• Econophile
    03/18/2010 - 13:42
    We think that China is an indestructible economic juggernaut but its economy is very fragile and it is sitting on a property bubble which will burst. What China does in response has major implications for their economy and the rest of the world. This is the third part of a three-part series on this topic: The Consequences.
  • Reggie Middleton
    03/18/2010 - 07:54
    The Greek saga continues, exactly as was anticipated. For all of those who don't regularly read me, this is really not about Greece but about the start of either default or significant depression throughout a large swath of the Eurozone. Greece is the firestarter and it looks as if we are starting to burn...

Real Unemployment Hits 17.5%, Up From 17% In September

Tyler Durden's picture




The ever increasing unemployed are buying Kindles to read all about their predicament.

5
Your rating: None Average: 5 (3 votes)



by E pluribus unum
on Fri, 11/06/2009 - 08:42
#122051

Do these people count? REAL AMERICANS always have jobs.

by Anonymous
on Fri, 11/06/2009 - 09:50
#122169

82.5 percent of working Americans are employed.

I don't see a problem here....

by Anonymous
on Fri, 11/06/2009 - 10:52
#122253

You must be employed and own a house. Good luck.

by snorkeler
on Fri, 11/06/2009 - 16:38
#122830

???  Did you have a point to make???????

by Keyser Soze
on Fri, 11/06/2009 - 08:48
#122062

Time to buy. CNBC will be sure to point out the lagging nature of jobs.

by assumptionblindness
on Fri, 11/06/2009 - 09:06
#122095

Mark Haynes is all over it

by Oxytan
on Fri, 11/06/2009 - 08:49
#122063

If we extrapolate the trend it will be 100% by 2012.

by curbyourrisk
on Fri, 11/06/2009 - 09:17
#122118

2012....will it really matter then?

 

by thebone
on Fri, 11/06/2009 - 08:51
#122070

As long as the bank of obama keeps extending unemployment benefits, who gives a shit? Nobody is working, but everyone is still getting paid.

 

by Careless Whisper
on Fri, 11/06/2009 - 08:54
#122075

dewd, those unemployment bennies amount to taxi fare in nyc. 

by Anonymous
on Fri, 11/06/2009 - 09:18
#122120

Yea thebone that $3-400 bones a week is going to make Americans into American'ts. With all that gov't cheese after buying a ferrari and a new rolex they might even be able to buy some food for their kids.

Dope.

by Anonymous
on Fri, 11/06/2009 - 08:52
#122072

According to CNBC this is a positive! Yep, 1 in 5 Americans un or under employed, having too much debt and not enough cash to pay the basics is always great. If you want an armed revolt...

Here's a clue: it's about job creation (not gov't make work nonsense, but real job creation). How about tax credits for hiring or letting "rich" folks keep more money and let it "trickle down." F^*&* healthcare.

by Anonymous
on Fri, 11/06/2009 - 09:33
#122146

Exactly. The only thing wrong with this nation is oppressive tax rates on the uber wealthy. And all this talk of regulation! I am only for regulation if it does not apply to the rich and connected. The wealthy create jobs! In other words, we will die of starvation if high income earners pay logical tax rates! That is why we must genuflect before them -- and fellate them!

by Problem Is
on Fri, 11/06/2009 - 13:32
#122529

Is that you Lloyd and Jamie? Or is it your male secretaries?

I would think you guys were busy with all the looting...

Only the anonymous knows for sure...

by lizzy36
on Fri, 11/06/2009 - 08:57
#122077

Change You Can Believe In

And in other news Hermes is expecting a strong Christmas after a 4.2% increase in sales (fx adjusted) in q3.

Looks like the bankers bonuses are going to be spent buying their wives and girlfriends (likely both) new Birkins for Christmas.

If memory serves in March the White House expected unemployment to peak @ 8.3%. Wasn't stimulus 1.0 going to prevent @ 10% print? Perhaps stimulus 2.0 will prevent @ 15% print?

 

by Anonymous
on Fri, 11/06/2009 - 09:02
#122085

As W said, this dancing does not have a clue. So, let's forgive him.

by Anonymous
on Fri, 11/06/2009 - 09:04
#122089

Correction:

As W said, this dancing cat does not have a clue. So let's forgive him.

by Sqworl
on Fri, 11/06/2009 - 09:30
#122141

As I say, this Dog's dancing up a storm!!!

http://www.liveleak.com/view?i=650_1257390788

by Sancho Ponzi
on Fri, 11/06/2009 - 09:46
#122161

Paul (I've never had a real job) Krugman is whining for Stimulus II - what a shocker. 

http://www.nytimes.com/2009/11/06/opinion/06krugman.html?hp

'And more is needed. Yes, the economy grew fairly fast in the third quarter — but not fast enough to make significant progress on jobs. And there’s little reason to expect things to look better going forward. The stimulus has already had its maximum effect on growth.'

by Anonymous
on Fri, 11/06/2009 - 10:50
#122252

"The stimulus has already had its maximum effect on growth."

