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Record Swiss Franc Volatility: 300 pips Swing After Numerous SNB Intraday Interventions

Tyler Durden's picture




 

A 3 bps move in a currency in a short period of time is the endgame for any FX trader. The ECB is now indirectly performing stealth operations via the SNB. And as the net result is a weaker EURUSD, one could see the Fed's finger in this.

 

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Wed, 05/19/2010 - 10:59 | 360683 Jack
Jack's picture

Is this currency wars between sovereigns or between sovereigns and traders?

Wed, 05/19/2010 - 11:01 | 360690 SV
SV's picture

Traders don't have the swing a sovereign does.  It's all about the race to the bottom!  I'm waiting for BOJ to water their action as it's been getting too strong for their usual MO.

Wed, 05/19/2010 - 11:18 | 360740 ratava
ratava's picture

they may have pulled a fast one, slowplaying a monster hand. why not just let yen appreciate along the dollar as the two decade carry dies and then go on a commodity shopping spree. it may hurt exports in short term but at a relatively low opportunity cost as demand from the west is slacking and China needs like a decade to become a consumer powerhouse.

Wed, 05/19/2010 - 11:00 | 360686 monmick
monmick's picture

Easy as 1-2-3...

Press Release

Release Date: May 9, 2010

For release at 9:15 p.m. EDT

In response to the reemergence of strains in U.S. dollar short-term funding markets in Europe, the Bank of Canada, the Bank of England, the European Central Bank, the Federal Reserve, and the Swiss National Bank are announcing the reestablishment of temporary U.S. dollar liquidity swap facilities. These facilities are designed to help improve liquidity conditions in U.S. dollar funding markets and to prevent the spread of strains to other markets and financial centers. The Bank of Japan will be considering similar measures soon. Central banks will continue to work together closely as needed to address pressures in funding markets.

Federal Reserve Actions
The Federal Open Market Committee has authorized temporary reciprocal currency arrangements (swap lines) with the Bank of Canada, the Bank of England, the European Central Bank (ECB), and the Swiss National Bank. The arrangements with the Bank of England, the ECB, and the Swiss National Bank will provide these central banks with the capacity to conduct tenders of U.S. dollars in their local markets at fixed rates for full allotment, similar to arrangements that had been in place previously. The arrangement with the Bank of Canada would support drawings of up to $30 billion, as was the case previously.

These swap arrangements have been authorized through January 2011. Further details on these arrangements will be available shortly.

Information on Related Actions Being Taken by Other Central Banks
Information on the actions that will be taken by other central banks is available at the following websites:

Bank of Canada      

Bank of England    

European Central Bank   

Bank of Japan (57 KB PDF)   

Swiss National Bank (60 KB PDF)   

U.S. Dollar Liquidity Swaps FAQs (51 KB PDF)

2010 Monetary Policy Releases   Last update: May 10, 2010

 

Wed, 05/19/2010 - 11:25 | 360755 JW n FL
JW n FL's picture

^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^ to infinity for you for sourcing some nice reading... Thank YOU! very much and my best to you in this lie of a reality we all suffer.

Sincerely, JW

Wed, 05/19/2010 - 11:04 | 360701 doomandbloom
doomandbloom's picture

the squid's tentacle may have a role too..?

Wed, 05/19/2010 - 11:07 | 360708 sheeple
sheeple's picture

fat finger

Wed, 05/19/2010 - 11:16 | 360729 ConfederateH
ConfederateH's picture

It looks to me like the franc is down against the dollar (1.15=>1.155), up against the euro(1.40=>1.42) while the euro is up against the dollar (1.22=>1.23).  There must be some way to get rich with arbritage off of this...

Wed, 05/19/2010 - 11:22 | 360751 ratava
ratava's picture

from what i observed, if SNB holds EURCHF flat on a certain level, USDCHF goes up. if they allow EURCHF to drop, EURUSD goes down along with it. basically, EURCHF intervention is seen as CHF weakness and priced in against the USD.

Wed, 05/19/2010 - 11:45 | 360787 The Juice
The Juice's picture

You are reading it the wrong way, The CHF has fallen from 1.40-1.42 as this is quoted as EURCHF . IE you can now buy 1.42 francs with 1 euro instead of 1.40 francs yesterday. No arbitrage.....just good old fashioned intervention

Wed, 05/19/2010 - 12:11 | 360863 ConfederateH
ConfederateH's picture

Thx Juice, you are right...

Wed, 05/19/2010 - 11:30 | 360762 ldotf
ldotf's picture

whoa! The zombie EUR/CHF is back from it's grave (read: 30 pips/day range). Run! 

Wed, 05/19/2010 - 11:31 | 360763 jkruffin
jkruffin's picture

Panic will set in soon.  Just a matter of time.  How in the world will JPM and GS report record profits this quarter with the markt collapsing.  No melt up, means no profits.  Is that the catalyst to send this ponzi market into oblivion finally?

