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Surge Of Inexplicable After Hours Selling Takes Gold Volatility Index To All Time Low

Tyler Durden's picture




 

In addition to the rout in the ES, VIX and GC which we pointed out earlier, there were some additional fireworks behind the scenes in today's after hours session. The CBOE Gold Volatility Index, the ^GVZ plunged by the most in over a year, as the index hit an all time low of 15.92 without the underlying making much of a notable move. The most curious aspect of the trade was that the entire dump occured in the AH session. Many were left scratching their heads over what caused this monstrous unwind in long vol positions: was this the unwind of a massive long ES/short GC arb? We don't know, although if rumors that a major fund is planning to stand for delivery of Dec gold turn out to be true, then obviously someone got confirmation today. Keep a close eye out on the GVZ. Should this price level persist on Monday, then the front futures contract will likely surge.

A trader whom we managed to reach late in the day had this to say on this stunning move:

Typical course of action for HFT and other commodity pranksters is to shake out new contract holders.  They did it with absolute gusto today, shorting thousand of contracts into thin markets.  That didn't work.  Gold held up.  Now, taking into account that peripheral EU spreads are hitting new highs, hedge funds are getting redemption requests etc, why would you go home long ES and short GC?  So what they did is they sold ES into and after the close.  After that ES/SPY close they can't run these 'start arb' HFT strategies any more that go long S&P and short Gold as well.  Gold's closing time is 1:45pm.  They had to cover shorts. 

If the short covering in paper persists, perhaps the world won't even need the Krieger/Keiser physical PM campaign to destroy Blythe Masters.

And a bonus observation of the gold curve is the Gold February contract, where in the last minute someone bought 2k contracts, which represents 200,000 ounces or about $272MM worth of gold. Not a bad purchase for the last trade on the slowest day of the year.

As usual, we welcome our readers' perspectives on this largely unexpected move.

 

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Sat, 11/27/2010 - 14:47 | 757647 delacroix
delacroix's picture

gld does not = metal

Sat, 11/27/2010 - 16:04 | 757762 Mr Lennon Hendrix
Mr Lennon Hendrix's picture

Except for JPM, GS, and three or four other Majors.

Sat, 11/27/2010 - 15:11 | 757682 David Sofer
David Sofer's picture

I second what RockyRacoon asks. Why?

Sat, 11/27/2010 - 17:20 | 757874 RockyRacoon
RockyRacoon's picture

It was a rhetorical question actually.  The reason is that gold is money, unlike fiat currency.  It is held as a store of value and used when needed.

Sat, 11/27/2010 - 13:05 | 757465 Eally Ucked
Eally Ucked's picture

That's good, we want it to happen. They will play with paper and we just put few more chips in our cupboard. Then we wait to see what is better; piece of paper or metal.

Sat, 11/27/2010 - 14:45 | 757642 FreedomGuy
FreedomGuy's picture

Brilliantly put! In a high/hyperinflation scenario: SPY 20,000, gold infinite. Both will go up but gold and commodities become the currency.

Fri, 11/26/2010 - 22:15 | 756748 Spitzer
Spitzer's picture

Higher lows for gold

Lower highs for the DOW

Gold still moves higher.

Sat, 11/27/2010 - 11:48 | 757318 DoctoRx
DoctoRx's picture

You hath great pith.

Fri, 11/26/2010 - 23:28 | 756845 mrgneiss
mrgneiss's picture

"That's basically the way it has worked out so far."

You say that as if almost every call you've made in gold so far hasn't been wrong - the only utility you have is posting nice pics (not your joke charts)

Sat, 11/27/2010 - 08:28 | 757190 George the baby...
George the baby crusher's picture

You're a snarly little shit aren't you?

Fri, 11/26/2010 - 23:45 | 756904 Species8472
Species8472's picture

It's worked that way so far because when the Fed conjures money gold goes up on inflation fears, and the money goes into stocks, pushing them up. Other centra banks doing the same. The so far will end when the central banks stop printing. And that wont happen until the banks are sound, so the both will be going up for a long time, until something breaks.

 

Sat, 11/27/2010 - 01:59 | 757057 LowProfile
LowProfile's picture

In principle you are right, but your thinking is rather linear, and thus ignores what people likely do.

Which is as things get scarier with various currencies, they buy more gold.  So your targets for equities are too high or not low enough, and the converse for gold.  Think 14,000/2,500 or 8200/1250 DOW/gold.

Sat, 11/27/2010 - 11:15 | 757283 Calmyourself
Calmyourself's picture

-

Sun, 11/28/2010 - 15:28 | 759104 Ras Bongo
Ras Bongo's picture

IMO, it will go down but not as much as in 2008. 200 days avg should support.

Fri, 11/26/2010 - 21:30 | 756689 lolmaster
lolmaster's picture

Take delivery of what? Hope they're not expecting a helicopter bearing gold...

Fri, 11/26/2010 - 21:30 | 756691 eigenvalue
eigenvalue's picture

What about silver, which has been nuked today?

Sat, 11/27/2010 - 02:05 | 757066 Hook Line and S...
Hook Line and Sphincter's picture

3% is not nuked, it's a bulimic 500 calorie purge episode after a 5000 calorie meal.

