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The Silver Bears Are Back

Tyler Durden's picture




 

...And that would be bears as in cartoon bears, who are now back for the 6th installment of their periodic, and very much unique and extemely politically incorrect and PG-18 recap of key developments in the silver market. Love them or hate them, they do provide an interesting thought experiment on what happens if silver does finally experience the long-expected technical drop.

 

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Tue, 05/03/2011 - 17:41 | 1235889 PulauHantu29
PulauHantu29's picture

Good time to add silver and silver mines...AUY, SLW, etc....

Tue, 05/03/2011 - 18:00 | 1235940 falak pema
falak pema's picture

I love the hubris of some in life, how it drips from bitter sweet lips of people who can't see/won't see beyond the end of their noses. But then, that is what makes a man believe he is not myopic and still alive and kicking. The pot of gold at the end of the rainbow always helps. Reminds me of the magnificent seven...they all wanted to die rich...except a few...the happy few...or the less delusional few...or the wiser few...or the dumber few...or just the prouder few...all are appropriate at different moments of the day.

Their leader, Chris,  summed it up : the loser few. That's why they were magnificent. Knowing, accepting,  how to lose is an art in life. It keeps you young, even when you die.

Tue, 05/03/2011 - 18:18 | 1236013 solidsteele
solidsteele's picture

Current May 2011 Silver Trading = Greatest Stop Loss Raid Of ALL TIME!

Tue, 05/03/2011 - 18:22 | 1236035 Silver Bug
Silver Bug's picture

Nice work, once again Silver Bears, keep it in perspective.

 

http://silverliberationarmy.blogspot.com/

Tue, 05/03/2011 - 18:21 | 1236043 Eternal Student
Eternal Student's picture

Nice job, SilverGoldSilver. Though it seems to me a little like the video is stating the obvious, but I'm certain that's just me. To someone who hasn't been following the silver markets, this is undoubtedly a valueable perspective.

Still, even for someone more knowledgeable about the silver markets, your videos are always enjoyable.

Tue, 05/03/2011 - 18:27 | 1236061 markar
markar's picture

Apmex as of right now is still getting over $48 for MLs & Eagles.

Tue, 05/03/2011 - 22:31 | 1236754 Pumpkin
Pumpkin's picture

Seems like a lot of people here suddenly have more confidence in the dollar. 

Wed, 05/04/2011 - 00:55 | 1237004 Old Poor Richard
Old Poor Richard's picture

Supposing the paper ETFs are fiction, then explain why you're allowed to redeem shares for physical?

You can buy shares of SLV and take them to the counter and redeem them for bullion.  That's a fact.  If SLV is a fraud, then why hasn't it been raided and imploded through this redemption mechanism?

So there isn't a shortage of physical silver. 

 

 

Yet. 

You'll know the endgame has arrived when they change the rules, no longer allow exchange of shares for bullion.  That will happen when the vault is empty.  The final insult will be as the last of the holdout longs panic-sell their worthless shares, the buyers will be the naked shorts closing out their positions (after long ago banking their profit).

Until that happens, anybody who needs silver bars, they can get it from Blackrock, millions of ounces, simply through redemption of shares.  But the factual non-shortage goes both ways.  A holder of bullion can simply short SLV today, and toddle up to the counter later and exchange cheap bullion they dug out of the ground for shares to cover the short position.

 

Wed, 05/04/2011 - 01:16 | 1237106 akak
akak's picture

Actually, you are incorrect.

Only "authorized participants" can redeem SLV shares for actual silver, and only in "baskets" of 50,000 ounces.  The last time I checked, there were only around a dozen authorized participants anyway.  The average investor has NO capability to redeem SLV shares for physical silver in any way, shape or form.  As the SNL Church Lady would have said, "how convenient".

Wed, 05/04/2011 - 22:35 | 1241786 weyes1
weyes1's picture

Hmmm, could it be...... SATAN?

Wed, 05/04/2011 - 03:24 | 1237207 ultarnerd
ultarnerd's picture

Do a search on JPM and see that they have been caught and charged for charging a storage fee for gold or silver they did not hold and had settled out of court.Thats right they were caught.And guess who owns GLD and SLV, yep JPM that's right.But note that SLV and GLD do not charge a specific storage fee where you pay to store so many ounces and pay per year on each ounce.That's right those services are not specific enough to get them charged so why, but why in the world, would you believe they would suddenly become now honest with GLD and SLV.

Wed, 05/04/2011 - 07:04 | 1237304 Old Poor Richard
Old Poor Richard's picture

Do a search on JPM and see that they have been caught and charged for charging a storage fee for gold or silver they did not hold and had settled out of court.

I'm not a defender of banksters, I hate banksters to the point of being irrational about it. 

But that particular practice of JPM sounds unremarkable, like something the phone company would do. 

I believe the supposed shortage in physical silver is being exaggerated.  Recently somebody got the "issuing of shares" of SLV backwards like it was some sort of conspiracy to dilute.  In fact those shares were simply being documented in a filing--they would have to be issued to those who are depositing bullion when such a deposit occurs.  No conspiracy there.  It indicates bullion is flowing into their vault.

 

Wed, 05/04/2011 - 08:22 | 1237444 Abraham Snake
Abraham Snake's picture

However, we are seeing more of this price divergence as time goes on. Ebay silver is being bid up well above the silver spot price, more so than last year I've noticed. Also, all the physical dealers are showing shortages of available stock and are raising premiums over spot price. This is something easily noticed.

If we assume the awful case, where the price manipulators maintain control over paper silver prices, such that 2 separate prices for silver emerge, one for physical and then the paper price, quoted as spot, for the short term it'll be bad for the average physical holder because price discovery will be -confusing as hell-. Most physical sellers will have fewer physical buyers who are willing to pay X amount over the spot price. In general, it will have the potential to seriously jerk liquidity from the physical market as confidence in price is eroded, driving casual participants out of the arena.

In the long run, I still think holders of physical silver will be the winners, but now, I find my accumulation strategy compromised when I imagine a confused and less liquid physical market in the near future.

Wed, 05/04/2011 - 10:40 | 1238006 Grand Supercycle
Wed, 05/04/2011 - 11:31 | 1238402 eisley79
Fri, 07/15/2011 - 08:20 | 1458904 hama
hama's picture

The former execs that ruined the company for 50 years with meritless, non-achievement, nepotistic hiring practices, have been and now are living without having to work, being paid billions, the life of Riley.
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Sat, 07/16/2011 - 18:34 | 1462687 hama
hama's picture

The Yen, and Japan, raising cash to pay for the reconstruction of the country, is already on the path of Yen appreciation and will be assisted in their efforts by the other central banks. By acting in a co-ordinated fashion they will begin to reverse the worldwide race to the bottom.
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Tue, 07/26/2011 - 11:38 | 1494623 pama
pama's picture

I'm willing to tithe 5% for enough chains to place on all the rascals between the FRB and Wall St.
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