Rogue Algorithms And Other Mutually Assured Destruction Program Trading Alternatives
Submitted By Joe Saluzzi Of Themis Trading
Why Institutional Investors Should Be Concerned About High Frequency Traders
By Sal L. Arnuk and Joseph Saluzzi
A Themis Trading LLC Mini White Paper
It is now generally understood that high frequency traders (HFTs) are dominating the equity market, generating as much as 70% of the volume.
HFTs are computerized trading programs that make money two ways, in general. They offer bids in such a way so as to make tiny amounts of money from per share liquidity rebates provided by the exchanges. Or they make tiny per share long or short profits. While this might sound like small change, HFTs collectively execute billions of shares a day, making it an extremely profitable business.
Why should institutional or retail investors care? After all, aren’t HFTs adding liquidity? That’s what they and the exchanges, who court their business, say.
There’s a lot to worry about.
1. HFTs provide low quality liquidity.
In the old days, when NYSE specialists or NASDAQ market makers added liquidity, they were required to maintain a fair and orderly market, and to post a quote that was part of the National Best Bid and Offer a minimum percentage of time. HFTs have no such requirements. They have no minimum shares to provide nor do they have a minimum quote time. And they could turn off their liquidity at any time. When an HFT computer spots a real order, the HFT is not likely to go against it and take the other side. The institution is then faced with a very tough stock to trade.
2. HFT volume can generate false trading signals.
This can cause other investors to buy at a higher price, or sell at a lower price, than they would otherwise. A spike in HFT volume can cause an institutional algorithm order based on a percentage of volume to be too aggressive. A spike can attract momentum investors, further exaggerating price moves. Seeing such a spike, options traders can start to build positions, which, in turn, can attract risk arbitrage traders who believe there’s potential news that could affect the stock.
3. HFT computer servers are faster than other trading systems.
Because most HFT servers are co-located at exchanges, they can beat out institutional or retail orders, causing them to pay more or sell for less than they should have for a stock.
Then there are the “what if” problems that could be created by HFTs.
1. What if a regulation like the uptick rule were enacted?
Volumes could implode and stocks that appeared highly liquid could become extremely difficult to trade with wide spreads and no depth in the quote.
2. What if a “rogue” algorithm entered the market?
Many HFTs are hedge funds that enter their orders into the market through a “sponsored access” arrangement with a broker. Many of these arrangements do not have any pre-trade risk controls since these clients demand the fastest speed. Due to the fully electronic nature of the equity markets today, one keypunch error could wreak havoc. Nothing would be able to stop a market destroying order once the button was pressed.
Gives new meaning to the term “mutually assured destruction?”
(11 votes)
on Fri, 07/10/2009 - 12:23
#5959
Nice educational piece.
Regarding point #3, wouldn't limit orders take care of this problem for retail investors?
I don't worry about most retail investors who invest in individual stocks, most are relatively experienced from what I have seen. I worry more about retail investors putting money into mutual funds, or contribute (sometimes indirectly) to defined benefit pension plans. Those stupid buggers could care less if they overpay (or undersell) a stock, they get paid either way. that is how the retail investor really gets ripped off.
on Fri, 07/10/2009 - 13:53
#5999
You serious dude? Most retail investors that invest in single-names are experienced?
HAHAHAHAHAHAHAH
on Fri, 07/10/2009 - 14:30
#6014
Experienced in getting good execution? Yes, most aren't stupid enough to enter market orders.
Experienced in that they understand what they are investing in? Not in most cases.
the point is, the real victims are the sheeple giving their money to professional money managers, who could care less if they get good execution. these were the fuckers who allowed hedge funds to late trade, after all. how quickly that whole scandal was forgotten.
BTW, that was another scandal where the useless SEC was asleep at the wheel; Spitzer handed them that one.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mutual-fund_scandal_(2003)
on Fri, 07/10/2009 - 14:10
#6004
Hahaha. that is a pretty absurd comment. I'm just picturing my idiot roommate who day trades his E-Trade account... hahaha
on Fri, 07/10/2009 - 14:25
#6011
When I said "know what they are doing" I meant "know what they are getting into", not necessarily that they have any skill as traders.
it is hard to argue that your idiot roommate is getting ripped off on execution, he can choose to use limit orders if he wants, that way he only pays the price he wants.
whether or not that price makes any sense is his problem, and has nothing to do with HFT.
on Fri, 07/10/2009 - 14:19
#6005
Limit orders are a poor choice for most stock trades. You lose far more in opportunity cost of the non-fills than you pay in spreads. The option you grant to the market has value.