Fri, 11/26/2010 - 21:31 | 756692 geminiRX
geminiRX's picture

I chose the wrong day to quit drinking.

Fri, 11/26/2010 - 21:46 | 756713 carlosschw
carlosschw's picture

There will be other days ;-)

Sat, 11/27/2010 - 09:27 | 757235 Arius
Arius's picture

thats a lame excuse to get back to it..  :-)

Sat, 11/27/2010 - 13:07 | 757468 Eally Ucked
Eally Ucked's picture

Shit, I went other way, what's your motivation?

Fri, 11/26/2010 - 21:32 | 756694 Eternal Student
Eternal Student's picture

Someone else mentioned that AMPEX was out of stock on some of their gold bars.

And here's Harvey Organ's summary for Silver from last Wednesday:

"The total number of notices sent down this month totalled 902 notices or 4,510,000.  Since no silver notices are left to be sent down, this should be the final number of silver oz that is standing for the options delivery month of November.  This is some total.  You could just imagine the quantity that will stand in December.  It should break the bank!!"

+1 Krieger/Keiser so far.

I've got to wonder what kind of weekend that evil b*tch Blythe Masters is having.

 

 

Fri, 11/26/2010 - 21:35 | 756698 eigenvalue
eigenvalue's picture

Silver was nuked today. the front contract lost almost 1/3 of the open interest. 

Fri, 11/26/2010 - 21:50 | 756711 Eternal Student
Eternal Student's picture

Well, duh. Everyone was expecting Blythe to pounce on low volume, like she always does. This is no surprise.

Fri, 11/26/2010 - 23:40 | 756899 goldfish1
goldfish1's picture

Remember: (per the latest Jim Willie):

"The Chicago Mercantile Exchange raised the margin requirements for silver on November 9th. It was highly motivated. They wanted to prevent a blowout upside move in silver past $30 before Christmas, and to relieve some of the pain to the Big Four US banks. Unlike gold & silver, no margin hikes were doled out for soybeans, corn, sugar, or cotton despite their concurrent price gains. The message is clear, that desperation has set in relative to precious metals, as conditions are breaking down badly. The CME sent out a memo raising the margin maintenance requirements for silver futures by up to 29%, from $5000 to $6500 per contract. Initial positions have a slightly higher margin. It is their right, being the market maker. Let not their fast disappearing silver inventory deter their path. Less than two weeks later, the CME raised the silver margin maintenance requirement another 11.5% to $7250 in a sign of desperation. "

Sat, 11/27/2010 - 14:50 | 757651 FreedomGuy
FreedomGuy's picture

Good points, but I think it is because PM's have the special status of being the canary in the mineshaft. They tell on the currency shenanigans more than rice or pork bellies. Energy might be a nice second. PM's have to be manipulated and any smart trader will try to play on that.

Take delivery!

Fri, 11/26/2010 - 21:57 | 756725 Arius
Arius's picture

i dont think she cares much...

i have a feeling smt big is going under...things might be out of control at this point.  they would if they could had gold under at least 1350 for option expiration.

Fri, 11/26/2010 - 22:23 | 756757 MarketTruth
MarketTruth's picture

High volitility is expected as the game nears the end. An animal will struggle for it's life when first captured.

Fri, 11/26/2010 - 23:24 | 756840 spdrdr
spdrdr's picture

Per my Grade 7 English teacher:

"It's gross to watch a dog lick its balls!"

Ever since then, I have cringed at the improper use of the apostrophe with possessive pronouns. 

 

Fri, 11/26/2010 - 23:56 | 756929 CrockettAlmanac.com
CrockettAlmanac.com's picture

I just remind myself that there's no apostrophe in the pronouns his or hers so there is none in its. But typos still happen.

Sat, 11/27/2010 - 00:16 | 756946 DoChenRollingBearing
DoChenRollingBearing's picture

Your Grade 7 English teacher notwithstanding:

Q:  Why does a dog lick its balls?

A:  Because it can.

Sat, 11/27/2010 - 01:21 | 757021 FatFingered
FatFingered's picture

That joke is older than my 7th grade teacher.

Sat, 11/27/2010 - 11:17 | 757289 Calmyourself
Calmyourself's picture

No, because it cannot make a little furry fist..

Sat, 11/27/2010 - 12:03 | 757349 johny2
johny2's picture

+

Sat, 11/27/2010 - 00:24 | 756957 chindit13
chindit13's picture

There, their, they’re, spdrdr. Your acting as if hour mistakes aren‘t you’re mistakes, when its clear where all human through and threw.  Just kidding.

Sat, 11/27/2010 - 00:29 | 756964 saulysw
saulysw's picture

...and your mine!

Sat, 11/27/2010 - 01:23 | 757024 FatFingered
FatFingered's picture

+7

Sat, 11/27/2010 - 01:47 | 757038 spdrdr
spdrdr's picture

Chindit13, God knows that I have made my quota of errors and non-sequiturs in my time.

It still doesn't stop me cringing.  No offence was intended, but it is a simple grammatical issue.

Every time you write "its", you just have to think whether you mean "it is" or not. If you mean "it is", then for God's sake put in the apostrophe as an abbreviation!

Alternatively, if you are not saying "it is", then don't put in the apostrophe abbreviation.

