Personal Income Comes At 0.2%, Below Expectations; Spending Greater Then Expected; Savings Rate Declines
July US Personal Income comes in at 0.2%, on expectations of 0.3%, and a previous print of 0.0%. Yet making less money does not prevent consumer from purchasing (i.e., not paying their mortgages), coming in at 0.4%, higher than expectations of 0.3% (previous 0.0% as well). And it appears consumers may have jumped the shark on the economic "improvement" just as we double dip, with the savings rate declining to 5.9%, compared from a revised 6.2% in the prior month (6.4% initially). Other news: US PCE Core M/M at 0.1%, inline with expectations, the same as the PCE Deflator, which came at 1.5%.
Personal Savings Rate chart:
From the release:
Personal income increased $30.0 billion, or 0.2 percent, and disposable personal income (DPI) increased $17.6 billion, or 0.2 percent, in July, according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis. Personal consumption expenditures (PCE) increased $44.1 billion, or 0.4 percent. In June, personal income decreased $2.7 billion, or less than 0.1 percent, DPI decreased $0.2 billion, or less than 0.1 percent, and PCE decreased $4.0 billion, or less than 0.1 percent, based on revised estimates.Real disposable income decreased 0.1 percent in July, in contrast to an increase of 0.1 percent in June. Real PCE increased 0.2 percent, compared with an increase of 0.1 percent.
Personal saving -- DPI less personal outlays -- was $673.4 billion in July, compared with $699.7 billion in June. Personal saving as a percentage of disposable personal income was 5.9 percent in July, compared with 6.2 percent in June.