Well, if we are going to be seeing diminishing returns going forward, that means we should cancel "Stimulus I," right? Right?

What's really laughable about Krug's analysis is the "growth" was almost entirely due to Cash 4 Clunkers and the First-Time Sucker's, er, Homebuyer's Credit which has helped to artificially keep home prices high. None of the other spending has had a lick of difference on GDP because the states have been using it to cover up their budget shortfalls.

Obama's team is also talking about the possibility of a second stimulus, even though they won't call it that to avoid getting blasted for incompetence. Campaign slogan in 2008: "Hope and Change!" Slogan in 2012: "We'll Get It Right the Second Time, We Promise!"

by spades434
on Fri, 11/06/2009 - 08:57
#122079

As a couple of my unemployed (and couldn't give them a job if you tried) tenents said to me...."Alll rightttt!!! Gonna get me some more of that Obama money !!!"

 As long as you keep the bottom feeders happy, and they are growing in number, things will get progressively worse for all those who have a job and are fighting to survive.

by Anonymous
on Fri, 11/06/2009 - 09:18
#122119

so how would things look if those 15.7 Million bottom feeders had zero cash flow? A whole lot better, right? You have got to be kidding me.

by Bob
on Fri, 11/06/2009 - 09:36
#122149

Not to mention those who feed on the bottom feeders (did I miss some intentional irony in your post?), working their poor fingers to the bone on things of real value, e.g., stock trading. 

Good to hear that GS isn't alone in exploiting opportunity . . . God Bless America. 

Yo, dawg, you may be underestimating those loser tenants, though--try offering them a job posting for you.  You might be pleasantly surprised!

You're right: You shouldn't have to do all the hard work. 

by spades434
on Fri, 11/06/2009 - 09:55
#122181

Intentional irony? Nope.

An abundance of ASSumptions on your part? Yes.

by Bob
on Fri, 11/06/2009 - 10:24
#122219

You'll be returning at least a portion of the illicit rent money to the Treasury, then?

Peace Out (gotta work now.) 

by Sam Malone
on Fri, 11/06/2009 - 11:18
#122280

Spade434 nails it. No one is even checking on whether the unemployed are looking for jobs anymore (that used to be a prerequisite for continued $$ assistance from Uncle Sam). There is an abundance of folks who would be unemployed regardless of the job outlook…this is turning into de facto welfare and perhaps the best way to stem it is by turning off the faucet. Money (and its absence) is a great motivator.

by cbxer55
on Fri, 11/06/2009 - 11:47
#122326

I have been unemployed for 11 months, and so far my records of my job search have been asked for one time. SO, auditing layed off folks records is probably done randomly. If you do get a letter asking you to show up with your proof, ya better have it. If ya don't, you will have to pay back all the money you have received so far, and will get no more.

Anyways, I am starting a job at Tinker AFB on 11/16. So looks like my unemployed days are over. 8>)

by Bob
on Fri, 11/06/2009 - 12:10
#122361

Am I missing something fundamental in this argument, which seems to hold that more people looking for jobs would create more jobs--regardless of whether we call the alternative welfare or "job benefits"? 

Sure, the prospect of starvation would push many into action, but just what would this do for employment?  Or is the unstated supposition that the population needs to be culled of slackers and losers?

 

by snorkeler
on Fri, 11/06/2009 - 16:42
#122835

"No one is even checking on whether the unemployed are looking for jobs anymore "

Sam, how do you know this?

Nice hair by the way.

by Racer
on Fri, 11/06/2009 - 09:00
#122081

No worries, people don't count, jobs don't matter... this is a casino run by GS and they will push the market up to end higher on the day... they will use it to lure more shorts in to get burned again

by fatjezus
on Fri, 11/06/2009 - 09:02
#122084

request for 2nd stimulus is on its way.

by curbyourrisk
on Fri, 11/06/2009 - 09:19
#122123

Correction:  DEMAND for 2nd stimulus is on its way.