Simple.

If you want to see me go really postal, ask me about Quantitative Easing........ 

 

Cheers!

Sat, 11/27/2010 - 02:58 | 757103 saulysw
saulysw's picture

That reminds me - I've been meaning to ask you about Quantitative Easing. Whats it's all about?

Sat, 11/27/2010 - 08:27 | 757189 StychoKiller
StychoKiller's picture

Irregardless of your bad punctuation, you're response is highly inflammable! :>D

Sat, 11/27/2010 - 09:56 | 757249 Rusty Shorts
Sat, 11/27/2010 - 13:23 | 757501 Eally Ucked
Eally Ucked's picture

Don't worry, he just got depressed and used a bit of ethanol. Me too btw. Any way grammar or not the THOUGHT is the more important.

Sat, 11/27/2010 - 14:52 | 757653 delacroix
delacroix's picture

no offense taken

Sat, 11/27/2010 - 22:10 | 758229 Katharotes
Katharotes's picture

Well said, spdrdr, well said.

Sat, 11/27/2010 - 13:44 | 757537 DosZap
DosZap's picture

Jim Sinclair says to expect and think nothing of $2-$300.00 swings a day, the closer we get to the end game.

Fri, 11/26/2010 - 21:37 | 756699 Cursive
Cursive's picture

Typical course of action for HFT and other commodity pranksters is to shake out new contract holders.  They did it with absolute gusto today, shorting thousand of contracts into thin markets.  That didn't work.

That's because the bears are "all in."  There aren't many that survived the PPT/FRB manipulated equity market, but if you still got the capital and you got the balls, you can make a mint short this BS (assuming you don't succumb to counterparty risk).

Sat, 11/27/2010 - 08:31 | 757194 StychoKiller
StychoKiller's picture

Excerpt from http://news.goldseek.com/GoldenJackass/1290632400.php :

 

The London contact source has shared details to the inner workings of the Asian silver market assault on New York and London with an update. The Asian buyers have been squeezing the shorts in the silver market, causing great pain as the silver price has risen 50% since late summer. After the drop in price from a brief touch of $29 down to the low $25's, the physical market has responded with strong demand. Keep in mind that the paper silver market is the opposite, a key point. The bizarre anomalous paper market results in more selling when the price drops, the opposite to normal. The ambush catches the leveraged players off guard, forcing paper position sales in sudden liquidations. So a collision is in progress. The paper arena cannot produce enough silver after the raids push down the paper price in order to relieve their tenuous short condition. By pushing down the paper price, they must bring to the table the discounted silver at the lower price, in physical deliveries. The paper market is playing directly into the hands of the physical participants who want to drain the exchanges of their bullion metal.

 


The bad guys are getting whip-sawn by their own goofy paper!

Sun, 11/28/2010 - 01:10 | 758418 SlipStitchPass
SlipStitchPass's picture

 I have been reading the GoldenJackass for three years and despite a bit of sensationalism at times I do agree with 99% of his stuff and he has been more right than anyone.

There are not many reasons why Gold/Silver would become a bad investment from current levels. Politics are fucked so there is no solution there. A total Euro meltdown would cause a temporary spike down in the paper price but I doubt that you would be able to get much physical at that point because it would become obvious that the system is done for and it would spike again soon after.

A total bond collapse in the US that sent interest rates quicly past current "real" inflation rates causeing positive real interest rates may cause paper prices to spike down but I would not want to have to try and buy physical at that time. I like Antal Fekete on the concept of Gold basis.

It would take three pages to list the reasons why i think PM's could go parabolic.

 

Fri, 11/26/2010 - 21:36 | 756700 iota
iota's picture

It all smacks of shaking out the little guy. Margin hikes on both sides of the planet, strange AH activity and I swear I saw an unusually high last minute volume for one of the PM contracts prior to this.

 

 

Fri, 11/26/2010 - 23:13 | 756830 goldfish1
goldfish1's picture

It all smacks of shaking out the little guy.

B I N G O!

 

Sat, 11/27/2010 - 01:11 | 757008 flacon
flacon's picture

I'm a little guy and I paid full price for my gold and silver and the reason why I did is because "I'm a little guy". LOL! 

Fri, 11/26/2010 - 21:37 | 756702 NotAlwaysSo
NotAlwaysSo's picture

War?

Fri, 11/26/2010 - 23:47 | 756906 snowball777
snowball777's picture

No, thanks; we already have more than we can afford.

Sat, 11/27/2010 - 01:13 | 757012 flacon
flacon's picture

WRONG. We need war to boost our economy. John Maynard Keynes the homosexual socialist economist said so; and I learned that at Princeton when I got my PhD in economics with pudgy face Krugman. War and destruction create jobs and spur a faltering economy. When does the killing begin? /sarcasm

Sat, 11/27/2010 - 02:04 | 757064 LowProfile
LowProfile's picture

Please don't malign homosexuals by associating them with Keynes.  Most would rather he was straight.

Sat, 11/27/2010 - 02:24 | 757080 Hook Line and S...
Hook Line and Sphincter's picture

Flacon, as much as I like to route my fellow pole smoking amigo's for their self-destructive ways (as if I don't have any bullet to the head tendencies such as ballistic womanizing, swamp drinking, and half-cerebrum risk taking), don't you think that a persistent overuse of the descriptor is doing little for pointing out the most obvious of his truly rebellious manifestations?