Wed, 05/19/2010 - 11:31 | 360764 HarryWanger
HarryWanger's picture

Officially closed out all long positions when S&P went below 1110. Initiated a long SDS at 33.15. Will keep adding as we go lower. Appears that 1050 then 950 are next levels.

Wed, 05/19/2010 - 11:54 | 360808 Onehunglow
Onehunglow's picture

Sure Harry we believe you. You will probably tell us how you bought gold on this dip when it hits 1500. Thanks for the insight.

Wed, 05/19/2010 - 12:01 | 360829 Renfield
Renfield's picture

Please don't feed the trolls. :-)

Just junk him, continue the discussion over his head, and eventually he will go away...

Wed, 05/19/2010 - 11:57 | 360815 homersimpson
homersimpson's picture

For the record, this is the same guy who taught Stevie Wonder how to drive. Sorry dude - even Paris Hilton has more credibility talking about abstinence than you talking about financial issues.

Wed, 05/19/2010 - 12:34 | 360932 Attitude_Check
Attitude_Check's picture

So how much did you loose Mr Bull?

 

How is that crow tasting -MMMMM Crow!

Wed, 05/19/2010 - 14:50 | 361303 Mr Lennon Hendrix
Mr Lennon Hendrix's picture

I was hoping you would still be buying apple, because I wanted to tell you that Apple is in a MASSIVE bubble, one where it will lose half of its value over the next 9 months.

Wed, 05/19/2010 - 11:33 | 360769 curbyourrisk
curbyourrisk's picture

The FED has a fat finger too!!!!  and they are not afraid, in any means, to use it!!!!

Wed, 05/19/2010 - 11:43 | 360771 hedgeless_horseman
hedgeless_horseman's picture

Thought process for the BOE?  The currency of my enemy's enemy's swap is my short?

Beautifully smooth glide path on the S&P; The Beard is friggin' Capt Sully! 

Wed, 05/19/2010 - 11:45 | 360788 ratava
ratava's picture

The word enemy invokes a mutual relationship. Something you both need to subscribe to for it to be valid. Like a Facebook friendship. America is an awesome enemy. They just do not hesitate to hate you back.

Wed, 05/19/2010 - 11:48 | 360792 hedgeless_horseman
hedgeless_horseman's picture

And now a request.  This one goes out to The Beard, from all his friends in Europe.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZA2typ0uA8c&feature=PlayList&p=92F81938A8597F92&playnext_from=PL&playnext=1&index=78

Wed, 05/19/2010 - 11:52 | 360798 jbc77
jbc77's picture

Traders are re-shorting the pound & euro as we speak. Short cover bounce then they resume crushing it.

I love it...

 

Wed, 05/19/2010 - 12:10 | 360848 Renfield
Renfield's picture

I'd love it more if they didn't hold it to glacier pace. This is the same shit they pulled yesterday. 5 pips an hour down. Yes, I exaggerate, but it is basically like watching the Indy 500 on riding mowers. Sucks when it is up to Tokyo for some real pricing action.

Waiting for the ECB bankster filth to ban selling EUR! They love sending their trash paper on the big fast ride up; but takes an entire market session to creep its way down, the bankster filth fighting for their dead pig currency every inch of the way.

Wed, 05/19/2010 - 12:31 | 360915 johngaltfla
johngaltfla's picture

First intervention was last night and they haven't stopped. Swiss are thrilled to see a weak Franc against the dollar. The AUD move is a slaughter for the FX traders too. I don't envy anyone who didn't read the tea leaves there when it failed again to close above 0.95.

Wed, 05/19/2010 - 12:35 | 360936 Turd Ferguson
Turd Ferguson's picture

Each and every market category is now utterly manipulated. Why play the game when you never get the ball and the rules are constantly adjusted to the benefit of your opponent?

The market is headed lower not simply because of liquidity concerns. Investors worldwide are learning that rigged games do not provide positive outcomes.

Wed, 05/19/2010 - 13:03 | 361026 Joe Sixpack
Joe Sixpack's picture

You may want to read this article:

http://www.gold-silver.us/what_silver_gold_buys.html

What Do Silver and Gold Buy?

Wed, 05/19/2010 - 13:49 | 361143 Sucks_to_be_Smart
Sucks_to_be_Smart's picture

Bloomberg is saying CB franc selling is having the effect of strengthening the Euro against the overall basket, which might be unsustainable.  what do ppl think of that?

Wed, 05/19/2010 - 14:57 | 361326 Mr Lennon Hendrix
Mr Lennon Hendrix's picture

"Kick start it Trichet," said Ben Bernake.  He understood how these machines worked, having used one himself.

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