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Nuclear Sabotage In Iran?

Tyler Durden's picture




 

The spy novels just keep on coming. The latest one comes courtesy of the FT which speculates that due to numerous delays and technical setbacks in Iran's nuclear program, it could have been the target of sabotage. "A series of recent reverses, notably affecting Iran’s ability to enrich uranium, is prompting debate over whether the programme is being undermined by sabotage, sanctions, or the incompetence of the regime’s scientists." Of course, while the latter is most likely the correct answer, the fact that the FT is floating this story now is cause for concern. The reason: Iran will likely not take too kindly to even mere speculation that its control structure is weak enough to allows spies to interfere with its identity-defining and critical nuclear program.

More from the FT:

In the past year, a dramatic reduction has taken place in the number of centrifuges enriching uranium at the regime’s nuclear plant in Natanz.

In May 2009, the International Atomic Energy Agency said there were 4,920 operational centrifuges. Twelve months later the IAEA stated that Iran was running only 3,936, a reduction of 20 per cent.

Iran also appears to be having difficulties on other fronts. Ivan Oelrich, of the Federation of American Scientists, said the centrifuges were only working at 20 per cent efficiency. The latest IAEA report says that 4,592 centrifuges are installed at Natanz – but are sitting idle and doing nothing at all.

Some security analysts see this as evidence of covert sabotage by western intelligence agencies. “There are signs that there has been a concerted intelligence operation which is able to debilitate and set back the Iranian programme,” says one academic, speaking on condition of anonymity. “It is not foolproof. But a large number of Iranian centrifuges have crashed and up to half have had to be replaced in recent times. This success didn’t happen entirely accidentally.”

Oddly, the FT also recognizes that a far more innocent alterantive may be in play here:

Others are less willing to give western intelligence total credit.
“Nothing we know can rule out sabotage and clearly something fishy is
going on,” says Mr Oelrich. “But just because there is sabotage does not
rule out the possibility that the Iranians are also grossly
incompetent.”

Iran, to be sure, is not too happy about such talk of sabotage:

Iran insists talk of sabotage is western propaganda. “I strongly deny Iran’s nuclear programme is sabotaged. This is a media war to suggest the Islamic Republic is dependent on foreign help,” says Kazem Jalali, a member of the Iranian parliament’s foreign policy and national security committee. “Our nuclear programme is 100 per cent localised. We do not need to stretch our hands to the world markets.”

However, some security analysts are confident that an international sabotage operation is having an effect. “The central question in international diplomacy is whether Iran will acquire the bomb or whether Iran will be bombed,” says the academic. “This is not a question that western leaders are having to worry about in the coming weeks and months. This may well be because of the effectiveness of concerted intelligence operations.”

Certainly an odd timing for this kind of article coming out in a major newspaper. And just to keep the middle class audience on their toes, and unconcerned about the fact that the politicos and the bankers of any given developed country are doing far greater damage to their welfare than Iran ever could, the FT has provided the following pretty picture describing all the lay person needs to know about enrichment.

Let the Beastie Boys lyrics trickle down.

 

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Thu, 07/22/2010 - 15:18 | 484117 RichardP
RichardP's picture

Interesting to see this.  About 18 months ago I saw an administration spy type talking with Charlie Rose.  Charlie tried to draw him into a discussion about bombing Iran.  The guest's calm and coherent and detailed response was that there was no need to bomb the facilities - because it was easier to influence the producers of the parts for the nuclear facilites.  The guest stated firmly, did not speculate, that the nuclear facilities issue would be properly dealt with by making certain that defective parts were incorporated into the facilities buildouts.  I was surprised that he was saying such a thing publicly, as it would give Iran unnecessary notice to be careful with its suppliers.  It occured to me that he was sowing misinformation.  Maybe not.  This is is the first time since then I have seen anything coroborating what the guest said.  (I can't remember his name or position held - other than it was intelligence-related.)

Thu, 07/22/2010 - 15:30 | 484156 carbonmutant
carbonmutant's picture

Well, that and a little black ops...

Fri, 07/23/2010 - 03:36 | 485016 Testicular Cancer
Testicular Cancer's picture

They put a computer virus in some printer that took down most of the Iraqi air defense in the first Gulf War. They probably did something similar.

Another thought in a similar vein. You know, selling American weapons to unfriendly countries has its advantages. We know how to circumvent our own equipment!

Thu, 09/09/2010 - 03:05 | 571221 qrs521
qrs521's picture

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Fri, 07/23/2010 - 10:28 | 485242 TBT or not TBT
TBT or not TBT's picture

The iranian scientists could themselves choose to subtly sabotage the operation.

German scientists working on the failed and misdirected Nazi A-bomb project did the same, in order to deny the regime the weapon.

In any case, it is unlikely the scientists and engineers working on this are incompetent, if the Iranian engineers or scientists working in the United States are anything to go by.  

And let's keep in mind that the U.S. succeeded with its very first U-235 based bomb test over Hiroshima in 1945, 65 frickin' years ago.    Yeah, the U-235 based bomb was never tested before being used as a weapon.  That's how sure they were it would work, in frickin 1945.   It's not that hard.   Science and engineering tools they didn't have yet in the 1940's...couldn't have yet because the transistor and a dozen other inventions weren't existing yet....are ordinary over the counter stuff now, even for the triggers and timing and shaped explosives needed for the much more difficult plutonium bomb type that every advanced nuclear power uses.   Plutonium is a hell of a lot easier to isolate and purify once you have the means of producing it (breeder reactor, or gift, or black market purchase).   Maybe Iran has some bombs based on that, for what it worth, and the U-235 purification story is misdirection.   At that point, they'd have no need of keeping all the centrifuges busy.   Just a thought, while we are being paranoid ZH nutters.

Thu, 07/22/2010 - 15:13 | 484121 Dr. No
Dr. No's picture

I cant stand it I know you planned it.

Thu, 07/22/2010 - 19:49 | 484677 themosmitsos
themosmitsos's picture

you've got all sorts of proper training, don'tcha? you've got mucho macho, don'tcha? :p ;)

Thu, 07/22/2010 - 15:22 | 484130 Popo
Popo's picture

Crappy diagram. Probably intentional, for security reasons.  Btw -- the diagram shown above isn't really a standard gas centrifuge, but a Zippe centrifuge, which was the model used in Pakistan by A.Q. Khan.  The oval paths which the diagram makes no effort to describe are the Zippe's heat-convection currents caused from a heat-source down below which they also forgot to mention -- this moves the slurry up the sides of the cent casing.  ...And the "bottom" scoop pulls from the central axis not the perimeter as shown. 

 

 

 

 

Thu, 07/22/2010 - 15:23 | 484136 Dr. No
Dr. No's picture

Here come the black helicopters.

Thu, 07/22/2010 - 15:25 | 484145 Popo
Popo's picture

Nothing you can't learn in any library... or wikipedia for that matter....

Thu, 07/22/2010 - 15:44 | 484187 Dantzler
Dantzler's picture

Thanks, I was puzzling over that graphic as well...

Thu, 07/22/2010 - 16:10 | 484258 Cincitucky
Cincitucky's picture

Your commoner won't question the diagram.  They'll believe its contents only because its distributed by a major publisher.

