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Senate Democrats Refuse To Vote On Tax Cuts Until After Elections

Tyler Durden's picture




 

This is rather adverse development, as it means some form of non-resolution stalemate on the tax issue will now most certainly be the final outcome: there is very little time in the chaos after elections to actually implement wholesale tax reform. As Goldman highlighted yesterday, the likely adverse impact of the wholesale expiration of tax cuts will impact US GDP adversely by an additional 2% in 2011. Yet Corporate EPS are now completely disjointed from the host economy, as earnings are now completely predicated on wholesale deleveraging. What companies seem to forget is that eliminating the tax shield of debt interest will mean hundreds of billions more in taxes paid to the government. Or perhaps, that has been the government's ploy all along.

From TPM:

A senior Senate Democratic aide told TPM today there won't be a vote on extending the Bush tax
cuts
in the upper chamber before the November election, a blow to party
leaders and President
Obama who believed this would have been a winning issue
.

It's also a signal that the House won't take action -- though nothing has
been decided for certain, since leaders there have said all along they are
waiting for the Senate.

"Absent a stunning turn of events, we're not going to do tax cuts before the
election," the aide told TPM.

 

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Thu, 09/23/2010 - 11:59 | 599990 Turd Ferguson
Turd Ferguson's picture

 "Or perhaps, that has been the government's ploy all along."

Duh...Ya think?


Thu, 09/23/2010 - 12:00 | 599994 Bearster
Bearster's picture

The looting will continue until prosperity improves.

Thu, 09/23/2010 - 13:28 | 600240 carbonmutant
carbonmutant's picture

I'm stealing this... lol

Thu, 09/23/2010 - 12:00 | 599995 RobotTrader
RobotTrader's picture

That means it is pretty much a lock...

Most democrats are going to be thrown out in November.

No wonder stocks are skying right now.

As usual, they are buying the semiconductors to play the oft-touted "v-shaped recovery".

Thu, 09/23/2010 - 12:16 | 600037 goldmiddelfinger
goldmiddelfinger's picture

Higher taxes always means a higher market. 

BTW, the 160 percent increase in the qualified dividend tax rate is also a plus.

 

.

Thu, 09/23/2010 - 12:29 | 600070 Tortfeasor
Tortfeasor's picture

I haven't heard the phrase V-shaped recovery in months.  Not from a credible pundit, not from a Cramer, not from the drunk bum on the street.  Fer real, Robo?  C'mon man!

Thu, 09/23/2010 - 13:08 | 600184 chet
chet's picture

Do you guys really not understand that Robo is being sarcastic in nearly every post?

Thu, 09/23/2010 - 13:20 | 600214 Almost Solvent
Almost Solvent's picture

Really?

Thu, 09/23/2010 - 13:24 | 600227 Pillage
Pillage's picture

yes we do but I've only seen one post where a Tyler dissed on Robo

Thu, 09/23/2010 - 13:42 | 600308 pan-the-ist
pan-the-ist's picture

How many aliases do you think Tyler has?  How much time do you think he spends arguing with himself?

Fri, 09/24/2010 - 01:42 | 601668 StychoKiller
StychoKiller's picture

Which one of us are you questioning?

4 out of the 5 voices in my head say:  "Don't shoot!"

Thu, 09/23/2010 - 12:06 | 600014 Ragnarok
Ragnarok's picture

The Democrats (Obama) are going to have to create some sort of national security crisis if they want to get re-elected in 2012.  They blamed Bush for the first 2 years, the next 2 years will be blaming the republican house.

Thu, 09/23/2010 - 12:18 | 600046 Ace Ventura
Ace Ventura's picture

That's what the 'Iran situation' is for. We should also expect additional false flags like Mr. Underoos Bomber, and Mr. Times Square Oops-Left-The-Engine-On Bomber....only on a far larger scale.

9-11 worked wonders for Dubya's ratings. Don't think the establishment has forgotten that. Matter of fact, they've made the TV bobble-head talk-show circuit stating something along those lines would be needed for Barry to become 'cool' all over gain.

Expect it, and see it for what it is.

 

Thu, 09/23/2010 - 13:44 | 600314 pan-the-ist
pan-the-ist's picture

That only works for modern Republicans.  It has never worked for modern Democrats.  Like it or not, Republicans tend to be self-rightious war-mongers.

Thu, 09/23/2010 - 14:39 | 600514 PuppetRepubl1c
PuppetRepubl1c's picture

I agree if there is an attack it will only speed up the democrats electoral defeat.  People don't see them as "strong on defense" even through they love the warfare complex just as much as the republicans. 

