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Recovery Hopes Surge On Record New Home Sales

Tyler Durden's picture




 

...Just the wrong kind of record. At just 250,000, this was the lowest annualized new home sales number ever. So on one hand you have a TV clown tell you the housing market bottomed in August 2008, on the other you have a pathological tax cheat Welcoming all to the Recovery, and on the mutated third hand (thank you Fukushima), reality continues to indicate that the biggest depression in history persists without abating.

 

 

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Wed, 03/23/2011 - 10:46 | 1090017 phyregold
phyregold's picture

Glenn Beck just plugged ZH :)

Wed, 03/23/2011 - 10:58 | 1090119 LawsofPhysics
LawsofPhysics's picture

Interesting, do tell.  Is there a link to the plug?

Wed, 03/23/2011 - 10:58 | 1090127 phyregold
phyregold's picture

It was on his radio program.  Actually called Tyler out to have a conversation with him.

Wed, 03/23/2011 - 12:40 | 1090812 RichardENixon
RichardENixon's picture

Will there be weeping involved?

Wed, 03/23/2011 - 13:17 | 1091004 phyregold
phyregold's picture

LOL, thats funny.  I just like the fact ZH getting notice.

Wed, 03/23/2011 - 11:05 | 1090148 Temporis
Temporis's picture

I heard his sidekicks bashing ZH a couple days ago on the radio... They seemed to think the "On a long enough timeline the survival rate for everyone drops to zero" was the funniest quote they had ever heard... Retards.

Wed, 03/23/2011 - 11:08 | 1090208 Biff Malibu
Biff Malibu's picture

they can f'k themselves, worthless p.o.s's.  Only thing worse than someone that listens to glenn beck is a hard-core liberal...I hate all politicians and media pundits at this point.  ZH is the only place I feel at home...

Wed, 03/23/2011 - 11:05 | 1090180 Republican Lackey
Republican Lackey's picture

Does that mean Tyler believes in the anti-Christ?

Wed, 03/23/2011 - 11:05 | 1090186 baby_BLYTHE
baby_BLYTHE's picture

Go Tyler & ZH! :)

Wed, 03/23/2011 - 11:06 | 1090193 Biff Malibu
Biff Malibu's picture

no thanks, we don't need his kind 'round here...

Wed, 03/23/2011 - 11:56 | 1090578 alien-IQ
alien-IQ's picture

I think that is the signal for ZH to post a bold disclaimer. Something along the lines of: "While we may be endorsed by a madman, we are in no way affiliated with him or entirely mad ourselves"

Just in case.

Wed, 03/23/2011 - 11:07 | 1090033 baby_BLYTHE
baby_BLYTHE's picture

deleted

Wed, 03/23/2011 - 10:48 | 1090051 Stuck on Zero
Stuck on Zero's picture

But according to the BLS construction jobs just keep increasing!  That can only mean that productivity is falling.

Wed, 03/23/2011 - 10:56 | 1090101 Dagny Taggart
Dagny Taggart's picture

DRV up 4.9% today

Wed, 03/23/2011 - 10:58 | 1090112 Artful Dodger
Artful Dodger's picture

One of the CNBC hosts felt compelled to "wonder if" this low number was "due to" or "explained by" some one-time factor. I love how they do that when they don't like the number, but never "contextualize" or "dig deep" when there is any positive number.

Yes, we hate you, CNBC, and when Kudlow expressed his enthusiasm with the earthquake damaging people, the "useless eaters", more than the economy, we knew why. Forever. I watched that clip on the internet--his co-hosts didn't even blink, like "what did you say on the air just now?"--which confirms either their complicity or their blondness.

Wed, 03/23/2011 - 11:58 | 1090595 TheMerryPrankster
TheMerryPrankster's picture

Kudlow knows we can fix any problem in the world by "lowering taxes on the rich". His entire program segments are a setup for his trademark punchline, "lowering taxes on the rich." He's the Henny Youngman of Economists and talking heads.

"take my taxes, please.....take my taxes"

Wed, 03/23/2011 - 10:59 | 1090132 tj3
tj3's picture

Thanks Tyler. I fell for the headline.

