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There Goes Gold

Tyler Durden's picture




 

There probably is a reason for the sudden move higher in gold, but we don't know or care. At this point the end of Ponzism is a given. Just a matter of time. Next stop for gold $2,000, then various multiples of $1,000 after. But first, the all time nominal high of $1,577 from May 2.

And Longer-Term:

 

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Tue, 07/12/2011 - 15:32 | 1449025 IQ 145
IQ 145's picture

 Do more research. It really doesn't work that way.

Tue, 07/12/2011 - 16:05 | 1449205 francis_sawyer
francis_sawyer's picture

Not one comment about selling gold here.  Doesn't that scare you guys?

Ummm... No... next question...

 

Tue, 07/12/2011 - 14:07 | 1448472 Bastiat
Bastiat's picture

FOMC minutes:  "Gold, Bitches!"

Tue, 07/12/2011 - 14:07 | 1448478 LetThemEatRand
LetThemEatRand's picture

And here comes silver by a length in the turn...!!!!!

Tue, 07/12/2011 - 14:08 | 1448485 JW n FL
JW n FL's picture

if it only cost $5 bucks to dig it out of the ground why is it $1,565? o wait thats silver!

Tue, 07/12/2011 - 14:09 | 1448489 BigJim
BigJim's picture

Quick, sell! it's a double top!

(yes, I'm being sarcastic)

Tue, 07/12/2011 - 14:09 | 1448490 monopoly
monopoly's picture

Long, long way to go before I even think of selling my gold, silver. Lets see from 500 to 1,500 and no one is selling. Thank you Bernank. What a fool.

Tue, 07/12/2011 - 14:10 | 1448501 themacronavigator
themacronavigator's picture

the reason for gold rising is always the same: anticipation of the next bailout... there might be some "disappointment" on that front coming soon...

 

 

Tue, 07/12/2011 - 14:11 | 1448517 Bastiat
Bastiat's picture

No: loss of credibility for the currency is the reason.  And it can't be stopped: do the math . . . former investors in UST paper have.

Tue, 07/12/2011 - 14:27 | 1448651 Man Bear Pig
Man Bear Pig's picture

exactly..

-credibility = +velocity = +inflation = -purchasing power = +$gold

Tue, 07/12/2011 - 14:19 | 1448590 owensdrillin
owensdrillin's picture

Yeah you are probably right. Last time gold made a weekly move like this, it got hammered down by 50+ dollars in two days and then settled out at around $1,485. I don't expect the manipulators to do much different this time.

I am long physical but am going to buy a small amount of GLD puts before the close. I hate buying puts on gold but with the retracements it is a small amount of insurance which can pay the utilities in the meantime. I have never sold physical but have sold GLD calls which made me money. 

Tue, 07/12/2011 - 14:11 | 1448520 AmazingLarry
AmazingLarry's picture

Goldal warming. Shit's hot, yo.

 

 

Tue, 07/12/2011 - 14:14 | 1448545 franzpick
franzpick's picture

Gold continuing its $28/month average upmove for the last 30 months gives nice targets:  Xmas 2011:  $1703,  Summer solstice 2012: $1871,  Xmas 2012:  $2039 per ounce.

But bond vigilantes everywhere and banking agencies worldwide running out of both fiat power and credibility may bring on these higher au prices much sooner.

Tue, 07/12/2011 - 14:14 | 1448546 Frankie Carbone
Frankie Carbone's picture

Does this have anything to do with the harsh downward move of nearly EVERY market in the world except the US markets? 

Does the fact that DOW futures are in backwardation with the market have anything to do with it? 

Does anyone find it fishy that the Fed Reserve Industrials Average, the NASFED, and the S&PPT 500 are shooting up again after lunch? On bad trade data and a Euro mess? 

I need a stiff drink. Think I'll go buy a dozen eagles. 

 

Tue, 07/12/2011 - 14:23 | 1448609 Stuart
Stuart's picture

you're not suggesting that some unseen invisible hand buys the futures before open are you or intervenes on the dips?  that would be conspiratorial and we know that covert price rigging doesn't happen, ever, right?   Well perhaps in currency markets there's intervention, bond markets too.  Maybe oil.  But never, ever stocks or precious metals.   They're different.  Yes, sarcasm.

