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Reuters Special Report: Should BP Nuke Its Leaking Well?

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Finally Matt Simmons' unorthodox theory is gaining some significant mainstream interest. Full article from Reuters.

Should BP nuke its leaking well?

His face wracked
by age and his voice rasping after decades of chain-smoking coarse
tobacco, the former long-time Russian Minister of nuclear energy and
veteran Soviet physicist Viktor Mikhailov knows just how to fix BP's oil
leak in the Gulf of Mexico.

"A nuclear explosion over the
leak," he says nonchalantly puffing a cigarette as he sits in a
conference room at the Institute of Strategic Stability, where he is a
director. "I don't know what BP is waiting for, they are wasting their
time. Only about 10 kilotons of nuclear explosion capacity and the
problem is solved."

A nuclear fix
to the leaking well has been touted online and in the occasional
newspaper op-ed for weeks now. Washington has repeatedly dismissed the
idea and BP execs say they are not considering an explosion -- nuclear
or otherwise. But as a series of efforts to plug the 60,000 barrels of
oil a day gushing from the sea floor have failed, talk of an extreme
solution refuses to die.

For some,
blasting the problem seems the most logical answer in the world.
Mikhailov has had a distinguished career in the nuclear field, helping
to close a Soviet Union program that used nuclear explosions to seal gas
leaks. Ordinarily he's an opponent of nuclear blasts, but he says an
underwater explosion in the Gulf of Mexico would
not be harmful and could cost no more than $10 million. That compares
with the $2.35 billion BP has paid out in cleanup and compensation costs
so far. "This option is worth the money," he says.

And it's not just Soviet boffins. Milo
Nordyke, one of the masterminds behind U.S. research into peaceful
nuclear energy in the 1960s and '70s says a nuclear explosion is a
logical last-resort solution for BP and the government. Matthew Simmons,
a former energy adviser to U.S. President George W. Bush and the
founder of energy investment-banking firm Simmons & Company
International, is another calling for the nuclear option.

Even former U.S. President Bill Clinton has
voiced support for the idea of an explosion to stem the flow of oil,
albeit one using conventional materials rather than nukes. "Unless we
send the Navy down deep to blow up the well and cover the leak with
piles and piles and piles of rock and debris, which may become necessary
... unless we are going to do that, we are dependent on the technical
expertise of these people from BP," Clinton told the Fortune/Time/CNN
Global Forum in South Africa on June 29.

Clinton
was picking up on an idea mooted by Christopher Brownfield in June.
Brownfield is a one-time nuclear submarine officer, a veteran of the
Iraq war (he volunteered in 2006) and now a nuclear policy researcher at
Columbia University. He is also one of a number of scientists whose
theories rely not on nuclear bombs -- he did toy with that thought for a
while -- but on conventional explosives that would implode the well
and, if not completely plug it with crushed rock, at least bring the
flow of oil under control. "It's kind of like stepping on a garden hose
to kink it," Brownfield says. "You may not cut off the flow entirely but
it would greatly reduce the flow."

BLASTS
FROM THE PAST

Using nuclear blasts
for peaceful ends was a key plank of Cold War policy in both the United
States and the Soviet Union. In the middle of last century, both
countries were motivated by a desire to soften the image of the era's
weapon of choice.

Washington had
big plans to use peaceful nuclear explosions to build an additional
Panama Canal, carve a path for an inter-state highway through mountains
in the Mojave Desert and connect underwater aquifers in Arizona. But the
experimental plans were dropped as authorities learned more about the
ecological dangers of surface explosions.

The
Soviet program, known as Nuclear Explosions for the National Economy,
was launched in 1958. The project saw 124 nuclear explosions for such
tasks as digging canals and reservoirs, creating underground storage
caverns for natural gas and toxic waste, exploiting oil and gas deposits
and sealing gas leaks. It was finally mothballed by Mikhail Gorbachev
in 1989.

The Soviets first used a
nuclear blast to seal a gas leak in 1966. Urtabulak, one of its prized
gas-fields in Uzbekistan, had caught fire and raged for three years.
Desperate to save the cherished reserves, Yefim Slavsky, then Minister
of Light Industry, ordered nuclear engineers to use the most powerful
weapon in their arsenal.

"The
Minister said, 'Do it. Put it out. Explode it,'" recalls Albert
Vasilyev, a young engineer and a rising star in the project who now
teaches at the Lenin Technical Institute in Moscow.

