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Question: What Do You Get When You Mix "Do Good" With "Someone Else's Checkbook"?

Marla Singer's picture




Answer: Negative One Hundred Billion Dollars.

That's a rough estimate of operating losses at Fannie Mae in the last six quarters.  It should be obvious to anyone paying attention that no entity without direct government patronage or some other means of insulating itself from the real world would be permitted to destroy value with such abandon before some radical intervention was imposed.  Remember that car company, the one we got all up in arms about after "massive losses."  We turned off the spigot (sort of) on that one after a "mere" $29.7 billion loss in six quarters.

 

(source: Bloomberg)

 

So why is it that with three times the losses in the same relative time period we are even discussing handing Fannie $15 billion more to toss to the four winds of "the right thing to do"?  That it is even brought up as a possibility should literally offend the senses. What other firm in "conservatorship" would ever be permitted a sustained multi-billion dollar loss like this?  Perhaps the "conservator" has some other idea about the meaning of the words "conserve" or "conservation" than the rest of the planet.  (Perhaps he/she is part of the green movement?)  Oh, wait...

9/7/08: US GOVT ASSIGNS FHFA (The Federal Housing Finance Agency) TO ACT AS CONSERVATOR. [Bloomberg]

...never mind.

 

(source: Bloomberg)


The answer to these questions is actually quite obvious.  Fannie, and its cohorts, are not firms.  They are literally policy instruments of the federal government and, more recently, the Federal Housing Authority- newly christened as the latest "lender of last resort".  By the way, if you don't appreciate the irony in a term like "lender of last resort" in an environment where the government can create new ones at will, well, we're not sure quite what to do with you.  We also aren't quite sure when these entities will hit the Chandrasekhar limit and begin sucking the rest of the economy through the event horizon of sovereign default, but the warping of financial space-time nearby suggests that we are getting close.  Then again, objects near the event horizon can appear frozen due to time dilation.  Perhaps we've passed it already.

Whatever the case, this must finally end.  Let's hope it is not in tears... or in the dollar's rapid spaghettification.  (Oops.  Too late)




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Fri, 11/06/2009 - 14:06 | Link to Comment chumbawamba
chumbawamba's picture

Hey Marla!  It's Bank Failure Friday!  What do you have on deck for us this weekend?  Perhaps a set that celebrates the regularity of announcing bank implosions after the newshounds have all gone home for the weekend would be appropo.

I am Chumbawamba.

Fri, 11/06/2009 - 14:27 | Link to Comment geopol
geopol's picture

I think that would be nice, good for the digestion!!

 

BTW 13 Banks tonight....

Fri, 11/06/2009 - 14:34 | Link to Comment earnyermoney
earnyermoney's picture

9 banks / $ 900 million hit to the DIF

Fri, 11/06/2009 - 14:44 | Link to Comment Careless Whisper
Careless Whisper's picture

here's my over-under

7 banks / 2 states

 

Fri, 11/06/2009 - 14:54 | Link to Comment curbyourrisk
curbyourrisk's picture

2 states, huh?

How about 2 cities a few counties and ...ok...2 states.

Baltimore and Houston will eventually concede they are toast - pensions gonna swallow them whole.

Fri, 11/06/2009 - 14:18 | Link to Comment Fish Gone Bad
Fish Gone Bad's picture

Time for bonuses all around!

Fri, 11/06/2009 - 14:38 | Link to Comment geopol
geopol's picture

I'll be on the next plane!!

Fri, 11/06/2009 - 14:21 | Link to Comment Cognitive Dissonance
Cognitive Dissonance's picture

OK, I'll embarrass myself once again and ask the question.

Where is the outrage?

Fri, 11/06/2009 - 14:30 | Link to Comment chumbawamba
chumbawamba's picture

It got shorted.  What is the cost of CDS on outrage these days anyway?

I am Chumbawamba.