Tue, 07/12/2011 - 15:00 | 1448840 FeralSerf
FeralSerf's picture

Can't happen -- it's illegal.

Tue, 07/12/2011 - 18:56 | 1449794 Frankie Carbone
Frankie Carbone's picture

We have checks and balances to prevent that. I was told to believe that in public miseducation. 

Except the private Federal Reserve Global Banking Cartel. It gets an exception. 

See, it's official mandate is to serve the people, and by golly, that's good enough for me!

 

Tue, 07/12/2011 - 14:14 | 1448551 youngman
youngman's picture

I watched todays gold trades....It was strange to me with all the news out there..Italy...Greece..the US debt meetings...gold should have taken off much earlier...Something stinks to me....but keep the hard stuff....I think the paper is seperating from the real stuff....

Tue, 07/12/2011 - 15:01 | 1448852 MsCreant
MsCreant's picture

but keep the hard stuff

Yeah I keep a few cases of Vodka just in case.

Tue, 07/12/2011 - 14:20 | 1448598 johny2
johny2's picture

Dollar and other fiat currencies are being crushed.

Tue, 07/12/2011 - 14:24 | 1448621 Tuco Benedicto ...
Tuco Benedicto Pacifico Juan Maria Ramirez's picture

Right on T.D.!

 

Tuco

Tue, 07/12/2011 - 14:34 | 1448701 johny2
johny2's picture

It is either going to be either really good, or really bad. But it looks sure that soon, we will find out what a collapse of the worldwide monetary system looks like.

Tue, 07/12/2011 - 14:27 | 1448641 mt paul
mt paul's picture

changed my avatar

from the north side of K2

to

the north side

of gold mountain

 

stop at the top ...

Tue, 07/12/2011 - 14:26 | 1448645 mayhem_korner
mayhem_korner's picture

In other yellow commodities news, corn making a healthy return.

Tue, 07/12/2011 - 14:30 | 1448676 caerus
caerus's picture

good eye...good eye...dare I trade the ZC?

Tue, 07/12/2011 - 16:14 | 1449238 IQ 145
IQ 145's picture

 "Corn"; the other yellow commodity. that is funny.

Tue, 07/12/2011 - 14:26 | 1448646 Hard Assets
Hard Assets's picture

Nice spike late in the day. Hmmmm? FOMC/QE3 leak?

Paper and hard stuff, right across the spectrum, are separating. The scarey part is its going to get much worse before it gets better.

 

Spot gold has tacked on $10 more, $1571.80 at 2:30 eastern. $1600 tomorrow?

 

Have a golden day !

Tue, 07/12/2011 - 15:40 | 1449071 mayhem_korner
mayhem_korner's picture

Markets behaved almost logically today in the wake of the QE3 test balloon - equities level, currencies down, commodities spiking.  Hmmm...

Please sir, can I have some...more.

Tue, 07/12/2011 - 14:31 | 1448660 ivana
ivana's picture

Can we expect new moronic "WTI & brent spread" saga applied to gold orchestrated by banksters or free physical gold trade is already fully controlled and suspended?

Tue, 07/12/2011 - 14:29 | 1448666 Johnny Lawrence
Johnny Lawrence's picture

Don't like the correlation between stocks and commodities.  Move in gold correlated right with the move in equities.

Tue, 07/12/2011 - 15:02 | 1448850 Saxxon
Saxxon's picture

Agreed Johnny L.  I feel the same way.  There may not be a big move anywhere in PMs, commods or equities for a while.  But if you are not in a hurry...they can't print PMs so it looks most promising in the long run.

Tue, 07/12/2011 - 15:07 | 1448877 Johnny Lawrence
Johnny Lawrence's picture

I agree, I'm definitely a long-term gold bull.  But we saw what happened in 2008 to gold when the equity market sold off.  It dropped 25%.  Oil went from $140/barrel to $35/barrel in about 5 months.  If you believe an equity market collapse is coming, then commodities have to go down with it...unless you believe they will suddenly decouple.

