The Rich Are About To Get Very, Very Rich: Study Finds Global Millionaire Wealth Set To More Than Double By 2020

Tyler Durden's picture

A new study by Deloitte confirms everyone's worst fear (and every millionaire's wettest dream): the wealth amassed by millionaire households is set to increase by more than 100% over the next 9 years. From a total of $92 trillion held by the world's richest in 2011, by 2020 the world's millionaire households will possess $202 trillion, or roughly 4 times current global GDP. Even though much of move up is attributed to the wealth surge in the developing world, the biggest beneficiary is, you guessed it, the United States where the millionaires (those with net wealth of at least $1 million), who currently account for $38.6 trillion of total wealth, will see their assets increased by 225% to $87.1 trillion! And while a comparable study of how much wealth the lower and middle classes are set to lose over the next decade, we are confident that it will be roughly comparable...inversely. So if anyone harbored any illusions that the current status quo was about anything but the rich getting richer, all those can be promptly swiped aside.

The key findings of the Deliotte anti-Robin Hood study:

  • According to our analysis, the total wealth of millionaire households in the 25 economies included in this study is forecast to grow from $92 trillion in 2011 to $202 trillion in 2020.
  • Our study suggests that the rebalancing of global wealth is expected to accelerate over the next decade. Emerging market (EM) economies are likely to prove to be more dynamic in terms of growth rates, creating significant opportunities for wealth managers seeking to gain a share of these potentially lucrative markets. Among emerging markets, China may continue to be the driving force in the growth of millionaire wealth, followed by Brazil and Russia. Of the 25 economies examined in this study, China and South Korea are likely to join the top10 in terms of the total number of millionaires by 2020.
  • However, there is a paradox at the heart of this story. According to our study, in spite of the rapid growth of wealth in the EM economies, U.S. and Europe will remain the global centers of wealth over the next decade, in terms of both the amount of wealth held and the number of millionaire households. Our analysis indicates that aggregate wealth of millionaire households in the U.S. in 2020 will likely reach $87 trillion, from $39 trillion in 2011.
  • Our forecasts suggest that, in 2020, 43% of the world’s wealth among millionaire households will be in the U.S. Opportunities for growth potentially exist via greater U.S. state penetration. In the U.S., California will likely have the most number of wealthy households, while New Jersey may continue to have the greatest density. The East Coast is likely to see the highest growth rates —New York and Florida together may add 1.5 million new millionaire households by 2020.
  • Our forecasts suggest that total wealth among millionaire households will increase from $92 trillion in 2011 to $202 trillion by 2020, a growth of 119%. In emerging markets, the growth over the next decade is potentially quite impressive (260%), significantly outpacing the growth (107%) in developed markets.

The breakdown by country. Note that millionaire assets are poised to increase by well over 100%...

According to our study, the total wealth among millionaire households of the 25 economies in this study generally exhibit little change in their ranking over the next decade. Emerging market economies will likely see some upward movement in rank (e.g., China).

...Even as the total number of millionaire households is expected to grow by well under 100%.

In terms of the total number of millionaire households, emerging markets are likely to see an upward movement in rank, with some economies rising meaningfully (South Korea, Mexico) and others dropping slightly (Taiwan, Turkey).

And then a quick look at the creme of the crop: the households who likely account for well over half of the total trillions in assets held, those who have over $30 million (remember the Talebian scale issue here), are only 871 currently, of which well over half, or 496 reside in the US. The global number of uberwealthy households is expected to rise from 871 to 1,719 in 2020, with the US once again accounting for the majtority, even as China rises by the most: from 46 to 327.

Lastly, here is what percentage of total households the uber wealthy ($30MM+) represent:

The proportion of the ultra-wealthy in relation to total households in 2020 is likely to be the highest in Singapore.

Full report, which we are confident will set off an avalanche of protests against wealth aggregation among the general media (link)

Deloitte Millionaire Study

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downwiththebanks's picture

Woo-hoo!