10/10

Wed, 03/23/2011 - 10:59 | 1090133 jkruffin
jkruffin's picture

Boy does Bloomberg look ridiculous this morning,  they had a news line scrolling last night around midnight that "New Home Sales Probably Rose in February".  Even when I saw it, I was laughing. Now I'm laughing at them even more.

MSM is a joke, the FED is a joke, this ponzi market is a JOKE ~!

Anyone long stocks praying for the FED to bail them out of the bagholding, deserves to lose every penny.

Wed, 03/23/2011 - 11:12 | 1090223 joker78160
joker78160's picture

I just don't understand how the MSM can be so freakin stupid. Most of what is going on, I understand fairly well. The housing problem seems really obvious to me. Recovery is a long way away, if it ever happens. In reality, where the market is now, may well be where it should be anyway. The housing bubble was artificial, so maybe what we are seeing now is reality. I wish the Bernank would pull his head out of his ass long enough to breathe some clean air. Maybe that would make him not so dumb.

http://common-cents-economics.blogspot.com/2011/03/record-low-new-home-sales.html

Wed, 03/23/2011 - 11:29 | 1090386 baby_BLYTHE
baby_BLYTHE's picture

then why the need for the money printing and ZIRP?

The American people are already broke!

How many more generations of wealth does the FED need to destroy before they admit they have failed?

Wed, 03/23/2011 - 11:33 | 1090409 aheady
aheady's picture

As long as you continue to refer to the MSM and Bernanke as "dumb", you're contributing to the problem. There's no dumb involved.

Wed, 03/23/2011 - 11:16 | 1090250 robobbob
robobbob's picture

Just a thought

What are the chances that the .gov would step in and buy up all of the toxic MBS. then convert the properties into public housing?

the ultimate in redistribution.

I'm on foodstamps, living in a subsidized Mcmansion right down the street from Eric Schmidt. Guess who I'm voting for next election!!

Wed, 03/23/2011 - 11:19 | 1090304 depression
depression's picture

The Donald ?

Wed, 03/23/2011 - 11:19 | 1090272 traderyin
traderyin's picture

Buy the dip.

Wed, 03/23/2011 - 11:20 | 1090276 Subprime JD
Subprime JD's picture

Looking at the chart, it's possible that new home sales will remain in the doldrums for the next 2 to 3 years, then begin a slow recovery as the inventory decreases. However, there is the reality of boomers downsizing for the next 15 years so the new home construction industry will be in the toilet for years to come. Now home renovation is a different story.

Wed, 03/23/2011 - 13:14 | 1090993 ElvisDog
ElvisDog's picture

Not only will boomers downsize, but a lot of them will move back in with their kids or team up with friends because they can't afford to live on their own. In other words, I expect the average number of people living in a house to increase due to financial stress, which would further depress home sales.

Wed, 03/23/2011 - 11:22 | 1090327 Fix It Again Timmy
Fix It Again Timmy's picture

The MSM - ha, what a joke - when I started at CNN some 28 years ago, and walked into the newsroom, I expected some Walter Cronkite types, etc. - there were kids just out of college taking UPI, AP, and Reuter feeds and re-writing them to video clips.  It's main stream because it's mainly garbage...

Wed, 03/23/2011 - 11:22 | 1090329 flacorps
flacorps's picture

Franklin County Florida has a 51% vacancy rate, while some prefectures in Japan should have a 100% vacancy rate. I'm just sayin'...

Wed, 03/23/2011 - 11:22 | 1090338 monopoly
monopoly's picture

When will these homebuilders start filing for bankruptcy or consolidate. We do not need all these turds.

Wed, 03/23/2011 - 11:35 | 1090428 Eireann go Brach
Eireann go Brach's picture

I have been in the mortgage profession now for 12 years, it is almost impossible to get financing and Fannie and FHA are gauging borrowers. Did you know that Fannie Maefor example is charging an additional 1.75% fee for a buyer with a 699 credit score even with 20% down payment compared to a buyer with a 740 credit score..that is $7,000 extra..are you fucking kidding me? Everyday we are left in complete shock with the requests that are coming from these underwriters and banks..we are very very far from the bottom because quite frankly there is not enough people out there to buy these homes. The housing market is completey fucked!