Tue, 07/12/2011 - 15:30 | 1449014 Smiddywesson
Smiddywesson's picture

There was near universal faith in the USD in 2008.  This time IS different.  Yes, gold will decouple.

Tue, 07/12/2011 - 17:01 | 1449466 Johnny Lawrence
Johnny Lawrence's picture

The dollar as measured by DXY was actually lower in 2008 than it is now.

Source: Check out the 3yr chart on this -- http://www.marketwatch.com/investing/index/dxy

Tue, 07/12/2011 - 14:37 | 1448720 Tremain
Tremain's picture

1571.69 I'm struggling to remember the last move up that went quite like this.

Tue, 07/12/2011 - 14:40 | 1448737 fonestar
fonestar's picture

Fuck the NWO, fuck the idiots who trade in paper money!

GO GOLD!! GO!!!!

Tue, 07/12/2011 - 14:43 | 1448753 WilliamShatner
WilliamShatner's picture

Hockey stick, bitchez!

Tue, 07/12/2011 - 14:49 | 1448758 Use of Weapons
Use of Weapons's picture

http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2011/jul/11/libya-paris-muammar-gaddafi

http://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/africa/rebel-chief-clears-way-fo...

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/africaandindianocean/libya/863...

That 144 tons of gold you were looking for? Turns out someone is a fan of Mr C. Heston, and has been reading his biography of Rommel at bedtime. I suspect someone is hoping a new central bank to get involved with a nice retirement settlement for the big G. It would somewhat save the fiasco that has been NATO's first adventure since the Balkans.

 

Couldn't be sure though.

Tue, 07/12/2011 - 14:50 | 1448764 mark mchugh
mark mchugh's picture

This clever guy has calculated the monetary base in terms of gold:

http://www.cqcabusinessresearch.com/2011/07/05/marc-faber-is-right-about...

Using this measure, gold's right about where it was in the early 70's. 

Which means goldbugs are screwed....as soon as US mortgage interest rates go over 15%.

Tue, 07/12/2011 - 15:07 | 1448874 mayhem_korner
mayhem_korner's picture

I'm OK with that.  By the time mortgage rates hit 7%, the Fed budget will implode on itself, the US will default and gold will be standing as real money.

BTW, the "real" gold price ain't the one showin' up on the Crimex ticker.

Tue, 07/12/2011 - 14:48 | 1448777 SRV - ES339
SRV - ES339's picture

Fed minutes / QE3 possible... also, metals being shorted to help facilitate the first non-QE2 bond auction, which came off fairly well (shorts off... PM beach ball breaks through the surface... before the Fed minutes were released).

Dam, I missed the auction schedule and bought silver early yesterday... should have waited 'till this morning... my bad!

Tue, 07/12/2011 - 14:58 | 1448837 lawrence1
lawrence1's picture

Eric Sprott recently said that his clients are buying three times as much gold as silver since the big takedown of silver, that before silver sales predominated, that he continues to expect that silver will appreciate significant more than gold.  That big takedown obviously caused some trauma in silver buyers, especially the ones who entered recently.  Im thinking of selling some gold for silver... see no reason to believe that gold will outperform silver. 

Tue, 07/12/2011 - 15:02 | 1448855 equity_momo
equity_momo's picture

I thnk you win with both but for me , gold has far less risk.

Tue, 07/12/2011 - 15:04 | 1448869 FeralSerf
FeralSerf's picture

Gold is money.  Silver is an industrial commodity that used to be money, but due to its recent scarcity, thanks to its many new found uses, is no longer suitable as such.  Read FOFOA's treatise on the subject.

Tue, 07/12/2011 - 15:26 | 1448946 lawrence1
lawrence1's picture

Yes, i have read fofoa and respect him but am not convinced about his views on silver.  Fofoa is almost too persuasive in a way... could convince you black is maybe white.  And he could simply be wrong, of course.  I respect Eric Sprott, too, and he is hands on, in the game itself and seems to walk his talk. And silver is money too.

