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And risk no. 1 is........(drum roll)
THE AMERICAN SOVEREIGN DEBT CRISIS!!
There is only one China risk. When will America slam the door shut? End of list.
America slammed the door shut ..on its own people, on the law and on common sense.
Common sense says cheating , stealing and lying comes to a bad end. To brag that one is "doing Gods work" reminds me of the old adage that "pride comes before a fall".
Inevitably the system, the government and the currency will fall because of thet simple thing, honesty and the present lack of it.
Whoa, where is the oil price shock at +36 months? China now consumes more oil than the USA. The demand for oil China places on world-wide consumption will be a true turning point for peak oil which has not been able to rise above 86 million barrels per day.
The mid-east is hooked on thier own product... $0.25 a gallon gas for the Kingdom. Power Production, Electric... Pump Fuel, 93 octane... that is a snap shot of one Country. Sweet Ligth Crude is / has peaked...
Don't get me wrong, there is lots of oil... just not lots of $70 bbl... more like $200+ bbl... $300 bbl... thusly trade is a joke... thusly protectionism will shine thru, war.. trade or other.
Here in Canada eh we have shitload of polluting oil that is worth extracting at ~80$/bbl. After the BP accident, the Alberta government did some lobbying saying our shit is less polluting that your shit. We however have a extracting cap at ~2millions bbl/day.
Conclusion #1: Yes we do live in this world
Conclusion #2: Don't worry, the US will be just fine but don't attack us for our oil or we'll kick your ass *cough* Ann Coulter being first *cough*
China consumes way less oil per capita than the USA. Yes, they are a lot of people and therefore the toal has gone up, but per capita the USA still beats China big time.
very nice Tyler... Thank You!
Lo Pan didn't make the top 10 list?
A property tax is a great way to immediately burst that bubble, and make the people of China even less free.
Just another silly G-ddamned China metric. For anyone that cares this barbarian used to work for BOC before anyone was IN China. Even the biggest PLA SOE and State banks can't even use a database consistantly to provide straight data, let alone navigate it through the bureaucracies in a timely manner - and thats only for the 20% of the developed country. They are getting better and should be feared, but the fact that someone has to provide a facade of this kind of analysis says how open the economy is. If it was the 1870's in the American Old West, would believe a stack of papers or the gun fights in the streets to get a lay of the land? Just as an aside, considering all those metrics are diverging simultaneously - the net sum of all those numbers nears ZERO. Now THAT'S a trend! If you are going to hand your money to Morgan Stanley for China, you might as well just go to Vegas and bet on Black or Red (thats a CR joke). You want to make some China money. Start 10 years of junkets, get some wonk laid by a toothless blond, learn the language and watch some Chinese grad student trained in America get $1MM to take your technology and business model out of your hands overnight All those armchair quants in Greenwhich will never penetrate the culture. I swear to G-d, I'll reach through the Internets and choke the bitchez that use the term "middle kingdom." Read a treatise about feudal Europe, get a couple new style Chinese girlfriends and pretend that Israel has a population of 1.3 billion. Then you will understand the work cut out for you.
I suspect its even murkier than that - but, no worries: a large number of big, western banks are convinced that China is the wave of the future...heck, even some American punditryis wondering why we don't set up a Politburo and start getting some of that swell Chinese management here in the US of A.
A giant on pencil thin legs - that is what China is. Pray for eastern Asia when the crash comes.
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Can't wait to see risk 4 to happen! :)
GIVE ME THE MONEY!!
Well, I feel better. Looking at this, none of the threats are within 3 months. Nothing is red. I can relax, China is all good. Right?
the party had decided to confirm your assumption. All is good.
They missed the US debt crisis next to the European
DOW/S&P500/FTSE/EURO short signal continues:
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