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Senate Scheming How To Pass A Stealthy Debt Ceiling Boost

Tyler Durden's picture




As the inevitable breach of the $12.1 trillion federal debt ceiling looms, with the official debt figure now at $11.95 trillion, Senate Democrats have started to ploy how to best pass the resolution without attracting much if any public attention. Yet, with this issue now actively on everyone's radar screen, it will be interesting to see just how this can be accomplished. Politico reports that Democrats are now planning on considering the debt increase provision to a "must-pass" bill such as the DoD spening bill. As Politico reports: "Adding it to the defense bill would allow Democrats to argue that they voted for the measure to help troops in harm’s way — and downplay that their vote also expanded the limit for how much money the country can borrow."

From Politico:

Unlike those of the House, the Senate’s rules do not allow it to automatically increase the debt with its adoption of the annual budget resolution. That puts senators in a tough position politically. And if the Senate balks at the increase, Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner has warned that the slow economic recovery could collapse, as investors around the world would sharply lose confidence in America’s abilities to meet its credit obligations.

While Republicans expect all 40 members to vote against a debt limit increase, the unity even within the Democrats is questionable.

“Regardless of the political treachery, I’m more worried about the economic treachery and the monetary aspects of it with devaluing the dollar,” said Sen. Ben Nelson (D-Neb.).

Senate Budget Committee Chairman Kent Conrad (D-N.D.) and the committee’s ranking member, Sen. Judd Gregg (R-N.H.), whose panel is in charge of the debt limit increase, both told POLITICO that appropriators may add the language to must-pass spending legislation.

And Conrad said he wants any debt increase to be coupled with language that would create a “comprehensive” process to force Congress to begin making tough choices to cut the debt — something akin to legislation he and Gregg proposed that would establish a commission to study ways to cut the deficit, whose recommendations would be fast-tracked through Congress.

Sen. Evan Bayh of Indiana, a centrist Democrat, said he wouldn’t support an increase in the debt limit “unless there’s some mechanism to start getting the deficit under control.”

With the daily dollar pounding now becoming a mainstream issue, it is only a matter of time before the debt ceiling topic also trickles down for general public regurgitation. At the end of the day, the question boils down to how massive debt increases now can be spun as necessary to contain debt increases, and in fact to reduce debt, in the future. If history is any precedent it will be difficult to convince a public, increasingly skeptical of the Administration's economic policies, that this move will be in the best interest of Americans. Additionally, if the Senate continues to underestimate America's sensitivity to this issue, and indeed tries to sneak the debt provision through, it will only turn even more people against Obama's debt exploding strategy. In the meantime, the Treasury is running out of ways to optically keep the debt under the ceiling: the clock is ticking on the Senate, and the longer it delays to have a unified approach to resolving this critical issue, the higher the likelihood of a major backlash when it finally does happen.




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Thu, 10/22/2009 - 11:05 | Link to Comment Careless Whisper
Careless Whisper's picture

These politicians are such liars. How many of them really want to balance the budget? Anyone? Anyone?

Thu, 10/22/2009 - 11:25 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Thu, 10/22/2009 - 11:30 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Thu, 10/22/2009 - 11:07 | Link to Comment Oso
Oso's picture

OMFG.

Thu, 10/22/2009 - 11:13 | Link to Comment deadhead
deadhead's picture

These people are cowards.

The resolution to increase the debt should and must be debated as a stand alone, not piled on as an amendment to obfuscate the issue and provide cover.

Thank you for keeping up the pressure on this issue ZH.

Thu, 10/22/2009 - 16:42 | Link to Comment OrganicGeorge
OrganicGeorge's picture

This is the same dance we see each time they raise the debt limit.

Senators will vigorously support or object to raising the limit; depending on which party conrtols the White House.

Same as it ever was

Thu, 10/22/2009 - 11:30 | Link to Comment tip e. canoe
tip e. canoe's picture

nice, now the opposition can capture 2 birds with 1 stone:
promote fiscal responsibility & bring the troops home.
Ron Paul would be licking his chops with this one.
too bad the House already passed...oh well.

 

Thu, 10/22/2009 - 11:15 | Link to Comment Whizbang
Whizbang's picture

According to the Fed and Treasury, the recession is over, but unless we give the banks more money at 0% the economy will collapse... If we don't bring our budget deficit under control, it will destroy the dollar, but unless we raise the debt cieling the economy will collapse. Am I going insane, or is this really happening??

Thu, 10/22/2009 - 11:16 | Link to Comment Cursive
Cursive's picture

I'm sharpening my backlash blade as we speak....