The word for silver also means money in a number of languages and silver has been money in the West, Mexico, China and elsewhere.  I do worry about its industrial use dropping.  On the other hand, its a relativelys small market and investment demand might offset a drop in industrial demand.  Frankly, who really knows, but until I see a longer term reversal of gold outperforming silver, I favor having more silver than gold at this time.

Tue, 07/12/2011 - 15:39 | 1449064 Smiddywesson
Smiddywesson's picture

Gold is mostly used for ornamentation and as a currency.  It wouldn't destroy whole industries if it even went to $60k and ounce.

When the collapse comes and the central banks have as much gold as they were able to amass, they will drive the price of that gold as far as they need to deleverage.  

Silver, on the other hand, has too many industrial uses to allow it to appreciate too high. 

In other words, TPTB will be in a position where high price gold is their desire.  They are amassing gold, not silver.  Silver is also a precious metal, and will rise (a lot) but not artificially high as will be the case with gold. 

Tue, 07/12/2011 - 17:29 | 1449564 tmosley
tmosley's picture

So you're saying it is too valuable to have a high price?

These are basic laws of economics.  You can't overcome them, no matter how powerful you claim to be.  If they don't have the physical silver to flood the market, then the price of physical silver will continue to rise, or explode as the case may be.

Tue, 07/12/2011 - 16:37 | 1449325 The_Euro_Sucks
The_Euro_Sucks's picture

Paper or physical?

Tue, 07/12/2011 - 15:01 | 1448846 MiningJunkie
MiningJunkie's picture

Why wouldn't gold take off? The replacement power of monetary metals when defined in FRN's can only be greater with time and fiscal insanity. I agree with Tyler 100% and if you all want to ride the New Klondike 2011 wave, you can climb aboard the Kaminak Express.

http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=kam.v

Tue, 07/12/2011 - 15:02 | 1448849 CrashisOptimistic
CrashisOptimistic's picture

If gold ever becomes significant, trafficking in it will be outlawed.  That will eliminate all quoted prices and any possible buyer or seller who contacts you may turn out to be a narc.

Value: zero.

The item actually important to people (civilization)  that has just spiked, is, of course, oil.

Tue, 07/12/2011 - 15:18 | 1448949 Bastiat
Bastiat's picture

"trafficking" ?  What the hell are you talking about?  Gold has been significant for 5,000 years.  Would be very surprised if it doesn't end up forming the basis of a new reserve currency.  Fiat currency "traffics" . . . in lies.

Tue, 07/12/2011 - 15:18 | 1448953 Jendrzejczyk
Jendrzejczyk's picture

Value of and item can go up under prohibition.

Tue, 07/12/2011 - 15:19 | 1448960 franzpick
franzpick's picture

Entire nations of financially manipulated and victimized citizens have been, are, and will be using black markets to continue the business of life, despite the meaningless empty threats of corrupt, bankrupt government regimes.

Tue, 07/12/2011 - 15:44 | 1449101 Smiddywesson
Smiddywesson's picture

Almost NOBODY today has gold.  The last time they outlawed it, EVERYBODY had gold.  Don't you see the difference?  They had to outlaw it to get their hands on those coins and melt them because that idiot FDR depreciated the dollar. 

Debasing the currency is a lot easier when it is just paper.  The central banks are doing quite nicely amassing gold.  They don't need your paltry sums to business, and purely from a personal perspective, I'm sure the Boyzzz want to sell their gold too when this is all over.

Tue, 07/12/2011 - 19:41 | 1449892 Rusty Shorts
Rusty Shorts's picture

Yeah, prohibition... just like Food, Pot and Liquor = Value: Zero.

Tue, 07/12/2011 - 15:02 | 1448853 newbee
newbee's picture

Comment from a previous post:

Sure, I have my silver stash and plan to get some more.  But a few things are bothering me wondering if there's not a setup here.

1)  We all know the PM market is manipulated to no end, why couldn't the TPTB move their PMs around so it appears there's an immediate shortage just to sucker in some more small players - like me.