Limit orders do make sense if the spreads are wide & you can step ahead one tick and provide liquidity. You will again mostly get beat by the opposition
on Fri, 07/10/2009 - 14:23
#6010
limit order only offers 1-sided protection based on whether it is buy or sell. the market may move after your order is submitted in such a way that you may not be receiving the cheapest buy (below your limit) or highest-value sale (above your limit) from the counterparty. the idea here is to not have to put a limit order on, necessarily, e.g. that liquidity is so high and trading so instantaneous that a market-order is truly what you see on the nat'l best bid/offer books...
naturally this isnt realistic...and it's what we're struggling against, while the SLPs reap benefits from rebates.
the article is wrong in what it says about not having minimum %'s of trading-day time to list best bid/offer for these rebate-incentivized participants... i'm sure in the past few days, many of us (if not most) have read, re-read and re-re-read the NYSE SLP and DMM rules....
on Fri, 07/10/2009 - 12:30
#5961
Desturction.
Not trying to be a pain.
on Fri, 07/10/2009 - 12:32
#5963
Mutually Assured Desturction?
It was the best of times, it was the BLURST of times?!?
on Fri, 07/10/2009 - 12:37
#5964
Nothing like being nickel and dimed to death.
Another tax to pay for someones beach house in the Hamptons
on Fri, 07/10/2009 - 12:43
#5967
Tyler = Joe Saluzzi?
or
Just a big fan?
The world may never know.
on Fri, 07/10/2009 - 12:44
#5968
notice in the article he says that momo traders may see the momentum and pile on. Why are those momo traders any better than the super fast guys? How is a mutual fund any better who gets paid regardless of performance? At least the high frequency guys get paid based on pnl, rather than a guaranteed and unethical drain of .5 - 3% of an investors money regardless of performance. Take last year...oops, lost 40% of your money, now give me 1% more in fees?
High frequency traders are no different than used car lots when you boil it down. Does it make you made they make so much money? Then go compete against them.
If you dont think high frequency players produce anything (I disagree and will say without them spreads and liquidity issues would cost the average investor WAY more), then I will argue that writers dont produce anything either. They just disseminate information more quickly (= liquidity of info).....and they are not actually producing anything....rather just rehashing the news.
There are a ton of jobs in America that dont produce a tangible product, but before you get all pissed about trading, remember that authors and car dealerships are just liquidity adders too.....
on Fri, 07/10/2009 - 12:44
#5969
The sheeple clamor for more "regulation". Well, then shut down the HFT. It is clear and obvious this is a ticking time-bomb. Let the SEC terminate its usage. They wont.It is ridiculous. Its te next cdo/mbs/aig scenario. Thy are fighting the last war when they should be ending HFT non-sense. Proprietary trading algorithms considered a goldman/national security risk? they have the story/concept backwards. Employing all these genius maths andphysics PhD's in paper shuffling violates the national interest. Get them involved in making a flying car or endless swimming pool. Or personalized nuclear power plant,etc. but nooo, the FBI has to protect the paper shufflers/monies changers!!! Do you see the irony?
on Wed, 07/15/2009 - 14:15
#7392
Shut down the HFTs. They are the tools of economic vampires.
on Fri, 07/10/2009 - 12:49
#5970
If you dont like the way the market is traded, dont trade. Dont invest in stocks. If something is wrong, or bad for you, why would you play? Do you guys need someone protecting you from everything? Are you too dumb to protect yourself? Is someone is dumb enough to buy a $25 burger, should the government come in and regulate burger prices so that poor consumer doesnt get hurt? where does it all end people?
The beauty of being free is to be able to walk away and put your money in real estate, foreign markets, checking account - - go figure it out but stop asking regulators to hold your hand through everything.
I gotta go, someone in my city just got hit crossing the street....I DEMAND cops holding our hands across the street to protect me!!!!
on Fri, 07/10/2009 - 13:05
#5976
So where do I put my money. In my 401(k) my only option is these markets. Real estate is too illiquid, and requires too much principal for the average joe to properly diversify beyonbd his residence. Foreign markets will only behave just like ours at some point. And I lose money over time in my checking account. (inflation, and my wife spends it!)