That is...unless you are actually attempting to sabotage your own words...or the truth in your statements that meet some unannounced agenda?

Sat, 11/27/2010 - 07:24 | 757175 OdinsBeard
OdinsBeard's picture

Yep, just add "paedo" to the list of descriptors to round it out!  Problem solved...

Sat, 11/27/2010 - 08:56 | 757209 snowball777
snowball777's picture

Princeton and killing only intersect at the Manhattan Project.

You could make the argument that WWII was what got us out of the Great Depression, but it wasn't so much the jobs making tanks and the debt of 120% of GDP as it was our being the only country left standing with a functioning economy (and that whole Marshall Plan / Bretton Woods thing that the aforementioned gay Lord devised).

Maybe Europe will go back to their old ways and pancake themselves again on our behalf.

Sat, 11/27/2010 - 13:48 | 757546 DosZap
DosZap's picture

War did not get us out of the GD1, the aftermath of it did, hundreds of thousands of Americans coming home to start their lives, and families, and buying homes did.

Sat, 11/27/2010 - 16:38 | 757818 Clycntct
Clycntct's picture

How bout we put the question back to the bernack.

Only this time the answer in 50 words or less.

Sat, 11/27/2010 - 19:12 | 758012 snowball777
snowball777's picture

...and the GI bill, and union jobs, and a steel industry.

 

Fri, 11/26/2010 - 21:44 | 756709 Oracle of Kypseli
Oracle of Kypseli's picture

Very bold calculated bet.

Here are my odds for gold next week:

  1. 60% gold breaks 1380,
  2. 25% it reaches a new high (if more belicose activity picks up)
  3. 10% trades sideways
  4. 2% goes parabolic (if the fighting starts.)
  5. 2% drifts down some more
  6. 1% significant down

=======

 

Fri, 11/26/2010 - 21:52 | 756724 Oracle of Kypseli
Oracle of Kypseli's picture

And here is Bernanke's playbook.

  1. Blitz the market upward
  2. Allow gold/silver to go up as well
  3. Allow other commodities to go up
  4. Create the illusion of both inflation and a strong dollar until Christmas/New year
  5. He goes into fetal position on January 3rd
  6. He waits for the right moment to slit his wrists or pull the trigger on his Glock 40  
Fri, 11/26/2010 - 22:07 | 756736 DoChenRollingBearing
DoChenRollingBearing's picture

Oracle, favor enviarme un correo a mi nombre arriba arroba gmail punto com.  Gracias!

Fri, 11/26/2010 - 22:53 | 756801 Orly
Orly's picture

He's speaking in tongues!

Fri, 11/26/2010 - 23:31 | 756848 Oracle of Kypseli
Oracle of Kypseli's picture

Ketchua!

 

Sat, 11/27/2010 - 00:14 | 756942 saulysw
saulysw's picture

Bless you.

Sat, 11/27/2010 - 00:20 | 756951 DoChenRollingBearing
DoChenRollingBearing's picture

Shuj, ishcai, quinza...

Runacuna!

 

/Quechua    (because that's all I know)

Fri, 11/26/2010 - 23:07 | 756817 DoChenRollingBearing
DoChenRollingBearing's picture

Ud. tiene correo...

Fri, 11/26/2010 - 23:25 | 756841 Snidley Whipsnae
Snidley Whipsnae's picture

Oracle, if BenB continues with number 1, there is little that he can do to stop number 2.

BenB is backing the bullion shorts and they are getting their azzes handed to them.

How much of QE2 will be thrown down this deep well?

Sat, 11/27/2010 - 01:21 | 757017 flacon
flacon's picture

According to FOFOA: Until they drive the price off a cliff and gold drops again.... then silence...... shhhhhh........ GOLD RESURRECTS ON THE THIRD DAY WITH A VALUE OF $54,000 in today's purchasing power. 

 

Think about it, there is no reason for PAPER gold price to rise once the jig is up.... it WILL COLLAPSE.... That is when gold enters hell and slays the dragon only to be resurrected in glory a short time later. 

 

Here is FOFOA's chart explaining his gold price:

http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_cvdgPlEKW9k/TJ1k2Kw5ipI/AAAAAAAABcc/n8pY_udAeQE/s1600/Freegold_future_chart.jpg

 

Sat, 11/27/2010 - 08:29 | 757191 ViewfromUnderth...
ViewfromUndertheBridge's picture

Nice chart, especially that final gap.

My trader friend who tipped me into gold has always thought that there will come a time when you can't buy physical...he went all in when B of E sold.

So, over the last few months run up in gold GLD has not increased its holdings...just a little bit recently, and now sold a bit (1,285t I think).

This strikes me as significant. It indicates the buying was in bullion as opposed to paper....ties in with this chart.

Sat, 11/27/2010 - 08:37 | 757198 StychoKiller
StychoKiller's picture

Go ahead ya paper-trading idjuts, knock down the prices of PMs again so we can slurp up ALL the physical gold and silvery goodness!  China may be leading the charge, but that doesn't mean the followers cannot collect a few scalps as well.

