly chart of QQQQ; look for a statistically significant wide range price bar with the c<o; after that bar is complete then you buy next bar at open and hold until highs of down bar are reached.  It is the same idea as you are saying in the article...the market hasn't stayed down for more than hour at a time over the past many months.

Tue, 09/15/2009 - 16:47 | 70164 computertrades
computertrades's picture

That's pretty much what I observed. Just buy all dips.

good articles; good articles 4 slow news day ..http://www..
hat tip: finance news & finance opinions

Tue, 09/15/2009 - 15:18 | 70066 Cursive
Cursive's picture

It is simply hypnotic.

Tue, 09/15/2009 - 16:46 | 70159 computertrades
computertrades's picture

No actual retail volume so essentially running the stops down in the morning and then up during the day is the only way for the HFT supercomputers to make money.

good articles; good articles 4 slow news day ..http://www..
hat tip: finance news & finance opinions

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