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One Minute Macro Summary

Tyler Durden's picture




 

US:  Futures lower almost globally in the early morning.  Yesterday’s Fed minutes revealed a lack of faith in the recovery signals observed during the last two months, with the Fed noting its reticence to adjust the QE2 program at this juncture.  The Fed further expressed concern on the European debt issues that have been gaining attention in the market over the past few months.  With all of the variables in place, several Committee members stated that they had a “fairly high threshold” for making adjustments to QE2.  We believe the Fed is also a bit hamstrung with respect to its political fortunes considering the new legislative makeup.  Today will bring Job Cuts, ISM Non-Manufacturing, and the ADP Employment Change as a preview to Friday’s data.

Europe:  Eyes are on auctions, with Germany and Portugal coming to market in an unimpressive fashion.  The €5B EFSF debt sale scheduled for today was reportedly 3x oversubscribed with pricing expected to be mid swaps +15bp.  The markets should keenly watch the actual pricing of the deal and its secondary trading as well as the knock-on impacts on traditional Euro sovereign issuance.  We still believe that a finite capped facility that effectively crams down traditional issuance will cause further pressure on spreads.  A new EU draft proposal suggests that bondholders take losses on ailing banks rather than upstreaming the responsibility to the sovereign level and bailouts being taxpayer funded.  The proposal suggests that equity, sub, and senior debt all be impacted in turn.  SNB has cut some Irish bonds from their list of eligible repo collateral without further comment.

Asia:  China experiences a drop in 7 day repo financing after the turn financing cycle passes.  China Vice Premier Li Keqiang reiterates that China may purchase more Spanish debt contingent on market conditions.  China has issued supportive language to several Euro peripheral debt members in the past couple of months, with trade issues the likely European bargaining chip.  The Chinese Securities Journal reported that China will allow a 5% appreciation for the Yuan v the dollar in 2011.  PBOC is reiterating their variable reserve ratio assessments for banks on a monthly basis.  Japanese trade officials noting that they may consider domestic demand stimulus to combat the impacts of a strong JPY.

From Brian Yelvington of Knight Capital

 

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Wed, 01/05/2011 - 08:44 | 848771 Sudden Debt
Sudden Debt's picture

Something strange just happened in Europe. Just like in America where birds where falling from the skies, the same happened over here.

One of the reasons they say is changes in air currents of warm air that are aligned with the magnetic earth lines are shifting making the birds fly in ice cold air instead of warm air and just freeze.

It could be more then just global warming so it seems that is happening.

Wed, 01/05/2011 - 09:01 | 848796 Oh regional Indian
Oh regional Indian's picture

Hey SD, that is really weird. Something big is stinking...

Animal die offs (species die-offs accelerating) usually happens just before highly, shall we say, de-stablizing events.

Hmmmmm.....

http://aadivaahan.wordpress.com/2011/01/05/stairwell-sigtar/

 

ORI

Wed, 01/05/2011 - 09:13 | 848815 szjon
szjon's picture

have you got a link to that Sudden Debt?

Wed, 01/05/2011 - 13:03 | 849548 Chupacabra
Chupacabra's picture

It looks to be 50-100 birds dead in some small town in Sweden.  Having visited Sweden, my guess is that they most likely dropped dead from boredom.  :) 

Wed, 01/05/2011 - 09:09 | 848805 eigenvalue
eigenvalue's picture

Silver is being nuked again...:(

Wed, 01/05/2011 - 09:10 | 848808 e_u_r_o
e_u_r_o's picture

BTFD FFS!

Wed, 01/05/2011 - 09:37 | 848881 Sudden Debt
Sudden Debt's picture

Just a attempt with bogus news and naked short selling to try to spur a selling market.

It'll recover with a vengeance pretty soon ;)

Wed, 01/05/2011 - 10:59 | 849144 Grand Supercycle
Grand Supercycle's picture

S&P500/DOW/FTSE/DAX/ASX200 daily chart bearish warnings continue.

DAX daily is already confirmed IMHO.

http://stockmarket618.wordpress.com

Wed, 01/05/2011 - 11:18 | 849195 SilverRhino
SilverRhino's picture

Can someone provide an explanation on why Silver is getting absolutely HAMMERED in the last 48 hours?    31 to 28 and change is mind boggling.

Wed, 01/05/2011 - 13:08 | 849566 Chupacabra
Chupacabra's picture

No clue.  But I try not to pay attention to short term market fluctuations, which seem basically random to me.  I leave that for the traders.  The trend is my friend, and I see the trend as up.

Wed, 01/05/2011 - 13:27 | 849626 JohnG
JohnG's picture

Read all about it here:

http://harveyorgan.blogspot.com/

 

Wed, 01/05/2011 - 14:29 | 849879 SilverRhino
SilverRhino's picture

Thanks guys.

Wed, 01/05/2011 - 14:29 | 849880 SilverRhino
SilverRhino's picture

Thanks guys.

Wed, 01/05/2011 - 20:56 | 851137 10hawks
10hawks's picture

It is primarily but not exclusively US military that is

driving the "climate change" with HAARP and other

ionospheric heating devices, altering the jet stream

causing drastic effects. This is the execution of

the elitist globalist eugenicist agenda, to create

a general crisis (problem/reaction/solution) in order

to usher in the totalitarian global government,

in preparation for mass population reduction.

Anthropogenic Global Warming is just the money

making scam associated with the program.

Do NOT follow this link or you will be banned from the site!