Fri, 11/06/2009 - 14:35 | Link to Comment geopol
geopol's picture

Tough to mobilize a country that's on the dole...Bottom feeders feel great..

Example. Safelink cell phones free if your on welfare or food stamps.+100 mins free....Are you sick yet..

https://www.safelinkwireless.com/EnrollmentPublic/home.aspx

Fri, 11/06/2009 - 14:50 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Fri, 11/06/2009 - 14:52 | Link to Comment Mad Max
Mad Max's picture

Yes, I just puked after reading that.  And in my zip code it's only 68 free minutes/month.

It's past time to "go Galt."  Could we be the first country where the underground economy is the well-educated, skilled and mostly financially better off people?

Fri, 11/06/2009 - 14:58 | Link to Comment geopol
geopol's picture

Only 68 mins in your zip, hummmm Must be an upscale neighborhood.

Fri, 11/06/2009 - 14:20 | Link to Comment Assetman
Assetman's picture

So why is it that with three times the losses in the same relative time period we are even discussing handing Fannie $15 billion more to toss to the four winds of "the right thing to do"? 

Because... let me get my cheat sheet selling points... came directly from Larry Summers... Diet Coke stain and all... ah... here you go Ms. Singer... "we are handing Fannie Mae whatever it needs, because if we didn't do it there would be Financial Armageddon all over again".

Don't you know that there's a $ ba-jillion in interest rates swaps riding on this???  Do you want the collapse of the Interest Rate Swap market-- and by extention-- the core of out financial system-- to totally unravel?

Why am I asking these questions????

Fri, 11/06/2009 - 18:53 | Link to Comment Rusty_Shackleford
Rusty_Shackleford's picture

Good one.

 

"What are we supposed to do?  Nothing?!?!"

 

 

Fri, 11/06/2009 - 14:34 | Link to Comment ghostfaceinvestah
ghostfaceinvestah's picture

The govt is propping up Fannie and Freddie (and the FHA) because that is their back door way to own a significant portion of the housing stock in this country.

Fri, 11/06/2009 - 14:41 | Link to Comment SloSquez
SloSquez's picture

Bingo!

Fri, 11/06/2009 - 14:52 | Link to Comment Mad Max
Mad Max's picture

Bingo, x2.  And I think the Fed's indirect purchase of the whole stock market is with similar aims.  America's going to wake up from its coma in a few years and find that it's a new fascist/socialist hybrid with a small coterie of banksters owning and running everything.

Fri, 11/06/2009 - 18:51 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Fri, 11/06/2009 - 14:58 | Link to Comment tradertim
tradertim's picture

i agree ghost..i believe what is happening is completely intentional and has nothing to do with safe guarding the financial system. the new 'deed for lease' program is another example of the eventual ownership of the majority of america by the government. both real estate and the financial system. if anyone watches glen beck, he made the case last week that we can't and won't pay off our debts to the chinese, but what our government will have as collateral will be gold, real estate, oil and our banking system. just keep watching how everything our government is doing is the slow process of accumulating collateral.

Fri, 11/06/2009 - 18:59 | Link to Comment chumbawamba
chumbawamba's picture

Oh, well if Glenn Beck says it's true then it must be.  Anyone who gets paid to shill for the corporatist elite on Fox News has my confidence and respect.

I am Chumbawamba.

Fri, 11/06/2009 - 15:04 | Link to Comment geopol
geopol's picture

 All headed for Neo Feudalism..

Fri, 11/06/2009 - 15:15 | Link to Comment Mad Max
Mad Max's picture

Are we all the victims of a neo-con?

Fri, 11/06/2009 - 15:24 | Link to Comment geopol
geopol's picture

Samuel P. Huntington Clash of Civilizations,  PNAC We need a catalyzing event,

 

Now thats a rouges gallery....