Example of those rusty wheels grinding in their head via Facebook:

"Yo dawg chx out dis news about Iran buildin Nux...  Dooches, Im's all bout it to NUX 'em wit A-bmbs up the a$$."

Thu, 07/22/2010 - 16:35 | 484318 Monkey Craig
Monkey Craig's picture

well said

Thu, 07/22/2010 - 15:23 | 484141 Mactheknife
Mactheknife's picture

"Damn, dis nuclear engineering chit is hard."

Thu, 07/22/2010 - 15:25 | 484147 Cognitive Dissonance
Cognitive Dissonance's picture

I wonder why no one talks about Israel's stockpile of nuclear material or efforts to enrich or build bombs and delivery devices? I mean, we don't wish to see the Middle East region destabilized by the introduction of nuclear weapons, do we? I'm curious why no one in the MSM is discussing this obvious double standard.

Just askin'

Thu, 07/22/2010 - 15:31 | 484157 Popo
Popo's picture

If we're worried about proliferation -- let's remember the single most important fact:  Pakistan *is* a proliferator.  They gave the tech to North Korea *and* Iran.   Why be concerned with what might happen?  Pakistan is already doing it.

Thu, 07/22/2010 - 15:48 | 484198 CrockettAlmanac.com
CrockettAlmanac.com's picture

US Secretary of State Clinton unveils Pakistan aid

US Secretary of State Hillary Clinton has announced a raft of new Pakistan aid projects worth $500m (£328m).

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-south-asia-10680501

Thu, 07/22/2010 - 15:58 | 484221 Commander Cody
Commander Cody's picture

We assist in the proliferation provided by Pakistan.  Any questions?

Thu, 07/22/2010 - 15:32 | 484160 Overleveraged_a...
Overleveraged_and_Impatient's picture

Israel = good guys

Iran = bad guys

MSM would need us not know further

Thu, 07/22/2010 - 15:57 | 484220 BobWatNorCal
BobWatNorCal's picture

Isreal/good guys,  Iran/bad guys. Sure.

Also, Israel has bomb, has not used it.

Iran does not have bomb, asserts it will use it.

Thu, 07/22/2010 - 16:01 | 484233 ozziindaus
ozziindaus's picture

Iran has never claimed to want a bomb. And as for obliterating Israel, see this.

http://www.informationclearinghouse.info/article16218.htm

Thu, 07/22/2010 - 16:23 | 484283 CrockettAlmanac.com
CrockettAlmanac.com's picture

Iran does not have bomb, asserts it will use it.

 

Do you have any documentation to support that accusation other than the often  misquoted statement by Mr. Imadinnerjacket?

Thu, 07/22/2010 - 15:33 | 484164 Max Hunter
Max Hunter's picture

Well CD.. that's the first time I can say I think you are lying.. You don't "wonder why".. we both know the answer to your posed anomaly.

Thu, 07/22/2010 - 15:44 | 484189 Cognitive Dissonance
Cognitive Dissonance's picture

Oops, forgot the <sarcasm> tag. :>)

So does sarcasm count as lying?

Thu, 07/22/2010 - 15:56 | 484216 Nihilarian
Nihilarian's picture

Do tell...

Thu, 07/22/2010 - 16:07 | 484247 Max Hunter
Max Hunter's picture

LOL..  do you have any idea how many people would rather you did not reply with that?..

AIPAC... there you go.. That will keep you busy for a while..  It's just a warm up though..

Kinda like the "golden rule".. those with the gold, make the rules.. goldman?? silverstein??  stuff like that.. :>)

Thu, 07/22/2010 - 17:01 | 484335 Nihilarian
Nihilarian's picture

With that logic you can conclude that a Jew sunk the Titanic.

Thu, 07/22/2010 - 18:17 | 484521 Max Hunter
Max Hunter's picture

and with that logic, you may appeal to idiots.. But not to people that are well informed using objectivity and suppressed incredulity.

Fri, 07/23/2010 - 05:05 | 485024 luigi
luigi's picture

OTOH, "Iceberg" doesn't exactly sound like an arian name...

Sat, 07/24/2010 - 02:06 | 486544 RichardP
RichardP's picture

Wasn't there some arian singer with white hair named "Ice"?  Maybe short for "Iceberg"?

Thu, 07/22/2010 - 16:07 | 484248 almost_have_a_name
almost_have_a_name's picture

The number of people that died before the atom bomb was invented, on a yearly basis, was 10 times the number we have today. Atom's for peace, really. 

There is another motive, besides peace, to exclude them from the thunder-stick club.

 

 

Thu, 07/22/2010 - 16:30 | 484301 DosZap
DosZap's picture

CD,

Simple, with over 400 known Tactical Nukes,(we know of) that they have had for YEARS, besides, Izzy would never use them, unless it were a matter of SURVIVAL.

Thu, 07/22/2010 - 16:59 | 484369 bonddude
bonddude's picture

xxx

Thu, 07/22/2010 - 17:14 | 484397 hangemhigh
hangemhigh's picture

Yo, we be pumpin' up the jam with them AshkeNazic Nukes, Bitches..............

Thu, 07/22/2010 - 15:26 | 484148 carbonmutant
carbonmutant's picture

I'm a sucker for infographics...

Thu, 07/22/2010 - 16:33 | 484307 Cognitive Dissonance
Cognitive Dissonance's picture

So is that how your wife/husband snagged you?

carbonmutant's spouse: "Dear, look at these pretty infographics." (Checks that carbonmutants eyes have rolled back into head) "Now sign these marriage licenses here and here and here. And the pre-nup giving me everything you own, sign here and here." :>)

Thu, 07/22/2010 - 17:01 | 484374 carbonmutant
carbonmutant's picture

I believe there was some engraving involved...

Thu, 07/22/2010 - 15:43 | 484184 Tarheel
Tarheel's picture

i bet that chart increased the Iranians knowledge tenfold

Thu, 07/22/2010 - 15:46 | 484186 Segestan
Segestan's picture

Iran can't build thier own oil refineries without western genius,  let alone develop nuclear devices. It is the western innovative genius and knowhow,  that has brought the rest of the world out of darkness. This is why China has one million working in industry as spies,  in just Germany.

Thu, 07/22/2010 - 15:53 | 484208 CrockettAlmanac.com
CrockettAlmanac.com's picture

"The world" has been "brought out of darkness" many times in the course of human history. There was a time when the Persians brought the world out of darkness and there was a time when China brought the world out of darkness.

The west seems curiously bent on plunging the world into darkness these days.

Thu, 07/22/2010 - 16:22 | 484278 Heavy
Heavy's picture

+1

Thu, 07/22/2010 - 16:34 | 484314 DosZap
DosZap's picture

Crockett,

"The west "seems curiously bent on plunging the world into darkness these days".

Not really, JUST the WEST into darkness..................nada curious about it, when you see the playa's, and know the End Game.

 


 

 

Thu, 07/22/2010 - 16:08 | 484251 cyberseer
cyberseer's picture

wtf are you talkinga bout? Persia is the country which gave Europe the Reneissance. Do some reading will you?