I agree with some of your statements that handholding isn't the answer, but the point is that a blind person does need his hand held when crossing the street. And most people are blind to the effects this kind of thing has on the markets. Who is talking about trading...what about Joe the plumber who is simply holding long term. I agree people have to look out for themselves, but when their widely held assumptions about the how the market works are wrong, how are they able to?
on Sat, 07/11/2009 - 10:06
#6296
You can invest in REITs and thereby invest in real estate. You have a fatalistic attitude that suggests you want everything for nothing. Be realistic. Foreign markets act, in some ways, like the US market, but experiences different forces so they have generally lower correlations to the S&P.
The way the market works isn't "wrong." You are witnessing the "any investment carries with it risks of financial loss" part of the disclaimer.
Look back in history. There's a lot of times when the markets lost more than this. The world went on, investing went on, and life went on. 1970 to 2008. Taking into accoutn the worst markets in the early 70s, early 80s, 1987, early 90s, early 2000s, and even the tumble of 208. Markets TOTAL return using a well diversified portfolio is 10.8%.
Can you live with that?
If you want security, and I don't care what the gold salesmen on this site say, stick with intermediate term treasurys.
If you want returns, diversify. It's not as hopeless as you make it sound.
on Sun, 07/12/2009 - 11:27
#6622
50% in Vanguard's total stock fund, 50% in Vanguard's total bond fund. Rebalance your allocation every year.
on Fri, 07/10/2009 - 13:23
#5984
<If something is wrong, or bad for you, why would you play?>
That is perhaps the most ignorant statement I've ever read. If as our dear leaders tell us, functioning capital markets are essential for the survival of our economic structure, then clearly there must be some sort of organized rules to the game. Your hamburger example is valid only because someone can easily choose no hamburger. Can any of us professionals choose no capital markets?
Do you make the same asinine comments when rules are tweaked in football to protect the players? Ohh the babies can't handle being horse collar tackled, how can they let their freedom be taken like that.
By your logic I should have access to enriched uranium if I want. Since, you know, setting rules for things is for commies. There is a middle ground beetween FREEDOM as you describe it and having the hot breath of an SEC officer on my neck at all times. And I would say that setting rules to limit how much power an algorithm can have over capital markets fits within that middle ground.
on Fri, 07/10/2009 - 13:30
#5988
"your hamburger comment is valid only because someone can easily choose no hamburger. Can any of us professionals choose no capital markets"
Yes, you have a choice.... those of us in cash for the last two years lost nothing, and actually have way more buying power.
The point is that the markets are fine and in fact have never been more efficient or fair when it comes to trading. Sure, there are manipulators and bad firms out there, but that has always been the case.
You want more regulation from the exact guys who caused all this by relaxing lending rules for minorities and increasing leverage allowances? If youre in the business, you know its regulated as much or more than any other business in the world aready. What we need is a new overhaul in the sec/nasd....not more rules and regulation. Enforcement of current laws is what we need.
on Fri, 07/10/2009 - 16:37
#6038
Aren't you sort of blindsiding the posters above. I'm fairly certain that the above posters would be just as happy with enforcing current laws as they would be with more regulation. I mean isn't enforcement of current laws essentially the equivalent of more regulation? It would seem so to me. And by your logic cap and trade should be ok as even though the GS's of the world will profit handsomely by injecting themselves as the middlemen in the trade that is afterall free market capitalism
on Fri, 07/10/2009 - 20:27
#6084
And rope.
on Fri, 07/10/2009 - 13:28
#5986
the problem with your argument is that these guys are not scalping you and me, who invest in indivdual stocks and ETFs and can decide to exit the market entirely, like many have done during this runup. Our only cost is "opportunity cost". the real victims are the sheeple who invest part of their paycheck week after week into their 401k, which has as choices 8 large cap mutual funds and 1 bond fund.
the same companies who are practicing HFT are pushing the sheeple to continue to pump money blindly into 401k accounts, to help feed their machines. they exploit a known weakness in the system, while suppoting the continuation of that weakness.
on Fri, 07/10/2009 - 13:33
#5990
commissions for active traders is around 1 tenth of a penny a share. That is down from 5 - 10cps just 10 years ago. Spreads are down from .123 to .01. HFT do add liquidity as the article states, and I disagree regarding the quality. Liquidity is liquidity and adding it is good.
