From Quantitative Easing To Stagflation?

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Wed, 11/03/2010 - 03:14 | 695241 alexwest
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well you know you didn't discover UFO..

#disturbing piece of information is that the U.S. economy is still smaller than it was w

who gives s a fuck about GDP.. federal income taxes  still 20% below peak..

corp taxes still 50% below peak.. SS is in red for 1st time since  Reagan..

 

so if recovery why people/corp dont  pay more taxes???

alx

Tue, 11/02/2010 - 22:13 | 694937 RockyRacoon
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Jobs, jobs, jobs.   Whatever happened to that?

Tue, 11/02/2010 - 20:34 | 694713 eigenvalue
eigenvalue's picture

When the liquidity goes into creating asset bubble(s), inflation is not created?

This is also rubbish. First of all, how do you define assets? Are houses also assets? If so, when house prices rise, rents tend to follow. Rents will go into the price tags and make you pay more. Just go and look at the history. How exorbitant were things in Tokyo in 1989 and are now in China!

As for the stock market, do you know the so-called "wealth effect"? A rising stock market would stimulate consumption. What saved the US from inflation in the 1990s were globalisation (e.g cheap labour in China and India) and the cheap oil price because of the Russian financial crisis. Do you think the US will be lucky again when the two factors are gone?

Tue, 11/02/2010 - 20:21 | 694677 eigenvalue
eigenvalue's picture

However, my observation is that Beijing most likely is putting a priority on averting a nasty and prolonged recession by turning the entire nation into a gigantic construction site.   

This is rubbish. Do you know how Chinese local officials are evaluated? The most important imput is the local GDP figure! Construction is the fastest way to ramp up the GDP figure?Besides, most of the top officials' families are involved in real estate development (just go and google about Wen's family business). Do you think Beijing would try to avert a recession whole-heartedly? The term of the current administration in Beijing is gonna end in 2012. Only 2 years left. Hu, Wen and others are trying to maintain the status quo not introducing any harsh reforms.

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