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Next Round Of QE In England Now A Virtual Certainty

Tyler Durden's picture




In a speech before the Imperial College in London, Bank Of England Policy Committee member David Miles made it almost a  virtual certainty that Quantitative Easing will continue in England, saying it is "entirely plausible" that further QE will be appropriate. According to Market News, Miles said that the minutes of the February meeting of the MPC showed QE could yet be expanded, and said that for him the decision to keep QE unchanged at that meeting was "finely balanced".

Full Miles quote:

"It is entirely plausible that as economic events unfold it will become clear that an even more expansionary monetary policy will be appropriate," Miles said.

 "To deny such a possibility must mean that you either cannot imagine significant downside risks for economic activity and inflation - which suggests an imagination deficit disorder - or believe that monetary policy has become ineffective."

Good thing the UK is not part of the EMU, or else Miles would would be lamenting a "printer deficit disorder" a condition prevalent among the Club-med disasters formerly known as PIIGS.

And to critics of QE, Miles had just one thing to say:

"The QE policy can have beneficial effects even if the injection of additional money by the Bank of England does not, in the end, have much impact on the M4 measures of money. Less than a year since the beginning of the QE policy it is probably too early to have observed the full (or maybe even much) impact of asset purchases on the real economy. But by keeping the stock of asset purchases in place one will be letting that play through."

And this pearl of wisdom, which Miles no doubt learned from his American counteparts: "if QE facilitates corporate securities issuance to pay off bank debt or facilitates banks to issue bonds and equity capital, these would not bolster broad money growth."

So now you know why not only UBS will be correct in their estimate of the cable hitting $1.05 in the not too distant future, but why Ben Bernanke is close on Mervyn King's heels with a comparable currency suiciding announcement.




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Thu, 02/25/2010 - 17:07 | Link to Comment SDRII
SDRII's picture

 but, but greenspan said rising equity prices are "real" wealth

Thu, 02/25/2010 - 17:09 | Link to Comment Mr Lennon Hendrix
Mr Lennon Hendrix's picture

Greenspan also used to say gold was a valuable asset.  Demagogues will do anything for their NWO Masters.

Thu, 02/25/2010 - 18:49 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Thu, 02/25/2010 - 17:08 | Link to Comment Mr Lennon Hendrix
Mr Lennon Hendrix's picture

They started the mess that is global economics, and now they will finish it, in hopes that the phoenix will be reborn.  Brown wants new currencies (global), and more global regulations.  The Anglo-American Empire is ushering in the New World Order with great speed!

Thu, 02/25/2010 - 17:19 | Link to Comment Divided States ...
Divided States of America's picture

They should rename the British Pound the British Ounce.

Thu, 02/25/2010 - 17:26 | Link to Comment Mr Lennon Hendrix
Mr Lennon Hendrix's picture

haha, and change Great Britain to just, Britain.

Thu, 02/25/2010 - 18:06 | Link to Comment economessed
economessed's picture

and the farthing to the far-out thing.

Thu, 02/25/2010 - 20:01 | Link to Comment scaleindependent
scaleindependent's picture

No, the farthing should be changed to that fart-thing.

Fri, 02/26/2010 - 03:56 | Link to Comment faustian bargain
faustian bargain's picture

the shilling to the shill?

Thu, 02/25/2010 - 20:14 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Thu, 02/25/2010 - 17:08 | Link to Comment masterinchancery
masterinchancery's picture

Holy crap--better to destroy the currency and eventually default than to destroy the temporary illusion of prosperity in the City.

Thu, 02/25/2010 - 17:26 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Thu, 02/25/2010 - 17:09 | Link to Comment Artful_Dodger
Artful_Dodger's picture

Got to save house prices somehow. The UK is being propped up until the Olympics is over.

Thu, 02/25/2010 - 17:14 | Link to Comment AnonymousMonetarist
AnonymousMonetarist's picture

Fail Britannia ... Londonistan calling

Thu, 02/25/2010 - 17:25 | Link to Comment Shameful
Shameful's picture

Good, now hopefully King can really put the pedal to the metal. I would love to see the pound on par with the dollar, but King has his work cut out for him. Maybe if the UK melts down the USA will decide to not follow their lead.

Thu, 02/25/2010 - 18:39 | Link to Comment House Atreides
House Atreides's picture

This is awful. Having to short your own currency to make sure you won't have to buy bread with money you carried to the bakers in a wheelbarrow.

Thu, 02/25/2010 - 18:49 | Link to Comment Shameful
Shameful's picture

We're all racing to the bottom. I don't like it I just don't want to be the one to hit the pavement first, so I root for "Someone else!". I still am intellectually interested what will happen with a hyperinflation in a digital currency. It is something new facing the world after all.

Also love the avatar and name, big Dune fan.