All in, the retail investor is way better off today than 10 years ago, and his returns bleed to the street at a much lower rate.
Your 401k comment is accurate....investing in stocks long term via funds has many pitfalls and the public has been rope a doped into many false ideas about returns and fees.
on Fri, 07/10/2009 - 20:33
#6091
The retail investor was better off when we traded in eights. A smaller increment does not mean a better price. To say there is a great advantage to the smaller spread ignores the effect of parasitic siphoning off of pennies on high volume . Smaller increments facilitated programmed trading. The opportunity to shave these pennies is lower for 1/8 pricing increment. Program is not beneficial to the market. Mechanized bets executed by high speed computers suck capital out of the system, causing a net loss. Sucking capital out of the market while producing nothing of value damages society in general.
This argument of penny vs eights is like saying an accountant that embezzles a penny of each transaction costs the business less than one who take a buck from the till every so often.
I would argue that high volume damages share value by the amount profited by the high speed trading if not more.
on Fri, 07/10/2009 - 13:54
#6000
Ok ... I'll "stop asking regulators to hold your[my] hand through everything".
If they stop asking taxpayers to pay for their losses.
on Fri, 07/10/2009 - 15:08
#6021
While I dont know if I'd agree with you, based on your first statement, I do agree on the second one.
Personally I'm all for regulation against fraud and misrepresentation, but tyring to prevent people from being stupid, i.e. making rules that lessen the requirement for people to be stupid, well you're asking for stupid people to start investing money then. This would give, by default, new guys on the scene who will cut and run with clients money, equal footing with those who have honestly worked hard and built reputations. Now reputations don't matter, since people are equally suspicious of all wall streeters. I feel so protected.
on Fri, 07/10/2009 - 19:01
#6066
#1 Was rhetorical, however, Glass-Steagall Act reinstated would be advantageous.
#2 Is a no brainer, banks and financial institutions take their own losses since they caused it.
on Fri, 07/10/2009 - 20:37
#6096
Is there anyone on the scene with a reputation other than ill repute?
on Fri, 07/10/2009 - 23:01
#6157
That was my point.
on Sat, 07/11/2009 - 04:23
#6275
"Maiden Lane" meant a street of ill repute. A maiden kind of ill repute.
on Sat, 07/11/2009 - 04:25
#6276
Sorry, more explanation: http://www.nhpr.org/node/9838
on Fri, 07/10/2009 - 21:01
#6102
"The beauty of being free is to be able to walk away and put your money in real estate, foreign markets, checking account"
...precious metals, mattresses, seeds...
nice point.
if u walk away, they can't play no mo
what a beautiful vision that would be
1 3/4
on Fri, 07/10/2009 - 12:49
#5971
Rogue Algorythm? Nice idea, no need in nitroglycerine to blow everything up. Project Mayhem can be executed electronically.
on Fri, 07/10/2009 - 12:53
#5973
Re #3 - your complaining because someone is faster? Please, the barriers to entry at these speed levels has never been lower. What, we want to regulate the speed of competition now?
Re the rouge algo - - the markets are littered with fat finger trades through the years. Algos are less likely to spin out of control than a manual trader. But, what would protect against anything unusual would be the return of the specialist, but all you people hated the specialist because of the fees and games he plays. There is no perfect system. Think before you jump on the bandwagon
on Fri, 07/10/2009 - 12:56
#5974
Laughing at the title of this article "Why Institutional Investors Should Be Concerned About High Frequency Traders "
It should be called: be paranoid and annoyed at any and all competitors. Or "Its not fair that people are competing against me"
Or, how about "Booooo the competition is faster and smarter than me because they learned to make money based on pnl rather than guaranteed fees which leads to laziness and poor risk and cost control"
on Fri, 07/10/2009 - 13:09
#5978
#5970 - 100% agreed. Let them trade with themselves if it's that bad. Or at least let
on Fri, 07/10/2009 - 13:13
#5980
So were comments #5968, 5970, 5973, and 5974 all written by the same Anon? They all seem to be a thinly veiled defense of the status quo. You know, the same asshole status quo that knee capped this country and got disgustingly rich, (and richer by the day), in the process.
on Fri, 07/10/2009 - 13:21
#5983
to that point, that is one drawback so far to the new site - anyone not registered shows up as Anonymous. confusing.