 

The same people that elected this frootloop will be sticking their hand out once again...asking to pay their rent, their heating bills and for their abortions.

by NYPoke
on Fri, 11/06/2009 - 10:21
#122216

Well, dang.  We all got new Golf Carts.  WE NEED NEW CLUBS...NOW.

by aldousd
on Fri, 11/06/2009 - 12:48
#122427

haha, I guess that's what they mean by Aggregate Demand. The Aggregate of folks without free money Demand it from the government.

by Racer
on Fri, 11/06/2009 - 09:03
#122086

Hmm, now I wonder how the stress test is faring with these numbers?

But that won't matter when they squeeze the new shorts

by Ivanovich
on Fri, 11/06/2009 - 09:04
#122088

Futures back in the green!  Up we go!

by Anonymous
on Fri, 11/06/2009 - 09:09
#122098

Those unemployed all become day traders.

by thebone
on Fri, 11/06/2009 - 09:06
#122093

$500/week is a little more than a nyc cab fare. Not exactly rolling in the dough, but its enough to subside people for 18-24 months if you have a little cash on the side. I know people who have been unemployed for 18 months and haven't even gotten off the couch to start looking. Why work when you can get paid to do nothing and still get by.....Not my philosophy, but just saying...

by Anonymous
on Fri, 11/06/2009 - 09:37
#122150

you're a complete stupid shit....and you're too
stupid for me to even explain your stupid ass
analysis...

by Sam Malone
on Fri, 11/06/2009 - 11:25
#122286

So it's safe to assume you're unemployed?

by snorkeler
on Fri, 11/06/2009 - 16:44
#122837

122150, tell us what is really bothering you?

Or is it something with your meds?

by Anonymous
on Fri, 11/06/2009 - 09:08
#122097

17.5% real unemployment, being paid by government thank God, since that keeps the rabble off the streets ... but nobody mentions the additional 10% of the population that's in jail ... so we're effetively paying to keep almost 30% off the streets, figuratively and literally.

Oh yeah, this is sustainable.

by Anonymous
on Fri, 11/06/2009 - 09:13
#122108

1+

by sondog
on Fri, 11/06/2009 - 09:23
#122132

10% in jail? No. Do you need to borrow my google for a few minutes maybe?

by Anonymous
on Fri, 11/06/2009 - 09:10
#122103

When you add the 10% of the population in jail to the 17.5% getting unemployment, we're paying to keep almost 30% of the people off the streets and in front of television sets. Sustainable economics, this...

by Anonymous
on Fri, 11/06/2009 - 20:41
#123138

You forget to count the senior citizen on social security paycheck.

by palper
on Fri, 11/06/2009 - 09:12
#122106

Ritholz on why the markets will be going up on bad news...

http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/2009/11/non-farm-payroll-preview/

 

 

 

by MsCreant
on Fri, 11/06/2009 - 10:11
#122199

TBTF = Welfare

People on Welfare have a time limit, and then they have to get off of it. What is the time limit for corporations on welfare?

by Remus
on Fri, 11/06/2009 - 09:13
#122109

I think this will bring on the waterfall

by Racer
on Fri, 11/06/2009 - 09:15
#122114

no chance, PPT just gave GS the green light and lots of free money to gun it higher

by geopol
on Fri, 11/06/2009 - 09:16
#122117

John Williams Calculations.

 

http://www.shadowstats.com/alternate_data

 

by snorkeler
on Fri, 11/06/2009 - 16:46
#122843

20% to 22% would be my guess

by JackTheTrader
on Fri, 11/06/2009 - 09:19
#122122

The unemployed here in Wisconsin are using their $330.00 a week check to buy call options on GS.

by Anonymous
on Fri, 11/06/2009 - 09:21
#122129

Isn't this what the bank stress tests feared?

by pezhead
on Fri, 11/06/2009 - 09:22
#122131

for (Iterator banksters=collection.iterator(); banksters.hasNext(); ) {
Object bankster = banksters.next();
bankster.action( action.gotoJail );
}

Bernanke.action( action.gotoJail );
Geithner.action( action.gotoJail );
Paulson.action( action.gotoJail );
Bush.action( action.gotoJail );
...

by sondog
on Fri, 11/06/2009 - 09:31
#122144

Uh mostly humans use this site. Typical of a programmer to program something of no use and then be proud of the efficiency of the code.

 

You could just say "Send Bernanke, Geithner, Paulson and Bush to jail." and you would have saved on having to code at all and would more effectively communicated your point.

 

Also, those people aren't all really "banksters" or "bankers".

by Anonymous
on Fri, 11/06/2009 - 09:39
#122152

go fuck yourself bitch

by Anonymous
on Fri, 11/06/2009 - 11:45
#122322

I liked it. New language. No longer Javascript... now Obamascript.

