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Rydex Market Timers: What Are They Up To?
The Rydex market timers are a representative sample of market participants, and by studying the Rydex asset data, we can determine how market participants have positioned themselves. For example, if they are too bullish, the Rydex market timers may express that sentiment by being long and leveraged. Often, such one sided market opinions serve as contrarian signals. This report is from 3/24/10, and it is a very extensive look at the Rydex asset data.
This data, which has proved to be very actionable, is now available for a nominal yearly fee as Premium Content. This service should help you to improve your market timing!
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If this catches a signif downmove, you have a new subscriber.
Medium / long term index charts continue to give bearish warnings.
Daily charts are too overbought reminding me of 2007.
http://www.zerohedge.com/forum/latest-market-outlook-0
Merci beaucoup. It's usually quite a rude awakening when reality pops the fantasy of unending riches built on free money.
I think the market has been teaching dumb money a powerful lesson the last 6 months: corrections are absolutely no-risk buying opportunities and should be bought aggressively. I just wonder if there is enough dumb money back in the market to make sure the next "buying opportunity" keeps getting bought regardless of the volume of smart money selling. We'll see.
Great technical work, thanks. The only problem I see with this is that investors aren't driving the market.
investors aren't driving the market.
You got that right.
Good work and i largely agree with your conclusions. Its clear people become very fearful as soon as the market takes a few down days - this preponderance to not buy dips in 09 for the majority is why the market has been able to climb the wall of worry.
Should the dips be bought more aggresively now and the fear factor not swing in so sharply on minoir sell-offs , we would likely see a final topping process similar to Summer 07. Herding everyone into a highly bullish and complacent state seems to be the goal of the Primary Dealers - i sense those that missed 09s gains are going to apply 09 logic to their trading strategy this year. That could be devastating.