on Fri, 07/10/2009 - 13:37
#5993
congress set up the rules...so if anyones to blame its them. If you play by the rule of the law and with some ethical standard and win, then why are you a bad guy?
on Fri, 07/10/2009 - 14:23
#6007
Blame whoever you want. Doesn't change the fact that overall the system as it stands today is fucked for the majority
on Fri, 07/10/2009 - 18:05
#6055
That is complete BS. First, there is no ethical standard. Ethics never enters the picture. Second, when you have a revolving door btn lawmakers and your organization it becomes up to you to set your own laws (almost entirely to favor your). You're a corporate hack.
on Fri, 07/10/2009 - 19:29
#6071
Corporate hack, liberally sprinkled with horseshit. I stand by what I said earlier, thinly veiled defense. . .
on Fri, 07/10/2009 - 14:20
#6006
Thinly veiled defense. Perfect description.
I have to wonder if these people are GS employees...
on Fri, 07/10/2009 - 15:42
#6025
I love that greed has crushed people. Sure, GS is greedy and there are lots of figures pointed at them right now. But, I dont know if they are any worse than the greedy masses who thought it was ok to buy a 400k house and two 30k cars on a a 60k income. Thats just greed too. Taste the pain you greedy mofos. Live simply, within your means, and dont risk more than you are willing to or can lose. The lessons people teach their 14 year old have held true through all this, and if you simply lived within those rules you should be ok.
Goldman is no better or worse than Congress or the overall greedy people trying to keep up with the Jones
on Fri, 07/10/2009 - 18:22
#6061
And what of those who did live within their means and are still underwater on their mortgage or out of a job or both. What of those who lost 20yrs of equity in their homes. The last two standing (unscathed)I blame entirely. What a corn hole.
on Fri, 07/10/2009 - 13:15
#5981
have not traded in years, but I remember when we were acting as liquidity for the markets, and i mean proprietary traders. I only traded the NYSE and just when trading was getting good for us....actually beating the specialists at their own games- they started changing all the rules... went to pennies, went to open book, took away married puts. When the rules changed, the game changed. I left, the old firm disappeared and has been relaced by computers. The human element knew fear and kept us in check. The computers know no fear, nothing to keep them in check.
on Fri, 07/10/2009 - 13:25
#5985
I, like many who were surprised by and don't believe in the post-March 2009 rally, am still trying to figure out what is holding up the market. I think everyone understands it is government intervention, the more pressing question is how the government is acting on the market. ZH seems to be pointing at HFT and program trading as a primary mechanism, which seems reasonable given how well correlated the relative dominance of program trading and the recent run-up. But then again, blaming "robot" trading has a certain Space Odyssey appeal to it and may have nothing to do with the market insanity.
Can anyone actually show that program trading, in and of itself, can cause a market to remain elevated? Is the supposed mechanism solely that program trading manipulates signals and prevents selling cascades, reduces volatility, etc.? Or is HFT supposed to be a front for concealing coordinated, net buying by GS, JPM, et al.? Is there anything to show that there been a large net-increase in the daily prop holdings of GS, JPM, et al. in the past 3 months?
More substance, less speculation please.
on Fri, 07/10/2009 - 14:27
#6012
The weekly prop trading reports are publicly available from the NYSE. Program trading has gone from about 20% of all volume, to about 40%, and even as high as 50%.
The previous (revised) report claims GS's program traded something like 2 billion shares. That's just in one week!!
I think it's safe to say, that computers controlling greater than one-third of all NYSE volume would make market intervention very achievable.
on Fri, 07/10/2009 - 17:48
#6045
Prop trading does not equal program trading does not equal high frequency trading. FAIL.
on Fri, 07/10/2009 - 18:45
#6064
FINALLY!
These threads are complete gibberish to anyone who knows the jargon. There may be some wrong doing going on at Goldman and other banks, but there is certainly no evidence of it on this blog.
I clicked on this article because the first sentence appeared to make sense. Then I realized it was written by someone else.
There is this idea out there that Goldman just turns on sergie's magic program and money just comes flying out.