 

Sure democrats pander to anti-war activists to get elected but has Obama done anything to end our current wars?  Has he done anything to even close Gitmo which he promised would have been completed 1 year ago.  Please... this is all just low hanging fruit he is throwing to his mindless liberal audience.

 

 

Thu, 09/23/2010 - 15:07 | 600605 hardcleareye
hardcleareye's picture

Lets see what were the choices, Obama or McCain/Palin, you have got to be kidding, he didn't need the "mindless liberals" to get elected!  Oh for a third choice......

Thu, 09/23/2010 - 16:40 | 600890 Bob
Bob's picture

+100

If it's any consolation, the serious liberals irreconcilably broke with Barry a long time ago.  Mindless they're not, although the rank and file tends to be as blindly rah-rah faithful as those of the other parties.  But without the "far left" and most of the libertarians to support him again, there's no way Obummer can pull off a repeat.  He got unprecedented numbers of African-Americans out the first time, but that was for a "historic" occassion. You can only have one of those, however--I don't even see them turning out that way again (and you have to figure that there will be a greater number, now sadly disappointed, who'll vote against him this time than last if they do turn out.)   

Thu, 09/23/2010 - 12:11 | 600028 fxrxexexdxoxmx
fxrxexexdxoxmx's picture

Progressives, communists, socialists, Marxists, Obamaists, Democratic National Committee, CNBC, MSNBC, ABC, CBS, NBC never stop with the message. Without the message all you have is liars calling each other liars while stealing from the help.

Once George Soros has uninterrupted control of Afghanistan heroin even Obama will have lived out his usefulness.

Thu, 09/23/2010 - 13:23 | 600224 Almost Solvent
Almost Solvent's picture

You forgot PBS & NPR

Thu, 09/23/2010 - 12:14 | 600032 Vampyroteuthis ...
Vampyroteuthis infernalis's picture

Billionaires, "Please don't tax us!!! How am I going to survive without my 8th Bentley and 3rd European castle!! Tell those others to suck it up."

Thu, 09/23/2010 - 15:21 | 600651 Lucky Guesst
Lucky Guesst's picture

Ohhhhh, the tax increases will only affect the BILLIONAIRES? Why didn't everybody just say so? Go ahead then, I'm all for higher taxes on the BILLIONAIRES!!!!!!!

Thu, 09/23/2010 - 12:14 | 600034 you enjoy myself
you enjoy myself's picture

As if equities needed yet another reason to sell off, this means investors will have no choice but to plan on capital gains taxes rising 5%.

Thu, 09/23/2010 - 12:18 | 600036 Restcase
Restcase's picture

The Democrats are going to open up the agenda throttle after the election when they are lame ducks and can suffer no penalty for acting out their ideology. November is going to liberate them to "be all they can be". The effect will be as if they had just won a landslide. Take cover.

Thu, 09/23/2010 - 12:28 | 600069 Ace Ventura
Ace Ventura's picture

Ahhhh...but therein lies the rub. After November, they'll very likely be in the minority again. Yet, I believe the agenda will proceed with the help of the 'new majority'. New management, same as the old.

I particularly get a kick from the recently announced GOP 'Pledge to America'.

Yeah, assholes....because were THAT stupid that we don't remember the 1990's 'Contract with America', and all the awesome back-stabbing of the conservative base that ensued when the party faithful bought into it and awarded the elephants the majority in Con-gress.

Thu, 09/23/2010 - 14:51 | 600554 Battleaxe
Battleaxe's picture

The Dems are also holding off on the budget until after the elections. They'd like to pass a lot of things before they lose power. The only hope is a fillibuster.

Not that the Repubs are going to fix anything if they get control of anything. The whole system is broken.

Gridlock is the best we can hope for until there is a paradigm shift.

Fri, 09/24/2010 - 01:47 | 601671 StychoKiller
StychoKiller's picture

Agreed!  Gridlock until "Controlled descent into terrain!"

Thu, 09/23/2010 - 12:16 | 600038 Upswaller
Upswaller's picture

P.O.S. Bastards.

As a small business owner, this will tighten the noose further.  IMHO, this is intentional, breaking the back of private enterprise.

The bastards can kiss my ass.

 

Thu, 09/23/2010 - 15:25 | 600662 Lucky Guesst
Lucky Guesst's picture

As a fellow small business owner, I agree. The POS government cant stand the tax right offs that we get without having to give them votes, backrubs and BJ's! They need more revenue and we are the only group that doesn't control them with bribes. They need our $$$ to pay back those who will keep them in power!