Sat, 11/27/2010 - 13:11 | 757479 au_bayitch
au_bayitch's picture

BenB is taking a number 2 on the US economy. It seems he only has the QE tool in his toolbox.

Sat, 11/27/2010 - 13:55 | 757558 DosZap
DosZap's picture

No, Ben B is destroying the nation,long term.

A #2 you get over, debt that is unrepayable is a generation to recover.

Fri, 11/26/2010 - 21:51 | 756723 carlosschw
carlosschw's picture

I hope I'm wrong, but I have a bad feeling that even the Irish understand that they are being shutout  by the bondholders. This is probably not going to be looked back on as a good weekend to have been long euros or short PM. 

Sat, 11/27/2010 - 16:25 | 757800 MeTarzanUjane
MeTarzanUjane's picture

The Metals are stagnant in terms of an investment class. Better off choosing a CDS contract if you're looking for return with alpha.

Fri, 11/26/2010 - 22:07 | 756735 RobotTrader
RobotTrader's picture

Bottom line is that the blue-blood bankers and Plutocrats always win.

Always.  No exceptions.

Even the disgraced CEO's of 2008 like Fuld walked away with millions, free to do whatever they want with their lives.

"Tan Man" Mozillo obviously paid off the right people and he is now living a quiet life of luxury after battling attorneys for what, 2 years?  He'll live like a king the rest of his days.

And in Europe, the "inbalances and injustices" between the "haves" and "have-nots" is even worse.

The "Pitchfork" crowd doesn't stand a chance.

 

Fri, 11/26/2010 - 22:13 | 756740 DoChenRollingBearing
DoChenRollingBearing's picture

THAT, Robot, is about as indisputable as it comes.

The Plutocrats always win.  I will borrow that line for conversations I have next week!

I agree 100% with most here at ZH, that we need to see some Playahs and Bankstas going to jail.  So far, not even one, with trillions of dollars lost.

...

OK, Pitchforks no.  How about AK-47s?

Fri, 11/26/2010 - 22:29 | 756770 Shameful
Shameful's picture

Great for defense and use against "zombies".  And like all great zombie movies it will be holding back the hoard or getting to a place of safety. But we can all rest assured that all but the dullest looter has an escape plan.  How scared can they be when they won't even toss out a token sacrifice to appease the masses?

Fri, 11/26/2010 - 23:18 | 756833 goldfish1
goldfish1's picture

$ 12 Billion per month in foodstamps is a token sacrifice to appease the masses

Fri, 11/26/2010 - 23:28 | 756844 Shameful
Shameful's picture

Bah! That is just bread in the bread and circus game.  In Rome at least they had the games, and people thrown to lions.  Where are my junior bankers thrown to the lions? Or at least put up at club fed?

Hmmm I'm sensing a new reality show "Hard Time".  Following the adventures of jr. bankers as they do hard time in prison.  Gritty and real, like Oz, but with more crying...maybe less prison rape, depends on the network...maybe more if it's on cable.  Hell can even spin the banker as a sympathetic character who got caught up in all the glamor of fraud, and is now a prison bitch.  Tell me that would not only entertain but also sate the desire for bleed!  Even has a moral message "Kids, don't do this at home" :)

Sat, 11/27/2010 - 00:33 | 756972 Shameful
Shameful's picture

Thanks!

It's a start.  Now imagine that scene on tv.  Who wouldn't be watching?

"Honey, can you take out the trash?"

"Later!  This fat cat banker is going to get beaten up any minute!"

But then maybe they don't want any of the masses to get any ideas.  But then maybe watching it on the TV would be enough.

Stare like a junkie into the tv, stare like a zombie... http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hii17sjSwfA

Sat, 11/27/2010 - 09:01 | 757213 snowball777
snowball777's picture

Sodomizing with the (Financial) Stars!

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=F5sIXUbMgF0

Sat, 11/27/2010 - 04:45 | 757143 A Nanny Moose
A Nanny Moose's picture

We threw Patriots at Lions on thursday...does that count?

Sat, 11/27/2010 - 08:41 | 757201 StychoKiller
StychoKiller's picture

Absolutely BRILLIANT!!  Kinda like my GITMO prisoners get sailing lessons and a sailboat from the US Govt reality show!  Will Allah save the faithful, or let the sharks and/or Poseidon claim their unworthy hides -- tune in and find out!

Fri, 11/26/2010 - 22:36 | 756780 Cistercian
Cistercian's picture

 As your attorney, I recommend going long RPG's and machine guns.

Fri, 11/26/2010 - 22:47 | 756794 DoChenRollingBearing
DoChenRollingBearing's picture

Wish I could buy an RPG.  Would make me more, let's say, comfortable about everything.

Make that a double!

...

For anyone interested (Col. Cooper perhaps) I just finished reading The Gun, by C. J. Chivers (2010).  It is a history of infantry automatic weapons, particularly the AK-47.  I recommend it highly to those interested in the topic.

Fri, 11/26/2010 - 23:03 | 756811 Cistercian
Cistercian's picture

 Col Cooper...good man.

  I wish I had a couple of MG-42's on hand.More fun than an AK.

 I like the H&K G3 more than the AK as well.Full power ammo lends more flexibility.

