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This Is Not The Inflation You Are Looking For

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Because one chart is worth a thousand Fed Chairman press conferences...

Courtesy of Sean Corrigan of Diapason

 

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Fri, 05/13/2011 - 10:43 | 1271677 spelledwrong
spelledwrong's picture
This Is Not The Inflation You Are Looking For

 

That's ok. We were looking for droids anyway.

Fri, 05/13/2011 - 10:42 | 1271688 centerline
centerline's picture

Charts looks like that of a harmonic instability heading towards destruction.  Tacoma Narrow Bridge analogy...

Fri, 05/13/2011 - 14:43 | 1272465 Smartie37
Smartie37's picture

My sentiments exactly -  along with:

 

Lookout !  She's gonna blow !

 

Let's get outta here ! 

 

But how...the door's bolted from the outside !

 

 

Fri, 05/13/2011 - 17:04 | 1273000 css1971
css1971's picture

Yup.

We're fucked.

 

God damned economists should be required to take engineering maths.

 

Fri, 05/13/2011 - 10:46 | 1271708 gkm
gkm's picture

Given the lack of jobs and wage growth in the US, this would only be inflation if say some banks with a bunch of toxic crap put that crap to the Fed in exchange for treasuries which they then sold to  joe idiot so that they could buy a bunch of commodity/equity positions in which they manipulated the market higher at their whim.  But that would never happen.

Fri, 05/13/2011 - 10:52 | 1271719 unununium
unununium's picture

The frequency of the Thomas Jefferson inflation/deflation cycles has merely increased.

Oscillation is the new "up".  Oscillation is the new "down".

 

Fri, 05/13/2011 - 10:54 | 1271726 Muir
Muir's picture

How many ways can I say this?

BTFDs!!!

It's an awesome day to buy silver!

 

Fri, 05/13/2011 - 10:56 | 1271728 Muir
Muir's picture

General Grievous: Time to abandon ship. 
 

Fri, 05/13/2011 - 11:07 | 1271787 divide_by_zero
divide_by_zero's picture

My expectations are well anchored.

Fri, 05/13/2011 - 12:07 | 1271946 Havana White
Havana White's picture

Input, please? Opinions on the better bet for 6 month timeframe... short financials or short long bond? (Other short/long considerations aside.)

Fri, 05/13/2011 - 14:15 | 1272382 slewie the pi-rat
slewie the pi-rat's picture

reflation.  in slewienomics, this is called the green stamp oscillator.  by oster.

you are getting sleeeeepy.  you can hear my voiiiice.  this is under controoool.

PMs = no counterparties.  got sleep?

Fri, 05/13/2011 - 14:17 | 1272399 iamtheBernank
iamtheBernank's picture

clearly just a transitory affect that has nothing to do with the benign asset swap activities undertaken to save the universe, surely a worthy cause you'll agree....

 

Fri, 05/13/2011 - 16:46 | 1272924 TK7936
TK7936's picture
This Is Not The Inflation I am Looking For
Fri, 05/13/2011 - 17:02 | 1272984 css1971
css1971's picture

Yay! That looks like the feedback loop is getting stronger.

Force it some more Ben! Go on, You Know It Makes Sense!

I love exponentials they make such stable systems.

 

 

"The answer you entered for the CAPTCHA was not correct."

Yes it was. Your captcha can't add up.

Sat, 05/14/2011 - 06:09 | 1273936 uformula
uformula's picture

That's just lovely! (British Accent)

Sat, 05/14/2011 - 11:14 | 1274131 cranky-old-geezer
cranky-old-geezer's picture

It's important to understand the difference between monetary inflation / deflation and prices rising / falling. 

If QE stops we won't see monetary deflation (shrinking the money supply).  Stopping QE would stop further expansion of the money supply, but it wouldn't shrink what's already there.

If QE stops we'll see falling prices on treasury securities, MBS, and similar financial securities, because there's no more flow of cheap / free money from the Fed to buy them.  That's not deflation.  It's falling prices.  And its due to collapse of demand, not shrinking money supply.

Stocks will level off because there's no more flow of cheap / free money from the Fed to pump stock prices higher. 

If stock prices fall it would be from collapse of confidence, not shrinking money supply. 

An extreme example of the difference between monetary inflation / deflation and prices rising / falling is the housing market.  During QE we see the money supply increasing (inflation) and home prices falling from collapse of demand  exceeding the rate of money supply expansion.

If the money supply is increasing 10% per year (10% inflation) but demand for homes is collapsing 30% per year, we would see home prices falling 20% per year more or less.

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