2)  Wasn't one of the causes for the Great Depression the fact that the world's currencies were pegged to gold and they couldn't deflate their currencies which pushed them into the deflationary spiral - similar to Greece now?  If so and if there are real plans to go back to a gold backed monetary system, what's to keep this from happening again?  Sure, centeral banks are buying gold by the truck load, but is this just a short term hedge?

I hate being just another sucker, thoughts?

Tue, 07/12/2011 - 17:14 | 1449515 RockyRacoon
RockyRacoon's picture

Sounds like you are more concerned with your image than your future.

Study the history of money and read a little FOFOA.  

Confidence will return with knowledge.

Tue, 07/12/2011 - 18:32 | 1449745 caerus
caerus's picture

Don't think of your wealth in terms of dollars...think of it in terms of Ag and Au ounces

Tue, 07/12/2011 - 19:32 | 1449870 EFNuttin
EFNuttin's picture

You echo my concerns with getting married to precious metals (PM).  When things got ugly for the USD in Great Depression I, those who moved USD to British Pounds and Swiss Francs cleaned up, while those who harbored in gold got to "sell" their holdings to Uncle Sam at gunpoint (while the Supreme Court looked the other way on a technicality).  Uncle Sam promptly took all those $20 gold pieces, purchased by him for $35 and used them to prop up USD from Ft. Knox for decades to come.  Hint: those gold pieces were worth a lot more than $35 when all those American citizens were made the offer they couldn't refuse.  My point is, gold belongs in your portfolio, but it shouldn't be the whole thing.  Even if fiat money tanks, you have to be diversified.  I recommend planting your Victory Garden now.  Do you know how to hunt deer and rabbits?

Tue, 07/12/2011 - 15:05 | 1448870 zorba THE GREEK
zorba THE GREEK's picture

 If you miss the gold train, there's still time to catch the silver train. 

   "ALL ABOARD"

Tue, 07/12/2011 - 15:13 | 1448915 KingdomKum
KingdomKum's picture

fun, fun, fun 'til your daddy took the T-bird away  .  .  .  

Tue, 07/12/2011 - 15:14 | 1448918 DavidDavid
DavidDavid's picture

There's no way I would touch gold.  We will see $1,300 before $1,700.

Tue, 07/12/2011 - 15:44 | 1449098 Long-John-Silver
Long-John-Silver's picture

I remember when the predictions were $500 before $700.

Tue, 07/12/2011 - 15:48 | 1449117 Smiddywesson
Smiddywesson's picture

There's no way I would touch gold.  We will see $1,300 before $1,700.

If you could dream up a scenario where the USD isn't totally destroyed, I could entertain that belief, but inasmuch as there has never been a currency that has done this and survived, I can't agree.  It may drop before the march continues, but gold only has one final destination, the moon.

Tue, 07/12/2011 - 15:15 | 1448921 KingdomKum
KingdomKum's picture

.

Tue, 07/12/2011 - 15:14 | 1448925 theotheri
theotheri's picture

Buy prime multi-family buildings/units instead.  Sure, you are overpaying to hell but att least you get a yield and some tax shelter.  I'm talking good stuff- San Fran, Manhattan/Brooklyn, West Side LA, DC inside the Beltline.

Tue, 07/12/2011 - 15:28 | 1449003 newbee
newbee's picture

I like your thinking.

Tue, 07/12/2011 - 16:03 | 1449185 IQ 145
IQ 145's picture

 You're cracking me up. This is not what's called "thinking"; it's precisely, "not thinking"; Thinking would consist of things like rent control; a government who decided to punish the landlord class with taxation, property taxes, lack of qualified renters, etc. etc.

Tue, 07/12/2011 - 16:39 | 1449341 False_Profit
False_Profit's picture

tax shelter...for now.

...normalcy bias infection alert.

Tue, 07/12/2011 - 15:15 | 1448933 Smiddywesson
Smiddywesson's picture

PMs are still cheap.  There is no limit to the Black Swan of all Black Swans.  The pulic is not even aware of any of this, yet.  Better muster some cash too for the bank runs.

Tue, 07/12/2011 - 15:30 | 1449009 lawrence1
lawrence1's picture

Exactly ... and half of the 1.6 trillion in money funds are in European banks.  Fancy that ... and that money market fund managers were given the power to stop withdrawals over a year ago.