Fri, 11/26/2010 - 23:14 | 756829 DoChenRollingBearing
DoChenRollingBearing's picture

Yeah, well the Bearing is almost a neophyte when it comes to guns. After firing my first 200 rounds or so, I asked J. there at the store to show me how to field strip it so I could clean it.

OK, so I went home, stripped it, cleaned it, but, uh, had trouble putting it back together. Ah well. And that gun was MADE for teenage morons!

Fri, 11/26/2010 - 23:23 | 756837 Cistercian
Cistercian's picture

 Don't feel bad, practice makes perfect.Spend lots of time on the range, and practice stripping and cleaning your gun.It just takes some time.The confidence you will have after you master it is truly priceless...then you can teach others.

   AK's are very good guns....it is an excellent choice.

 Good luck, and practice often!It pays!

Sat, 11/27/2010 - 14:02 | 757570 DosZap
DosZap's picture

All good CQB weapons, but I prefer Long Distance.

Give me an M40A1-2,and a couple of M4's for shorter engagements.

Sat, 11/27/2010 - 10:25 | 757261 MeTarzanUjane
Fri, 11/26/2010 - 22:55 | 756803 chinaguy
chinaguy's picture

Panther .308 LR w/ the 26" barrel & Leopold optics....

Fri, 11/26/2010 - 23:09 | 756821 snowball777
snowball777's picture

Ummm...that'd be 24", que no?

Sat, 11/27/2010 - 16:11 | 757778 Mr Lennon Hendrix
Mr Lennon Hendrix's picture

Hundreds of thousands of red blooded Americans and also many others from the various corners of the globe cornering the silver bullion market could do it, no?

Fri, 11/26/2010 - 22:30 | 756772 Arkadaba
Arkadaba's picture

No ... we have a chance once the USD is gone. And it will happen. 

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zgal31ZDGd0&NR=1

Fri, 11/26/2010 - 22:40 | 756787 Shameful
Shameful's picture

Might want to start beefing up border security now.  Got a feeling that when the USA slips under the waves some will make for the perceived island of safety.  Among those coming will be the good, the bad, and the ugly.

Fri, 11/26/2010 - 23:50 | 756912 snowball777
snowball777's picture

"Border security"...what an oxymoron.

http://apne.ws/i8aEzU

Sat, 11/27/2010 - 00:16 | 756945 Shameful
Shameful's picture

That's just markets are work. If you take a cheap to make product, that is in high demand, and make it illegal then the market will find a way to get it in.  Then add to it that the govs gain power by losing the war on drugs then it's a powerful incentive to fail.  Sure everyone else must have noticed we are losing every war; on poverty, drugs, obesity, terror, unemployment, Iraq, Afghanistan.  The list goes on and on, and with each failure more power is gained.

I was more talking about stopping a flood of economic refugees.  Who might not have the time or resources to tunnel in.  But would toss a lot of bodies at the Canada housing market.  Bitter with the sweet.

Sat, 11/27/2010 - 01:50 | 757049 RockyRacoon
RockyRacoon's picture

You could be right about the border thing.  Think of it as a dollar symbol:  The dollar looks good compared to all the other currencies in the tank.  The USA will look good to all the other countries under martial law.  They'll pour in -- think buying dollars.

Sat, 11/27/2010 - 10:02 | 757253 snowball777
snowball777's picture

We have always been at war with Mary Jane.

Sat, 11/27/2010 - 14:07 | 757579 DosZap
DosZap's picture

We have never been at War w/Mary Jane, or any other drug.Just something to use for  training.

It's all a freakin hoax, to use as a tool to Militarize the LE.

Joint training, and shared Ops,is like the real reasons for CQB in Iraq,and Somalia.(the only way to lear Urban warfare is get into it.)

Fri, 11/26/2010 - 22:30 | 756773 Spitzer
Spitzer's picture

Make a relevent comparison, like the Soviet Union.

 

Sat, 11/27/2010 - 01:28 | 757028 Cursive
Cursive's picture

Bottom line is that the blue-blood bankers and Plutocrats always win.

Tell that to Nicholas Biddle.

Sat, 11/27/2010 - 02:01 | 757060 tallystick
tallystick's picture

Robot sucks compared to Banzai7. No talent.  Soon to be no money.  Whatcha gonna do when the trust fund runs out?  Stop being a momo and develop a skill!

Sat, 11/27/2010 - 05:20 | 757148 ebworthen
ebworthen's picture

Usually, not always.

Sat, 11/27/2010 - 10:52 | 757274 MountainHawk
MountainHawk's picture

Totally agree with your statement. Nothing will change. I've come to the conclusion that it's not the politicians and corrupt banking oligarchy who bare all the blame, we as a population have 'enabled' all of this to occur in front of our very eyes, over and over again.

 

We will get raped again, and we will enjoy it. Good day!

Fri, 11/26/2010 - 22:14 | 756738 squexx
squexx's picture

The market shot up at the end of the day right before Thanksgiving, ending up in the green. The media hyping that the economy is recovering, "see the stock market is in the green, isn't it?!?" The media is also saturated with examples of the rich buying things they don't need as an example for sheeple to go out and buy shit they don't need with money they don't have. All this in preparation for Black Friday. All kinds of behind the curtain shit going on including this and huge insider trading, etc...