Fri, 11/06/2009 - 15:46 | Link to Comment tip e. canoe
tip e. canoe's picture

"Today, we are all potentially a HOMO SACER, and the only way to prevent actually becoming one is to act preventively."  -slavoj zizek

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Giorgio_Agamben#Homo_Sacer:_Sovereign_Power...

 

Fri, 11/06/2009 - 15:38 | Link to Comment DaveyJones
DaveyJones's picture

It's so incestuous, asinine and surreal, it's more like Family Feudalism with B.O. as the game show host

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zdVuEpD9_IY

Fri, 11/06/2009 - 14:37 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Fri, 11/06/2009 - 19:12 | Link to Comment chumbawamba
chumbawamba's picture

Well, when someone like Glen Beck has a mass following then what do you expect?  When someone like GW Bush can not only get elected for president, but then re-elected, what do you expect?  When a mediocre boob like Obama can get elected president because he has adequate diction, what do you expect?

I mean, seriously, what the fuck do you expect?  THIS IS AMERICA.

I am Chumbawamba.

Fri, 11/06/2009 - 14:43 | Link to Comment lizzy36
lizzy36's picture

Clearly not a lot of money spent on risk managment @ FNM....

 

Fannie Mae Files $15.8 Billion in Claims in Lehman Bankruptcy

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=aTDOQtaju7rI&pos=7

Fri, 11/06/2009 - 15:30 | Link to Comment aldousd
aldousd's picture

I can remember somewhere around last November, the media, the congress, Paul Krugman, and the presidential candidates were spouting things along the lines of "Listen, nobody cares about Moral Hazard, we have bigger things to worry about now..."  I wonder why I never could agree with any of them about that.

Fri, 11/06/2009 - 14:46 | Link to Comment Careless Whisper
Fri, 11/06/2009 - 14:47 | Link to Comment berlinjames02
berlinjames02's picture

Did you all see Congress extended the $8,000 tax credit yesterday, as well as unemployment benefits?

 (http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2009/11/05/AR2009110505439.html )

How else would the government shoot par on the course if they don't support FNM/FRE/FHA?

Fri, 11/06/2009 - 14:48 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Fri, 11/06/2009 - 14:56 | Link to Comment Assetman
Fri, 11/06/2009 - 15:27 | Link to Comment DaveyJones
DaveyJones's picture

close, that's "do me good"

Fri, 11/06/2009 - 14:57 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Fri, 11/06/2009 - 15:11 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Fri, 11/06/2009 - 15:02 | Link to Comment Comrade de Chaos
Comrade de Chaos's picture

you get... foolocracy . Not sure how else to label the current socioeconomic structure.

Fri, 11/06/2009 - 15:03 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Fri, 11/06/2009 - 15:37 | Link to Comment Daedal
Daedal's picture

I dunno guys, looks like a healthy/growing economy to me: http://www.fdic.gov/bank/individual/failed/banklist.html

Fri, 11/06/2009 - 15:44 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Fri, 11/06/2009 - 15:51 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Fri, 11/06/2009 - 16:10 | Link to Comment lizzy36
lizzy36's picture

AIG goes back for the 976th lifeline ....... 

$4.2B so in AIG terms more of a rounding error.

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=aTiA9ccD.IoE&pos=4

Fri, 11/06/2009 - 16:40 | Link to Comment ghostfaceinvestah
ghostfaceinvestah's picture

Note that their revenues were down, it appears, like with GM and Chrysler, there are still some patriots out there who refuse to do business with these bailout firms.

Fri, 11/06/2009 - 17:22 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Fri, 11/06/2009 - 17:56 | Link to Comment deadhead
deadhead's picture

one of your best pieces of writing to date Marla....i'm laughing so hard but i should be crying for my children's future.

 

Fri, 11/06/2009 - 18:11 | Link to Comment Hephasteus
Hephasteus's picture

I always promise to do good things with other peoples money because I've found out that if you tell them you want to do bad things with it. They won't GIVE IT TO YOU!!

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