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Sovereign Risk Update
I will keep harping on this theme until such time as harping is no longer necessary. Equity market rippage has resulted in essentially zero change in overall country risk profiles (and deteriorating risk in Japanese risk). There is a massive disconnect between equities and credit, especially sovereign credit which is becoming a defacto proxy for corporate risk via extended short-term guarantee programs and assumed liabilities. Not much needs to be said here: no equity market rally is indicative of increased risk tolerance until the lines below move dramatically tighter.
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