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Texas Instruments Is First Company To Slash Outlook On Japan Earthquake Aftermath

Tyler Durden's picture




 

TXN which is merely the latest company to post weaker than expected earnings in a quarter which so far has been a major disappointment across the board, also has the dubious distinction of being the first company to blame its outlook cut on Japan:

Outlook

For the second quarter of 2011, TI expects: 

  • Revenue:  $3.41 – 3.69 billion
  • Earnings per share:  $0.52 – 0.60

This estimate includes a negative impact of about 5 cents for costs resulting from the earthquake and its aftermath in Japan. 

As the street was expecting $0.63 this is not good, but the market will promptly forgive this weakness now that every company will start using the Japanese wildcard.

TI also noted the following:

TI specifically notes that circumstances arising out of the recent earthquakes and tsunami in Japan,
including disruptions and increased costs of TI's production,
disruptions in our supply chain (including utilities) and reduced or
delayed demand from customers, could cause actual results to differ from
the expectations of TI or its management.

And you can be certain: differ they will.

 

 

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Mon, 04/18/2011 - 16:37 | 1181720 Clueless Economist
Clueless Economist's picture

What this country needs is a good dose of Keynesian spending.  I propose a $3 Trillion stimulus package.  I calculate that 10 million shovel-ready jobs will be saved or created.

Fed Chairman Bernancke can fire up the printing presses and we will be able to absorb $3 Trillion of more debt.  Congress shall raise the debt limit to 17.5 $ Trillion.

I AM NOT A MAD MAN!!!!!!

Mon, 04/18/2011 - 16:43 | 1181732 spiral_eyes
spiral_eyes's picture

america's fiscal needs go far beyond your shallow printing press, krugman. what we really need is a TRUE keynesian debt limit: $100 trillion. 

Mon, 04/18/2011 - 16:44 | 1181741 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

Pikers begone! $1 Quadrillion or nothin!

Mon, 04/18/2011 - 17:00 | 1181790 Misean
Misean's picture

Now your talkin' real money and change...change to believe in.

We should take one out of Keynes' playbook and hire people to bury the money about the country and let the masses find it. Of course, we'd be talking busshel baskets instead of C-notes in bottles, but no reason to pick a nit here.

Mon, 04/18/2011 - 17:38 | 1181895 JPG101
JPG101's picture

$1 Quadrillion or nothin!

Imagine the electricity bill the Fed would have on that... Still cheaper then cutting down trees though.

Mon, 04/18/2011 - 17:45 | 1181916 mdwagner
mdwagner's picture

Make every unemployed person an employee of the federal government.  That's a lot of jobs created.

Mon, 04/18/2011 - 16:42 | 1181729 TruthInSunshine
TruthInSunshine's picture

If Starbucks misses, Goldman will pin it on Fukushima Daiichi.

It all is interconnected.

Mon, 04/18/2011 - 16:46 | 1181749 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

Id figure theyd pin it on the very cold yet freakishly warm winter weather?

Mon, 04/18/2011 - 16:59 | 1181787 TruthInSunshine
TruthInSunshine's picture

That, too.

And a little reported conflict in Burma which has huge repercussions for Starbucks' customers.

And the Royal Wedding of pipsqueek Brits.

Mon, 04/18/2011 - 18:24 | 1182009 duo
duo's picture

I saw this coming a month ago.   One of TI's fabs is fairly close to Fukushima, another one is North of Tokyo and probably has power supply problems.  It's hard to keep a cleanroom clean when the power goes off.

Plus, I wouldn't want to be 80 miles from Fukushima Dai-ichi on a rainy day.

Mon, 04/18/2011 - 16:41 | 1181735 AC_Doctor
AC_Doctor's picture

We will all witness history unfolding when the giant shithouse crumbles to the ground...

Mon, 04/18/2011 - 17:15 | 1181828 Dejean Splicer
Dejean Splicer's picture

I don't often make guarantees but this time is different.

I guarantee that health care in the US will increase profits because of Fukushima.

Because of this:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BnRMS71OpCY

It is in the food and water supply in the US now.

~D'jean Splicer

Mon, 04/18/2011 - 19:15 | 1182132 Hephasteus
Hephasteus's picture

Japanese had a few hundred pounds too much uranium in the pool. They were bombarding it to make plutonium. This is going to make chernobyl look like a dick cheney hunting accident followed by a 9/11.

Mon, 04/18/2011 - 16:46 | 1181737 plocequ1
plocequ1's picture

Earnings, Fuck that. Who needs earnings? You have Gringo

Mon, 04/18/2011 - 16:52 | 1181767 buzzsaw99
buzzsaw99's picture

Profits would have been higher but dick the ceo needed a new yacht.

