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Risk On: With Europe Closed Who Cares About Greece?

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Europe is closed, and Greek bankruptcy is out of mind (FTSE at a one month low is victory for the bulls) so risk is on, as seen by the parabolic intraday rise in the EURJPY: The only trade now is to short the Yen and buy everything else, until Europe opens again and Greek yields hit double digits. In the meantime let's sneak a RMBS securitization deal in the form of the Redwood Trust, the first securitization since early 2008: there is no stopping the bubble.

If the above chart does not do it for you, here is another look at where we now, well, stand.

 

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Thu, 04/22/2010 - 15:41 | 313374 Aknownymouse
Aknownymouse's picture

would you say that guy is a little "overextended"?

Thu, 04/22/2010 - 15:46 | 313390 ZeroPower
ZeroPower's picture

Nah, he could use a bit more leverage IMO.

Thu, 04/22/2010 - 15:46 | 313388 lbrecken
lbrecken's picture

now you figured it out so stop lamenting about it already......find out who has driven the russel to 15% of its al time high and why.......

Thu, 04/22/2010 - 15:50 | 313396 taraxias
taraxias's picture

BlackRock...........it ain't much of a secret......the mother of all short squeezes.

Thu, 04/22/2010 - 15:46 | 313392 Orly
Orly's picture

Short the yen at yer own peril.

Thu, 04/22/2010 - 15:53 | 313406 DavidC
DavidC's picture

Was Obama's speech THAT good?

DavidC

Thu, 04/22/2010 - 15:57 | 313412 taraxias
taraxias's picture

Yeah, for THEM it was that good.

 

Blah blah blah blah transparency blah blah blah transparency blah blah blah

 

TRANSLATION: carry on

Thu, 04/22/2010 - 15:56 | 313409 Mae Kadoodie
Mae Kadoodie's picture

He must be laddering his Greek bonds.

Thu, 04/22/2010 - 15:57 | 313410 HarryWanger
HarryWanger's picture

I gotta say, even I'm a bit shocked by today's market. I really didn't think we'd not only recover losses but actually put up gains. I guess AAPL is partially to thank for that - it went crazy on some big volume early this afternoon.

Whatever the reason, it's very apparent that we're going to the next level before a 4-5% pull back. My guess 1225 area.

Thu, 04/22/2010 - 15:59 | 313417 Orly
Orly's picture

Harry, why so apologetic?

We liked you better when you were a jerk!

;)

Thu, 04/22/2010 - 15:58 | 313415 Ras Bongo
Ras Bongo's picture

This is sick

Thu, 04/22/2010 - 16:00 | 313416 DavidC
DavidC's picture

Apologies, I'd forgotten the <msacras></msacras> tags...

DavidC

Thu, 04/22/2010 - 15:59 | 313419 mephisto
mephisto's picture

Insanity.

For example, fom London, the whole of the FTSE rally from early March has now happened with the market closed, between 4.30pm and 9pm London time.

In the hours where London is open and the US isn't, FTSE is actually down around 2% since March 4th. Then we make 2% back in the US morning/London afternoon. We all go home, and some muppet in NY puts the market up 5%.

Thu, 04/22/2010 - 16:02 | 313425 DavidC
DavidC's picture

That's why, when this market goes (stocks, bonds), and it will, it's going to go big time.

 

DavidC

Thu, 04/22/2010 - 16:04 | 313428 Dr. No
Dr. No's picture

As bad as it looks, there are still a couple of more rungs... like the market.

Thu, 04/22/2010 - 16:05 | 313429 John McCloy
John McCloy's picture

Tyler why dont we pool all our money and get long till Dow 36,000, have Liesman guest post daily and short the markets when BAC is 1700.35 PPS. Who would have thought banks could be so successful while nobody is paying them 

Thu, 04/22/2010 - 16:21 | 313457 chindit13
chindit13's picture

They are so successful because nobody is paying them. The non-payers are driving up retail sales, lifting the entire market and getting everybody all starry eyed about recovery.  Accounting rules have made banks the honorary black hole where anything that goes in disappears forever, so no one need worry about it.  And since banks know nobody is going to pay them if they make a loan, they are using all that ZIRP money to railroad stocks or ride the yield curve.  Goldman taught them that even pure hedge funds, if they can somehow toss "bank" into their name, are backed by the full misplaced trust of the American sheeple.

It's the best of times.

 

Thu, 04/22/2010 - 17:33 | 313602 Canucklehead
Canucklehead's picture

Here is an interesting read about why Germany may leave the euro.  The numbers look good.

http://www.financialsense.com/fsu/editorials/amerman/2010/0419.html

Thu, 04/22/2010 - 19:17 | 313744 Racer
Racer's picture

Tell me why is the DAX surging after normal dax trading hours?

There are  HUGE dividends payable yet the market ignores this?

In normal market times the market would re-adjust lower, but more than a 0.5% markup for tomorrow? After a dividend payout of around 0.4%?

 

Looks to me like dax is doing the out of hours manipulation game and ZH please investigate  :)

Thu, 04/22/2010 - 20:31 | 313821 Canucklehead
Canucklehead's picture

I would speculate that this could be the start of a flight to safety within the EU.  The Greek government has been very quiet the last couple days.  I suspect their government is toast and they know it.  The next words out of their mouths could be very unfriendly to their friends within the EU as they look to save their political skins. 

The smart money could well be calling around to guage the situation and may be deciding to move their euro funds into the German market to weather the storm.  Germany is the common sense location to invest euro funds.  Why trust the dollar?  When Greece defaults, it will be quick with little warning.  I suspect Germany will see the Dax spike (or fall the least within the EU) as everyone heads for the hills.

Thu, 04/22/2010 - 20:00 | 313792 Buck Johnson
Buck Johnson's picture

The market seems to correct on the positive side once europe closes and the after hours is just as positive.  This market is so manipulated that it's showing it's age.  It was at one time 100 and change points down and now it came up from the negative to positive 71.  When this market capitulates, it is going to hurt and hurt badly.  You don't come back from dow 6,000 and change to 11,100 (a little over 5,000 points) without a test or downside of the market.  No manipulation is the name of the game and manipulation can only go for so long before reality sets in.

Fri, 04/23/2010 - 01:02 | 314090 Tethys
Tethys's picture

Speaking of bubbles and a return to early 2008, what could possibly go wrong here?

 

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