Tyler, why don't you do everyone a real service and write an nice article explaining how the equities business actually works at a firm like Goldman. What is this thing called Program Trading? What it is an algo? Where does high frequency trading come into the picture. What is "liquidity"? Many of your readers don't know. They need to if they want to find out what's really going on.
on Fri, 07/10/2009 - 20:40
#6098
I believe that's called due diligence. Funny how so many people posting have so many suggestions about what other things we could be talking about. Good luck with that.
on Fri, 07/10/2009 - 22:20
#6134
You say it as if the majority of the posters on here have done their due diligence! Various concepts, all of which could be said to fall under the broad category of 'electronic trading', get mixed up and confused on a regular basis on this site. The big bad wolf might not seem so scary if people actually bothered to learn the facts before diving into conspiracy theories.
on Fri, 07/10/2009 - 22:21
#6135
Actually... let me qualify that previous statement... because plenty of prop trading is still done over the phone.
on Sat, 07/11/2009 - 07:42
#6286
http://zerohedge.blogspot.com/2009/04/incredibly-shrinking-market-liquidity.html
on Sat, 07/11/2009 - 10:55
#6304
Sorry Tyler, but you're guilty of clouding the subject too. The post you reference makes it sound as if high frequency and program trading are interchangeable.
If I'm looking to hedge an equity portfolio by getting exposure to SPX, less the positions I currently hold, I might execute a 'program trade' to purchase the modified SPX basket. I may then hold those positions for the length of time that they sufficiently work as a hedge. Maybe I'll modify the exposures slightly on a daily basis to keep things balanced, executing more 'program trades', which are really just plain-vanilla purchases of a basket of stocks.
Does that make me a high frequency trader? It might, depending on what else I'm doing... but I could also be just about any other type of medium to large market participant.
This is a crude example, but the point is that high frequency and program trading are not the same thing. All of the various market participants on your liquidity chart can execute 'program trades'. And they do so for any number of different reasons.
on Fri, 07/10/2009 - 13:31
#5989
Gotta love Sorcha Fals spin on things:
http://www.whatdoesitmean.com/index1249.htm
on Fri, 07/10/2009 - 13:35
#5991
Sup, Tyler.
Points 1 and 2 are directly related to 3. The funny part is how everyone is wailing like a drunken Irish widow over the grave of market parity because of agnostic middlewares HFTs run their algos on. While some top shelf shit, that's not how GS is leading everyone by and through the nose.
There was recently a change over in this theater of the absurd no one noticed, or would have noticed, except a dude got sloppy. Real sloppy, but even then people are just popping popcorn and shoveling down meta because that's just what people do.
No one wants to admit they don't know the plot of the movie they are watching, not even to themselves.
They live their lives in the darkness of the matinee, it's their escape. Can't really blame them, it's what they've been trained to do. Nothing. If they knew the reels of their reality were constantly be changed seamlessly before their eyes, they'd burn the fucking theater to the ground.
No one likes being lied to, unless you are lying to yourself.
Well, let us scream fire in the theater, Tyler.
STORM had Jack's shit to do with the algos running on the fronts for HFTs, it's a datapump. They got you chasing robots in the controllers.
This cigarette burn has been seen before, back in the 90s when modems were helping people fill the empty voids in their life with the internet. Good times, that, people thought this would finally make them feel whole, that sense of belonging that real life just wasn't cutting. Another chance to consume to maybe taste happiness.
To help you out, GS just went from "hardware modems" to "software modems" using STORM. Don't be a fuck up and think I mean literal modems, it's an allegory. But on the backbone level, the software in question isn't their algos, it's how they are always first in the market place.
STORM has no components to slow down latency, it's all software.
This shit is ICE-9ing the flow of data, Tyler, almost freezing it in the middleware for the trading algos to work their magic almost at the speed of light, relative to the speed their competitors are getting the same data.
They can react many times over before the other poor sacks of shit even know what the market data says.
STORM being telecom is not issue, all middleware uses the tcpip of telecom, and being agnostic, they just plugged that shit in and the magic happened and no one saw the reel change.
Did you?
on Fri, 07/10/2009 - 14:23
#6008
That was incomprehensible
on Fri, 07/10/2009 - 14:31
#6015
Then it wasn't meant for you.
on Fri, 07/10/2009 - 17:54
#6047
One therefore should lead to the other.
As corporate greed that drives the trade then whilst say GS is the frontrunner (an assumption) then others MS, DB, UBS will follow suite. All are equal and just a tad behind the implementation.