Mon, 04/18/2011 - 16:57 | 1181777 wswarrior
wswarrior's picture

Even putting Japan aside, the revenue and earnings results have been dismal in the early going.  It's obvious that revenue growth has stalled, but the S&P is still sitting above 1,300, even with todays S&P outlook downgrade.  Alcoa, Citi, Google and Texas Instrument's results have shown that revenue has peaked.  I just don't understand how a large company like google with a $180B market cap can drop 8% like it did on Friday and it has no impact on the broader market given that the S&P closed up 5 points in the day.  The market completely ignored Cisco's horrible earnings last quarter and the DOW actually finished flat on the day cisco closed down 15%.  I just can't believe that the market completely ignores bad earnings while good earnings will drive the market up sharply. 

Mon, 04/18/2011 - 17:08 | 1181817 A Man without Q...
A Man without Qualities's picture

With the Dow being a non-weighted index, it's amazing how you just need to support one of the high value names like IBM or Caterpillar to counter a drop in Cisco or BofA.  

But I agree, if one name has good results, all others in their sector rally, but if one has bad, the others don't get hit so much.  It feels like a game of prisoners' dilemma - the bagholders are getting worried there is no one to hand over to...

Mon, 04/18/2011 - 16:55 | 1181778 Misean
Misean's picture

Woh! That earthquake came right at the end of snow season...good thing for the book cookers and prognosticators.

Mon, 04/18/2011 - 16:58 | 1181780 Id fight Gandhi
Id fight Gandhi's picture

Shitnbc said TI was bouncing back after the initial drop from release. All is well. Buy stocks yeah!

You can never lose with cmg, nflx, or lulu

Take the momo train to fantasy land.

Tue, 04/19/2011 - 02:58 | 1183121 Eos
Eos's picture

Adding OPEN to your neverloose list!

Mon, 04/18/2011 - 16:56 | 1181781 DoChenRollingBearing
DoChenRollingBearing's picture

So far, our (small) Japanese bearing supplier (and manufacturer) has said no supply disruptions due to quake, tsunami and Fukushima.  They are in SW Japan, the "other end" of the country.  They did tell me that seals (rubber / plastic) and other components could be affected down the road.

I am thinking that REAL SOON might be the time to back up the truck and buy a WHOLE BUNCH of Japanese bearings...  Our Peruvian company does not want to be a victim of JIT going bad...

Nor do we want Ollanta Humala (Chavez-clone in the run-off election) to victimize Peru and/or us.  Our company is too small to bribe people like some of the rich in Venezuela do...

Mon, 04/18/2011 - 17:03 | 1181796 Miles Kendig
Miles Kendig's picture

Morales will simply nationalize the mines, swap shares with Hugo then you'll get to pay twice more.  Secure your raw materials, and not paper equivalents.  Oh ya, make sure your final payment isn't released until you take physical delivery

Mon, 04/18/2011 - 17:58 | 1181943 DoChenRollingBearing
DoChenRollingBearing's picture

Evo Morales (Bolivia) is indeed talking about nationalizing the mines there.

Chavez = Morales = Humala

There are LOTS of funny emails going all over the 'Net about these guys, especially in Peru where the theme of Humala sitting on Chavez's knee is getting a lot of play...

...

Re the mines...  Many buyers at the mines (in Peru anyway) are corrupt.  And the bearings they use are completely different (typically BIGGER) than in our automotive replacement niche.  Some years ago we took a shot at selling bearings to the mines.  No dice without money under the table.

Mon, 04/18/2011 - 16:58 | 1181785 Miles Kendig
Miles Kendig's picture

Looks like the tragedy of 3-11-11  will provide the much sought after reprieve for the DNI to get out from under all those exception to reporting requirements memos that left reported earnings, and the business of audits a laughing stock to everyone but Wall Street sell side Gerbervores.

I wonder how much of those supposed off shore profits will now evaporate making the issue of repatriation moot?  Early line 350bn US of the estimated 1T.

Mon, 04/18/2011 - 16:59 | 1181788 Larry Darrell
Larry Darrell's picture

"but the market will promptly forgive this weakness"

 

Yes, you can forget what they have harped on for the past few weeks.  This will be "forgiven"....aka "priced in", and the "market" will climb higher.

QEx is the yeast which levens this bread, and the bakers won't forget this prime ingredient to producing the wealth effect.

 

Mon, 04/18/2011 - 17:06 | 1181807 Muir
Muir's picture

-

5 CENTS!!!

 

Oooh, the Humanity!