Thu, 09/23/2010 - 22:50 | 601466 RockyRacoon
RockyRacoon's picture

Looks like defining "small business" caused some confusion lately.  I looked at the SBA website and it seems clear that as many businesses that they can fit under that umbrella, the better for the SBA.  Power play.  There are too many BIG businesses that fit the definitions and it's unfair to actual small businesses.  I've been a small business person all my life (and I fit that description under any SBA machinations).  There are some that simply don't fit, no matter what the SBA says.

http://www.fedaccess.com/what-is-small-business.htm

http://www.sba.gov/contractingopportunities/officials/size/index.html

http://www.sba.gov/idc/groups/public/documents/sba_homepage/size_standar...

http://web.sba.gov/faqs/faqindex.cfm?areaID=15

SBA has established a Table of Small Business Size Standards, which is matched to the North American Industry Classification System (NAICS) industries. A size standard, which is usually stated in number of employees or average annual receipts, represents the largest size that a business (including its subsidiaries and affiliates) may be to remain classified as a small business for SBA and Federal contracting programs.  The table of size standards is available in PDF and XLS formats.

Thu, 09/23/2010 - 12:17 | 600043 centerline
centerline's picture

Kabuki theater at it's finest!

Thu, 09/23/2010 - 13:23 | 600222 midtowng
midtowng's picture

I don't believe it. Do you think a senator AIDE would be the one breaking this news? I don't think so.

Thu, 09/23/2010 - 12:20 | 600051 bugs_
bugs_'s picture

Courage Democrats!  Courage! LOL

Thu, 09/23/2010 - 12:23 | 600057 Dagny Taggart
Dagny Taggart's picture

Too candy-assed to show their cards. Wusses.

Thu, 09/23/2010 - 12:48 | 600122 BlackChicken
BlackChicken's picture

You nailed it Dagny!

Thu, 09/23/2010 - 13:14 | 600198 SteveNYC
SteveNYC's picture

Nailed it!

Thu, 09/23/2010 - 12:24 | 600058 MrVincent
MrVincent's picture

Fox Business News now spend 90% of their day talking about the Bush tax cuts.

The non-TeaParty repubs don't seem to want to talk about controlling spending however.

The Bush tax cuts have been in effect for years and we are still on the edge of a cliff due to out of control govt spending. This should be our focus.

 

Thu, 09/23/2010 - 12:30 | 600071 Pedro
Pedro's picture

1. Stop the excess spending

2. No more stimulus

3. Leave the market alone and let if find its bottom

4. Of course leaving the tax cuts would be nice, but, if they must increase, $250,000 is not wealthy (give me a break) and they should at least remain in place for people making under $500,000 to $1,000,000. 

Thu, 09/23/2010 - 12:35 | 600084 centerline
centerline's picture

Huh?

Thu, 09/23/2010 - 12:48 | 600123 Spastica Rex
Spastica Rex's picture

No, no break. French Revolution Mk II coming soon to a neck near you.

Thu, 09/23/2010 - 12:42 | 600094 fiddler_on_the_roof
fiddler_on_the_roof's picture

This is horrible news. The oligarch's are not going to spare the Middle class and Republicans are going to enforce this mandate I guess and Obama gets some wiggle room, how convenien ? Ideal solution should be raise the threshold to around $3 millions/year and cut tax for the rest. 250K threshold in Silicon Valley working class area is barely enough.

Thu, 09/23/2010 - 12:39 | 600096 tom
tom's picture

Good thing to follow, and it does look more and more like a big trigger.

This is pathetic. The Ds are too stingy to buy one bloody R? Or what, they think they're going to get a better deal out of however many more Rs they'll need to compromise with after the elections?

Next step, what will Treasury decide on withholding rates? Treasury will have to send out instructions on 2011 withholding rates before Congress decides 2011 tax rates.

Thu, 09/23/2010 - 13:32 | 600262 Almost Solvent
Almost Solvent's picture

Treasury has known since these bills were passed years ago the date of the sunset provision.

If Treasury didn't have the withholding tables figured out years ago, ah shit nevermind.

Thu, 09/23/2010 - 12:56 | 600145 tempo
tempo's picture

Lets confront China and demand revaluation or perhaps put tariffs on imports.  Opps, China controls our ability to issue debt and China also controls most of the rare earth resources needed for solar panels and computers.  Maybe we should just relax and enjoy being raped (letting China export their unemployment).  It may be better than the alternative.

Thu, 09/23/2010 - 12:57 | 600146 docj
docj's picture

Odd, they can throw-together a re-do of our immigration program and attach it to a completely unrelated bill in a week but they know, already, there's no way they can manage to have a debate and vote on a tax policy decision that has been at least 9-years in the making.

