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Third Hindenburg Omen Confirmation
The market is now down 3.4% from the August 12 open, when the first Hindenburg Omen was sighted, on route to validating the prediction of a 5% drop. However, in the process it continues getting worse and worse - today we just got a third H.O. confirmation, and a 4th standalone HO event, as the market seems to be getting ever more schizophrenic, with increasing new highs and new lows, while the undercurrent is one of ever increasing implied correlation as noted earlier, as ever more asset managers simply rely on levered beta "strategies" to redeem their year. Unlike 2009, however, this time the trick won't fly, as it appears the market's downside potential is finally starting to be appreciated.
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by assumptionblindness wrote: Tue, 08/24/2010
"Hydrogen-filled zeppelin, bitchez! What could possibly go wrong?"
WSJ: The FOMC Debate on Monetary Policy
8/23/2010 08:55:00 PM – CalculatedRisk
“According to Hilsenrath, Bernanke “is determined to avoid mistakes of past central bankers that created devastating bouts of deflation”. And that probably means QE2 – it is probably just a matter of when and how long the FOMC waits.”
http://www.calculatedriskblog.com/
Governor Ben S. Bernanke
National Economists Club, Washington, D.C.
November 21, 2002
Deflation: Making Sure “It” Doesn’t Happen Here
“But suppose that, despite all precautions, deflation were to take hold in the U.S. economy and, moreover, that the Fed’s policy instrument–the federal funds rate–were to fall to zero. What then?”
The conclusion that deflation is always reversible under a fiat money system follows from…the U.S. government has a technology, called a printing press (or, today, its electronic equivalent), that allows it to produce as many U.S. dollars as it wishes at essentially no cost. By increasing the number of U.S. dollars in circulation, or even by credibly threatening to do so, the U.S. government can also reduce the value of a dollar in terms of goods and services, which is equivalent to raising the prices in dollars of those goods and services.
We conclude that, under a paper-money system, a determined government can always generate higher spending and hence positive inflation.”
http://www.federalreserve.gov/BOARDDOCS/SPEECHES/2002/20021121/default.htm
Anonymous
August 23, 2010 at 10:31 pm
Sorry, but 0 / ∞ is undefined!
Wait... Wait... Would you rather live in the ascendency of a civilization or during it's decline?
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=f-2E3_vfxfw&feature=related
Carson's Death. They should accept their situation. There would be more dignity in it.
If only...
BLA, BLA BLA BLA. The Market is going down. No Retail to bail the Big Boys out and they know it. Just trying to suck in a few more Bagholders for the LONG TERM BUYERS. Defination of Long Term Buyers is they will steal everything you have but JUST MAYBE in 50 years you will end up with your Principal.
Third time is a charm?
Now that I think about Zeppelins, how about Robert Plant for Chairman of the Fed & Page for Treasury? Or would it be the other way around?
I think they're busy. Elmer Fudd is available.
they are getting ready for the London summer Olympics.
Their advice is known. "When the levee breaks, we'll have no place to stay."
Wait, you don't think Spongebob and Patrick are doin' a great job?!
The market is different this time, I'm starting to smell fear out there.
Homeless and Empty Homes -- an American Travesty
August 24, 2010 11:48 AM - Huff Post - excerpt
"About 3.5 million US residents (about 1% of the population), including 1.35 million children, have been homeless for a significant period of time. Over 37,000 homeless individuals (including 16,000 children) stay in shelters in New York every night. This information was gathered by the Urban Institute, but actual numbers might be higher.
Fox Business estimates, there are 18.9 million vacant homes across the country.
3.5 million people without homes; 18.9 million homes without residents.
A homeless population equivalent to the size of Los Angeles is unacceptable, and with over five times as many empty houses, we have not only a moral obligation but also an economic imperative to come up with a creative way to fix this travesty."
http://tinyurl.com/37p3d7c
The next few days will be up big time and then the next plunge will be straight down to hell for longs.
We'd all enjoy your reasoning. Thanks in advance. - Ned
My interpretation of the Fibonacci numbers are inconclusive. I'd bail if $INDU falls below 9200. Other market metrics appear negative. Keep your powder dry. My 2-cents.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wcW_Ygs6hm0&feature=search
There is a plan afoot to turn all of the houses into banks and mosques.
yep, your just fabulooUS.
HINDENBURG WARNING
http://williambanzai7.blogspot.com/2010/08/hindenburg-omen-sign.html
Gee Wizz Golly, I just love this site. Thanks, you all.
Economic reality setting in, technicals looking bearish and HFT's and proprietary trading systems aren't cutting it anymore.
Actually...the 5th confirmation. My Hemorrhoids are raging. Bad sign.
Thanks for such a great post and the review, I am totally impressed! Keep stuff like this coming!...
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