You're now on the archive server. Commenting has been disabled.

Russia shot itself in a foot

Vitaliy Katsenelson's picture




Russia shot itself in a foot last year when in dispute with Ukraine, it shut off natural gas supplies to Europe. That experienced was very unpleasant for Europe and underlined its dependence on a single nation.

Now it is paying the price for it for its shortsightedness. Germany was going to phase out use of nuclear power plants by 2022. Nuclear power is a source of 23% of German electricity. However, Chancellor Merkel promised to extend the use of nuclear power. Though you won't find this in an official announcement, you'll have to read between the lines, Germany doesn't want to be held hostage by Russia. Unfortunately Russia will be paying the price for last year's actions for a long, long time as more European nations will be looking for different (more stable) suppliers of natural gas and for alternative energy sources.

 Vitaliy N. Katsenelson, CFA, is a portfolio manager/director of research at Investment Management Associates in Denver, Colo.  He is the author of "Active Value Investing: Making Money in Range-Bound Markets" (Wiley 2007).  To receive Vitaliy's future articles my email, click here.




Similar Articles You Might Enjoy:

Comment viewing options

Select your preferred way to display the comments and click "Save settings" to activate your changes.
Tue, 10/20/2009 - 13:42 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Tue, 10/20/2009 - 08:36 | Link to Comment Cheeky Bastard
Cheeky Bastard's picture

This makes no sense, the German-Russian dispute was not over electricity, but over gas which most Germans use in their homes as heating, cooking commodity. Russia, didn't shoot itself in the foot, quite the opposite. It showed the Germans and the rest that it means business. Also, and as far as i know, gas is waaaaaaaaay cheaper than electricity.

Tue, 10/20/2009 - 19:04 | Link to Comment Comrade de Chaos
Comrade de Chaos's picture

Agreed (with CB). If Europe thinks it can find an inexpensive substitute to the Russian gas, it's delusional. 

Russia did shot itself in a leg by failing to do what the Chinese did, attract western capital & technology to its relatively educated but cheap labor force to become an assembly line for the Western Europe, especially Germany. 

Tue, 10/20/2009 - 15:14 | Link to Comment dnarby
dnarby's picture

As previously pointed out, it doesn't matter how cheap Russian gas is.  If the supply isn't stable to certain countries then it's worthless to them.

 

It's the same problem with the USD, it's just taking a little longer to resolve (hope springs eternal, haaa!).

Tue, 10/20/2009 - 00:51 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Tue, 10/20/2009 - 13:18 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Tue, 10/20/2009 - 15:15 | Link to Comment dnarby
dnarby's picture

+10

Tue, 10/20/2009 - 08:33 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Tue, 10/20/2009 - 00:32 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Tue, 10/20/2009 - 00:17 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Mon, 10/19/2009 - 22:47 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Mon, 10/19/2009 - 22:25 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Mon, 10/19/2009 - 21:37 | Link to Comment omi
omi's picture

So what was Russia supposed to do, say to Ukraine "it's alright to steal gas and please do it again?"

Mon, 10/19/2009 - 22:00 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Mon, 10/19/2009 - 19:23 | Link to Comment ozziindaus
ozziindaus's picture

Yeh, bit of a dicksky more. Could explain why Natural gas totaly plummeted thoughout summer

Do NOT follow this link or you will be banned from the site!