AUSTERITY, banker-gangster style.  "Suck me off, hookers, and pass the blow.  It's party time at the casino!"

Richard Weed's picture

"And while a comparable study of how much wealth the lower and middle classes are set to lose over the next decade, we are confident that it will be roughly comparable...inversely. So if anyone harbored any illusions that the current status quo was about anything but the rich getting richer, all those can be promptly swiped aside."

Oh no...!  If the rich get richer, that means they must be taking it away from the poor... it is a closed universe out there... the pie cannot be getting bigger... What idiocy...!

Shame on you Tyler... I would expect such idiodic shite from a French socialist professor at the Sorbonne, not from you.

 

downwiththebanks's picture

Richard Weed, on the other hand, believes people accumulate wealth when it falls from the sky.

cdskiller's picture

No, he's just an intellectual coward, trolling around, looking to make empty personal attacks.

Highrev's picture

I think that "last name" is indicative of the problem.

          ---------       ·     ----------

So what's up Doc? Wadaya think? Time for an "American Revolution"?

Don't you guys have any okupas over there to get things rolling?

 

Bananamerican's picture

"The Rich Are About To Get Very, Very Rich"

pennies   on   the   dollar....

on the other hand, a society that $plit can not long endure...especially when those downstream used to occupy, within memory, a more comfy strata


jeff montanye's picture

no tree grows to the sky.  even the pie may shrink for a time, not to mention the elite's serving, dick weed (may i call you dick?).

mediahuset's picture

internetgeheimen

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Comrade de Chaos's picture

to RW

Well according to the latest social mobility figures they do. Not in a literal sense of cause, it's done through lower taxation and greater ability to DEFER taxes. If anyone thinks the Bush taxcuts and any tax laws in the last 20 years are oriented towards the middle class, you are so f kidding yourself. 

Can one deduct a boarding school tuition of 30K+ for their kids under 18 (I might be off on this, but i think you can)? Can one deduct a purchase of a computer ($400) for their kid?

 

p.s. I would be curious to see stats on the average actual tax rate (% of their income after deductions, etc) of those making 200K+ vs 20 to 100K a year. Doubt anyone publishes those numbers. 

 

Now, I am not against anyone making huge amount of money. I am against the ability of anyone to skew the government legislature to rip the most benefits at the expense of everyone else. A reasonable Flat income tax for everyone without any deductions, that what a true capitalist society would settle for... 

hawks5999's picture

Not for nothing, but 200K+ is not who this study is talking about. 200K+ is not bad money, to be sure. But in some areas of the US it's not luxurious. Not asking for sympathy for the 200K+ wage earner but there needs to be recognition that 200K+ is not the same as $30MM net worth. It's often not the same as $1MM net worth.

 

You are wrong, btw, about boarding school tuition deductibility. You can't deduct boarding school tuition of $30K+.

Comrade de Chaos's picture

hm, you are right regarding the tuition, I was thinking/(working on) about something else  ), however overall the tax legislature does favor the rich.

 

hurdygurdypauliepoodle's picture

As much as the comments here can be assinine and childish, yours is terribly elitist and ignorant. That mentality is the problem. In a supposedly capitalist society that your country falsely calls itself, where the rich get richer and the poor get poorer, and middle class is disappearing means something is wrong.

The rich are happily determined to keep it that way, and have been quite literally stealing it, hoarding it and off shoring it. They have been given tax breaks and credits so that the wealth could trickle down and jobs be created and yet to date it hasn't happened.

The rich eat all the pie and don't even leave crumbs. And if there not enough pie to gobble up,, they create one out of thin air... like the ludicrous LinkedIn lunacy, where the rich dupe the public into buying crumbs of their crappiest pie... The ultimate rich get richer scenario, while screwing whoever they can along the way.

DaveyJones's picture

You obviously are not familiar with the nature of the universe

Ben Dover's picture

As we all know, it isn't a closed system. But I would argue that it is a fixed one.