-

Mon, 04/18/2011 - 22:51 | 1182691 Hephasteus
Hephasteus's picture

Office of centralized bullshit minimalizes your bad news.

Mon, 04/18/2011 - 17:09 | 1181810 slewie the pi-rat
slewie the pi-rat's picture

nickels and dimes.  TI is tough & will be ok.  they know how to get around town. 

the japanese people are suffering horribly, so let us remember them in some solidarity of "loss".

Mon, 04/18/2011 - 17:24 | 1181863 Dejean Splicer
Dejean Splicer's picture

The big picture is not monetary loss, unless you're tuned into a Wall St finance blog... Then it's all about the $$ Benjamins!

Time for you to walk the plank. A soft pi-rat is a sunk pi-rat.

Mon, 04/18/2011 - 18:35 | 1182044 High Plains Drifter
High Plains Drifter's picture

they never made a bigger bunch of tightwads than texas instrument management culture....

Mon, 04/18/2011 - 17:21 | 1181848 slaughterer
slaughterer's picture

And they just took over my favorite semi-conductor designer: National!

Mon, 04/18/2011 - 17:19 | 1181849 drchris
drchris's picture

Japan ate my homework!!!

Mon, 04/18/2011 - 23:24 | 1182826 Hephasteus
Hephasteus's picture

Don't be bitching or the people will switch back to volcano's and sink holes and blizzards.

Though this summer feels like ..... FIRE.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rP1iKZ0F7Jg&feature=related

Mon, 04/18/2011 - 17:40 | 1181900 Soul Train
Soul Train's picture

This portends earnings weakness ahead for a number of other companies. Stocks are facing a tough Summer 2011.

Mon, 04/18/2011 - 17:46 | 1181914 slaughterer
slaughterer's picture

And we are supposed to forgive them for the Japan wildcard.  Fuck no!  This market is dog shit going down!

Mon, 04/18/2011 - 17:49 | 1181923 I am Jobe
I am Jobe's picture

TI should have hired the GE guys to spin the numbers. Just give them a call and ask to go on CNBC and in return you get to fly on Ass Fuck 1.

Mon, 04/18/2011 - 17:59 | 1181941 americanspirit
americanspirit's picture

That good old Russell 2000 is chock full of companies that depend (or used to depend) on Japanese suppliers, much smaller than Texas Instruments and therefore much more vulnerable. Won't it be interesting to see how long Uncle Ben can keep the R2000 inflated with his daily POMO blow job while these companies' supply lines shrivel along with their margins and revenues.

Mon, 04/18/2011 - 18:01 | 1181945 DoChenRollingBearing
DoChenRollingBearing's picture

That is a very good observation!

JIT may very well be a problem for any US importers of ANYTHING made in NE Honshu Island.

Anyone holding stocks might want to research how vulnerable the companies are to JIT supply train problems.

Mon, 04/18/2011 - 19:11 | 1182123 Eternal Student
Eternal Student's picture

Ah. Finally, someone on this thread is getting the big picture. Congrats. Most of the commenters here don't seem to get it. JIT or not, it is a convenient excuse.

Now couple this with the claimed end of QE 2.

Mon, 04/18/2011 - 18:33 | 1182042 High Plains Drifter
High Plains Drifter's picture

black swan conundrum spreading now. took a while to show up, but i knew it would. toyota a couple of weeks ago said they were halting production of truck assembly line in san antonio. now this.

Mon, 04/18/2011 - 18:39 | 1182065 americanspirit
americanspirit's picture

Thanks DoChenRollingBearing - I always follow your comments with interest. I am sure, given your obvious business experience, that you company's supply lines are quite well diversified. Good fortune to you and your family.

Mon, 04/18/2011 - 18:51 | 1182085 americanspirit
americanspirit's picture

BTW - a good place to start researching the impact of supply interruption from Japanese sources on US companies, especially in the tech sector, would be http://www.isuppli.com/Pages/Home.aspx

 

Mon, 04/18/2011 - 18:57 | 1182097 bugs_
bugs_'s picture

And its not only the supply chain.  Surprisingly this is also having an effect on the labor chain, specifically in tech and IT.  I am hearing from headhunters that I last talked to a decade ago.  All of a sudden they are looking to place mid and senior level IT technicians at California operations.  Apparently these operations had significant dependence on outsource to subsidiaries in Japan.  Oops they are screwed and they did not have a plan B.  Doesn't it suck when Plan B becomes "I guess we have to make it in America now" or "I guess we have to hire Americans now".   A stunner.

Mon, 04/18/2011 - 19:15 | 1182131 Lord Welligton
Lord Welligton's picture

Earthquake, Tsumani, Nuclear Disaster.

Well Well

Just In Time.

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