So shaving margins with immense volume then will be the state of the art trading. This leads one to speculate that too many players will create a far greater margin of error (compounding errors) which could create chaos.
Now implement that scheme into a casino, better still counting and what is the outcome? The ability to count destroys the table's margins signifcantly. Same would apply to the stock exchanges, except in the stock exchange it is other peoples money not the house that loses.
History has shown that not all programs are perfect as those that construct them are human.
on Fri, 07/10/2009 - 13:36
#5992
First thing they need to do is prevent 'first look' co locating scams.
This is fraud, and the exchanges are making blood money supplying this data.
Every market participant should have the same access to data timeframe wise. Anything else is cheating.
There's nothing that can be done about internet latency, but letting GS and the other leeches sit 5 inches from the quote servers is an abomination.
on Fri, 07/10/2009 - 22:16
#6129
I agree with the exchanges making blood money by offering the location of matching engines. they for lack of a better term 'rape you' in terms of priceing.
every participant has access to the data timeframe wise. just some of us want to have better seats to watch the game.
i take what you said as if i go to a baseball game, i need to sit way out there and i am not allowed to buy better seats to get a closer view.
its the same game that went on in pits. you stood next to the big broker, you got the great fills, you had a horrid spot, you got the crap. some of us want the better fills and we need to do that buy buying the better locations.
now what i am talking about is is pure liquidity providing. NOT taking markets. that crap just plain sucks.
on Fri, 07/10/2009 - 13:41
#5994
The abuses on these prop desks at the banks are far worse than what is being described. This is the tip of the iceberg. No one ever talks about equity swaps. The end user (pension fund, mutual fund, and occasionally a naive hedge fund) have no idea how much they actually pay for those types of trades. They are often large marge, and they move the mkts in terrible ways to benefit the banks who take a portion of the "impact" profit from such market moving executions.
on Fri, 07/10/2009 - 13:52
#5997
Low quality liquidity? That's a political statement.
I have another one for you:
There is no liquidity. There is only faux liquidity.
on Fri, 07/10/2009 - 14:09
#6003
This is all about access to the order flow BEFORE execution.....anything else about it is irrelevant IMO.
MS
on Fri, 07/10/2009 - 15:12
#6022
If they can prove that, then GS will be fined billions.
I'm skeptical they would be so bold.
on Fri, 07/10/2009 - 15:55
#6027
it would be rather easy to prove....
whether they actually do it is another thing all in itself. If you think about it the entire system is geared for appreciation and allowing GS to continue to goose it for there benefit keeps the whole shitpile glued together...anything else is what they do not want IMO.
MS
on Fri, 07/10/2009 - 14:29
#6013
I am proud to say, that I used the term 'Mutal Assured Destruction' to describe this development first!
on Fri, 07/10/2009 - 18:34
#6063
Coolio, did you write War Games?
on Fri, 07/10/2009 - 14:38
#6016
This is a moral christian system? The government limits retirement possibilities (401k, confiscatory taxation); they take our monies and give them to goldmans sachs; goldmans then trades against us using illegal techniques which steal from our 401k, pensions, retirement, mutual funds,etc. They operate a criminal enterprise. they are not skilled analysts,investors,etc. They went broke. heck they couldnt even evaluate AIG properly. But insider trading? Now thats their bag. This is what harvard and the American Ivy's produced? they should shut down the Ivy Leagues pending further investigation.
on Fri, 07/10/2009 - 18:51
#6065
Even if they lost their entire exposure to AIG (12bln or whatever) they would have remained the best performing bank.
on Fri, 07/10/2009 - 21:12
#6105
They would not be alive at all were it not that the Feds gave them a special dispensation to become a "bank" in order to receive TARP finds last fall in order to tide them over because of all heir bad decisions. GS is full of a bunch of poor little rich kids whose daddies are still politically connected.
on Fri, 07/10/2009 - 21:58
#6116
Fuckin' A
As an aside, I'm surprised at the kid glove treatment JPM has received thus far here on ZH. Seems to me, (granted I have no background in finance), JPM is just as bad as GS. Please let me know if I am wrong, (I'll still think they are assholes regardless)
on Sat, 07/11/2009 - 07:40
#6285
JPM is just mostly guilty of the occassional SPY micro volume block gun up at 3:30, either for prop, for rentec or highbridge.
on Fri, 07/10/2009 - 20:52
#6101
Well put!
on Fri, 07/10/2009 - 21:07
#6103
You got it. Absolutely right.
on Fri, 07/10/2009 - 21:50
#6114
Bring back Glass-Stegall and the uptick
on Fri, 07/10/2009 - 22:45
#6151
Was there fact anywhere in Joe's tirade? If so, I missed a reference to a measurement that this verifiable and publicly available. That quibble aside, if he so knowledgeable then he would realize the error of statement number three.
