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At 3:15 we highlighted today's "free money arb." An hour later it is time to take profits.
I didnt bother with the aud/jpy side...No point this time. Nice one though, i just shorted the shit out of s&p and dow, although dow waited untill after close to drop 60 points!
Awesome trade, agreed why bother with the aud/jpy side?
probably because it's a pair trade.
Punt naked much?
yeah, I don't think GM had anything to do with it
simply the program winning as soon as some banksters propping things up for the close got their close
(I hope they got shanked)
how curious... what would be correlation between AUDJPY and 2s10s30s these days?
Can't get a nice intraday chart on BF021030 unfortunately. It does publish daily data but that's not going to be so helpful here... Good question, though. I'm sure you can just proxy the 2s10s30s with equities anyway ;)
Long the SSO for uber leverage :P
it's not about finding a way to grab free money.... it's about finding connections and patterns... wouldn't it be cool to see R>0.9 on AUDJPY/2s10s30s for the past few days
Thanks Tyler. I fucking pounded this one. Unfortunately I work all day for a living and unless ZH alerted me, I would have missed this. Again, thanks for the free money Tyler as you have given me so many times. I wish I had the time to try to discover these things on my own but right now I don't have the means or time.
Before the year is out I'm going to make a donation to ZH, heck I figure I owe ZH a piece for all the arb alerts over the last few months.
ZH IS THE premier financial blog on the web these days....this website is unfucking matched. Many imatators but only one original.....
Hats off and props to ZH.....
Keep the convergence updates coming! Those of us who only have limited time to check in on the market appreciate it!
All kidding and sarcasm aside. This sounds like code red. I have a feeling that somethings not right and we will all soon hear a big flush. Thanks Tyler.
quick couple grand! BOOYAA
Why do you make this so complicated? How are you supposed to trade that in real-time though?
2010-08-17 ES 5m http://i.imgur.com/1Cmwk.png momo starting to weaken, watch the drop below WHERE THE LAST UPLEG STARTED.
2010-08-17 ES eod 5m We drop to the level. Bam. so unpredictable. http://i.imgur.com/l9axd.png
2010-08-18 ES 5m OMG!! we dropped to the next significant level. Who could possibly have though it could happen? Would it be possible we could test where the PREVIOUS up-move started? ( after all <insert some bullshit macro news> happened) http://i.imgur.com/X7N9w.png
2010-08-18 ES 15m Indeed we do! http://i.imgur.com/NgrZ0.png Could it be possible that momentum is picking up and we're setting up for an up-move? No way to tell without <insert some central bank release>
2010-08-18 ES 15m 1pm OMG! where did that move came from? Those evil HFT! How could a retail player possibly see that? He has no chance! http://i.imgur.com/nPqUC.png
2010-08-18 ES 15m 1-16pm Holy crap! we tested all the way to the high, it would totally be surprising if we try to retrace to few established levels below. Besides, no one trusts those 98s because <insert some crop report had an issue> http://i.imgur.com/MFthD.png
2010-08-18 ES 15m 3-45pm NO! it can't be happening! We cannot be testing a 9am region from which acceleration at 12:15 happened on weak momo running into previous highs in a double-top manner. After all, fed/tres agreed to manipulate markets up to let GM ipo go through (I actually felt bad and for the 1st time in last 2 weeks looked up some piece of news) http://i.imgur.com/PlSJy.png
2010-08-18 ES 15m 4-07pm What the hell? How dare those ES test that level again?! Who do they think they are? Those evil HFTs! If HFT was a person, I'd whack his head with a giant wrench and throw his babies into a vat of phosphoric acid. Oh no! if momo picks up, it could go and test that dreaded 92.50s NOOOO. http://i.imgur.com/dcxlr.png or on weakening momo could test the starts of those previous up-moves (as clearly indicated by flow-of-funds report) http://i.imgur.com/B7TKa.png
This is just too much! How can a retail investor have a chance in this absolutely HFT-ladden rigged game.
*** end of sarcasm ***
Seriously folks, just practice your technicals and you will never be confuzed by the news.
Yeah, wicked. Well done all o' yer. (I mean that. It will not be apparent in what follows.) Because some of us are secretaries. It doesn't matter if I give a shit about the 2s10s30s butterfly. We're all fucked. Take your profits while you can and strengthen your defences against those who can't.
Gold has 'intrinsic' value - until it doesn't.
Why anyone other than credit traders give a F about flies? There are good interviews and commentary from time to time on ZH, but what absolutely pisses me off is
1. News story X caused SP move Y
2. Picking some obscure, like a credit fly and saying that caused the move.
These two things get people just running in circles and it never helps to understand what actually caused the move, which is just technical trading, testing up and down, levels + momentum. There is undoubtfully correlation in the markets, but markets still trade on their own. You can trade SP without looking at any other chart. Without looking at any news. That's kind of irrelevant.
lol omi. seriously, it's in the chart
yep, thanks for teaching if I think who you are, but constantly changing nicks.
Dodd- Frank. Dodd- Frank. Repeat. Dodd- Frank. Dodd Frank....
I get what youre saying, and you look like an experienced enough trader to i suppose only have the ES on your screen. I find it useful to see EURUSD as well as AUDJPY but then some days i look at one of the GBP pairs to see whats up. It all depends on what youre used to really.
Not experienced enough, but definetely through the phase of relentlessly trying things that don't work. I like FX too and Grains especially. Just ES is what I look at the most.
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There are certainly a lot of details like that to take into consideration.I read and understand the entire article and I really enjoyed it to be honest.
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