Tue, 07/12/2011 - 16:04 | 1449199 IQ 145
IQ 145's picture

 Ah, I see you're in possession of some "inconvenient truths"; very good. for metals speculators.

Tue, 07/12/2011 - 16:54 | 1449430 mayhem_korner
mayhem_korner's picture

Better muster some cash too for the bank runs.

Cash - check

PMs - check

Ammo - check

Fuel - check

Food, water & meds - check

 

Tue, 07/12/2011 - 16:04 | 1449195 casaananda
casaananda's picture

Sweeet. I just rid the world of 50 1 oz .9999 silver Maples last night. May some future great granschildren have the lode I have built, mostly in gold, since 2005.

I want the end of three things before I pass: Zionism, Colonialism, The Fed.

Tue, 07/12/2011 - 16:05 | 1449206 IQ 145
IQ 145's picture

 Well, don't .333 is a good batting average in the Majors.

Tue, 07/12/2011 - 16:11 | 1449226 mayhem_korner
mayhem_korner's picture

+1 well played

Tue, 07/12/2011 - 16:43 | 1449367 The_Euro_Sucks
The_Euro_Sucks's picture

Corporatism as well (aka facism by musolini)?

Tue, 07/12/2011 - 16:28 | 1449289 theotheri
theotheri's picture

Rent controls are factored into the cost.  You still get a yield.  Tax the income?  Still a yield.  Qualified renters?  All those downsizing middle classers from the 'burbs who were paying $5000 mortgages on their mansions should be able to handle $2000 in rent don't you think? 

Still a yield.

Tue, 07/12/2011 - 16:43 | 1449364 iLoveMisesToPieces
iLoveMisesToPieces's picture

Golds a barbaric relic

Gold is a bubble

Gold doesn't pay dividends

There aren't any uses for gold beside jewerly

You can't eat gold!

I wonder what the next disinformaiton solgan will be.  Any guesses?

 

 

Wed, 07/13/2011 - 05:10 | 1450847 StychoKiller
StychoKiller's picture

Eating Gold gives you constipation?

Tue, 07/12/2011 - 17:32 | 1449577 DollarDive
DollarDive's picture

Gold to the moon.....Thanks Ben,

It takes a bald headed bankster to get a dirty job done !

Tue, 07/12/2011 - 18:02 | 1449651 zorba THE GREEK
zorba THE GREEK's picture

 Gold makes me smile.

Tue, 07/12/2011 - 20:32 | 1449864 Youri Carma
Youri Carma's picture

Gold $1573,50 High Today Only $4 Removed from Gold’s All Time High at $1577,40 on May 2, 2011 http://charts.kitco.com/KitcoCharts/

Why? Who Cares. Maybe the Chinese developed some new appetite for gold . Just maybe? ;) And the Negative Real Interest Rates of course.

Excerpt from Whistleblower Andrew Maguire Interview by Eric King on King World News July 11, 2011:

Last week London Whistleblower Andrew Maguire told King World News that the launch of the new gold and silver exchange in China will destroy the remaining gold and silver shorts.  Maguire stated, “The launch of this new gold and silver exchange has flown under the radar, but certainly has my attention.  I firmly believe we are marking a pivotal point that will in very short order affect current precious metals price discovery dynamics.  We now have an additional factor to be vended into the supply demand equation.  This factor will ultimately destroy the remaining short positions in both gold and silver.” http://kingworldnews.com/kingworldnews/KWN_DailyWeb/Entries/2011/7/11_Whistleblower_Andrew_Maguire_Audio_Interview_Now_Released!.html

GOLD!

Yessssss!!!! Gold Always believe in …. Gold, Your indestructible, GOLD!!!

Go for Gold – Party 2.0!

Bring The Gold

The Ecstasy Of Gold

Buy Gold!

Ancient GOLD

Tue, 07/12/2011 - 22:17 | 1450289 mt paul
mt paul's picture

just ordered another case

of dehydrated gold nuggets...

Do NOT follow this link or you will be banned from the site!