Vasilyev remembers the technology behind
the program with obvious pride. "The explosion takes place deep
underground," he says. "We pinch the pipe, break it and the pipe
collapses." According to Vasilyev, the blast at Urtabulak sealed the
well shut leaving only an empty crater.

JUST
DOING A JOB

In all, the Soviets
detonated five nuclear devices to seal off runaway gas wells --
succeeding three or four times, depending on who you talk to. "It worked
quite well for them," says Nordyke, who authored a detailed account of
Soviet explosions in a 2000 paper. "There is no reason to think it
wouldn't be fine (for the United States)."

But
not everything went smoothly. Vasilyev admits the program "had two
misfires". The final blast in 1979 was conducted near the Ukrainian city
of Kharkov. "The closest houses were just about 400 meters away,"
Vasilyev recalls. "So this was ordered to be the weakest of the
explosions. Even the buildings and the street lamps survived."
Unfortunately, the low capacity of the device failed to seal the well
and the gas resurfaced.

Alexander
Koldobsky, a fellow nuclear physicist from the Moscow Engineering and
Physics Institute, insists the peaceful nuclear explosions were safe.
The people who worked on the program "were brilliant professionals", he
says. "They had a culture of safety, which did not accept the word
'maybe', but only accepted the words 'obligation' and 'instruction.' Any
derivation from these in nuclear technologies is a crime."

Still, he concedes, "there were different
scenarios of what happened after an explosion." At his first blast in a
Turkmen gas field in 1972, "the stench was unbearable," he says. "And
the wind was blowing toward a nearby town." He closes his narrow lips
into a smile as if refusing to say more.

Koldobsky
shrugs off any suggestion of fear or emotion when the bomb exploded. "I
felt nothing. I was just doing my job."

UNANSWERED
QUESTIONS

Not everybody is so
sanguine about the Soviet experience. Speaking on condition of
anonymity, an expert from Russia's largest oil
exporter Rosneft, urges the United States to ignore calls for the atomic
option. "That would bring Chernobyl to America," he says.

Vladimir Chuprov from Greenpeace's Moscow
office is even more insistent that BP not heed the advice of the veteran
Soviet physicists. Chuprov disputes the veterans' accounts of the
peaceful explosions and says several of the gas leaks reappeared later.
"What was praised as a success and a breakthrough by the Soviet Union is
in essence a lie," he says. "I would recommend that the international
community not listen to the Russians.
Especially those of them that offer crazy ideas. Russians are keen on
offering things, especially insane things."

Former
Minister Mikhailov agrees that the USSR had to give up its program
because of problems it presented. "I ended the program because I knew
how worthless this all was," he says with a sigh. "Radioactive material
was still seeping through cracks in the ground and spreading into the
air. It wasn't worth it."

"Still,"
he says, momentarily hard to see through a cloud of smoke from his
cigarettes, "I see no other solution for sealing leaks like the one in
the Gulf of Mexico."

The problem, he goes on, is that "Americans
just don't know enough about nuclear explosions to solve this problem
... But they should ask us -- we have institutes, we have professionals
who can help them solve this. Otherwise BP are just torturing the people
and themselves."

RADIATION RISKS

Nordyke too believes the nuclear option
should be on the table. After seeing nine U.S. nuclear explosions and
standing behind the control board of one, he estimates that a nuclear
bomb would have roughly an 80 to 90 percent chance of successfully
blocking the oil. According to his estimates, it would have to be an
explosion of around 30 kilotons, equivalent to roughly two Hiroshima
bombs or three times as big as Mikhailov's estimate. The explosion would
also need to remain at least 3 to 4 miles away from other offshore
wells in the area.

The bomb, says
Nordyke, would be dropped in a secondary well approximately 60-70 feet
away from the leaking shaft. There it would create a large cavity filled
with gas. The gas would melt the surrounding rock, crush it and press
it into the leaking well to close it shut.

Although
the BP well is thousands of feet deeper than those closed in the Soviet
Union, Nordyke says the extra depth shouldn't make a difference. He
also says that so far below the ground, not much difference exists in
onshore or underwater explosions -- even though the latter have never
been tried.

Nordyke says fears
that radiation could escape after the explosion are unfounded. The hole
would be about 8 inches in diameter and, despite the shockwave, the
radiation should remain captured. Even in the case of radiation escape,
he says, its dispersed effect would be less than that of floating oil
patches.