Thu, 07/22/2010 - 16:28 | 484297 Canoe Driver
Canoe Driver's picture

Segestan

  Sorry, but there is very little "western genius" left, and some of the smartest people in American engineering programs, at top ten universties, are Iranian.  I, in case you are prone to drawing reactionary conclusions, am not.

Thu, 07/22/2010 - 15:46 | 484193 Pez
Pez's picture

They were asking for Yellow cake! YELLOW CAKE I tell ya! (for their kids birthday).

Thu, 07/22/2010 - 15:54 | 484199 Pez
Pez's picture

FT= They have people every where = MI6 and 7/8ths = disinformation

Thu, 07/22/2010 - 16:06 | 484224 Pez
Pez's picture

LOL! Qty needed  = 30,000,000. Oh and about a dozen crystal skulls.

 

Send to:

Ahma Dinnerjacket

Uraniumville, Iran

Thu, 07/22/2010 - 16:09 | 484253 almost_have_a_name
almost_have_a_name's picture

If you visit Utah, don't bring back any black rocks. If you do, don't put them under your pillow.

Thu, 07/22/2010 - 16:34 | 484313 Cognitive Dissonance
Cognitive Dissonance's picture

LOL

Speaking from (bad) experience? :>)

Thu, 07/22/2010 - 18:22 | 484529 Pez
Pez's picture

Pet rocks? From Utah making a come back!

Thu, 07/22/2010 - 17:03 | 484380 carbonmutant
carbonmutant's picture

How much for the concentrator?

Thu, 07/22/2010 - 22:15 | 484842 palmereldritch
palmereldritch's picture

Brilliant.  From the ' Customers Who Viewed This Item Also Viewed' section:

I don't know what's more intriguing...

the President Barack Obama as Star Wars Jedi Collectible Action Figure - Purple Lightsaber
http://www.amazon.com/President-Barack-Collectible-Action-Figure/dp/B002...

or the Inflatable Toast
http://www.amazon.com/Inflatable-Toast/dp/B0016CSBS4/ref=pd_sbs_indust_22

lol

 

 

Thu, 07/22/2010 - 16:05 | 484243 cyberseer
cyberseer's picture

So the FT's whole article is based on the reduction in number of centrofuges? Did someone ever stop to think that Iran's official strategy is one of DECENTRALIZING their activities so they can be less vulnerable to bombing?

Dumb propaganda by the FT once again.

Thu, 07/22/2010 - 16:50 | 484347 Hephasteus
Hephasteus's picture

Once you go into nuclear bomb business your black. You can't work anywhere else. It's stupid. Scientists shouldn't even consider it. It's like implanting a dick bomb into yourself and giving your wife the detonator.

That being said I heard this centrifuge is run entirely on those 20" wheels that keep on spinning after you stop.

Thu, 07/22/2010 - 17:20 | 484407 StarvingLion
StarvingLion's picture

History of Enrichment

Calutron: (1940's) mass spectrometer that ionized the uranium and used magnetic fields to filter out the uranium-235

Gaseous Diffusion: Forces uranium hexafluoride through semipermeable mem-
branes

Centrifuge: (1960's) Dramatically decreased the energy required

Laser Excitation: (TODAY!!!) Shit, you can do this in a small warehouse and doesn't use more electricity than 12 homes.  Its 15x more efficient than gas centrifuge.  Try to detect that!!!Hahahaha.  This is what I do for kicks.

Thu, 07/22/2010 - 23:01 | 484882 Hephasteus
Hephasteus's picture

Ya but it's a pain hammering the uranium into flat disks so you can stick it into your dvd burner.

Thu, 07/22/2010 - 18:14 | 484514 geopol
geopol's picture


Obama Is Preparing to Bomb Iran

After about two and a half years during which the danger of war between the United States and Iran was at a relatively low level, this threat is now rapidly increasing. A pattern of political and diplomatic events, military deployments, and media chatter now indicates that Anglo-American ruling circles, acting through the troubled Obama administration, are currently gearing up for a campaign of bombing against Iran, combined with special forces incursions designed to stir up rebellions among the non-Persian nationalities of the Islamic Republic. Naturally, the probability of a new fake Gulf of Tonkin incident or false flag terror attack staged by the Anglo-American war party and attributed to Iran or its proxies is also growing rapidly.

The moment in the recent past when the US came closest to attacking Iran was August-September 2007, at about the time of the major Israeli bombing raid on Syria.1 This was the phase during which the Cheney faction in effect hijacked a fully loaded B-52 bomber equipped with six nuclear-armed cruise missiles, and attempted to take it to the Middle East outside of the command and control of the Pentagon, presumably to be used in a colossal provocation designed by the private rogue network for which Cheney was the visible face. A few days before the B-52 escaped control of legally constituted US authorities, a group of antiwar activists issued The Kennebunkport Warning of August 24-25, 2007, which had been drafted by the present writer.2 It was very significant that US institutional forces acted at that time to prevent the rogue B-52 from proceeding on its way towards the Middle East. The refusal to let the rogue B-52 take off reflected a growing consensus in the US military-intelligence community and the ruling elite in general that the Bush-Cheney-neocon policy of direct military aggression towards all comers had become counterproductive and very dangerous, running the risk of a terminal case of imperial overstretch.

A prominent spokesman for the growing disaffection with the neocons was Zbigniew Brzezinski, who had been a national security director in the Carter administration. Brzezinski argued that no more direct military attacks by the United States should be made for the time being, and that US policy should rather focus on playing off other states against each other, while the US remained somewhat aloof. Brzezinski’s model was always his own successful playing of the Soviet Union against Afghanistan in 1979, leading to the collapse of the Soviet empire a decade later. A centerpiece of Brzezinski’s argument was evidently the claim that color revolutions on the model of Ukraine 2004 were much a better tool than the costly and dangerous US bombing and US invasion always championed by the monomaniacal neocons. There was clearly an implication that Brzezinski could deliver a color revolution in Iran, as he had done in Ukraine.

Brzezinski’s Nightmare of 2007 Is Back

Brzezinski formulated his critique of the neocon methods of aggression and imperialistic geopolitics in his testimony before the Senate Foreign Relations Committee in February 2007, going so far as to point out the likely scenario of a false flag event or Gulf of Tonkin incident designed to embroil the United States in direct military hostilities with Iran. The heart of Brzezinski’s analysis was this: ‘If the United States continues to be bogged down in a protracted bloody involvement in Iraq, the final destination on this downhill track is likely to be a head-on conflict with Iran and with much of the world of Islam at large. A plausible scenario for a military collision with Iran involves Iraqi failure to meet the benchmarks; followed by accusations of Iranian responsibility for the failure; then by some provocation in Iraq or a terrorist act in the U.S. blamed on Iran; culminating in a “defensive” U.S. military action against Iran that plunges a lonely America into a spreading and deepening quagmire eventually ranging across Iraq, Iran, Afghanistan, and Pakistan.’ 3 Today we could add Lebanon and Syria to that list, plus perhaps Yemen, Somalia, Sudan, and some others in central Asia.