Fri, 02/26/2010 - 09:36 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Fri, 02/26/2010 - 10:41 | Link to Comment Shameful
Shameful's picture

I was not even thinking of dealing large numbers.  My thought was we might see the dropping off of digits in the currency to happen like in Zimbabwe, but would be even easier in a digital currency.  You would wake up one morning to find that your bank has knocked 3 digits off the end of your account and the money has been revalued.  Though when this cycles starts those digits will rapidly turn up again and then be removed and add until the nightmare finally ends at some point.

Thu, 02/25/2010 - 17:34 | Link to Comment G. Marx
G. Marx's picture

 

Paul McCartney - The Pound Is Sinking (1982)

Precient

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=njbXGlzTNaY

Thu, 02/25/2010 - 18:08 | Link to Comment john_connor
john_connor's picture

UK is screwed; nothing to see here.

Cog, I don't know if you are out there, but based on the way this wave is scaling up and the fractal equivalency to the prior early Feb. drop, I think we may be looking at a 140-160 point haircut on the SnP within the next 3-5 trading days.  Sheer ugliness.

I know that is bold but that is what I am seeing.

Thu, 02/25/2010 - 19:01 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Thu, 02/25/2010 - 21:54 | Link to Comment john_connor
john_connor's picture

I'll call an up wave if I see it.  I just see carnage right now, that's all.  It may take another day or so to develop and actually the time frame could expand to maybe 2-3 weeks, but the price targets seem about right.  Should be interesting.

Thu, 02/25/2010 - 18:13 | Link to Comment A Man without Q...
A Man without Qualities's picture

They have no option but to keep this option available to face the threat of bond vigilantes.  Sterling stealth devaluation will be the consequence.  

It is wise to remember that the FTSE gets about 70% of earnings from overseas, so it's the price in US Dollar that really matters. 

Thu, 02/25/2010 - 18:45 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Thu, 02/25/2010 - 18:52 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Thu, 02/25/2010 - 18:55 | Link to Comment Yophat
Yophat's picture

Rep. Brad Sherman, California Democrat, asked Mr. Bernanke directly whether the Fed would consider such a strategy, especially since IMF officials endorsed it.

"We're not going to monetize the debt," Mr. Bernanke declared flatly, stressing that Congress needs to start making plans to bring down the deficit to avoid such a dangerous dilemma for the Fed.

"It is very, very important for Congress and administration to come to some kind of program, some kind of plan that will credibly show how the United States government is going to bring itself back to a sustainable position."

http://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2010/feb/25/bernanke-delivers-warnin...

Thu, 02/25/2010 - 19:49 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Thu, 02/25/2010 - 21:11 | Link to Comment Yophat
Yophat's picture

Bernanke hasn't monetized anything....all he's done is orchestrate a game of musical chairs where paper was exchanged (MBS for cash) or exchanged liability positions (GSE bondholders for taxpayers).  Show me the printed money!

Thu, 02/25/2010 - 21:25 | Link to Comment saturno_v
saturno_v's picture

 

Hello?? Anybody home???

QE is money printing by definition. Taking trash (MBS) for cash is money printing.

Fri, 04/16/2010 - 14:49 | Link to Comment Yophat
Yophat's picture

You can call it whatever you want.....when it hits the street....then I'll call it money printing!  Until then deflation, deflation, deflation!!!

Thu, 02/25/2010 - 22:00 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Thu, 02/25/2010 - 18:59 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Thu, 02/25/2010 - 19:12 | Link to Comment BlackBeard
BlackBeard's picture

Drivel. 

Thu, 02/25/2010 - 19:37 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Thu, 02/25/2010 - 19:40 | Link to Comment Stuart
Stuart's picture

it's an absolute certainty this would not have been decided without discussions with the Fed and clear evidence that the Fed will be following suit.   

Thu, 02/25/2010 - 19:41 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Thu, 02/25/2010 - 21:00 | Link to Comment Crime of the Century
Crime of the Century's picture

Time to ditch the "sterling" and upgrade from 92.5 to 99.9 fine

Thu, 02/25/2010 - 21:19 | Link to Comment Miles Kendig
Miles Kendig's picture

Please do not confuse the ideas and solutions espoused by that Miles with this one.  That Miles continues to support what is, in its essence, a policy of continuing to smoke opium because the risks of attempting to move beyond addiction would be too painful to bear, most especially for those who find themselves codependent with the addict.  In this Miles's solution is to not only sustain the addicts addiction, but to permit the addict to steal and otherwise destroy our property and vocation all in the name of stability for the addict.

Fri, 02/26/2010 - 10:04 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Fri, 02/26/2010 - 12:04 | Link to Comment jmc8888
jmc8888's picture

Exactly not just extended, but EXPANDED. 

 

Then of course when the crap finally comes to light how bad off the Inter-Alpha group is doing, we'll be right back in the Greece/Dubai boat once again but it'll be Spain/Brazil/U.K. that's on the chopping block, and their troubles are much, much bigger.

 

 

Fri, 04/16/2010 - 11:09 | Link to Comment Tom123456
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