A LAST RESORT

But don't expect an explosion under the Gulf of Mexico any time
soon. Even a conventional blast could backfire and cause more problems.
There is a chance any blast could fracture the seabed and cause an
underground blowout, according to Andy Radford, petroleum engineer and
American Petroleum Institute senior policy adviser on offshore issues.
The U.S. Department of Energy has no plans to use explosives "due to the
obvious risks involved," according to a DOE spokeswoman.

There's also the question of time.
Preparations for a nuclear explosion could take up to half-a-year; BP
has said it will have a relief well in place to stop the leak by August.
"I think it has to be considered as only the last resort," Nordyke
says. But "they ought to be thinking about it."

Would he be willing to work on such an
operation? "I'd be happy to help," he says.

 

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Fri, 07/02/2010 - 16:06 | 449883 Miss Expectations
Miss Expectations's picture
Sermon O

 

 

The Beatitudes

And seeing the multitudes, He went up on a mountain, and when He was seated His disciples came to Him.

Then He opened His mouth and taught them, saying:

Blessed are the poor in spirit,
    For theirs is the kingdom of heaven.
Blessed are those who mourn,
    For they shall be comforted.
Blessed are the meek,
    For they shall inherit the earth.

Blessed are those who hunger and thirst for righteousness,
    For they shall be filled.
Blessed are the merciful,
    For they shall obtain mercy.
Blessed are the pure in heart,
    For they shall see God.
Blessed are the peacemakers,
    For they shall be called sons of God.
Blessed are those who are persecuted for righteousness' sake,
    For theirs is the kingdom of heaven.
Blessed are you when they revile and persecute you, and say all kinds of evil against you falsely for My sake.

Rejoice and be exceedingly glad, for great is your reward in heaven, for so they persecuted the prophets who were before you.

Fri, 07/02/2010 - 16:56 | 449990 knukles
knukles's picture

For Diversity's sake, don't forget the Speedo  Banana Hanger Contest.

Fri, 07/02/2010 - 13:49 | 449541 Scooby Dooby Doo
Scooby Dooby Doo's picture

"They are drilling two relief wells. Who is to say one is not being drilled to specs for a nuke already?"

You blast over the top of the sea floor hoping the heat from the blast will cause fusion in surrounding substrates. The force of the blast is dissipated into the surrounding water upward toward the surface. A blast as deep as the relief well would surly crack the sea floor and cause mega damage.

Fri, 07/02/2010 - 14:23 | 449628 MsCreant
MsCreant's picture

My point is they may already be acting on a nuke plan. Why would they tell us everything they are up to. Might panic folks if they found out we were drilling relief wells AND nuke holes. 

I don't want a nuke. But if I was pres and responsible for these decisions, I would want all the possibilities being developed at the same time. 

This thing is bad. I have been called overdramatic (nicely) by some posters here. This film I saw from GW's thread lets me know I am not dramatic enough:

http://www.youtube.com/v/pxDf-KkMCKQ

It may already be too late.

Fri, 07/02/2010 - 14:49 | 449697 Scooby Dooby Doo
Scooby Dooby Doo's picture

Ms.
I do get your point. I do not think you're overdramatic. Their should be public policy in this country to nuke a ocean well at the first sign of an uncontrollable leak after all it is not BP's GOM to pollute at will.

Capitalism dictates otherwise.

(here is your link for viewing http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pxDf-KkMCKQ )

Fri, 07/02/2010 - 13:21 | 449485 ozziindaus
ozziindaus's picture

Would the radiation effect sea life? Who's going to assess the situation? I don't trust FDA Inc. with all their blunderful record.

This seems to be one of those crisis's Rahm's talking about.

Fri, 07/02/2010 - 13:28 | 449501 Miss Expectations
Miss Expectations's picture

FREE OIL: I would bring every vessel that could suck or skim into the gulf and get as much oil out of the water as is humanly possible.  Bring every barge, tanker, skiff and pump available from anywhere.  This might mean no more dispersant.

I would start drilling new wells (not relief wells) into the same oil field and pump like hell to alleviate the pressure on the leaking well.  If it means 25 new wells, so be it. 

The nuke option sounds insane.  Blow the lid off this oil field and it's curtains.

Fri, 07/02/2010 - 14:16 | 449606 Cognitive Dissonance
Cognitive Dissonance's picture

If this reservoir is as big as BP thinks, and it's possible it's much bigger, it would take 25 wells flowing for a few years to drop the pressure enough that the water pressure at 5,000 feet would finally stop the flow out of the well. And it would take time to drill the wells.

