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POMO Closes: $3.6 Billion In Debt Monetized, Morgan Stanley Predictive Prowess Still Spotless

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Today's POMO has closed, with the Fed monetizing $3.609 billion in debt, far more than previously expected, and much more than last auction's $2.5 billion (is Liberty 33 sweating in its reliquification attempts courtesy of today's nightmarish economic date). The hit rate was also worse than the previous one, coming in at 16.5%, with 12.2% previously (another way of saying this is that the submitted/accepted ratio was 6.07). And yet again, Morgan Stanley was spotless, with its 9 bond predictions all eligible for purchases, and in fact seeing 6 of the 9 proposed issues purchased by the Fed. In a basket which had 27 eligible CUSIPs, this is quite an impressive result.

Below are the details of the bonds suggested by MS would be bought back:

  • 3.25% of 3/31/2017 - eligible, $755 million monetized
  • 3.125% of 1/31/2017 - eligible, $294 million monetized
  • 3.25% of 12/31/2016 - eligible, $315 million monetized
  • 2.75% of 11/30/2016 - eligible, $395 million monetized
  • 3.125% of 4/30/2017 - eligible, $162 million monetized
  • 2.75% of 5/31/2017 - eligible, $158 million monetized
  • 3.125% of 10/31/2016 - eligible
  • 3.0% of 9/30/2016 - eligible
  • 2.375% of 7/31/2017 - eligible

Oddly enough, the biggest repurchased issue, the 3.0% of 2/28/2017 was not on MS' list. Nonetheless, this is truly a spectacular result for all who front-ran the fed based on Morgan Stanley's recommendation.

Those who are curious which issues will most likely be bought back at the next POMO day, on August 24, can see the 10 most eligible issues here.

 

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Thu, 08/19/2010 - 11:39 | 530491 hedgeless_horseman
hedgeless_horseman's picture

1080 is the PPT's mother's honor.  The intern was sent to Sherwinn-Williams to buy all of the 5 gallon buckets of green interior latex--the kind that sticks to tape.  Hope he didn't spend the tax payer's money on a magic bean.

Thu, 08/19/2010 - 11:41 | 530529 turkbevi
turkbevi's picture

Can you explain in layman's terms why the POMO is important to monitor?

Thu, 08/19/2010 - 12:32 | 530665 Noah Vail
Noah Vail's picture

Because that adds or removes money from the "system" if you dare call it that. A.K.A. the grubby hands of bankers.

Thu, 08/19/2010 - 11:42 | 530532 plocequ1
plocequ1's picture

Translation for the simple minded .. Go long AOL and other over valued stocks. Uncle Bens got you covered.

Thu, 08/19/2010 - 11:48 | 530548 firstdivision
firstdivision's picture

Close out all shorts at EOD as tomorrow there is not a single piece of "reality data"(using the term loosely) so it will be pumped come hell or high water. 

Thu, 08/19/2010 - 11:52 | 530559 plocequ1
plocequ1's picture

Spoken like a true Prodigy

Thu, 08/19/2010 - 11:51 | 530557 Cognitive Dissonance
Cognitive Dissonance's picture

And no sooner is "it" done but the market plunges (further) into the abyss.

Thu, 08/19/2010 - 12:00 | 530580 redarrow
redarrow's picture

Got a haircut today waiting for the post POMO bounce. Will never try picking pennies in front of a train....

Thu, 08/19/2010 - 12:26 | 530652 BearOfNH
BearOfNH's picture

Likewise. I have a bunch of short positions and figured some TNA would hedge them come the bounce. Stopped out instead. (NOW watch the bounce come).

 

Thu, 08/19/2010 - 12:34 | 530671 Noah Vail
Noah Vail's picture

So you guys thought you could beat HAL 2000 huh?

Thu, 08/19/2010 - 13:23 | 530796 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

HAL 2000? Hell this is Skynet, bitchez!

Thu, 08/19/2010 - 11:55 | 530569 FASB 666
FASB 666's picture

Morgan Stanley can pick my Keno numbers anytime.

Thu, 08/19/2010 - 14:52 | 531018 TooBearish
TooBearish's picture

Sell side research ROCKS!

Thu, 08/19/2010 - 11:56 | 530570 firstdivision
Thu, 08/19/2010 - 11:56 | 530571 Dr Hackenbush
Dr Hackenbush's picture

whoops FED -backfire

did the fed scare away all shorts today..(?)  No forced buyers to squeeze means this could get rollin' BIG TIME...........

Thu, 08/19/2010 - 13:26 | 530803 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

I always wondered how long their surefire 'we'll squeeze the shorts into oblivion daily' trick would last. Shorts just arent that stupid. Now frontrunning the FED....uh oh.

Thu, 08/19/2010 - 12:03 | 530588 Grand Supercycle
Grand Supercycle's picture

 

The next leg down ...

http://stockmarket618.wordpress.com

Thu, 08/19/2010 - 12:04 | 530590 firstdivision
firstdivision's picture

Darn, and we were sooo close to breaking 1070 :(

Thu, 08/19/2010 - 12:18 | 530638 bada boom
bada boom's picture

How did the boys from the last pomo pump fare?

Thu, 08/19/2010 - 12:30 | 530662 Noah Vail
Noah Vail's picture

How do you get monetization when the Fed is using the interest money from the MBS it holds? If you think Fed is printing money to buy treasuries, kindly provide some justification for this claim.

Thu, 08/19/2010 - 13:41 | 530842 traderjoe
traderjoe's picture

The [Privately Held] Fed created credit (for free) to purchase MBS in the original 'emergency' QE. Said all along it would lower its balance sheet in an exit strategy to be determined later - at least in part by running off the MBS. That was the 'plan'. 

Now it is using the principal payments from the MBS to 'maintain' its 'emergency' balance sheet. So we are still in an emergency 18 months later?

The original MBS purchases were done with free credit printed. Fruit of the poisonous tree...

How could you claim otherwise?

Thu, 08/19/2010 - 13:23 | 530791 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

Hey what happened to the sure-fire POMO pump? Guess this time they decided to chop the bulls horn off in the sure-thing double cross? Dang this is better than The Sting!

Sat, 10/02/2010 - 06:27 | 620572 Herry12
Herry12's picture

There are certainly a lot of details like that to take into consideration.I read and understand the entire article and I really enjoyed it to be honest.
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