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Risk Currencies Close Out The Week On Weakness

Cornelius's picture




 

In a sign of risk appetite declining, EURJPY dipped despite Euroland GDP numbers coming out above consensus. While easy to ascribe the plunge to weak US consumer sentiment, it's interesting to see movement even on more stable pairs. Separately, the yen closed out on strength versus most commodity currencies as it increasingly becomes the China hedge. As we noted in BRL weakness before, the real dipped for a weekly loss against the dollar for the first time in over a month and seems poised for further weakness. Inflation continues to be a fading concern in both developed and developing countries as 10 year yields dropped in both the US and Germany.

Next week's open will be watched very closely to see how this plays out.

 

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Sat, 08/15/2009 - 19:14 | 37913 RobotTrader
RobotTrader's picture

No doubt, next week is going to be a make or break test of:

- GridBot

- ForexRobot

- Forex MegaDroid

Wonder if the program robot circuitry will be able to stand up to the volatilty from various jawboning from central banks, FOMC members, O-Team cheerleaders, and the myriad number of "experts" which show up on CNBC World and Bloomberg TV.

Keep an eye on these:

 










Sat, 08/15/2009 - 19:16 | 37915 Cheeky Bastard
Cheeky Bastard's picture

yo RoboT, why no new articles today

Sat, 08/15/2009 - 20:28 | 37945 Cheeky Bastard
Cheeky Bastard's picture

maybe it reminds you of this ..  http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2VyzII09Hos

Sat, 08/15/2009 - 20:19 | 37941 Anonymous
Anonymous's picture

That's not so much a comment, as it is a nested blog.

Sun, 08/16/2009 - 02:29 | 38096 jesus
jesus's picture

you should start using smallcharts.com so I don't have to scroll down eight fucking pages every time you post...

 

Sun, 08/16/2009 - 03:21 | 38101 Gordon_Gekko
Gordon_Gekko's picture

Would've been really nice with some hotties stuck in between those charts. Ain't nothin more explosive than a mix of money and sex (which is why I think I'm addicted to your posts).

Sun, 10/24/2010 - 07:44 | 673099 kathy.chamberli...
kathy.chamberlin@gmail.com's picture

yeah, there seems to be a problem houston, no more mix of money and sex on zerohedge¥

what the fuck

Sat, 08/15/2009 - 21:11 | 37962 Anonymous
Anonymous's picture

BRL too overvalued, the central bank keeps buying USD at least once a week. They say they're providing liquidity, but we know they're trading to win. Big profits for Lula.

Sat, 08/15/2009 - 22:25 | 38002 Anonymous
Anonymous's picture

i need good sources of international financial news (like brazil buying usd), any rss feeds you would recommend?

Sat, 08/15/2009 - 23:15 | 38025 Anonymous
Anonymous's picture

I use the local one, but it's in portuguese :(
http://economia.uol.com.br/ultnot/
The central bank usually acts between 2-3pm ET for 10 minutes bids

Sun, 08/16/2009 - 08:13 | 38122 Anonymous
Anonymous's picture

Reuters publishes news releases from the Brazilian central bank and other subscribers. I know I've seen their releases regarding dollar purchases there.

Mon, 08/17/2009 - 11:52 | 38356 mossberg (not verified)
Sat, 08/15/2009 - 22:59 | 38017 whopper
whopper's picture

I'm loving all this dollar bullishness. The flight to safety in a safe haven currency likethe u.s.dollar. It will be just like last year about this time, without a doubt. Humm.....now I'm worried.

Sun, 08/16/2009 - 00:57 | 38074 Anonymous
Anonymous's picture

here's another forecast: USD down, bonds down, stocks down.
Gold up.

Sun, 08/16/2009 - 01:41 | 38086 SilverIsKing
SilverIsKing's picture

Prechter and Faber both expect a dollar rally but I'm not 100% clear on what the line of thinking is to reach such a conclusion.  Is it equities down with money moving to treasuries for "safety", dollar up, gold down?  Or does it have more to do with lower inflation expectations?  Most of my trading is in Silver and I unloaded a majority of my position on Friday so I am hoping you are correct.  Would love to load the boat on Silver at $11-$12 before a huge run.

Sun, 08/16/2009 - 23:40 | 38459 SilverIsKing
SilverIsKing's picture

Got it. Thank you kind sir.

Sun, 08/16/2009 - 03:08 | 38099 Gordon_Gekko
Gordon_Gekko's picture

"Inflation continues to be a fading concern in both developed and developing countries..."

Which tells me that it will be a significant one in the very near future and also that it ain't too late to get into the inflation trade. Just like '08 was the year of deflation, '09 will be the year of inflation (by the time we are done with it i.e.). We are now in the period of deflation-inflation oscillation that occurs right before a fiat money system dies in a hyperinflationary blowout. Enjoy!

Sun, 08/16/2009 - 10:29 | 38145 Anonymous
Anonymous's picture

OK, so what do you get into to benefit from the "inflation trade?"

Sun, 08/16/2009 - 15:41 | 38278 rigger mortice
rigger mortice's picture

no wonder you ended up in prison.

Sun, 08/16/2009 - 09:42 | 38138 Anonymous
Anonymous's picture

not sure why everyone is soo concerned about inflation with cap utilisation at 68.5% and underemployment (U-6) at 16%....you need years of jobs creation and production growth before we will see any inflation. And while Bernanke is printing hundreds of millions of $, credit is imploding at a rate of trillions, how anybody can expect inflation in such an environment is beyond me. Lastly, with 98% of the investment community bearish on the USD, it will probably go the other way.

Sun, 08/16/2009 - 20:23 | 38354 newstreet
newstreet's picture

Sunday, 8:21 eu/yen at 134.  $ firm. 

what's it gonna be?

Sun, 08/16/2009 - 21:12 | 38373 Gilgamesh
Gilgamesh's picture

Breakdown.

Mon, 08/17/2009 - 11:53 | 38355 mossberg (not verified)
Mon, 08/17/2009 - 04:23 | 38519 RDP
RDP's picture

In Oct 07 Jason "crazy eyes" Trennert came out with a 1600 S&P target.

Last week he called 1900 S&P, 110 $/Yen....so its got to be S&P back to lows and USDYEN 85-90 for now if numbnuts trennert is calling stocks and USD up.

 

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