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The SNB Is Now Actively Dumping Euros

Tyler Durden's picture





 

After the Swiss National Bank was actively gobbling every euro it could find for months on end to punish its own currency, in the process swelling its balance sheet to half the country's GDP, the WSJ's MarketBeat reports that the SNB is now in reverse mode, and has been a steady seller of EUR for the past 10 days. And since the dramatic ascent in the EURUSD is still rather confounding in light of increasing Yen strength, one potential explanation is that this has merely been a coordinated effort to provide the SNB with appropriate EUR selling levels as another quarter of massive FX-related losses would likely be Hillenbrand's last. From MarketBeat: "The Swiss National Bank is once again at the center of the currency
markets, with London-based traders at two banks saying the SNB has been
dumping some of the euros it hoarded during this year’s aggressive but
ill-fated intervention program. London traders said the SNB has been a steady seller of euros against
the dollar over the past 10 days, likely limiting the scale of the
single currency’s ascent. The central bank declined to comment." We have covered the SNB's dramatic and frequent interventions in the FX markets over the past 6 months, many of these predicated by the hundreds of billions of CHF denominated loans in non-Euro countries, which had the potential to destabilize the Swiss economy, and to force a massive squeeze in the CHF bringing the currency not only to parity with the USD but with the EUR (a topic covered extensively by the WSJ yesterday). For those who may have missed the "logic" of the interventions, and the current unwind, here are some more observations from Marketbeat:

The SNB launched a heavy-duty program of euro buying earlier this year in an effort to hold down the soaring Swiss franc. The bank’s official reserves more than doubled from the end of last year to the end of last month, reaching 226.7 billion Swiss francs by June 30. In May alone, the SNB scooped up the equivalent of almost €60 billion, equal to around 15% of the country’s entire annual economic output.

The bank’s efforts may have limited the franc’s ascent, but the currency still smashed through a series of record highs against the euro, which dipped under 1.31 Swiss francs in early July. It has since bounced back to around 1.38 Swiss francs.

Now, traders say that the central bank is mixing up its foreign-exchange holdings — a typical move for investors and central banks that are overexposed to one particular currency.

The central bank is “not hammering” the euro, one person familiar with the situation said, but it is selling it on a notable scale.

With the EUR gunning for the moon suddenly, market rumors have associate the move either with various stop barriers or options expirations thresholds. Regardless, the sudden spike should provide a good exit point for the likes of the SNB to offload a solid 2-3% its hundreds of billions in EUR holdings.

 


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Thu, 07/29/2010 - 08:37 | Link to Comment russki standart
russki standart's picture

Short Euro Bitchez! (but not today)

Thu, 07/29/2010 - 08:52 | Link to Comment virgilcaine
virgilcaine's picture

I'm Standing at the cross roads.. tired of standing by myself..

Thu, 07/29/2010 - 09:48 | Link to Comment Oh regional Indian
Oh regional Indian's picture

What a job CB's have. An impossible battle.

I believe, as opposed to some here, that Forex will make the biggest millioners/paupers when the big move finally comes.

Meanwhile, the SNB/ECB/FED(up) dance continues, apace.

Happy trading, though if I were you, I'd sit this time out.

Get some metal!

ORI

http://aadivaahan.wordpress.com

Thu, 07/29/2010 - 09:48 | Link to Comment b_thunder
b_thunder's picture

SNB is now the world's 2nd largest (totally unhedged and unhinged) hedge fund

FRBNY is, of course, still #1.

 

 

Thu, 07/29/2010 - 10:03 | Link to Comment old_turk
old_turk's picture

My guess is the SNB is buying the dollar with euros so they can pay back a bit of the double secret swap facility with the Fed.

Looks to be a day for watching the FX crosses as the speculative imbalances continue to grow.

Thu, 07/29/2010 - 13:40 | Link to Comment Grand Supercycle
Grand Supercycle's picture

DOW daily chart posted at blog, showing two megaphone wedges . . .

http://stockmarket618.wordpress.com

Do NOT follow this link or you will be banned from the site!