Sounds to me like they are sharpening the shears, lining the sheeple up and getting ready for one last great fleecing before the market crashes.....as they know it will! As for the guy making a reference to the "pitchfork people," you hit the nail on the head! Remember what Amschel Rothschild said when asked what he'd do about a group of people attacking the elite. His answer was, "I'd hire half to kill the other half."

Fri, 11/26/2010 - 23:01 | 756807 doolittlegeorge
doolittlegeorge's picture

what was the South Park episode with "the bouncing on their balls"?  something about "gettin legal weed" or something, wasn't it?  Perhaps they were simply inspired by Mssr's Rothshchild and his now called "World Bank."

Sat, 11/27/2010 - 10:00 | 757250 Treason Season
Treason Season's picture
I can hire one half of the working class to kill the other half.
Jay Gould
US financier & railroad businessman (1836 - 1892)

http://www.quotationspage.com/quote/33148.html

Sat, 11/27/2010 - 04:51 | 757144 i-dog
i-dog's picture

He knows that he doesn't even need to hire the other half ... 95% of your fellow slaves will tell you to "hush up, in case the master hears you ... don't go making waves, now ... think of your family"!

They'll even physically restrain you ... and pass your name to "the authorities" to have you removed to a 're-education facility' just to maintain their "peace" (not that the authorities don't already have all our names).

One million secret police is a very powerful force. They don't even need guns to do their job ... just take you away from the mall or airport checkpoint.

Fri, 11/26/2010 - 22:14 | 756746 bob_dabolina
bob_dabolina's picture

$10 to the guy who correctly identifies the character representing Blythe:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7KGRZuWXVhA

Fri, 11/26/2010 - 22:43 | 756788 snowball777
snowball777's picture

Senor 'Big Time'. Please use the sawbuck to short GS.

Fri, 11/26/2010 - 22:20 | 756754 Internet Tough Guy
Internet Tough Guy's picture

It's just volatility in the transition to freegold. Big moves, especially that large purchase tells you word leaked that freegold is on for winter. FOA always said when the going got tough in Europe they would run to freegold.

FOA 8/10/98:
"Basically, this is the direction the Euro group is taking us. This concept was born with little regard for the economic health of Europe. In the future, any countries money or economy can totally fail and the world currency operation will continue. What is being built is a new currency system, built on a world market price for gold."

Fri, 11/26/2010 - 22:29 | 756769 desgust
desgust's picture

Yes, and today Putin said in Berlin  that he supports the euro/Freegold and wants to drop the dollar in russian/Eu energy trade.

Fri, 11/26/2010 - 22:33 | 756778 Spitzer
Spitzer's picture

good point, we need more FOFOA quotes when where talking about gold and the euro

Fri, 11/26/2010 - 22:52 | 756800 DoChenRollingBearing
DoChenRollingBearing's picture

+ $1350

Each day FOFOA's call for Freegold looks more and more like it's going to happen along those lines.

Sat, 11/27/2010 - 03:49 | 757124 Non Passaran
Non Passaran's picture

Credible explanations have been given in ZH comments early this week why "free gold" is unlikely to happen.

Can you explain why you spell freegold as one word?

Sat, 11/27/2010 - 13:33 | 757518 DoChenRollingBearing
DoChenRollingBearing's picture

Freegold is the way FOFOA refers to his concept of gold unshackled, floating against everything.

While I think very highly of FOFOA, I do not KNOW what the future will bring.  But, it does seem wise to have some gold.  If FOFOA is right, well then...

Fri, 11/26/2010 - 22:24 | 756761 gwar5
gwar5's picture

I take a macro view so I'm probably not much help. But the massive debt of the West, with the political and currency instability, says to me that any unusual activity in gold is bullish. So this action is more long term bullish.

Unusual short term action reflects accelerating interest in gold and draws more attention to it as an alternative currency. In Germany, safe deposit boxes are sold out and said to be stuffed with gold and silver, which is also unusual.

Even significant down moves are seen as manipulations by fiat clinging banks and considered smart buying opportunities.

 

Fri, 11/26/2010 - 22:28 | 756768 ILikeBoats
ILikeBoats's picture

Idea: Portugal gets told "we bail you out 100% ; in return, you sell all your gold all at once" ...

Sat, 11/27/2010 - 04:03 | 757132 Non Passaran
Non Passaran's picture

This doesn't make sense to me - their reserves amount to only $20Bn at current prices. If they could exchange their gold for enough money (or debt) to solve their problems they would have already done it, no?
Maybe the price is surpressed and should be higher, but ...

Fri, 11/26/2010 - 23:02 | 756809 Bruce Krasting
Bruce Krasting's picture

All these trades are connected, and suspicious. My bet; this is fat fingers and we hear about it on Monday.

Fri, 11/26/2010 - 23:06 | 756816 beastie
beastie's picture

Please elaborate Bruce.

Sat, 11/27/2010 - 01:09 | 756935 bob_dabolina
bob_dabolina's picture

Waddell & Reed hits (b) instead of (m) and the Treasury market collapses...

...or something intelligent like that.

Sat, 11/27/2010 - 02:01 | 757059 FatFingered
FatFingered's picture

Someone call me?

