Risk Aversion Taking Hold

naufalsanaullah's picture

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Thurgy's picture

Gee, these charts look sorta familar

ATG's picture


One thing about being 20 is a more open mind.

Big4 Asset Allocation Subscription Models confirm

Bulls: VIX, RUT, USD, Peso,

Fed Funds, 2, 5 & 10 year Notes

Bears: Kiwi, Silver, Gold, NDX, Gold, Copper,

EAFE, GSCI, Nikkei, SP400, SP500, Pound, DJIA,

Aussie, Euro, Bonds, Swissie, Ruble, Loonie, Yen,








Anonymous's picture

How can stocks be allowed to crash before midterm elections??

ATG's picture

No clique claque controls the market indefinitely,

particularly when volume increases on declines

and drops on rises:



Titanic move coming and unlikely to be up:



Dr Horace Manure's picture

This was written by a teenager????  Maybe there is hope for the world.

As I read this post, I was struck by how easily I was understanding every word he wrote.  Many ZH posts are puzzles I have to figure out.  There was no puzzle here.

This leads me to conclude one of two things.   Either this is so overly simplistic that even a dullard like me can read and comprehend it, or, this is brilliantly written.

I'll let the wiser heads here at ZH debate that issue.

Where do I buy stock in naufalsanaullah?


Lionhead's picture

I agree; naufalsanaullah, this is one of the best technical posts I've read here at ZH. Clear charts, concise analysis, and zero voo-doo methods. I look forward to your articles and big picture analysis. Keep 'em comin'...........

Thurgy's picture

Lionhead - you mean there is TA and Voodoo TA?  Please elaborate

dnarby's picture

Jesus H., 20 years old?  Keep this up and you'll be the next JP Tudor.

Anonymous's picture

Actually, you are still a teenager until you hit 21. 20 is the last, and tenth, of the "teen' years that start at 11.

Anonymous's picture

Echo previous poster

Anonymous's picture

I mean: kudos to the poster and yes more plain English would make ZH even better.

SimpleSimon's picture

I hate you!! You are just 20??  Don't you know at your age you are supposed to be drinking some Kool-Aid and chanting the Change mantra?  I propose that brilliance be taxed and redistributed to those...less brilliant, starting with Uncle Ben.

Brak82's picture

i quit the Kool-Aid-Subscription at the age of 26, never felt better.

Anonymous's picture

24-year old CPA here; been reading and posting on ZH for over a year now. Our generation hasn't completely degenerated... yet.

AnonymousMonetarist's picture

Can you spot the Nancy Capitalist?



'The best approach here if at all possible is...to make sure the system is resilient in case an asset-price bubble bursts.' Large price misalignments are 'not obvious to me.' -B.S. Bernanke, the Oracle of Eccles

'I’m scared and leaders should look out.' - Donald Tsang, chief executive of Hong Kong

Market is 'not massively overvalued.' - Janet Yellen, High Priestess

The American rate stance and falling dollar has led to 'massive' speculation. - Liu Mingkang, chairman of the China Banking Regulatory Commission

It's wise to beware of 'false positives' when assessing potential asset bubbles. - Donald Kohn, High Priest 

'It will not be too bad this year. Both China and America are addressing bubbles by creating more bubbles and we’re just taking advantage of that. So we can’t lose.' -Lou Jiwei, the chairman of the CIC, China’s sovereign wealth fund 

'How long can this go on?' - Lee Dorsey

'Keep on with the force don't stop.Don't stop 'til you get enough.' -Michael Jackson

'The truths you hold to be most dear are lies told to you by liars.' -Anonymous Monetarist

'Dude.' -Jeff Lebowski

'For 'tis the sport to have the enginer. Hoist with his own petar, an't shall go hard.' - William Shakespeare

'Frak the frakkin frakkers.' -Kara Thrace


Anonymous's picture

Always posts compelling reads, but this is like the 3d or 4th bearish call he's made over the last year and none of them have worked yet. Still very impressive analysis though. Hope you're right this time. Hard to make sense of a rigged game.

Unscarred's picture

Nice post. Don't drink too much tonight.

bbbilly1326's picture

Happy Birthday, and many many more.  Thanks for sharing your expertise with us. 


However, I keep hearing "It's gonna crash" ......"and big this time" and it keeps not happening.  We ain't in Kansas anymore.