Ying-Yang's picture

Where is Robin Hood when you need him and his merry band?

swissaustrian's picture

There will be billions of millionaires in $ terms soon - so what?

downwiththebanks's picture

So lots of people are getting their foreclosed upon by these parasites.

blueRidgeBoy's picture

you must have missed Mark Lapolla's comments yesterday about squatters rent...living in your house for 18+ months for free while the bank crawls through the foreclosure process also sounds like parasitic behavior to me.  I'm sure they feel entitled...

Bottom line, greed on the part of lenders AND borrowers is the root cause.

Clampit's picture

Fallible / corrupt [i.e. human] management of the currency is the root cause.

downwiththebanks's picture

Why is the bank crawling through the process? Just produce the paperwork and a corrupt judge will have no problem tossing people on their asses.

That you're placing blame for the real-estate crisis on both sides equally reveals all one needs to know about which side you're on.

MrBoompi's picture

Maybe borrowers can be blamed for 5% of the housing crisis and recession, but that's probably way too high.

I'm sure you would blame the speculators for high commodities prices instead of the Federal Reserve's monetary policies too.

cdskiller's picture

So, if the doors to a local store have been blown out by a big-wig criminal, is looting okay? If a stranger next to you is not watching his wallet should it be legal to take it? If the law allows you to place a bet that eventually the market will discover that the million dollar piece of art you sold is a counterfeit, does cashing in on that bet absolve you of the crime of fraud?

Ghostbusters's picture

i for one have respect for anyone that can stick it to the bank or the government.  I have respect for the law but not their laws.  public policy caused this mess and that means laws.  what was his name, greenshart or was it greenspan?  what about the "american dream" of owning your own home...who invented that, the people? sounds like marketing to me or more aptly named propaganda.  take a mortgage and become a slave to the bank as a sub-prime borrower.  want to go to university we have a servant loan program for that...then zero-down, ARM, CDO's, and the like...this is all about public policy controlled by private interests accompanied by a lack of representation on behalf of the taxpaying middle class...i refinanced auto loans for citi in 2006 as a summer job from 21% to 18% and a longer term.  i was doing my job but i understood basic finance and would tell people the truth.  the truth is that most people dont understand, the banks are there to take your money like a used car salesman, and the government creates laws to benefit the "big guys" who are coincidentally their friends who give them jobs after politics, positions to their wives, or expensive whores. the government knew many people couldnt pay and so did the banks but that didn't stop the credit or loan processing but what do you think is going to happen when a crack addict has all the crack, credit => profits, but then being a zerohead, we know that the banks/elites/execs own the government so it they are really stacking their own deck...can you say nationalization...they get richer and we pick up the tab, genius.  we all know the problems, the symptoms, the causes which makes all this semantics.  the question becomes how do we take it down?  How can we pay taxes to these governments?

VodkaInKrakow's picture

Don't be jealous. After all, no one asked the banks to so thoroughly screw-up the mortgage process (which had worked well for centuries) as much as they did. It was as if the banks but a revolver to their head and not only manage to shoot themselves, but to fire all six rounds into their head.

Banks f*cked it up. Their actions led to those 'parasites' being able to do so. And, just who f*cked up the entire global economy? I believe, it was the very same morons in the banks knowingly approving bad loans - that had a large hand in screwing the world. No one asked them to approve bad loans. They did it themselves.

Those morons deserve to burn. And those 'parasites' deserve to live rent free for as long as possible. After all, I don't recall anywhere in the regulations where the potential homeowner ends up walking into the bank and giving him or herself the ability to approve their own loans. Nope. Nowhere. Doesn't exist.

Banks did it. Time to burn.

Id fight Gandhi's picture

USA, where everyone is a millionaire, and a million bucks can buy you a gallon of gas.

Zimbabwe printed 100 trillion dollar bills. It cost 150 billion to buy two eggs.

blueRidgeBoy's picture

+1.  "Zimbabwe - where everyone's a millionaire".  Coming soon to your neighborhood!

mayhem_korner's picture

Meredith Veira's new game show: Who Wants to be a Zimbabwean?