The factors contributing to the current increased danger level include three major trends:

The CIA’s Green Movement in Iran Has Fizzled

I. The US sponsored Green Movement in Iran has now demonstrably failed in its project of overthrowing the Achmadinejad government. Back in 2006-2007, the Brzezinski-Nye-Trilateral “soft power” or “smart power” group attacked the stupidity of the neocon plan for a direct US military attack on Iran by pointing out the opportunities for staging a color revolution in Iran, just as the Brzezinski faction had successfully staged the Orange Revolution to install NATO puppets in Ukraine. Why attack Iran directly, argued Brzezinski and his friends, when a US puppet regime in Teheran could be used against Russia and China in much the same way these same people had played Afghanistan against the Soviet Union, with catastrophic results of the latter. The apex of these subversion efforts came in June 2009, with the so-called Twitter Revolution, which was celebrated with hysterical gloating in the Anglo-American media. The Mousavi-Rafsanjani faction left no doubt about its CIA and MI-6 parentage with its signature chant of “Death to Russia, Death to China.” The illusion of an easy coup in Iran has died hard in Washington and London. But by June 2010, the impotence of the Green forces in Iran had become evident. Hillary Clinton is even complaining that Achmadinejad now represents a military-backed government which has marginalized the mullahs, whom the US has demonized in public but privately relied on to prevent the economic modernization of Iran. This gives rise to the tendency to fall back on the previous neocon plan for some combination of direct military attack by Israel and the United States, combined with escalated subversion efforts among the Baluchis, Azeris, Arabs, Turkmen, and Kurds of Iran.

Russian Policy Now Uncertain

II. During the time that the neocons were attempting to launch aggression against Iran, that task was rendered much more difficult by pervasive uncertainty about the possible reaction of Russia. One of the targets of any bombing campaign against Iran would necessarily be the Bushehr nuclear reactor, being built by Russian technicians. Neocon war planners had to worry about events like the visit to Tehran of Russian President Vladimir Putin on October 16, 2007. During the Putin era, Russian media and figures like General Leonid Ivashov took the lead in calling attention to suddenly increases in US-UK war preparations, as in the case of Operation Byte, the attack on Iran proposed for Good Friday, April 6, 2007.4 While it was thought very unlikely that Russia would risk general war as a result of an attack on Iran, there remained nevertheless the question as to what Russia actually would do. This dangerous uncertainty was a very serious obstacle for the pro-war agitation by the neocons.

In this way, Putin was able to make a decisive contribution to the maintenance of world peace during the years after 9/11. As of mid-2010, it would appear that the foreign policy of Russian President Medvedev is momentarily evolving away from the fierce independence and Russian nationalism championed by Putin, and is placing more value on projects of cooperation with the NATO countries, sometimes obtained by unilateral concessions to the US. Part of this can be ascribed to the increasing influence of the free market ideologue Anatoly Chubais, the architect of the nomenklatura privatization of Soviet state property during the 1990s, whose concept of the modernization of the Russian economy depends very heavily on information technology, in which he portrays the United States as being in the lead. Newsweek has reported the approval of a new foreign policy outline drafted by the Russian foreign ministry which has allegedly gained provisional approval by President Medvedev. This document is entitled “Program for the Effective Exploitation on A Systemic Basis of Foreign Policy Factors for the Purposes of the Long-Term Development of the Russian Federation.” 5 The main immediate effect of the reported new Russian policy is the apparent willingness of the Kremlin to make important foreign policy concessions to the United States with very minimal returns. This in turn means that key unknowns surrounding a US attack on Iran have become less of a concern for the resurgent neocon war faction in Washington. This adds up to a situation in which an attack on Iran is now more likely.

The Us-Uk Hedge Fund Blitzkrieg Against the Euro Falters

III. It is a grave error to imagine that normal relations with the Anglo-American financiers can be obtained in the current world depression through conciliatory behavior. The US-UK are experiencing cataclysmic instability in the form of a financial breakdown crisis, and this crisis impels these powers towards irrational, adventuristic, and aggressive behavior. A key lesson of the 1930s is that, when imperialist financier elites are faced by a disintegration of their fictitious speculative bubbles, they often respond with strategic flights forward of the most lunatic sort. In the wake of the 2007-2008 disintegration of the Anglo-American banking system, the New York and London elites have shown signs of going collectively bonkers, although these clinical tendencies have been primarily expressed in the area of their reactionary domestic socioeconomic policies. The specific form assumed by this tendency after the second half of 2008 involves the severe weakening of the US dollar as the world reserve currency by the creation of a $24 trillion credit line by the Federal Reserve, US Treasury, and FDIC for the purpose of bailing out the Wall Street zombie banks. This tidal wave of dollars led to a severe weakening of the US greenback on international markets during most of the second half of 2009. In late 2009 and early 2010 a group of Anglo-American hedge funds around Soros, Paulson, David Einhorn, and others launched a speculative attack against the government bonds of Greece, Spain, and Portugal, with the goal of using a crisis in the southern tier of the euro to bring on a panic flight of hot money out of the euro, thus collapsing that currency to Third World levels. Partly because of the countermeasures instituted by the German government, including the banning of naked credit default swaps on Euroland bonds and naked shorts of German stocks, and partly thanks to direct support from China, the planned Anglo-American blitzkrieg against the euro has now bogged down after eight months of effort, with the euro currently oscillating at a price of about $1.25 – $1.30. This means that, unless the city of London and Wall Street can come up with a new plan, the forces of world economic depression represented by $1.5 quadrillion of bankrupt and kited derivatives may now find a new victim, most likely in the form of either the British pound or the US dollar.

The immediate threat of a pound or dollar currency collapse is leading the ruling financier factions to reconsider a very dangerous flight forward in the form of an attack on Iran, precisely because such an aggression would likely lead to a blocking of the Straits of Hormuz or in any case to a serious disruption of one third of the world’s tanker traffic. Following the tested model of the Kippur war/oil boycott of October 1973, the US-UK financiers would bid up the price of oil to $500 or $1000 per barrel, thus creating enough demand for dollars to soak up much of the dollar overhang and prop up the greenback, at least for a time.

An Astronomical Oil Price As Salvation for The US Dollar

As Jean-Michel Vernochet of the Réseau Voltaire has pointed out, the likely Iranian retaliation for the looming attack in terms of interdicting Hormuz and the Gulf is actually built into the US-UK war plan as a positive contribution towards saving the dollar by massively driving up the price of oil, which is of course still quoted mainly in dollars.6 Energy and Capital editor Christian A. DeHaemer, an oil market analyst, commented: “The last oil price shock in the Middle East was in 1990 when the United States invaded Iraq for invading Kuwait. The price per barrel of oil went from $21 to $28 on August 6… to $46 by mid-October. The looming Iran War is not priced in,” he warned in his newsletter. Iran has the third-highest oil reserves in the world and is second only to Saudi Arabia in production. If any action prevents the flow of Iranian oil, the price of “black gold” would soar, he added.’ (IsraelNationalNews.com)

 

Playing The Arabs Against The Iranians

One important prerequisite for US aggression grows out of the Trilateral group’s strategy, starting from the Baker-Hamilton Iraq Study Group of 2006, of forming a block of the Sunni Arab nations against the Persian-speaking Iranian Shiites and their allies in the Lebanese Hezbollah and the Palestinian Hamas, as well as Syria. The Anglo-American hope for this tactic of divide and conquer is that hostility between Arabs and Persians will eclipse the more recent enmity between Jews and Arabs. “The Jews and Arabs have been fighting for one hundred years. The Arabs and the Persians have been going at (it) for a thousand,” wrote Jeffrey Goldberg on The Atlantic’s website.8

With many reports that the United Arab Emirates and Saudi Arabia are ready to support the US aggression, great importance must be attached to the current struggle over the future shape of the government of Iraq. Here The secular Shiite Allawi is a US puppet, while his rival Maliki prefers Iran. Sadr and his Mahdi army, closely linked to Iran, represent a key stumbling block for US intentions. The US requires an Iraqi puppet state which will pursue at least a pro-US neutrality in case of war, and above all prevent Iranian special forces or guerrillas from cutting the long US supply line alone Route Tampa from Kuwait City. This is why the question of the Iraqi government was so important that Vice President Biden had to make a special trip to Iraq in the vain hope of quickly setting up a suitable puppet regime there. If the Iraq army turns against US, the situation of US forces could become extraordinarily critical.