Fact: retail flow from the likes of Etrade, Ameritrade, etc. is sold to brokers such as UBS (they buy Charles Schwab's flow), Citadel Execution Services (they buy Etrade and Ameritrade's flow), Citi (through Automated Trading Desk which they acquired), and others. A retail order rarely, if ever, makes it to the open market. So guess what, Joe, the retail order never had the chance to compete with that scary computer.
Following on from other posters, if a retail investor were to use a limit order they will find in most cases that the execution in large cap, highly liquid stocks will be superior to the limited entered by the retail investor. Move down the capitalization and liquidity chain and you may not be price improved. Regardless, read the rule 606 report if you want to follow up on your broker. It is a law, they all have to publish it. This is called using a fact based arguement, Joe.
Complaining about the "free option" in limit orders is a ten year old argument. If you have conviction about the price of a stock, get your price or better. Stop fretting about what someone else did. Fact is, most retail (and many institutional traders) do not have confidence in their price level, hence the need to blame another trader for their inferior execution when in fact the retail or institutional trader never set a true goal in the first place.
I have this vision of Randolph and Mortimer in Trading Places yelling "turn those machines back on!" except Joe is yelling to turn them off. His firm should change their name to Barking at the Moon Securities.
on Fri, 07/10/2009 - 23:31
#6167
Hahahah... FTW!!!
on Sat, 07/11/2009 - 00:41
#6196
Mouthy arnt ya? Whatever visions you like to entertain, I make money.
I'm curious if any of you HFT guys think it's possible that your compatriots might be frontrunning those of us without black boxes leeched onto exchanges?
on Sat, 07/11/2009 - 07:13
#6281
All exchanges operate under a rule called Fair Access. They services sold by the exchanges to broker dealers and high frequency trading shops are available to anyone else at the same rates, fees, etc.
I am sure it was tough for the horse and buggy driver to watch the first Model T rumble by. Likewise the ice block delivery man was offended by the first home refrigerator. Change is constant.
At least with a high frequency trading hedge fund and any other form of electronic trading there is a complete audit trail which can be reviewed. Back in the "pre-leech" days I assure you (as many cases of true front running showed) front running was far more prevalent in the open outcry era.
on Sat, 07/11/2009 - 09:38
#6294
Solution: End the Fed
on Sat, 07/11/2009 - 13:51
#6322
I like this guy's articles but just about every point he makes can be disputed.
About the low quality liquidity - market makers and specialists wont always provide an orderly market when its going to hurt them. Was is fair and orderly in the 1987 crash?? They are no different than the HF traders of today.
About the false trading signals - this is ridiculous. The market is always changing. HF traders may cause more false breakouts that retail traders get caught long but sorry this isnt 1999 where you just buy yahoo everytime it makes new highs. You are going to have to constantly adapt your trading signals.
About the HFT being faster - im sure fidelity and vangaurd have plenty of money to place servers next to the exchange if they want to be as fast.
Finally about the rogue algorithm - there have always been rogue traders doing crazy shit, its just a computer doing it now. I love stupid algorithms that drive prices to ridiculous levels. Ill take the other side of that trade any day.
The guys over at Themis Trading obviously are having a hard time adapting to the ever changing market. I heard the same kind of complaining after the dotcom bust and when the market went to decimals.
on Sat, 07/11/2009 - 15:51
#6344
Themis must believe that all those people running around behind the CNBC commentators on TV are actually contributing something to the market. This is obvious as in 2009 being in a big building running around to get the feel for the "crowd" is so much more efficient than being in front of a row of monitors viewing and interacting with the liquidity wherever it might be. Methinks Themis needs to upgrade from AOL dial-up to at least a DSL line if not a full blown cable modem. Call Time Warner, they'll hook you up. Think about it.
on Sat, 07/11/2009 - 23:18
#6481
Market has been much more normal lately, since Sergei got arrested. Hmm?
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