If the relief wells don't work, I think the next step would be to drill into the actual reservoir very near the bad well and begin pumping there, lowering the field pressure around the bad well, which would diminish greatly the flow of the bad well. The oil/gas will flow towards the lower pressure area created by the new well. This is assuming many variables that aren't public. And it's admittedly above my pay grade.

Fri, 07/02/2010 - 14:37 | 449673 Miss Expectations
Miss Expectations's picture

And there is a moratorium on drilling new wells because....

Fri, 07/02/2010 - 15:16 | 449762 Cognitive Dissonance
Cognitive Dissonance's picture

The answer to that question is also above my pay grade. I suspect it was a desperate President trying to look like he was doing something, anything, to prevent a future spill. I suspect his advisers were telling him that if he allows drilling to continue while the BP well is not contained and there is another blow out, he can kiss any chance of keeping the mid-terms from being an unmitigated disaster.

May I suggest you ask your Senator and Representative this question. They will be home for the holiday next week. :>)

Fri, 07/02/2010 - 20:57 | 450293 maddy10
maddy10's picture

<High frequency thoughts>

So if this is as bad as it looks, is Leo pardonable for pumping solars?

Maddy

Fri, 07/02/2010 - 13:32 | 449505 Psquared
Psquared's picture

From Russia with nuttin but luv for ya baby!

Fri, 07/02/2010 - 13:44 | 449532 Dapper Dan
Dapper Dan's picture

The Kessler Syndrome (or collisional cascading),

Now this is the real deal. and still no plans to deal with it.

Fri, 07/02/2010 - 13:46 | 449536 Muir
Muir's picture

Major T. J. "King" Kong: Well, boys, I reckon this is it - nuclear combat toe to toe with the Roosskies. Now look, boys, I ain't much of a hand at makin' speeches, but I got a pretty fair idea that something doggone important is goin' on back there. And I got a fair idea the kinda personal emotions that some of you fellas may be thinkin'. Heck, I reckon you wouldn't even be human bein's if you didn't have some pretty strong personal feelin's about nuclear combat. I want you to remember one thing, the folks back home is a-countin' on you and by golly, we ain't about to let 'em down. I tell you something else, if this thing turns out to be half as important as I figure it just might be, I'd say that you're all in line for some important promotions and personal citations when this thing's over with. That goes for ever' last one of you regardless of your race, color or your creed. Now let's get this thing on the hump - we got some flyin' to do.

Fri, 07/02/2010 - 14:01 | 449567 fuu
fuu's picture

With how badly these guys handle toxic materials like crude oil perhaps we should not them play with nuclear bombs. This sounds more like the job of a country or government. I am not saying I like our prospects that way either but I am certain I don't want corporations in charge of using nuclear weapons.

 

Using a nuke to stop a disaster seems like the kind of traction an Iran of North Korea would want to exploit as yet another reason to enrich uranium and develop nukes. Wasn't there a non proliferation meeting in DC not too long ago just before the well blew up? 

Fri, 07/02/2010 - 14:21 | 449623 theopco
theopco's picture

BP has nukes?

Fri, 07/02/2010 - 16:03 | 449872 Lucky Guesst
Lucky Guesst's picture

+1

Your right, its so simple I missed it. YTF does BP get nukes? Ahmadinejad is going to have a hay-day with this one.

Fri, 07/02/2010 - 14:38 | 449676 DavidPierre
DavidPierre's picture

The next BP disaster.

Poorly maintained pipelines in Alaska.

No regulation. No accountability.

The next oil industry eco-catastrophe in the making.

http://www.brasschecktv.com/page/884.html

Fri, 07/02/2010 - 14:41 | 449681 Problem Is
Problem Is's picture

Outstanding Post Tyler
These facts would have been in the Corporate Whore "News" Media if there wasn't massive tax payer funded bailout and clean up speculation by said corporations and Wall Street from a super slow response to stopping the leak.

Of course the Corporate Whores implied Matt Simmons was nuts even though he cited the exact same Soviet events...

Who is the incompetent jack off idiot now Oburmmer?
C'est toi(t).

Fri, 07/02/2010 - 14:48 | 449705 ian807
ian807's picture

"...Only about 10 kilotons of nuclear explosion capacity and the problem is solved."

Unless it isn't. There are reports of gas pressure at the well measured at 100,000 psi.

Nukes. Oil fields. High pressure gas. Oxygen atmosphere. Sure, let's try it. What could go wrong? Certainly nothing as obvious as creating thousands of fractures leaking oil instead of one borehole that we just might plug.

