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Portugal Sells 12 Month Paper At Disappointing 5.281%, As Germany Holds Another Failed 5 Year Bond Auction

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Wed, 12/01/2010 - 09:20 | 767397 johngaltfla
johngaltfla's picture

Let's see...

China failed bond auction. Check.

Germany failed bond auction. Check.

Next up to bat:

California, Illinois, and New York.

Wed, 12/01/2010 - 09:20 | 767398 Cursive
Cursive's picture

So this is why the ES is up 14 pts?

Wed, 12/01/2010 - 09:29 | 767412 johngaltfla
johngaltfla's picture

Profit taking on dollar strength. The Bubblemedia will say otherwise but I'd be willing to bet there was major intervention in Asia overnight.

Wed, 12/01/2010 - 09:32 | 767421 No Mas
No Mas's picture

Maybe the Challenger report?  Good employment news on that front.

Wed, 12/01/2010 - 09:27 | 767407 john_connor
john_connor's picture

The music doesn't stop playing until a parliament stands up to the bs or people simply overthrow a government.  Let's see what the Irish parliament does.

Wed, 12/01/2010 - 09:27 | 767409 Salinger
Salinger's picture

for any Canadians out there this is a must watch

Carl Weinberg from High Freq Econ  on Canada's GDP


Wed, 12/01/2010 - 09:28 | 767410 malagawatch
malagawatch's picture

Why should one buy bund with 1.73 % if one can get 5 % plus with a back stop of Germany?

Wed, 12/01/2010 - 09:48 | 767460 nonclaim
nonclaim's picture


That will work until one realizes Germany cannot  absorb the spread for much longer.

Wed, 12/01/2010 - 09:47 | 767462 TBT or not TBT
TBT or not TBT's picture

That would be the Germany with such low birth rates it risks depopulation?   That Germany is the backstop for the PIIGS?

Wed, 12/01/2010 - 10:39 | 767607 ElvisDog
ElvisDog's picture

Extrapolating current birth trends forever into the future is foolish. People were predicting in the 1940's that Britain would be de-populated by the year 2000. Didn't happen. The countries with the highest birth rates in 1940 were Russia and Japan. That didn't keep going either. How many people will India have if we extrapolate their current birth rate 100 years into the future?

Wed, 12/01/2010 - 09:30 | 767416 cxl9
cxl9's picture

Once again, the auction increases pressure to find a circuit-breaker to limit the damage

1. Stop borrowing.

2. Default/restructure existing debts.

3. Live within your means.

That is all.


Wed, 12/01/2010 - 09:41 | 767448 vxpatel
vxpatel's picture

"Living within your means' would literally cause an economic collapse, within days of this lideal taking place.

Wed, 12/01/2010 - 10:50 | 767635 ElvisDog
ElvisDog's picture

Bull-oney. Living within our means would cause an economic re-set to a more sustainable level. Is that your definition of "collapse"? Claiming that we can't possible stop piling on ever-increasing amounts of debt is evidence of successful brainwashing on your part.

Wed, 12/01/2010 - 12:27 | 768072 CrashisOptimistic
CrashisOptimistic's picture

That post was correct.  Instantaneous "live within your means" is an instantaneous crush of GDP via government spending cut and tax increase.  Both those paramaters extract money from an economy.   With a destroyed GDP, that's the end of tax revenue and then further spending cuts would be required.  At some point, police are defunded, and then the gangs of 500 come to your personal house and take everything you have, including your life, and since the courts are defunded, they do it with impunity.

So what's the answer?  Who says there's an answer?

Sun, 12/26/2010 - 22:07 | 831085 vxpatel
vxpatel's picture

Your theory being, Americans can control their spending habits?

Good luck with that.

Wed, 12/01/2010 - 09:32 | 767419 bobert
bobert's picture

As Portugal goes so to the US (eventually).

Wed, 12/01/2010 - 09:38 | 767438 snowball777
snowball777's picture

Livin' mighty high on the hog, PIIglet...keep that gold safe, Portugal.

Wed, 12/01/2010 - 09:48 | 767456 bob_dabolina
bob_dabolina's picture


time to short the euro and /es?

Wed, 12/01/2010 - 09:48 | 767465 TBT or not TBT
TBT or not TBT's picture

on it.

Wed, 12/01/2010 - 10:01 | 767487 trav7777
trav7777's picture

Germany's troubles with bonds is admission that the sophisticated players see an end to growth.

Economic activity transitioning from growth to "within means" will make GDP look like the oil price chart.  We will have to fall much further before bouncing back to the new normal

Wed, 12/01/2010 - 11:21 | 767720 firstdivision
firstdivision's picture

I am waiting for out bond offerings to fail as now yeilds are reaching out for that tow line to the moon.  We are nearing 3% on 10y

Wed, 12/01/2010 - 11:43 | 767824 gwar5
gwar5's picture

Maybe Bernanke should diversify and buy some nice Portuguese bonds with higher returns.

What could go wrong?

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