The old english major sondog needs to settle a bit.

by aldousd
on Fri, 11/06/2009 - 12:53
#122444

I'm a programmer, I get it. True enough that sondog overreacted, but there is a good point and lesson in all of this: Programmers and business people mean different things when they say efficient.  Perhaps now it's less of a mystery why entrepreneurs who invent things make bad CEO's much of the time... (Maybe the failure to realize this and act on it is why 85% of new small businesses fail!)

by sondog
on Fri, 11/06/2009 - 13:59
#122590

Oh I program too (not sure I'd call myself a programmer as it's only about 1/3 of my job but I digress...) and I was just bustin his balls while I waited for the market to open and rejoice in all the good news.

 

Give me a break. I'm short financials for the last 2 months or so.

by snorkeler
on Fri, 11/06/2009 - 16:48
#122845

I don't think sondog over reacted at all. I sure do think 122152 did though.

by Racer
on Fri, 11/06/2009 - 09:25
#122134

Now just imagine how bad the numbers would be if Obama hadn't saved all those jobs!

by Jewelsnorth
on Fri, 11/06/2009 - 09:27
#122137

Someone let Kudlow that Goldilocks is looking for a job. Perhaps they'll be an opening for her soon at Comcast in that 7pm slot.

by Brett in Manhattan
on Fri, 11/06/2009 - 09:30
#122143

I tuned into Kudlow for a few minutes, last night. The first words out of his mouth were, "I've been bullish all year!"

Does this man have any self-awareness? He's been bullish all year, EVERY YEAR!

by gossamer
on Fri, 11/06/2009 - 09:28
#122138

U-6 @17.5%

S&P PE @ 140+  Thanks to the man behind the curtain.

The Squid paying record bonuses.

Green shoots abound.

How does it get any better than this???

It's a great day to be a sheep.  baaaa  baaaa

by snorkeler
on Fri, 11/06/2009 - 16:50
#122847

Lamb chops for all this holiday season!

by Racer
on Fri, 11/06/2009 - 09:30
#122142

V shape recovery anyone?

 

V as in Very long that is?

by TraderMark
on Fri, 11/06/2009 - 09:39
#122153

Apples to apples to how we measured unemployment in the late 70s, early 90s we are now in mid teens, about 14.2%.

http://www.fundmymutualfund.com/2009/11/official-unemployment-rate-hits-...

 

Why the stock market is not surging on all these "costs" being washed away is beyond me.  This only means higher profits and easy money for as long as the eye can see.  Also more stimuli!

 

Celebrate people.  the Asians do our work, and we get to shop.  What's not to love?

by JamesBrrando
on Fri, 11/06/2009 - 09:41
#122155

lol

"lagging" but keeps going up and getting worse....

by rhinotrader
on Fri, 11/06/2009 - 09:41
#122156

Look at this mkt rip back up, up 1% in 7 minutes. Up 150 pts today

 

by pbmatthews
on Fri, 11/06/2009 - 09:44
#122158

Who needs a job?

Just get a Fannie Mae mortgage, stop paying on it, and you can live rent free for the next year.

At the end of the year, go get another Fannie Mae mortgage and start the process all over again.

Work is so passe.

by pbmatthews
on Fri, 11/06/2009 - 09:45
#122159

Who needs a job?

Just get a Fannie Mae mortgage, stop paying on it, and you can live rent free for the next year.

At the end of the year, go get another Fannie Mae mortgage and start the process all over again.

Work is so passe.

by Plainview
on Fri, 11/06/2009 - 09:46
#122162

market's just tracking GE tick-for-tick .... genius.

by Racer
on Fri, 11/06/2009 - 09:52
#122171

Announcement just out... the world is ending in 5 days... Dow soars 20,000 points on the news

by mdtrader
on Fri, 11/06/2009 - 09:53
#122174

Continuing to make the right shoulder of a H&S top on the SPX.

by Anonymous
on Fri, 11/06/2009 - 19:48
#123101

Looking at it too. Undid my shorts one day late and lost most of the gain since the H... So rigged I wonder why I lose time betting. Expect the right shoulder to be higher though, cause of the ongoing printing... That's where the inflation is already showing. Bubble-inflation?!

by Brett in Manhattan
on Fri, 11/06/2009 - 09:55
#122179

Hmmmm, what kind of rationalization will the media provide if the market ends the day green?