Sat, 11/27/2010 - 16:13 | 757781 Mr Lennon Hendrix
Mr Lennon Hendrix's picture

Waddell & Reed?   A Foreign Central bank hit the (b) next to GOLD.  It was not an accident.

Sat, 11/27/2010 - 02:17 | 757077 truont
truont's picture

he's being sarcastic.  referencing the initial explanation of the may 2010 flash crash = "fat finger".  gawd, they really think we are that stupid, don't they?

Fri, 11/26/2010 - 23:32 | 756852 Fred Hayek
Fred Hayek's picture

Oh my god!

Not the evil Waddell & Reed?!?!

Fri, 11/26/2010 - 23:05 | 756815 AUD
AUD's picture

Can't say I know what the 'gold volatility index' is but COMEX gold spreads remain in full contango. Not that COMEX is the be all & end all of the gold market.

Fri, 11/26/2010 - 23:21 | 756835 Id fight Gandhi
Id fight Gandhi's picture

Silver question....

Say you have 1964 or earlier half dollars. The silver content in these has a melt value, about $10.

You hire someone to do work, normally $1000 for a job (say home improvement or something). If you paid them in half dollars of say $50 (face value of still circulated coins) they tax you at $50, and get taxed at $50.

Wouldn't this be a legal loophole on tax?

Fri, 11/26/2010 - 23:32 | 756851 Shameful
Shameful's picture

Nice try.  IIRC there was a group that did this in NV with gold eagles. If I remember right IRS said would tax at market price of gold not the legal tender stamp on it.  Does not matter if it's legal tender, Uncle Sugar will not be denied his cut of your pie.

Fri, 11/26/2010 - 23:51 | 756923 Id fight Gandhi
Id fight Gandhi's picture

I guess would it be any different since it's a "common" and circulated coin like 1964 JFK half dollar. Anyone who didn't know what it was would only value it at face value like banks and stores. It's not really "collectible" in the sense of scarcity (other than hoarding).

Sat, 11/27/2010 - 01:03 | 756998 Rogerwilco
Rogerwilco's picture

Knowingly underpaying taxes is illegal, the means are irrelevant. That's why Geithner had to blame TurboTax.

Sat, 11/27/2010 - 01:56 | 757054 Captain Benny
Captain Benny's picture

Not entirely true.  IIRC there were more facts to the case.  For example, they readily converted the PM payments back into cash face value each time a worker asked.  They were paying at face and cashing at melt value.  IIRC this is what got them in trouble, not the fact that they paid in PM form.  Moral of the story:  Do one thing and do it right.  Don't try to do more than what you are an expert at.  I really need to go back and read that case...

 

Sat, 11/27/2010 - 14:10 | 757588 DosZap
DosZap's picture

Funny how that works, if they seize it, out out a decree, you think you will get spot prices for them?.

Hell no, you get face value.

Fri, 11/26/2010 - 23:45 | 756902 Grifter
Grifter's picture

Redacted, Silver Serf provided a link.  :-)

Fri, 11/26/2010 - 23:47 | 756908 Gunther
Fri, 11/26/2010 - 23:56 | 756930 snowball777
snowball777's picture

a) If you didn't 1099 the guy, how would the IRS know? Call it a really big tip.

b) Why would you give up your silver (or gold eagles) before your fiat?

 

Sat, 11/27/2010 - 00:46 | 756980 Id fight Gandhi
Id fight Gandhi's picture

Isn't the new obamao healthcare changes make everyone over $600 file 1099s?

Just a thought, it came up at dinner yesterday. Certain coins in circulation have melt down values far exceeding their worth. The point we were talking was not collectible money, but common circulated with high melt down value. A gold coin is obviously worth more than face, but a nickel could be worth $1.40.

Check out coinflation.com to see what I mean.

Sat, 11/27/2010 - 01:25 | 757025 Saxxon
Saxxon's picture

Melt values for a number of U.S. coins of certain dates well exceed their face value.  It is also Fed-Illegal to melt them down but if you have a smelter handy in the backyard you can go for it.

If you bring me a ton of pre-1982 pennies I will give you 1/2 face value.

Sat, 11/27/2010 - 02:18 | 757078 FatFingered
FatFingered's picture

The new law, beginning in 2012, requires a 1099 for all transactions adding to $600 over the course of the whole year.   And starting in 2011, all credit card transactions will be reported to the IRS also.

http://money.cnn.com/2010/05/21/smallbusiness/1099_deluge/index.htm

It is an outrage and no one is talking about it.  It is the beginning of a cashless society.

Sat, 11/27/2010 - 09:07 | 757216 snowball777
snowball777's picture

Call me silly, but that's even less enforceable than our idiot drug laws...they'll need to really use the Jay Gould method (hire one half...) to even come close.

Ah hubris.

Sat, 11/27/2010 - 14:18 | 757604 DosZap
DosZap's picture

Look for that law to be overturned.

NO Way businesses can pay the prices to maintain these costs, and survive.

Already talk on the Hill about it.

As far as CC tracking?, it will only hurt the Bankstas.

I use CC's seldomly, cash for all else,when your counting out GREEN, you see the real costs of your transactions.

This is THE major reason folks are in hock to their arses.

 

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