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Oceanographer "Cannot Think Of Any Scenario Where The Oil Doesn't Eventually Reach The Florida Keys"

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Washington’s Blog

As I explained in detail yesterday, the oil spill may be carried by the "loop current" to Florida:

 

 

How could the oil get all the way from Louisiana to Florida, where the Gulf
Stream flows?

As Discovery explains:

Many ocean scientists are now raising concerns that a powerful current could spread the still-bubbling slick from the Florida Keys all the way to Cape Hatteras off North Carolina.

These oceanographers are carefully watching the Gulf Loop Current, a
clockwise swirl of warm water that sets up in the Gulf of Mexico each spring and summer. If the spill meets the loop -- the disaster becomes a runaway.

"It could make it from Louisiana all the way to Miami in a week, maybe less." said Eric Chassignet, director of the Center for Ocean Atmospheric Prediction Studies at Florida State University. "It is pretty fast."

Right now, some computer models show the spill 30 to 50 miles north of the loop current. If the onshore winds turn around and push the oil further south: "That would be a nightmare," said Yonggang Liu, research associate at the University of South Florida who models the current. "Hopefully we are lucky, but who knows. The winds are changing and difficult to predict."

Imagine the loop current as an ocean-going highway, transporting tiny
plankton, fish and other marine life along a watery conveyor belt. Sometimes it even picks up a slug of freshwater from the Mississippi River -- sending it on a wandering journey up to North Carolina.

The Gulf Loop Current acts like a jet of warm water that squirts in from the Caribbean basin and sloshes around the Gulf of Mexico before being squeezed out the Florida Strait, where it joins the larger and more powerful Gulf Stream current.

***

Oceanographer George Maul worries that the current could push the oil slick right through the Florida Keys and its 6,000 coral reefs.

"I looked at some recent satellite imagery and it looks like some of the oil may be shifted to the south," said Maul, a professor at Florida Institute of Technology in Melbourne, Fla. "If it gets entrained in the loop, it could spread throughout much of the Atlantic."

In fact, new animation from a consortium of Florida institutions and the
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, predicts a slight southward shift in the oil over the next few days.

 

A graphic from the Discovery article shows what the Gulf loop current
looks like:

loop current
The Gulf Loop Current enters from
the Caribbean basin,
moves around the Gulf of Mexico and
exits out the
Florida Strait, where it joins
the more powerful Gulf Stream current.

Naval Oceanographic Office

 

According to ROFFS, the oil spill is getting close to the loop current:

 

Unfortunately, we may be only 24 hours away from oil entering the loop current. As AP writes today:

 

Scientists say the Gulf oil spill could get into the what's called the Loop
Current within a day, eventually carrying oil south along the Florida coast and
into the Florida Keys.

Nick Shay, a physical oceanographer at the University of Miami Rosenstiel School of Marine and Atmospheric Science, said Monday once the oil enters the Loop Current, it likely will end up in the Keys and continue east into the Gulf Stream.

***

Shay says he cannot think of any scenario where the oil doesn't eventually reach the Florida Keys.

As Orlando's Fox 35 notes:

Brevard County oceanographer, Mitchell Roffer is watching the oil on the
south end of the spill. He says it's starting to push into the gulf stream.
"Thats going to then get pulled around into the loop current then get pulled
down around the east side of loop current off of Tampa and into the Keys," said
Roffer.

He's tracking winds and currents to try to determine where and
when the oil slick hits Florida's East Coast. He says its only a matter of time.
"I think its a question of when, and my colleagues all believe the same thing, I don't believe it will be an if," Roffer said.

 

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Mon, 05/03/2010 - 23:02 | 330129 Miles Kendig
Miles Kendig's picture

A view from the ranks....

Mon, 05/03/2010 - 21:44 | 330052 Buck Johnson
Buck Johnson's picture

I've never seen Goodwill hunting, but I will.  That scene was cool as hell.  And he had a point to, also they pointed out what many of us have known for years and that is the govt. classify products and knowledge that is well ahead of anything we have on the market or see.

Mon, 05/03/2010 - 22:09 | 330088 Miles Kendig
Miles Kendig's picture

I would never go back now for any amount of money - Miles Kendig

Mon, 05/03/2010 - 20:05 | 329897 WineSorbet
WineSorbet's picture

Actually, I can think of a scenario:  It will not be reported by the MSM. 

I say this because when I attempted to debunk the article in the NY Times about how BP has stemmed the flow with another report saying that was a falsehood, the NY Times decided to remove my comment.  Seriously, we are f#&ked!