Thu, 07/22/2010 - 18:29 | 484545 Pez
Pez's picture

Hope you are wrong but insightful. If so, the war after this will be fought with stick and stones.

Thu, 07/22/2010 - 18:31 | 484550 geopol
geopol's picture

 

US Nuclear Response To Envelopment In Iraq, Afghanistan

The US naturally intends these forces to be a factor of strength in the coming conflict against Iran. There is, however, another possibility, which is that US units in Iraq, Afghanistan and elsewhere near Iran, which are widely scattered or which are operating in inaccessible areas, could be surrounded by Iranian or pro-Iranian forces, or else could have their supply lines cut by the Iranian side.66 A retired U.S. Navy captain who had served in the nuclear submarine fleet under Admiral Hyman Rickover described in a conversation with this writer on July 18 how he had at one time in his career participated in an exercise which assumed that 35,000 US troops had been cut off in or near Iran. The immediate response was the use of nuclear weapons, he recalled.

Israeli Retaliation Against Syria For Hezbollah Actions

This is not the appropriate place to offer a detailed hypothetical scenario of what the consequences of an Israeli or US attack on Iran might be, but it is already clear that they would be catastrophic. We should bear in mind once again the Brzezinski testimony of February 2007. One factor which has changed is unquestionably the growing strength of Hezbollah in Lebanon, which would almost certainly be brought to bear on Israel if Iran is bombed. To this must be added in the now-declared Israeli policy of carrying out retaliatory strikes against Syria in response to whatever Hezbollah might do to the Israelis. In the London Times of April 18, 2010 we read: ‘Israel has delivered a secret warning to Syrian President Bashar Assad that it will respond to missile attacks from Hezbollah, the militant Lebanese-based Islamist group, by launching immediate retaliation against Syria itself. In a message, sent earlier this month, Israel made it clear that it now regards Hezbollah as a division of the Syrian army and that reprisals against Syria will be fast and devastating. It follows the discovery by Israeli intelligence that Syria has recently supplied long-range ballistic missiles and advanced anti-aircraft systems to Hezbollah. “We’ll return Syria to the Stone Age by crippling its power stations, ports, fuel storage and every bit of strategic infrastructure if Hezbollah dare to launch ballistic missiles against us,” said an Israeli minister, who was speaking off-the-record, last week. The warning, which was conveyed to Damascus by a third party, was sent to reinforce an earlier signal by Avigdor Lieberman, the Israeli foreign minister. “If a war breaks out the Assad dynasty will lose its power and will cease to reign in Syria,” he said earlier this year.’ 67

Based on this report, we must assume that a conflict with Iran would impose the necessity of US combat operations in Lebanon, Syria, Iraq, Iran, and Afghanistan, with the status of Pakistan being anybody’s guess. Hostilities would probably involve Yemen, where a pro-Iranian insurrection confronts the Saudi-backed regime, and might also implicate Somalia, and even Sudan. For a bankrupt power with an overstretched and exhausted army like the US today, this means biting off a very large chunk of the globe as a theater of war. Bombing Iran means killing Russian technicians at the Bushehr nuclear reactor and other sites. It may mean killing Chinese present in the oil fields were supervising Chinese oil imports from Iran. Bombing Syria may involve the Tartus naval base of the Russian navy, which is being expanded. From here, the possibilities of grave danger go on and on.

Israel In The Crossfire Of Missiles From Hezbollah And Iran?

Another way in which the planned attack on Iran could go out of control and lead to a more general war, including a nuclear war by miscalculation, has to do with the erosion of the conventional superiority traditionally enjoyed by Israel in the Middle East.. As long as the Israelis can win on the conventional plane against their Arab neighbors, they may not be tempted to escalate to nuclear weapons of mass destruction. But, if Israel is facing conventional defeat, then the impulse towards nuclear escalation may become irresistible. The failure of the Israeli efforts against Hezbollah in the August 2006 war already suggested that Israel’s conventional edge was no longer what it had been in the past. Now, there are press reports of large transfers of solid-fuel ballistic missiles with reasonably accurate guidance systems into the hands of Hezbollah. If the reports are true, these missiles might represent a lethal threat to the Israeli Air Force, which has always been a cornerstone of that country’s conventional strength. This is the background for the Israeli ultimatum to Syria reported above.

David Moon of the Asia Times has recently called attention to the upgrades in the Hezbollah missile arsenal, and to their far-reaching strategic implications. Moon writes: ‘The recent alleged transfer of a small number of Scud missiles to Hezbollah from Syria only serves to highlight the capabilities of Hezbollah-operated M600 missiles manufactured and supplied by Syria. The M600 is a truck-mounted solid fuel booster pushing a 500 kilogram (1,100 pound) warhead nearly 300 kilometers…. The unanswered question – and the one of most concern – is the number of game-changing launchers Hezbollah has already got hidden away or that it will acquire from Syria.’ 68

Hezbollah: From Counter-Value To Counterforce

In August 2006, Hezbollah launched some 4,000 short range missiles against northern Israel, most of which were Russian-made Katyushas of World War II vintage. These missiles had limited range and were impossible to aim accurately. Accordingly, Hezbollah could only point them in the general direction of Israeli cities. But the new missiles may be much more accurate, and might allow Hezbollah to engage in a counterforce rather than counter-value strategy. Instead of terrorizing Israeli civilians, Hezbollah might be able to target the air fields used by the Israeli Air Force. At the same time, Israel has been developing a layered missile defense in the form of the Iron Dome, David’s Sting, Arrow, and Patriot systems. There are reports that the Israeli air force is ready to flee northern Israel at a moment’s notice and take refuge in bases in the south of their country, where the Hezbollah missile threat is less. But what if Hezbollah acquires accurate missiles which can reach all that Israeli territory? And what happens if Hamas can get a few more effective missiles into the Gaza Strip?