Thu, 10/22/2009 - 11:18 | Link to Comment SilverIsKing
SilverIsKing's picture

What will be interesting to see is how much they raise it by.  They are not going to want to be faced with raising it again in the near future and the way this country is spending money, the trajectory of such spending will dictate a substantial increase.

Any guesses?

I'm going with $13.9T

Thu, 10/22/2009 - 11:35 | Link to Comment Rama V
Rama V's picture

"3M Co gained 2 percent to $77.88 after the diversified manufacturer reported stronger-than-expected earnings and raised its full-year forecast on demand for consumer electronics and respiratory masks."

Going forward, MMM stock will continue to appreciate as consumers wanting to survive the deadly H1N1 epidemic, increase their purchases of respiratory masks.  There is a real possibility for a run on respiratory mask inventory and an ensuing inflationary shortage crisis.

On another encouraging note, TRV profits rose and costs fell as benefit payouts and the population continued to decline due to the flu and rampant heart desease aggravated by a steady diet of Big Macs.  MCD was up 5% on the NYSE.

 

Thu, 10/22/2009 - 11:19 | Link to Comment Cursive
Cursive's picture

Maybe if the debt ceiling is not raised, that will be the catalyst to resurrect the dollar?  We need to monitor this closely.  It could cause a major "dislocation" in the market.

Thu, 10/22/2009 - 11:29 | Link to Comment SilverIsKing
SilverIsKing's picture

There's not a chance in hell that it is not raised.  If not formally, then informally.

Spending trajectory and declining tax revenues makes it a forgone conclusion.

Buy Silver.

Thu, 10/22/2009 - 11:23 | Link to Comment Cognitive Dissonance
Cognitive Dissonance's picture

This entire "where can we hide Waldo" mess reminds me of a real life conversation I overheard while working in a bank.

This middle aged man walks into the lobby and asks to see the manager. He was directed to my assistant because I was on the phone. Fortunately I overheard the discussion.

In a nut shell, this man was chronically over drawn and was bouncing checks left and right. It didn't take long for him to raise his voice and declare to anyone within earshot that he wasn't responsible for the over drafts because the bank should make him stop writing bad checks.

So help me God his exact words were "The bank should make me stop writing bad checks." Short of tying him to the chair and giving him an IV drip, I had no idea how to satisfy his request nor why he would think we were the responsible party.

Does this sound like a group of people near and dear to our hearts? 

 

Thu, 10/22/2009 - 11:54 | Link to Comment starfish
starfish's picture

The bank should never have allowed him to write bad checks.  Period.

Thu, 10/22/2009 - 15:17 | Link to Comment faustian bargain
faustian bargain's picture

nor good checks.

Thu, 10/22/2009 - 16:28 | Link to Comment Cognitive Dissonance
Cognitive Dissonance's picture

And right there is the insanity of the system and of us as individuals. Common sense would have indicated that the bank should close the account. But I would never have been able to justify doing so to my supervisor because the guy was paying a fortune in fees to the bank on a monthly basis.

As long as he (eventually) deposited enough money to cover the bank fees, we kept the account open. Only if he didn't pay the fees would we consider him a "bad" customer.

I lasted about 6 months in banking because I had one basic problem. I had ethics and I always ran into moral dilemmas. I didn't feel the lowest common denominator in banking should be if the bank was making money.

I'll never forget the day I tendered my resignation. My supervisor told me I lacked the killer instinct and he called me a looser. I sure as hell didn't feel like one then or now. We all need to be able to look in the mirror in the morning. I can.

 

Thu, 10/22/2009 - 11:31 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Thu, 10/22/2009 - 11:33 | Link to Comment chumbawamba
chumbawamba's picture

This angers me.

But as The Prophet Zacharias Manuel de la Rocha said, "Anger is a gift."

I will go clutch my fire-spitting steel and dream of the day when it's use will have become inevitable and necessary.

I am Chumbawamba.

Thu, 10/22/2009 - 12:21 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Thu, 10/22/2009 - 11:33 | Link to Comment system failure
system failure's picture

I am sure that Congress must hurry to pass the higher debt ceiling limits before their creditors increase the fees later this year. Just like peons credit card companies new fees and legislation.

Thu, 10/22/2009 - 11:43 | Link to Comment chumbawamba
chumbawamba's picture

They have to make sure there's enough room in there for their salary increases.

I am Chumbawamba.

Thu, 10/22/2009 - 12:04 | Link to Comment Careless Whisper
Careless Whisper's picture

Goldman has their back on those paychecks. Let's see 535 x $174,000 = $93,090,000 which isn't even a rounding error to the $16,000,000,000 in bonuses.

 

FREE SERGEY

 

Thu, 10/22/2009 - 11:51 | Link to Comment ArkansasAngie
ArkansasAngie's picture

Come on boys ... show some guts.  Make it a stand alone bill.  I'd like to see the debate on C-Span.