Mon, 05/03/2010 - 20:27 | 329942 RobertShaw
RobertShaw's picture

I'm with you.  CNN did an all day "Times Square International Bourne Terrorist Look Out!" special.  They talked it up down and sideways... anything not to have to talk about the oil volcano.

 

Not a good sign. At.  All.

Mon, 05/03/2010 - 20:37 | 329957 WineSorbet
WineSorbet's picture

I live in NYC and I am convinced this so called terrorist attempt was a little too convenient. 

Mon, 05/03/2010 - 21:02 | 329992 RobertShaw
RobertShaw's picture

What makes you say that?

Mon, 05/03/2010 - 21:07 | 330005 WineSorbet
WineSorbet's picture

I hate to sound like a conspiracy nut but I do not think it's beyond the powers that be to stage events to deflect attention. 

I really wish I could trust my government and news sources but so much has happened to  prevent it.  Guess that's why I read ZH every day :)

Mon, 05/03/2010 - 21:34 | 330037 Cognitive Dissonance
Cognitive Dissonance's picture

Let me help you rephrase your first statement.

"I'm a conspiracy realist and it is not beyond the powers that be to stage false flag events to deflect attention."

The first rule of defending yourself from manipulation is not to use their manipulative words to describe yourself. You don't fear them or what they say. They should fear you and what you say. They practice conspiracy among themselves to create and promote false flag attacks all the time to deflect and distract. You know this, they know this, everyone knows this to some extent or another, though many people are moral cowards and won't publicly admit this.

Don't let the manipulators and the moral cowards determine what is "truth". Truth is the sole determinant of what is truth.

Mon, 05/03/2010 - 23:45 | 330182 merehuman
merehuman's picture

Cognitive Dissonance, found a couple videos worth sharing.

utube  Creatrix13 has Dr.Rauni discussing Physical Reality. Right on lady

Also on the tube   1981z28camaro    on matter is vibrating.

i totally identify with her point of view.

heres to a better day

Tue, 05/04/2010 - 00:41 | 330235 tip e. canoe
tip e. canoe's picture

frothy soap you share mh.

Mon, 05/03/2010 - 23:07 | 330138 Fish Gone Bad
Fish Gone Bad's picture

CD you are an elegant writer.

Mon, 05/03/2010 - 21:45 | 330056 RobertShaw
RobertShaw's picture

Well said... both of you.

I actually think it was just a happy coincidence for the powers that be to distract from the oil volcano. 

But it looks like they are taking the ball and really running with it now with whoever the culprit is.  Just as long as it's Spectre or Chaos, not some poor nut slamming his plane into an IRS building again.

Tue, 05/04/2010 - 01:17 | 330267 whatsinaname
whatsinaname's picture

while senate was busy staging its goldman drama, a more serious movie was developing at BP. was everybody asleep at wheels while the gulf was burning ?

Mon, 05/03/2010 - 22:19 | 330105 LiquidBrick
LiquidBrick's picture

Poor nut is American Hero - RIP

Mon, 05/03/2010 - 21:44 | 330054 WineSorbet
WineSorbet's picture

Thank you CD! 

BTW, keep up the great posts!

Tue, 05/04/2010 - 00:22 | 330211 knukles
knukles's picture

Quick Men, a Distraction!

Plus, its far far too convenient that;
1.)  Off shore drilling is "approved".
2.)  Moments later Deepwater Rig Implodes
3.)  Aforesaid rigs are Terribly Expensiveand  loaded from stem to stern with Multiple Redundant Safety Mechanisms.
4.)  Offshore drilling is halted. (Surprise!)
5.)  Big Oil happy with halt of offshore drilling; raises prices, new safety regulations will dramatically Increase Barriers to Entry.
6.) Congressional Investigation and Hearings necessitate new humongoloid campaign contributions and Lobbying Efforts.
7.)  Big Oil continues to be single largest contributor to Green/Environmental interest groups (Golly!)
8.)  Power Elite happy with Necessary New Regulation and Taxes (TBD, will follow) solidifying hold upon lives and daily rape of peon class. 
9.)  And last but certainly not least and already happening; "Whose calling "me" late to respond?  Must be those seditious Tea Partiers!"
10.)  MSM continues to ignore until given Green Light to Focus Upon Heroic Governmental Efforts
11.) In the meantime, man the Distraction Bucket Brigade. 
12.) We the people peons ultimately foot every last single bill associated herewith, out of our very own little getting very empty pockets.

Simple 12 Step Program.  "Came to believe that a power greater than ourselves is screwing us blind." 

Tue, 05/04/2010 - 02:51 | 330322 Sudden Debt
Sudden Debt's picture

Sorry, but you actually all missed it.