Fri, 07/02/2010 - 15:16 | 449764 anony
anony's picture

"The path of the righteous man is beset on all sides by the inequities of the selfish and the tyranny of evil men.... I will strike down upon thee with great vengeance and furious anger those who attempt to poison and destroy my brothers. And you will know I am the Lord when I lay my vengeance upon you."

Fri, 07/02/2010 - 15:45 | 449834 Instant Karma
Instant Karma's picture

"I don't know what BP is waiting for, they are wasting their time. Only about 10 kilotons of nuclear explosion capacity and the problem is solved."

I'm guessing BP doesn't have any nuclear devices of its own.

Fri, 07/02/2010 - 16:36 | 449957 zevulon
zevulon's picture

30 kilotons? tha'ts not enough. you need something big. something thermo nuclear. bring out the tzar bomba. 

Fri, 07/02/2010 - 17:12 | 450018 CPL
CPL's picture

Neat thing about that bomb was it's around the same time the cold war ended.  I believe the term crust buster built to destroy bunkers hiding in the Canadian Shield.  After the cold war, the Defenbunker (build in the Canadian shield) went up for sale and now houses rave parties inthe Ottawa area and does tours. (I suppose they could do two at a time, but it's like mixing gum with peanuts.)

Fri, 07/02/2010 - 18:56 | 450148 knukles
knukles's picture

Enuf-a-dis shit..  Final jeapordy.  Yes or No? 

Fri, 07/02/2010 - 20:15 | 450257 CPL
CPL's picture

I'll take maybe for $400 Alex

Fri, 07/02/2010 - 21:02 | 450297 maddy10
maddy10's picture

high frequency thoughts>

I know why my ass hurts!

Sat, 07/03/2010 - 00:32 | 450465 trav7777
trav7777's picture

GFD I can barely read this thread there is so much crackpot hysteria.

One:  we release orders of magnitude MORE radioactive materials from BURNING COAL in one year than all the nuclear explosions ever.

Two:  the nuclear option involves drilling a parallel well and setting the device off in that well to compress the rock laterally into the leaking well.  It is not to freaking glass the goddamned well itself.  It's kind of like having a hose and setting something heavy on the middle of it.

Sat, 07/03/2010 - 05:08 | 450565 Mefistofeles
Mefistofeles's picture

 

Unfortunately although I think nuking the well isn't the best solution it really seems like the best one for the following reasons:

1.  BP is obviously incompetent and independent investigators have not been brought in to verify whether or not BP is following the best practices.

a.  Unfortunately it seems like BP was poorly run to begin with before this disaster according to the following Whistleblower.  So why would BP be any more competent now?

http://cryptome.org/abbott061710.pdf

2.  BP is not supplying data.  Unfortunately this point is absolutely mind boggling.  There is no way for the public or even professionals to analyze BP's performance without data coming out the wells.

a.  Flow rates

b.  Pressure levels

c.  What's the local geology around these wells?

 

3.  BP dispersants are extremely toxic:

http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/blogs/ybenjamin/detail?blogid=150&entry_id=64705

 

Given the sheer craziness of the situation a nuke almost seems sane by comparison.  BP is totally out of control and Obama simply pretends to be President.

Sat, 07/03/2010 - 15:46 | 450919 QQQBall
QQQBall's picture

Maybe someone has time to research how Russians defined "success" before we detonate?  Hope its not the same playbook as Summers, Bernokio and the OBummer. I suspect they just claimed success far and wide and it got picked up and now everyone parrots that they were successful. Setting off a nuke larger than the one dropped on Hiroshima is pretty scary... although eventually it will do wonders for the oysters.

Sun, 07/04/2010 - 12:34 | 451706 TrulyStupid
TrulyStupid's picture

Finally, someone's talking sense. What we need is a bigger hammer! More force always works, like the war in Vietnam, Iraq, Afghanistan, the war on drugs and administration of justice.

Sun, 07/04/2010 - 20:01 | 452292 MsCreant
MsCreant's picture

Nuke BP.

Mon, 07/05/2010 - 01:16 | 452658 Moonrajah
Moonrajah's picture

"I would recommend that the international community not listen to the Russians. Especially those of them that offer crazy ideas. Russians are keen on offering things, especially insane things."

Yeah, well after all the TARPs, ZIRPs, TBTFs, OptionARMs et al the Russkies will have to take their humble last place in the queue of the real InsanePro with USA leading it.

Sat, 08/21/2010 - 10:52 | 534641 herry
herry's picture

Certainly a lot of details like that to take into consideration. Thanks windows vps | cheap vps | cheap hosting | forex vps

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