As Moon writes, ‘Israelis express concern that this missile [the M600, also known as the Fatah 110] will be directed at population centers. A more accurate and more dangerous threat to Israel militarily is for Hezbollah to rain down rockets on its most dangerous enemy – the Israeli Air Force – principally on airfields in northern Israel. However, with upwards of 40,000 Katyusha rockets stockpiled, Hezbollah still retains the terror option. If Hezbollah’s plentiful M600s were fired in high-volume volleys, the Arrow system could be overwhelmed. If the IRGC [Iranian Revolutionary Guards Corps] launched Iranian high-value Shahab-3Bs and variants timed with Hezbollah’s M600s, the Islamic republic could deal telling blows to strategic targets…. Hezbollah is said to be flush with the Russian-made SA-7 “Grail”, the SA-14 “Gremlin” and the SA-18 “Grouse”. These shoulder-fired SAMs are a point defense for covering mobile missile launchers like the M600 when exposed during the firing and retirement cycle. Also in the bargain came the SA-8 “Gecko”, a mobile launcher with a range of about 16 kilometers and a height of 12,000 meters. Mix these new capabilities with Syria’s new radar system supplied by Tehran… For Israel, the cost of setting back Iran’s nuclear program a few years before dealing decisively with Hezbollah and Syria is now at an all-time high.’ 69

If Iran and Hezbollah can coordinate their missile salvos, Moon thus suggests, it might be possible for them to overwhelm the Israeli antimissile defenses, and to inflict grave damage on the airfields where the Israeli air force is based. This potential for conventional defeat or simply for grave losses conjures up another prospect of an escalation into the nuclear realm by the Israelis as the sole remaining means of saving the day. On the surface, it would seem that the atomic bombing of southern Lebanon and even more so of Gaza would make no sense for the Israelis, since the radioactive debris and fallout would descend in large measure on Israeli territory and Israeli population centers. But there are also unconfirmed reports that the Israelis may have developed their own version of the neutron bomb, something last discussed widely in the United States during the Jimmy Carter administration. This might avoid most of the radioactive fallout problem. In any case, using the neutron bomb against Hezbollah would unquestionably represent the first use of atomic weapons, and would clearly cross the nuclear threshold. At that point, the Middle East and the world would have entered a new and uncharted terrain, replete with incalculable risks of general war and nuclear war.

In the meantime, we would like to interrogate the proverbial fly on the wall during this week’s meeting of Obama with British Prime Minister Cameron at the White House. Was their discussion really consumed by the vicissitudes of BP and the Lockerbie incident, or was there also some discussion of cooperation in military aggression against Iran? Given the way the wind is blowing, the latter hypothesis appears persuasive. Someday we may find new and more scandalous Downing Street memoranda devoted to this meeting. But let’s not wait around.

Political mobilization against this new war danger is imperative. There is a conference in Albany, New York within a few days which bills itself as a national gathering of the United States peace movement. If this movement still exists in reality, it will respond to the situation around Iran with a call for mass mobilization against the new warmonger-in-chief Obama and his new and wider war, before the end of the summer. It is important to promote primary election or third-party challenges, especially against Democratic members of Congress who have voted for or otherwise supported war appropriations over the past two years. Most important would be the presence of a qualified, serious, antiwar challenger against Obama in the Democratic primary election process, starting in Iowa and New Hampshire in January 2011, which is just six short months away. A third-party peace candidate of real presidential caliber would also be a godsend. Those who are intelligent enough to understand these necessities had better get busy right now. One thing is certain: Noam Chomsky and the various left-liberal paladins of impotence are not going to take the lead on this one.

Even though the forces that may initially respond to such calls for mobilization may be relatively limited, they can perform the indispensable function of alerting larger parts of public opinion at home and abroad that a tragic and genocidal crime is being prepared behind the scenes. If we recall the fateful summer of 2002, when the Iraq war was being cooked up, the warlike intent of the US administration was signaled through a bellicose speech by Cheney at the Veterans of Foreign Wars in August, followed by a coordinated media campaign of war psychosis starting in September.70 So far, Obama and Biden have not started a campaign of open war propaganda concerning Iran. This time around, it may be possible for those of us still in the reality-based community to get out in front of the war party rather than having to run to catch up with them.71

It is genuinely appalling to realize that we are now back to something resembling the desperate situation of 2002, with Iran as the target this time around. One rule of thumb which many learned during the Bush-Cheney years is that the attack is likely to start during the dark of the moon. This suggests a possible timetable built around August 10, September 8, or October 7 of this year, or perhaps some time later. It may come as an October surprise, as de Borchgrave seems to suggest. We are back once again to the classic predicament of persons of good will in recent decades: get active or get radioactive. So it’s time to get active.

 

Thu, 07/22/2010 - 20:01 | 484692 StarvingLion
StarvingLion's picture

But there are also unconfirmed reports that the Israelis may have developed their own version of the neutron bomb

Two thumbs for going green from Al Gore.  I dunno about the Fractional Reserve Gang approving tho:  "What, the buildings are still in place???" hahha.  But those neutrons, they are deadly apparently: If  a  single  neutron  collides with  a strand  of DNA  in  a  sperm or egg cell, the probability of irreparable long-term genetic damage is high.

Thu, 07/22/2010 - 20:33 | 484730 PenGun
PenGun's picture

 I will simply point out that one Satan SS 18 is the end of Israel. One.

 

 The missile that made Minutemen obsolete.

Sat, 07/24/2010 - 02:25 | 486550 RichardP
RichardP's picture

Baja California as the new Promised Land is looking better and better.

Thu, 07/22/2010 - 22:02 | 484826 Weimar Ben Bernanke
Weimar Ben Bernanke's picture

This post is a must read for anyone. I have been warning people the reason why we should not bomb Iran or Israel. If you present this to neocons they would blow this off. How can bankrupt nation fight a war like this in the first place? Anyone with a modicum of economics and geopolitics in the mideast know a strike would engulf the region in a never ending and bloody war. Iran is ready,Syria is ready,Hizballah is ready,the Mahdi Army and various Shiite militias are ready, and Hamas is ready for a war like this. America is drowning in debt and why would make its self drown further in a war like this. I believe Israel will do it by themselves then we will dragged into it. The American people have no appetite for a war like this. Innocent Iranian,Israeli,Syrian,Lebanese,Iraqi,Saudi Arabian,Palestian will suffer heavily in regional mideast war. Egypt and Jordan are the wild cards.What will they do? Cheeky Bastard would agree with this comment by geopol heavily and anyone part of zerohedge.

Fri, 07/23/2010 - 00:38 | 484957 Mactheknife
Mactheknife's picture

>How can bankrupt nation fight a war like this in the first place?

Ummm, that's kinda the whole point. You just need to learn how to think like a sociopathic illuminati. Having all the trappings that unlimited wealth can buy is boring. The thing that means everything to these people is having unlimited power over others and the ability to treat the world like a giant chessboard. They will do anything to keep it.

Thu, 07/22/2010 - 23:12 | 484876 palmereldritch
palmereldritch's picture

How about this:

Those hacks at BP were way too sloppy and cavalier in their hurried attempt to demonstrate to their demonic Bilderberg brethren that they could secure a sufficient oil reserve cartel from their abiotic bonanza in the GoM to counter any shortfall of oil exports through the Strait of Hormuz as the result of an attack on Iran?