THE RIG WAS NOT UNDER A AMERICAN FLAG!!!

MEANING:

- No more "unAmerican" rigs will be allowed for "safety measures".

Only American.

Conspiracy anybody? NUFF SAID!! NUFF SAID!

Tue, 05/04/2010 - 00:39 | 330230 tip e. canoe
tip e. canoe's picture

ever wonder what ol' Dick is up to these days?

Mon, 05/03/2010 - 19:48 | 329894 DosZap
DosZap's picture

Well, due to the TIMING of Obama's call to arms!, for new drilling..........

Let's all just pray he doesn't say NEW reactors anytime soon.Lawd have Mercy............

I'm jus sayin'................

Mon, 05/03/2010 - 18:52 | 329850 Matto
Matto's picture

NLC approved for roll out of its microbe based dispersants over the weekend.

Mon, 05/03/2010 - 19:52 | 329899 DosZap
DosZap's picture

HELL!,that's not fast enough!!, Bush was sposed to have KATRINA up and running in 3 days.................

I know, they have been (13days) on TOP of this, 1st Priority, 1st Priority.

Were's the howls and screams of Obama hates de' fishes??.

Duncha just NUB the double stds.

Mon, 05/03/2010 - 20:31 | 329940 Miles Kendig
Miles Kendig's picture

Please do try and keep up... There are many epic failures on the part of government and it matters not which side of the coin is face up at the moment.  The fact of the matter is that there is no check on corporatism and its control of government. As both Katrina & this mess more than adequately demonstrate.

by Miles Kendig
on Mon, 05/03/2010 - 14:11
#329466

Just remember that this is relatively early and all that hot air may well fall short of the eventual reality..  Thank goodness I didn't pull the trigger on that Panama City property...

The sad fact of the matter is that the Obama Administration is having their Katrina moment and are suffering an even more epic fail than dubya did.

Mon, 05/03/2010 - 21:28 | 330030 dark pools of soros
dark pools of soros's picture

this is fucking chernobyl compared to katrina - but hey we'll all have health care so eat all the poisoned food you want...

 

that's what Obama should just say

Mon, 05/03/2010 - 23:31 | 330169 TBT or not TBT
TBT or not TBT's picture

Umm, Katrina killed about 100 times more PEOPLE.

Tue, 05/04/2010 - 02:48 | 330320 Captain Obvious
Captain Obvious's picture

Yes, and Katrina was definatly alot more interesting too. Untill people starting dying on mass I'm not too interested, though it is early days yet

Tue, 05/04/2010 - 00:03 | 330196 knukles
knukles's picture

100 x (?) = (WTF are you talking about?)
Ain't over till its over.

 

Mon, 05/03/2010 - 21:45 | 330044 Miles Kendig
Miles Kendig's picture

So true.  Until there is real trouble on West Palm..  then we'll see some action. Even if it is a grant to truck in white sand to keep up appearances..  The CEO's union flexing its muscle.

Mon, 05/03/2010 - 23:28 | 330166 AbbeBrel
AbbeBrel's picture

I just hope this doesn't coat the Greek Islands.  That will reduce their resale value!

Mon, 05/03/2010 - 21:35 | 330041 Moneygrove
Moneygrove's picture

AND PALIN SAYS SPILL BAY SPILL !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Mon, 05/03/2010 - 18:03 | 329775 colorfulbliss
colorfulbliss's picture

Thanks for the update GW.

Also, did anyone else but me do a double take on that upper image in a Rorschach-ink-blot-test kinda way? lol

Mon, 05/03/2010 - 20:28 | 329943 bchbum
bchbum's picture

You mean the rabbit giving the blowjob?

Mon, 05/03/2010 - 23:04 | 330133 Fish Gone Bad
Fish Gone Bad's picture

If you flip the image over, it could be a hampster eating plasma.  The rabbit and blowjob is certainly creative.

Mon, 05/03/2010 - 23:18 | 330154 nonclaim
nonclaim's picture

Could be from one of the last episodes of Ebichu were the hamster pukes like crazy. [it's a Japanese cartoon; adult and funny]

Mon, 05/03/2010 - 21:00 | 329990 Cognitive Dissonance
Cognitive Dissonance's picture

LOL

Hmmm, and how long have you felt this way bchbum? Remember, I can't turn you in unless you are threatening to do harm to yourself or others, not including certain "officials". :>)

Mon, 05/03/2010 - 18:34 | 329821 George Washington
George Washington's picture

I didn't see it at first, but yes, I see what you mean ...

Mon, 05/03/2010 - 20:25 | 329934 Miles Kendig
Miles Kendig's picture

Florida in more ways than one...

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