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So Much For Austerity: Greece Misses Deficit Projections, Spain Debt/GDP Surges

Tyler Durden's picture




 

And two more highlights from a floundering Europe once again "validating" the EUR spike to near multi year highs. Eurostat came out earlier and reported that the Greek budget deficit, while declining from 15.4% of GDP in 2009 to 10.5% in 2010, missed expectations by a mile, or over 10%, after consensus was for a deficit print at 9.4% of GDP. And while the second to last PIIGS domino to fall also saw its deficit decline modestly sequentially from 11.1% of GDP to 9.2% in 2010, the country's total debt/GDP rose from 53.3% to 60.1%. With austerity like that, who needs the Teamsters?

 

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Tue, 04/26/2011 - 06:07 | 1207011 ZeroPower
ZeroPower's picture

This is bullish for the EUR of course.

Tue, 04/26/2011 - 06:26 | 1207039 Id fight Gandhi
Id fight Gandhi's picture

In seriousness why? Last year just the Greek problem alone tanked eur hard. Why is it holding up and their equity markets too?

Why is there no fear 3 eurozone counties are bust?

Tue, 04/26/2011 - 06:40 | 1207054 A Man without Q...
A Man without Qualities's picture

Possibly because of the deficit numbers in the US and the fact the first response to any problem is the printing press...

The old laws of risk vs return do not apply when money itself loses meaning.

Tue, 04/26/2011 - 07:00 | 1207084 damijan
damijan's picture

EUR will go down, be patient. This is the time to sell.

Tue, 04/26/2011 - 08:01 | 1207204 topcallingtroll
topcallingtroll's picture

It will break apart or the north will permanently subsidize the south. The True Finns are just a taste of what is to come if brussels tries the permanent subsidy route.

Tue, 04/26/2011 - 08:31 | 1207254 ivana
ivana's picture

Believe so. Banksters just would like to buy some more time to fuck chinese monetary system

Tue, 04/26/2011 - 09:26 | 1207456 Agent 440
Agent 440's picture

Ahh.... you're not keep track of the other submarines in the race. lol

Tue, 04/26/2011 - 10:18 | 1207653 Overflow-admin
Overflow-admin's picture

3 alternatives, pick the one you prefer:

- Zeropower has the first comment on the article, it must be highly sarcastic or say "sssssilver biiiiitchezzz"

- Financial actors in addition to reach the highest level of sarcasm in their analysis are also very gready and therefore must steal to the least penny before cracking everything down. So Zeropower is spot on.

- 1+2

Tue, 04/26/2011 - 15:50 | 1208821 ZeroPower
ZeroPower's picture

Concise and spot-on. Cheers!

Tue, 04/26/2011 - 06:07 | 1207014 Dick Darlington
Dick Darlington's picture

Add Portugal to the all mighty austerity club. Portugal revised their deficit for 2010 first in March from 7.3% to 8.6% and last weekend again from 8.6% to 9.1%.

Tue, 04/26/2011 - 06:09 | 1207016 FOC 1183
FOC 1183's picture

Austerity^{-1}

Tue, 04/26/2011 - 06:49 | 1207063 A Man without Q...
A Man without Qualities's picture

sq rt (austerity ) = - 1

Tue, 04/26/2011 - 06:33 | 1207045 Josephine29
Josephine29's picture

This situation seems to be almost endless where we get lie after lie. Back on April 13th this was explained by a blog post which whilst giving the real (worse) view on the Greek state budget figures for early 2011 pointed this out about 2010.

In spite of continual official talk that things are going to plan the numbers which keep emerging indicate that if they are it is in fact someone else’s! Last week more and more rumours surfaced that the Greek fiscal deficit which had been reported as 9.4% of Gross Domestic Product was in fact more likely to be 10% which continued a sad but by now familiar trend.

http://t.co/q7PqTcp

Tue, 04/26/2011 - 07:01 | 1207082 Mordor
Mordor's picture

it's not EUR that is strong...is the $ that is f.ing weak... and as long as CBs continue to difersify the amount of $ they buy to difend their FX, there is no hope to see a EUR lower.

but one day we will pay for everything....

 

 

Tue, 04/26/2011 - 09:12 | 1207394 Commander Cody
Commander Cody's picture

I wonder if the Chinese are still tending to side with the EUR.