Brilliant.

Thu, 09/23/2010 - 13:13 | 600192 Cpl Hicks
Cpl Hicks's picture

It is amazing, isn't it!

The bankruptcy of the political class has rarely been more obvious.

 

 

 

 

Thu, 09/23/2010 - 13:01 | 600156 knukles
knukles's picture

Oh fuck yeah, race right to the bottom.

Tax increases, international trade wars, round robin beggar thy neighbour devaluations, increased governmental regulations, overwhelming debt loads being actively expanded at breakneck speed in the US, austerity plans in Europe, HFT migrating to every and any trade-able market, regulatory capture at every level and institution imaginable.

What's another nail in the coffin?

Turn on the reality telly, rock out to Lady Gaga videos, truly believe that you're informed with the MSM news, debate the PR polemics of the major parties and their financial enablers, watch the middle class disappear, the GOM die, kids in Pakistan be murdered by Xbox drone games, over-consume knowingly and unbeknownst multiple mind-numbing drugs, choose to eat GM or non-GM foods so  unidentified, believe organic means something.

What the Fuck.  Enjoy the ride to hell.

And it's all real.

Thu, 09/23/2010 - 13:02 | 600161 MarketTruth
MarketTruth's picture

Hmm.. in other words Dems WANT these tax cuts but hope the Reps win in November so they can be blamed when it gets passed.

Thu, 09/23/2010 - 13:18 | 600210 chet
chet's picture

Yep.  Dems know they'll have to extend all of them.  Can't do it before the election because it will look like GOP won, and because extending the cuts for the "rich" will play badly with their constituency.  They will all be extended after the election, before they expire.

Fri, 09/24/2010 - 01:53 | 601675 StychoKiller
StychoKiller's picture

This tax cut nonsense is just being used to keep everyone's eyes off the other hand:  SPENDING!

Thu, 09/23/2010 - 13:16 | 600203 thepigman
thepigman's picture

What difference does

it make. At a 1%

GDP even if the tax

cuts pass, this pig

of a market is still

30% too high at

17 times GAAP earnings

which will decelerate

regardless

Thu, 09/23/2010 - 13:40 | 600300 shushup
shushup's picture

And on that news the market will rally.

Thu, 09/23/2010 - 13:35 | 600273 LauraB
LauraB's picture

They don't have time to vote on the tax cuts, but, of course, they have time to vote on the Disclose Act today.

http://www.gangstagovernment.org/

Thu, 09/23/2010 - 13:39 | 600294 shushup
shushup's picture

Interesting - Mr. Market did not mind this information at all.

I guess the euphoria of wonderful home sales numbers over shadowed it.

 

Thu, 09/23/2010 - 13:43 | 600316 papaswamp
papaswamp's picture

Guess we know the lame duck congress will be in full action come the day after elections.

Thu, 09/23/2010 - 14:26 | 600474 American Dreams
American Dreams's picture

All of this talk is going to coincide with the debt ceiling needing to be raised right about the same time.  Get ready to fire up that bag of popcorn as this should prove for some mighty good entertainment.

 

know your enemy

Thu, 09/23/2010 - 14:45 | 600539 win
win's picture

if they were going to extend the tax cuts they would have already done so

it is all "high theater" anyway

the problem "Is NOT" how much we collect in taxes

the problem is how much she spends

until you take the unlimited credit line
away from the drunk whore,
the problem aint going away.

Thu, 09/23/2010 - 16:49 | 600925 DollarMenu
DollarMenu's picture

Term limits for all of them.

If nothing else, term limits.

Two max and then out.

Got to end the possibility of 'career politician' at the national level.

Term limits.

Thu, 09/23/2010 - 19:25 | 601198 The Alarmist
The Alarmist's picture

Look, there is no upside for the Dems to extend the tax cuts.  It is almost a given that the Republicans will take back the House, tax cuts or no, so no win there, so why run the risk that the economy will improve during Republican tenure over the next two years?

The worst thing that can happen to the Republicans will be to win the Congress in November with anything less than a veto-override majority, and then watch O veto everything they throw at him while all the while complaining that the Do-Nothing Republicans tried to dismantle his economic plan and thereby destroyed the economy. 

Remember the GOP victory in 1994 melting under the withering fire of "They wan't to starve your children and kill your grandparents?" Well now that refrain will include "They want you to lie down in the gutter and die without any hope of affordable healthcare!"

Media is on O's side, so don't think for a minute that he won't get away with it.

Sat, 09/25/2010 - 22:53 | 604996 CL1
CL1's picture

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