Wed, 03/23/2011 - 12:08 | 1090656 Max Cynical
Max Cynical's picture

No offence, but I'm just curious if it's hard for you to use "Mortgage" and "Profession" together in the same sentence?

Wed, 03/23/2011 - 13:52 | 1091139 Gold 36000
Gold 36000's picture

the banks are taking their time with loan origination papers.  No mistakes are allowed.  This also slows down loan origination.  Standards are super strict now.  If these tight standards remain we have a lot further down to go in housing.

Wed, 03/23/2011 - 14:53 | 1091489 cornedmutton
cornedmutton's picture

You don't say - I monitor my credit score monthly (why I care, I don't know) and I was surprised to see my score suddenly dropped from 740 to 699 for no obvious reason with no know change to my report as far as I can tell.

Wed, 03/23/2011 - 11:36 | 1090435 Eireann go Brach
Eireann go Brach's picture

The above loan example was just on a conventional loan amount of $400k!

Wed, 03/23/2011 - 11:39 | 1090469 NumberNone
NumberNone's picture

Bullish.  No new homes on market means existing home sales will dramatically increase and begin to eat into excess inventory.  Things couldn't be better.  Market took off like a rocket ship on this outstanding news.  Un-fuckushima-believable. 

 

Wed, 03/23/2011 - 11:48 | 1090523 baby_BLYTHE
baby_BLYTHE's picture

As I often like to say, You cannot make this shit up!

Wed, 03/23/2011 - 12:39 | 1090801 RichardENixon
RichardENixon's picture

Market took off like a rocket because this makes QE3 a virtual certainty.

Wed, 03/23/2011 - 11:54 | 1090562 anyways
anyways's picture

all this faked 'data' is nothing but fog for the 'investors'. The real facts are obvious: There is no functioning capital markets nowhere. All u have to guess is, when the printing machines from the bernank or the manipulating behaviour (flash crash) of the 'master of the universe' happen. Good luck :)

 

Wed, 03/23/2011 - 12:35 | 1090783 ebworthen
ebworthen's picture

Now Tyler, some soemone's could afford to buy a new home which means that everyone can and the economy is recovering! 

Nevermind that the 250,000 buying new homes all work for banks, big pharma, insurance companies, or the FED; happy days are here again!

Wed, 03/23/2011 - 13:38 | 1091079 TruthInSunshine
TruthInSunshine's picture

I would place a large bet that 10% of all home sales were made to government employees or private sector employees in the 'defense sector.'

Wed, 03/23/2011 - 13:17 | 1091008 Eireann go Brach
Eireann go Brach's picture

Max Cynical, it is much better than performing blow jobs on goats for a living! I hear you were caught in Barney Franks barn last night!

Wed, 03/23/2011 - 13:31 | 1091062 Mister Meaner
Mister Meaner's picture

These numbers are a lot worse because they're not indexed to population growth. The absolute number has cratered, but this is with a nearly doubling of the population over the same period.

Wed, 03/23/2011 - 13:48 | 1091124 Gold 36000
Gold 36000's picture

If new home sales stay depressed for about two years like this we may be able to get rid of excess inventory fairly quickly as demographics continue to catch up with housing supply.

Wed, 03/23/2011 - 14:06 | 1091202 The Proletariat
The Proletariat's picture

Does this include the usual "error" or "miscalculation"?????  So tomorrow it'll be revised to...say 10 new home sales....when excluding the straw buyers, "free" cars thrown in, etc....

Wed, 03/23/2011 - 14:15 | 1091236 Problem Is
Problem Is's picture

"a TV clown tell you the housing market bottomed in August 2008..."

Tyler: Amerika loves the Clown. From Bozo to Cramer... Amerika loves the clown suit, wild meth-ed out hair and crankster motor mouth...

The Clown is as All-Amerikan as ZH...

Wed, 03/23/2011 - 15:26 | 1091670 PhD
PhD's picture

Record lows are of no importance when falling in a bottomless pit

Wed, 03/23/2011 - 16:35 | 1092094 TheMerryPrankster
TheMerryPrankster's picture

MicrosoftInternetExplorer4

HP IPaq?

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