Tue, 04/26/2011 - 07:06 | 1207090 Dick Darlington
Dick Darlington's picture

Greece getting hammered now. March 2012 bond yield up roughly 300 bp today! Bid side yield over 27%, lol.

Tue, 04/26/2011 - 07:29 | 1207131 three chord sloth
three chord sloth's picture

What austerity? Where are the haircuts? No haircuts = no austerity. You can't judge a method until you've actually tried it.

Austerity without haircuts is just a continuation of the debt-slavery started by the overspenders -- life as a banker's peon.

Tue, 04/26/2011 - 07:56 | 1207192 topcallingtroll
topcallingtroll's picture

I kinda miss some of those eurosnobs.coming around and telling us how stupid and uneducated we americans are and just how smart they are with their progressive policies

Where did you all go? At least we will still have a.currency when this is all over.

Tue, 04/26/2011 - 08:33 | 1207257 A Man without Q...
A Man without Qualities's picture

No, when this is over, the US will have the same banking system but a new currency and the EU will have the same currency but a new banking system....  

Tue, 04/26/2011 - 08:34 | 1207265 topcallingtroll
topcallingtroll's picture

Thanks....still waiting for huxley to comment.

Tue, 04/26/2011 - 08:37 | 1207273 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

They turned the screws on the insolent peasants and it did not cure what ails the rich? My goodness thats awful, just terrible.

Tue, 04/26/2011 - 08:40 | 1207275 Leo Kolivakis
Leo Kolivakis's picture

Yeah, what a shocker! (sarcasm on) Just spoke with my sis in Crete and she told me that everyone is buckling down and austerity is killing the economy. Like it takes a genius to figure this out...SHEESH!!!!!

Tue, 04/26/2011 - 08:54 | 1207337 ivars
ivars's picture

Interesting. The fact Greece used hidden EASING could have been guessed from the shape of its stock market price chart in 2009:

http://www.saposjoint.net/Forum/viewtopic.php?f=14&t=2626&p=31991#p31991

It is the same as USA chart of today, including QE1 and QE2:

 

http://www.saposjoint.net/Forum/viewtopic.php?f=14&t=2626&p=31991#p31988

 

 

Tue, 04/26/2011 - 09:09 | 1207382 The Count
The Count's picture

OK, who still doesn't get it that the Greeks are liars and cheats? And this from a guy that loves the Greek Islands... My wager: Greece the first domino to fall. 

 

Tue, 04/26/2011 - 11:24 | 1207897 Xkwisetly Paneful
Xkwisetly Paneful's picture

Bbbbuuuttttt big government liberal socialism is the cure all.

It has worked well for the PIIGS, worked wonders in once the US most prosperous state CA,

and has been an unparalleled success in urban America.

Tue, 04/26/2011 - 11:47 | 1208004 willien1derland
willien1derland's picture

The Ponzi must end at some point - how much longer can this last? The Mid-Spread on Greek 5 Year CDS is 1,498 @ 16:30GMT - The US will HAVE to attack Syria soon as MSM cannot hide these facts much longer - God save us from ourselves!

Tue, 04/26/2011 - 23:10 | 1210103 AbbeBrel
AbbeBrel's picture

Hmm

Greek government bonds fell, pushing the yield on the two- year security up as much as 64 basis points to a euro-era record of 23.65 percent today, reflecting mounting investor expectations that Greece will renege on its debts. The government in Athens has ruled out a restructuring, saying it would devastate domestic banks and hammer the economy.

At this point the Greek bonds are starting to sound like the stories about mortgage-backed toxic assets.   All of a sudden nobody wanted to buy them!   The de facto restructuring appears to be on-going.  

“Timing is everything. There is a tide in the affairs of men which when taken at the flood leads on to fortune.”

 

To quote Martin Wolf quoting Shakespeare: Failure to do so will bring further misery and the sort of self-commiseration that haunted Richard II, who lamented: “I wasted time, and now doth time waste me.”

 

in other words:

Brutus:
There is a tide in the affairs of men.
Which, taken at the flood, leads on to fortune;
Omitted, all the voyage of their life
Is bound in shallows and in miseries.
On such a full sea are we now afloat,
And we must take the current when it serves,
Or lose our ventures.

Julius Caesar Act 4, scene 3, 218–224

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