BTW: I'd like to have your guess as to how long this increase is going to last so I can determine whether you're doing a good job or not.

We need to unelect some of these buggers in 2010 and see if we can get their attention.

Thu, 10/22/2009 - 11:53 | Link to Comment chumbawamba
chumbawamba's picture

Vote with Guns.

I am Chumbawamba.

Thu, 10/22/2009 - 11:52 | Link to Comment deadhead
deadhead's picture

we're number one, we're number one.

treasury just announced yet another record auction of funny paper for next week.

 

we're number one!

Thu, 10/22/2009 - 11:55 | Link to Comment starfish
starfish's picture

I had a dream last night...that the FED controls congress...very odd. They were like a puppet master with their marionetts...

Thu, 10/22/2009 - 12:06 | Link to Comment Commander Cody
Commander Cody's picture

It was no dream.

Thu, 10/22/2009 - 11:56 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Thu, 10/22/2009 - 12:01 | Link to Comment Daedal
Daedal's picture

Finance theory dictates ideal debt levels can exist, but at a certain point, higher debt levels are more and more egregious. There comes a point where higher debt cannot even service short term interests at expense of long term. Those senators think they can surreptitiously increase the debt ceiling without immediate consequence. I think we're getting to the point where the consequences may be felt immediately, not simply postponed.

Thu, 10/22/2009 - 12:08 | Link to Comment Commander Cody
Commander Cody's picture

Debt is good, it makes us rich.

 

I am Commander Cody.

Thu, 10/22/2009 - 12:09 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Thu, 10/22/2009 - 12:19 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Thu, 10/22/2009 - 12:23 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Thu, 10/22/2009 - 12:34 | Link to Comment waterdog
waterdog's picture

It is obvious that most in congress believe that the increase in the debt limit is to run the government. Timmy is not asking for a mere trillion or two. If he is, he is wasting his time. Because he knows he needs at least 4 trillion to give to Bernanke to give to the big boys. Remember, we day laborers do not know what the true amount of bad assets is on the big boys’ books. Bernanke is not so foolish as to tell the congress no to disclosure if, he did not intend to pull the same trick again. The general consensus is that, when the commercial real estate loans become weed control mulch in the Garden of Eden we are all doomed. It is obvious that the big boys have not been reimbursed their full losses yet, because we have to raise the debt ceiling higher than the cost of government requirements.

Thu, 10/22/2009 - 12:41 | Link to Comment Assetman
Assetman's picture

If you're going to be irresponsible and increase the debt limit time and time again, why don't you attach it to Term Limit legislation?

That would seem to me to be "essential" legislation, would it not?

Thu, 10/22/2009 - 12:58 | Link to Comment Commander Cody
Commander Cody's picture

No, making sure our guns are loaded is way more important.  Never know just who might want to get boisterous with us.  Or, for that matter we might just want to get boisterous with others.

Thu, 10/22/2009 - 12:42 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Thu, 10/22/2009 - 13:18 | Link to Comment Apocalypse Now
Apocalypse Now's picture

We should attach the debt ceiling increase to the real essential legislation - the RP audit the fed bill.  After all, we are all surprised that they have already spent through the first $12.1 trillion debt ceiling limit, and we have no idea what they spent it on and what friends of the printing press they gave it to because the audit the fed bill has not passed. 

Congress should withhold Ben Bernanke's confirmation approval for his second term and refuse to increase the debt ceiling until:

*Confirmation the $12.1 trillion is accounted for

*Ensure transparency through auditing the fed (agreed provision)

*Ensure the funds are not used for any big bank bail outs - TBTF's nationalized instead if they need future funds

*And most importantly but understated: AUDIT THE $600 TRILLION" In DERIVATIVES AT THE TBTF's.  I'll say it a gain in case you missed the all caps "shouting" - Audit the $600 trillion in derivatives at the TBTF's.  It is merely a shell game between the fed and the banks, so you have to audit them both.

Thu, 10/22/2009 - 14:18 | Link to Comment Commander Cody
Commander Cody's picture

I thought the Fed's balance sheet was off the 12.1T debt ceiling balance sheet so to speak.

Thu, 10/22/2009 - 14:22 | Link to Comment bugs_
bugs_'s picture

We can stop a lot of the current nonsense if we get

our congresscritters to vote this down.

Thu, 10/22/2009 - 16:41 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Thu, 10/22/2009 - 21:20 | Link to Comment Zippyin Annapolis
Zippyin Annapolis's picture

I am laughing so hard that I am soiling my nickers--I mean people take this Seriously--Really?

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