• Knave Dave
    05/23/2016 - 18:16
    This past Thursday marked the one-year anniversary of the US stock market’s death when stocks saw their last high. Market bulls have spent a year looking like the walking dead. They’ve...

Risk Aversion Taking Hold

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Thu, 12/10/2009 - 08:14 | 158776 Thurgy
Thurgy's picture

Gee, these charts look sorta familar

Thu, 12/10/2009 - 12:30 | 159012 ATG
ATG's picture

Brilliant.

One thing about being 20 is a more open mind.

Big4 Asset Allocation Subscription Models confirm

Bulls: VIX, RUT, USD, Peso,

Fed Funds, 2, 5 & 10 year Notes

Bears: Kiwi, Silver, Gold, NDX, Gold, Copper,

EAFE, GSCI, Nikkei, SP400, SP500, Pound, DJIA,

Aussie, Euro, Bonds, Swissie, Ruble, Loonie, Yen,

Alpha...

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Thu, 12/10/2009 - 09:54 | 158816 Anonymous
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How can stocks be allowed to crash before midterm elections??

Thu, 12/10/2009 - 17:07 | 159421 ATG
ATG's picture

No clique claque controls the market indefinitely,

particularly when volume increases on declines

and drops on rises:

http://stockcharts.com/charts/gallery.html?$NYA

 

Titanic move coming and unlikely to be up:

 

http://stockcharts.com/charts/indices/McSumNYSE.html

Thu, 12/10/2009 - 10:13 | 158838 Dr Horace Manure
Dr Horace Manure's picture

This was written by a teenager????  Maybe there is hope for the world.

As I read this post, I was struck by how easily I was understanding every word he wrote.  Many ZH posts are puzzles I have to figure out.  There was no puzzle here.

This leads me to conclude one of two things.   Either this is so overly simplistic that even a dullard like me can read and comprehend it, or, this is brilliantly written.

I'll let the wiser heads here at ZH debate that issue.

Where do I buy stock in naufalsanaullah?

 

Thu, 12/10/2009 - 13:23 | 159082 Lionhead
Lionhead's picture

I agree; naufalsanaullah, this is one of the best technical posts I've read here at ZH. Clear charts, concise analysis, and zero voo-doo methods. I look forward to your articles and big picture analysis. Keep 'em comin'...........

Fri, 12/11/2009 - 09:07 | 159946 Thurgy
Thurgy's picture

Lionhead - you mean there is TA and Voodoo TA?  Please elaborate

Thu, 12/10/2009 - 10:30 | 158859 dnarby
dnarby's picture

Jesus H., 20 years old?  Keep this up and you'll be the next JP Tudor.

Thu, 12/10/2009 - 11:01 | 158896 Anonymous
Anonymous's picture

Actually, you are still a teenager until you hit 21. 20 is the last, and tenth, of the "teen' years that start at 11.

Thu, 12/10/2009 - 11:06 | 158907 Anonymous
Anonymous's picture

Echo previous poster

Thu, 12/10/2009 - 12:17 | 159004 Anonymous
Anonymous's picture

I mean: kudos to the poster and yes more plain English would make ZH even better.

Thu, 12/10/2009 - 11:24 | 158934 SimpleSimon
SimpleSimon's picture

I hate you!! You are just 20??  Don't you know at your age you are supposed to be drinking some Kool-Aid and chanting the Change mantra?  I propose that brilliance be taxed and redistributed to those...less brilliant, starting with Uncle Ben.

Thu, 12/10/2009 - 12:03 | 158976 Brak82
Brak82's picture

i quit the Kool-Aid-Subscription at the age of 26, never felt better.

Thu, 12/10/2009 - 12:33 | 159015 Anonymous
Anonymous's picture

24-year old CPA here; been reading and posting on ZH for over a year now. Our generation hasn't completely degenerated... yet.

Thu, 12/10/2009 - 14:24 | 159177 AnonymousMonetarist
AnonymousMonetarist's picture

Can you spot the Nancy Capitalist?

 

 

'The best approach here if at all possible is...to make sure the system is resilient in case an asset-price bubble bursts.' Large price misalignments are 'not obvious to me.' -B.S. Bernanke, the Oracle of Eccles

'I’m scared and leaders should look out.' - Donald Tsang, chief executive of Hong Kong

Market is 'not massively overvalued.' - Janet Yellen, High Priestess

The American rate stance and falling dollar has led to 'massive' speculation. - Liu Mingkang, chairman of the China Banking Regulatory Commission

It's wise to beware of 'false positives' when assessing potential asset bubbles. - Donald Kohn, High Priest 

'It will not be too bad this year. Both China and America are addressing bubbles by creating more bubbles and we’re just taking advantage of that. So we can’t lose.' -Lou Jiwei, the chairman of the CIC, China’s sovereign wealth fund 

'How long can this go on?' - Lee Dorsey

'Keep on with the force don't stop.Don't stop 'til you get enough.' -Michael Jackson

'The truths you hold to be most dear are lies told to you by liars.' -Anonymous Monetarist

'Dude.' -Jeff Lebowski

'For 'tis the sport to have the enginer. Hoist with his own petar, an't shall go hard.' - William Shakespeare

'Frak the frakkin frakkers.' -Kara Thrace

 

Thu, 12/10/2009 - 14:37 | 159209 Anonymous
Anonymous's picture

Always posts compelling reads, but this is like the 3d or 4th bearish call he's made over the last year and none of them have worked yet. Still very impressive analysis though. Hope you're right this time. Hard to make sense of a rigged game.

Thu, 12/10/2009 - 15:58 | 159307 Unscarred
Unscarred's picture

Nice post. Don't drink too much tonight.

Thu, 12/10/2009 - 22:24 | 159725 bbbilly1326
bbbilly1326's picture

Happy Birthday, and many many more.  Thanks for sharing your expertise with us. 

 

However, I keep hearing "It's gonna crash" ......"and big this time" and it keeps not happening.  We ain't in Kansas anymore.

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