"The market rose today on the expectation that a worse-than-anticipated jobs report will spur lawmakers to pass a second stimulus bill."

by Racer
on Fri, 11/06/2009 - 09:57
#122186

the madness of crowds

by Ben Graham Redux
on Fri, 11/06/2009 - 09:59
#122190

It was a good number.  The previous two revisions make this a relatively good number.  I expect the market to close up on the day.

by Anonymous
on Fri, 11/06/2009 - 10:09
#122198

Please expand on "relatively good number"? Not bashing, would truly like to know...

by Ben Graham Redux
on Fri, 11/06/2009 - 10:39
#122234

Anon,

August and September were revised up by a combined 90K which takes a lot of the bite out of the 209K number.  The net number "beats" Street estimates. 

by tallystick
on Fri, 11/06/2009 - 14:44
#122651

Gotta love the birth death model jobs.

by mdtrader
on Fri, 11/06/2009 - 10:18
#122206

All I want is a head and shoulders for Christmas lol!

http://highfrequency.tumblr.com/

Oh there's a treat for Elisha Cuthbert fans too, scroll down and check out the high frequency vremix. Hot as Hell.

by Racer
on Fri, 11/06/2009 - 10:18
#122211

With a fifth of the population out of work I am sure the economy can recover in an extremely quick fashion, after all it isn't as if they are the ones with all the money is it? The banksters will do all the spending with their fat bonuses. Just think how lucky we are to have them sort things out for us

by Anonymous
on Fri, 11/06/2009 - 10:20
#122214

Here are some interesting facts. The three things .gov can do to create stimulis are: food stamps (1.73), extending unemplyment benefits (1.64) and infrastructure (1.59). The three that have the most negative returns: accelerated depreciation (.27), permanent income tax cuts (.29) and a corporate tax cut (.30). Hell, a paroll tax goliday creates 1.29!

Keep trading suckers...

Milton Friedman's Ghost

by Paul S.
on Fri, 11/06/2009 - 10:29
#122225

Dow and S&P both in the green.  Today is the apex of moronia.

by Paul S.
on Fri, 11/06/2009 - 10:41
#122236

Don't laugh when you read some of these economists take on the U #'s.

Here is my favorite:

  • Cyclical recovery is evident as job gains rise in temporary help and education/health and smaller job losses in retail and financial services. Turn in the labor market is very evident. Do expect job gains in 2010. –John Silvia, Wells Fargo

http://blogs.wsj.com/economics/2009/11/06/economists-react-conflicting-s...

 

by You Cant Handle...
on Fri, 11/06/2009 - 10:56
#122258

We can either spend trillions (1) on banks or (2) on temporary jobs to put people back to work, as FDR did.  Choice (1) has lead to banks throwing their money into the casino.  Sooner or later we'll end up on #2, but how many people will be fucked over in the meantime?

by Bob
on Fri, 11/06/2009 - 11:14
#122275

A whole lot, I suspect.  Slackers not looking for work is being blamed by the brilliantly ignorant for the lack of jobs and the "eliminate the minimum wage and entitlements" crowd is out in full force to focus our attention on what really matters. 

by Bob
on Fri, 11/06/2009 - 11:14
#122276

A whole lot, I suspect.  Slackers not looking for work is being blamed by the brilliantly ignorant for the lack of jobs and the "eliminate the minimum wage and entitlements" crowd is out in full force to focus our attention on what really matters. 

by Anonymous
on Fri, 11/06/2009 - 12:17
#122376

Screw v; I dub this the y shaped recovery. We're 3/4 up the right side of the y so far.

by Bob
on Fri, 11/06/2009 - 14:31
#122636

How about the X shaped recovery, showing the divergence of the stock market from the real economy?

by Anonymous
on Fri, 11/06/2009 - 14:11
#122615

I've been a ZH reader for a while now, and I've got no skin in the investment game but I like keeping an eye on this sort of news. Here's an angle that might include a decent portion of the population that also might skew that unemployment number once again.

I was laid off in January 2009 from a marketing company (that targets commercial real estate, dumbly I knew my days were numbered the day I started but didn't actively look for another job while I was there). I looked for a professional job from Jan 2009 - June 2009 with no success. After June I decided to call it quits on that and decided to use my GI Bill benefits and return to college (I already hold one Bachelor's). I've continued to look for part-time employment with no luck as of yet, but I'm getting by (barely) on the GI Bill. My point in mentioning this, is that Veteran's Affairs was so hammered by the huge increase of GI Bill benefit claims, it took them nearly 3 months to start paying anyone. Do full time students count as unemployed? I don't think so. I'm at the University of Missouri and the number of returning veterans is so massive they've had to hire up 2 more liaisons just to answer their questions.

by Anonymous
on Fri, 11/06/2009 - 20:47
#123141

Sir, without any disrespect, there is a eduction bubble as you described.

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