VodkaInKrakow's picture

Possibly coming in the next year or few... Who Wants To Be An American Millionaire.

I will be laughing my ass off when the Polish zloty reaches parity with the dollar. Then you know America is a peasant nation full of landlords and serfs. I will be laughing my ass off even more if it takes a few Polish zloties to exchange for a few million dollars.

VodkaInKrakow's picture

Possibly coming in the next year or few... Who Wants To Be An American Millionaire.

I will be laughing my ass off when the Polish zloty reaches parity with the dollar. Then you know America is a peasant nation full of landlords and serfs. I will be laughing my ass off even more if it takes a few Polish zloties to exchange for a few million dollars.

malek's picture

+1
What's a million nowadays? And what will it be like in 2020?

Mountainview's picture

In Dollars, but what about the Dollar?

Michael Victory's picture

Hooks @ the IMF.

Blow under the hood.

A quadrillion in derivatives.

 


Rome falls.



LawsofPhysics's picture

Bah ha.  These guys better make sure they understand what real wealth is.  Paper is paper.  And the fact that some fucknut with a degree from harvard just made a lot of it for them by no means they are wealthy.  Hedge accordingly.

SheepDog-One's picture

Lets see what their paper does for them when they have to hide in the cellar for the rest of their lives due to bands of marauding rioters with ropes and guns.

Captain Planet's picture

and guillotines....

apparently they have one on display on the outskirts of Berlin, near where Hitler was contemplating his last moves...

 

 

downrodeo's picture

you're not your job, you're not how much money you have in the bank, you're not your fu@#!ng khakis...

EscapeKey's picture

The great news about that is that a whole lot of new jobs in "law enforment" will be required to keep public order.

Id fight Gandhi's picture

Maybe private security. But many places are laying off their force because they're broke. Rich won't want to pay taxes to some cop for regular people.

6 String's picture

I think given the CAGR of the Russell 2000 the estimates are off a bit: global wealth should surpass at least 999 trillion or much more by 2020.

SheepDog-One's picture

We're already well past $1 quadrillion in debt....guess they better kick the printing machines into high gear.

centerline's picture

Complete bullshit.  This makes the fatal assumption that game just keeps chugging along.  90% or more of "millionaires" will be wiped out and wont see it coming.  Either that, or we will all be millionaires... too bad a loaf of bread will cost a million dollars.

downwiththebanks's picture

That's speculation.

The reality is the right now wealth is being stolen and transferred at an extraordinary rate. 

topcallingtroll's picture

so I am a thief because I have money?  I am not a banker.

downwiththebanks's picture

I don't do anecdotes.  And I don't give a tenth of a shit about you.

I'm saying precisely what I'm saying:  wealth is being stolen from the masses who work for a living in all sorts of ways.

People here couldn't care less because they're getting PAID. Others don't care because, like the 21 May Apocalypsos, they're consumed by visions that at some time in the distant-or-not-too-distant future, when the world explodes, the rich will get theirs ... maybe.

Both are stunningly poor examinations of the real world.

SMG's picture

Depends on how you made it.  The oligarchy are enslaving and centralizing everything using their fractional fiat central banking system and making money and gaining power from it.  The fiat ultimately has no value, it's just a con on the people who give up their valuable productive assets for it.  No question that is immoral. 

Decentralization and asset backed money would be a great way to put an end to this thievery.

Bangin7GramRocks's picture

You are not a thief because you have money. However, that $700,000 stock portfolio that you brag about to your friends would be $100,000 if not for all the bullshit manipulation of the past 2 years. And if you are a business owner and do not pay a living wage because the "market" only demands 9 dollars an hour, than you are a scumbag and a thief.

hurdygurdypauliepoodle's picture

Was going to comment, but you said it in a nutshell! 

longorshort's picture

Wow you bash him because he was one of the few people who make wealth in the markets.  You really would not like to see how much I made shorting the top of the market in 08.  Its really sad no one really dicusses how to setup trades on these huge bubbles here.  There is lots of money to made from their blowing and collapse.