Added bonus for an attack on Iran:  Another oil bourse monetized in a currency other than private central banking ponzi notes from the FED and BoE is shut down.  Why the last one to suffer such a fate was that WMD proposal by Saddam Hussein...
http://www.energybulletin.net/node/7707

Not to mention all that toxic financial liquidity that can be soaked with oil at $300/bbl.

But instead we have an avoidable global eco-disaster in the GoM that primes the pump for Clean Energy Carbon taxes instead...What are their priorities? 

Is there an ongoing passive/active stealth civil war in the ranks in the Ill-looney-Nazis for control of carbon/currency/taxes that we should know about?

Instead of good cop/bad cop will it be bad cop/Antichrist?  Is it carbon taxes or road warrior?
Makes you wonder if the GoM debacle wasn't just a false flag overture for the main symphony to come... 

Only their latest numerological occult death date can tell....(my call, it will be the 11th of August or 11th of something or August 25 (08/25) if these idiots are psychotic enough to launch WWIII, do the math...it will be a number adding up like that...they do so love their 33's).

Thu, 07/22/2010 - 18:33 | 484557 StarvingLion
StarvingLion's picture

 Part of this can be ascribed to the increasing influence of the free market ideologue Anatoly Chubais, the architect of the nomenklatura privatization of Soviet state property during the 1990s, whose concept of the modernization of the Russian economy depends very heavily on information technology, in which he portrays the United States as being in the lead. 

HFT is the new black gold!

Thu, 07/22/2010 - 18:48 | 484582 Anarchist
Anarchist's picture

Anatoly Chubais and other Jewish conspiritors looted Russia for untold billions of dollars. Bribery and murder were the norm. Much of the wealth was transfered overseas in the form of stolen resources or ownership rights in new corporations that control the resources. Putin has pushed to reclaim some of the lost wealth using the some of the same techniques used by the Oligarchs. The Western press and politicians howl when one of the Jewish Oligarchs is stipped of their ill gotten gains.

Thu, 07/22/2010 - 18:52 | 484587 anony
anony's picture

..split personality...

Thu, 07/22/2010 - 18:52 | 484588 anony
anony's picture

It's genetic.

Thu, 07/22/2010 - 18:33 | 484558 Anarchist
Anarchist's picture

The goals of the Neocons and the Soros gang is falling by the wayside. Russia and Iran are still not in their control. Even if Iran is attacked, the Monarchists will fail to take back control of the country. They represent a minority of the population. The Monarchists will rue the day they teamed up with the Ziofacists.  

Thu, 07/22/2010 - 18:43 | 484575 JR
JR's picture

Americans living through the tensions of the Cold War, with the fall of the Soviet Union and “the Wall” believed the free world’s prospects for peace were brightening.  But the proponents of empire and the ambitions of Israel were to combine in Washington, D.C., to bring another century of hot war—war for resources and just like in the 19th Century but with the United States at the forefront, wars for territory; only this time with puppets in charge of the conquered territories instead of colonial governors.

And now the hot war, the War on Terror, promises to be war without end.  This, this week, from Jason Ditz:

Congressional Report: $1 Trillion Spent on Wars Since 9/11 Inflation Adjusted Cost Second Only to World War 2 | Antiwar.com | July 21, 2010

A Congressional Research Service report on the direct military costs of America’s assorted wars has put the global war on terror since September 11, 2001 at over $1 trillion, making it the second most expensive military action in American history, adjusting for inflation.

The cost of $1.147 trillion was second only to World War 2, which cost $4.1 trillion. It should of course be remembered, however, that the war on terror is not over yet, and that the costs continue to rise dramatically as the wars expand.

The costs only reflect the direct cost of the military operations, and does not include the various other expenses related to America’s adventurous foreign policy. Private reports indicate the US is actually spending about $1 trillion every single year on the current set of wars.

The enormous costs of the conflict continue to be felt particularly hard in the current economic turmoil. The Obama Administration has pledged to freeze much of the domestic spending budget going forward so he can continue to find more money to pump into the various wars included in the war on terror.

http://news.antiwar.com/2010/07/21/congressional-report-war-on-terror-co...

Thu, 07/22/2010 - 18:50 | 484585 anony
anony's picture

Jason Bourne!! Paging!! Jason Bourne!!!

Thu, 07/22/2010 - 19:09 | 484620 Instant Karma
Instant Karma's picture

Hit them with an EMP weapon and fry all their electronics.

Thu, 07/22/2010 - 19:13 | 484627 geopol
geopol's picture


The Neocons Promise A Cakewalk — Again!

One of the most blatant calls for war with Iran comes from the former CIA agent and neocon ideologue Reuel Marc Gerecht. The Weekly Standard, the central organ of the neocon warmonger party, devotes the cover story of its current issue to urging the Israelis to put an end to Obama’s dithering by mounting the attacks themselves, thus presenting the feckless tenant of the White House with a fait accompli.12

In the inimitable style of neocon Kenneth Adelman, who notoriously promised a cakewalk in Iraq the last time we went down this road, Gerecht impatiently dismisses a series of arguments against such a fateful act of incalculable folly, and does not miss the opportunity to settle accounts with Brzezinski, whose alternative model of imperialist management is now losing support within the ruling elite. Gerecht writes: ‘… concerns about an Israeli bombing are no more persuasive. Hezbollah would undoubtedly unleash its missiles on Israel after a preventive strike…. Hundreds of Israelis could die from Hezbollah’s new and improved store of missiles. Israel might have to invade Lebanon again, which would cost more lives and certainly upset the “international community.”…. The Obama administration might fume, but it is hard to imagine the president, given what he has said about the unacceptability of Iranian nukes, scolding Jerusalem long. He might personally agree with his one-time counsel, Jimmy Carter’s national security adviser Zbigniew Brzezinski, that Israel has become a pariah state, but politically this won’t fly.’13 Three years ago, Brzezinski had the upper hand and the neocons were in disarray, but now the tables have been turned to a significant extent.

There is nothing to worry about, Gerecht assures us, since the Iranians are a paper tiger and the results will be a cakewalk: ‘American fear of Iranian capabilities in Iraq and Afghanistan has been exaggerated. The Americans are leaving Iraq; within a year, most of our troops are due to be gone….’ 14 Back in 2002-2003, the neocon line was that Saddam Hussein was so powerful that he had to be attacked. This time around, their field is reversed, and the main argument is that the Iranians need to be attacked because they are a pushover: ‘If the Iranians tried their mightiest, they could give us only a small headache compared with the migraine we’ve already got courtesy of the Pakistanis, who are intimately tied to Afghanistan’s Taliban. And the Israelis know the U.S. Navy has no fear of Tehran’s closing the Strait of Hormuz. If Khamenei has a death-wish, he’ll let the Revolutionary Guards mine the strait, the entrance to the Persian Gulf: It might be the only thing that would push President Obama to strike Iran militarily. Such an escalation could quickly leave Khamenei with no navy, air force, and army. The Israelis have to be praying that the supreme leader will be this addle-headed.’ 15 The tried and true ‘cakewalk’ argument is neither the first nor the last notorious neocon trick which is being brought back these days.

But what about the awesome threat of Iranian state-sponsored terrorism, the danger which these same neocons have been incessantly harping on for the past decade? No problem, says Gerecht. All we would need to do at that point is to issue a bloodcurdling thermonuclear ultimatum to Iran about incinerating that country with nuclear missiles, perhaps killing tens of millions of Iranians. As a matter of fact, Gerecht suggests, the US had better start issuing this sort of threat right now, without any further dithering: ‘It is entirely possible that Khamenei would use terrorism against the United States after an Israeli strike. That is one of the supreme leader’s preferred methods of state action, which is why he should not be permitted a nuclear weapon. The correct response for the United States is to credibly threaten vengeance. President Obama might be obliged to make such a threat immediately after an Israeli surprise attack; whether the Iranians would believe it, given America’s record, is more difficult to assess.’ 16 Note carefully that these statements amounts to the public advocacy of aggressive war, a behavior which may run afoul of the Nuremberg precedents of 1945.

The Iranians are crazy, says Gerecht, so the old-fashioned nuclear deterrence of Mutually Assured Destruction will never work. There is no point in wasting time any longer, and it is time for the Israeli missiles and bombers to fly: ‘‘It is possible the Israelis have waited too long to strike. Military action should make a strategic difference….If we’re not at the end of the road, then the Israelis probably should waste no more time. Khamenei is still weak. He’s more paranoid than he’s ever been. The odds of his making uncorrectable mistakes are much better than before. Any Israeli raid that could knock out a sizable part of Iran’s nuclear program would change the dynamic inside Iran and throughout the Middle East…..Unless Jerusalem bombs, the Israelis will soon be confronting a situation without historical parallel…. In the best case scenario, if things were just “normal” in Tehran, Israel would likely be confronting Cuban Missile Crisis-style brinkmanship on a routine basis.’17

Obama As The Cynical New Woodrow Wilson

The reactionary writer Michael Barone makes the apt comparison of Obama to the Morgan puppet Woodrow Wilson, who cynically got himself re-elected in 1916 on a platform of “he kept us out of war,’ and then demanded the US entry into World War I about a month into his second term. Obama campaigned for the presidency quite explicitly as a warmonger in regards to Afghanistan, although his constant claim to have opposed the Iraq war left many voters with the false impression that he was less bellicose than Bush. In reality, Obama was always adamant about his desire to bomb and invade Pakistan in pursuit of the phantomatic “Osama bin Laden.” Barone comments: ‘It would be ironic if the professorial Barack Obama launches a military attack when his supposedly cowboy predecessor George W. Bush declined to do so….But I take it seriously when … nonhawks [Joe Klein and Walter Russell Meade] say Obama might bomb Iran.’ 18

Acts Of War In Iran By Jundullah, a US Terrorist Proxy

The Sunni terrorist organization known as Jundullah, which operates in Baluchistan on both sides of the Pakistan-Iran border, is notoriously a creature of Anglo-American intelligence, as Brian Ross of ABC News documented in 2007.19 Earlier this year, the Iranians, acting with the help of Pakistan, succeeded in capturing the Jundullah leader Rigi, whom they then executed this month. Rigi, according to Wayne Madsen, had been on his way to a meeting with US regional Ambassador Richard Holbrooke at the US air base in Kyrgyzstan.20 Retaliation from Jundullah soon followed in the form of a murderous attack on Iranian territory which killed 21 persons, including members of the Pasdaran Revolutionary Guard. Iranian leaders were quick to denounce this action as the latest in a long series of acts of war against Iran by the United States using terrorist proxies. Majlis Speaker Ali Larijani condemned this attack, which occurred in Zahedan, while explicitly blaming the United States: ‘“The Americans should know that they have started a game that will not end well for them,” he said in Tehran. Larijani asserted that Iran has ample evidence that the Jundullah terrorist group has links to the United States. The terrorist group Jundullah, which Iranian officials say enjoys U.S. support, has claimed responsibility for the attacks. In a statement posted on its web site, Jundullah described the attacks as retaliation for Iran’s June 21 execution of the group’s former ringleader, Abdolmalek Rigi. Larijani said that the United States cannot invent an excuse for the bombings. “They may get away with other issues, but not with this one,” he added.’

Thu, 07/22/2010 - 22:06 | 484832 Weimar Ben Bernanke
Weimar Ben Bernanke's picture

No doubt in my mind Israel will do it alone. Obama is waiting for a Gulf Tonkin incident in the Persian Gulf when Israel does attack. Iran has been preparing for 8 years now for a possible strike. China and Russia has armed Iran,Syria,Hizballah with weapons that will deal significant blows to Israel also to our military presence in the mideast.

Sat, 07/24/2010 - 02:42 | 486551 RichardP
RichardP's picture

If Israel does decide to do it, they won't be alone so long as the U.S. naval force is still nearby.

I'm curious if all that geopol has posted means he thinks that industrial sabatoge is not a sufficient means to contain Iran's nuclear ambitions.  I ask this as a person who has always thought that if Iran really wanted a nuclear bomb, there are plenty of sources that would likely sell them whatever they requested.  Which makes the enrichment facilities a non-issue in my mind.  They have been extremely useful to Iran in getting the entire world to talk about them (Iran) tho.

Thu, 07/22/2010 - 19:39 | 484667 themosmitsos
themosmitsos's picture

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just saying

let's get this f%#ing show on the road! ;)

Thu, 07/22/2010 - 23:09 | 484885 palmereldritch
palmereldritch's picture

I think youre looking for Stormfront.

Junked

Thu, 07/22/2010 - 20:16 | 484711 Privatus
Privatus's picture

It's not a conspiracy theory when the state floats it.

Thu, 07/22/2010 - 22:39 | 484862 brodix
brodix's picture

Why does the term "circle jerk" come to mind?

 So we bomb central Asia back into, what? The 13th century, in order to save Israel and the dollar?

 These people have been war gaming it for so long, it's rotted their minds.

 What will the world look like the day after Armageddon? And the months and years? Will Israel be able to stand on its own, if it still exists, or will the US have to give it even more money? How will domestic opinion go for this? When the Sarah Palin crowd hasn't been Raptured off to the clouds, but is still down here in the muck with everyone else, will they still be zombies for Israel?

 I read somewhere about an interviewer asking a Chinese general what their long term strategic plans were and the reply was to keep us/hope we remain bogged down in the Middle East.

 If this is a genuine plan, is there any way to short Israel?

Thu, 07/22/2010 - 23:20 | 484893 mcarthur
mcarthur's picture

In order to get up to 60,000 rpm the bearings go through three phases of destructive interference.  This is the reason for the "sabotage".  Just ask USEC at the American Centrifuge plant in Portsmouth Ohio. 

Fri, 07/23/2010 - 00:51 | 484965 palmereldritch
palmereldritch's picture

As an addendum to my own comment @484876 (too late for an edit), I failed to mention that the raison d'etre for the story circulating as posted (according to my speculative logic at least) is that it could easily be conferred as disinfo cover for a the lack of NWO prep for an attack on Iran as the result of the failure of the BP oil hedge in the GoM.

It serves the additional purpose of vamping the fiction of a nukular Iran.

Hey, WTF about Pakistan?! They at least have nukes and those Taliban stooges?  Is that Plan B??

More synthetic news from traditional Globalist pimps propping for the historical MIC/Wall Street/Gulag ponzi-plex.

 

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