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Time For The JPM SPY Desk To Remind The Market Who Is In Charge

Tyler Durden's picture




The question: is "The client" buying or selling today.

In the meantime, the carry traders just can't catch a break.




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Wed, 09/23/2009 - 15:47 | Link to Comment mdtrader
mdtrader's picture

A close below 1066.35 would print a key day reversal. That said the only factor that seems to matter these days is the dollar, so how much weight it will carry I have no idea.

 

Wed, 09/23/2009 - 15:47 | Link to Comment lizzy36
lizzy36's picture

WTF, a LOD finish?

i thought this had been banned (along with candy cigarettes).

Wed, 09/23/2009 - 15:48 | Link to Comment mdtrader
mdtrader's picture

Must be a computer malfunction at the FED.

Wed, 09/23/2009 - 15:48 | Link to Comment AR
AR's picture

Tyler, the carry traders have stretched this rubber band a little to far. Repeat from previous posting:  Again, the trade that will hurt the most managers, is a dollar rally. And, if this occurs, managers who blindly sold the dollar on a carry trade (and gone long every other asset class) will be "forced to unwind" those trades on an inverse trade. Worse, they will be forced to do this into declining bids/prices. Also, couple this scenario with stocks, commodities, and currencies rolling over, plus new shorts initiating, and longs trying to sell to "protect" their recent profits from the last 3-6 months -- and you have the making of a real reversal and selloff.  The Fed has truly put itself, and this economy, in a compromised box. Good luck.

Wed, 09/23/2009 - 15:50 | Link to Comment Bearish Spirits
Bearish Spirits's picture

Look out belooooowwwww!!!

Wed, 09/23/2009 - 15:51 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Wed, 09/23/2009 - 16:00 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Wed, 09/23/2009 - 16:03 | Link to Comment Cognitive Dissonance
Wed, 09/23/2009 - 15:57 | Link to Comment mule65
mule65's picture

Well, this is different.  Where are all the bulls going?

Wed, 09/23/2009 - 16:01 | Link to Comment HEHEHE
HEHEHE's picture

I think we are seeing the beginning of the correction.  The market has priced in a fantasy economic recovery.  I don't think anyone wants to be holding that bag come fourth quarter 2009 and first quarter 2010 earnings.  The Fed's lack of movement seems to indicate their bluff has been called.

Wed, 09/23/2009 - 16:04 | Link to Comment AndItsGone
AndItsGone's picture

SO IT BEGINS

Wed, 09/23/2009 - 16:26 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Wed, 09/23/2009 - 17:51 | Link to Comment Sisyphus
Sisyphus's picture

Okay, I'll bite. Please enlighten us, why Oct 12? Because Saturn mounts Pluto and orgasms because Jupiter is fiddling with Uranus?

Wed, 09/23/2009 - 18:04 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Mon, 09/28/2009 - 22:55 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Wed, 09/23/2009 - 16:07 | Link to Comment thegreatsatan
thegreatsatan's picture

I doubt it. In a market where there are no rules for those at the top, fundamentals are meaningless.

Wed, 09/23/2009 - 16:12 | Link to Comment Big Al
Big Al's picture

I wouldn't bet the ranch on a reversal.  This could be just be another head fake to lure the shorts in for another round of squeezing.

Wed, 09/23/2009 - 16:19 | Link to Comment thegreatsatan
thegreatsatan's picture

It was almost like a controlled demolition watching the shorts all climb aboard at the slightest hint of a correction.

Wed, 09/23/2009 - 17:25 | Link to Comment JohnKing
JohnKing's picture

True dat.

Fertilize shorts, start lawnmower. It seems to be a repeated pattern. I think it will be safe to capitulate when Obamamama does.

Thu, 09/24/2009 - 02:35 | Link to Comment Mediocritas
Mediocritas's picture

Right on. Watch the bears all come back in: "this time we've topped out, THIS TIME", then watch HAL9000 launch the perma-bid again and squeeze us all to a new high. I just revised all my 'outlier short entries' upwards.

Wed, 09/23/2009 - 16:01 | Link to Comment Eduardo
Eduardo's picture

it was about time!!!!!!. lets see how the old continent behaves tomorrow at the opening. I am sensing an over passionate aperture for the Italian market.

Wed, 09/23/2009 - 16:01 | Link to Comment mdtrader
mdtrader's picture

The FED gets bullish and the market reverses. Has the FED just marked the top? lol.

Wed, 09/23/2009 - 16:32 | Link to Comment deadhead
deadhead's picture

bear market rallies end on good news.

Wed, 09/23/2009 - 16:03 | Link to Comment reading
reading's picture

No worries, AIG, FNM, FRE all stayed green for the day so things are all good.  The pillars of our bankrupt country are doing just fine.

Wed, 09/23/2009 - 16:07 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Wed, 09/23/2009 - 16:22 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Wed, 09/23/2009 - 16:28 | Link to Comment Tyler Durden
Tyler Durden's picture

SPY equity IOIA

Wed, 09/23/2009 - 17:36 | Link to Comment Miles Kendig
Miles Kendig's picture

Did Ben just try to do a Ruki Vverth cover?

Wed, 09/23/2009 - 21:30 | Link to Comment cocoablini
cocoablini's picture

If you want to gun or sink the market, you do it EOD. The market sold like crazy later when the gunner usually shows up for the battlestar galactica finale shootoff. Either UBS went free agent( do they ever want to work in the US again?) or were told that fresh blood is need to squeeze. My bet-it's a trap. Don't go there. Let the banks Benedict Arnold the PPT first

Thu, 09/24/2009 - 00:03 | Link to Comment Arm
Arm's picture

Yes, this may be the top.  Debt ceiling has been reached and treasury begins to raise rates (yes, winding down quantitative easing is the same thing).  P/E ratio at its most expensive in history.  And more importantly I have spent the past two days hearing fools commenting on tripling their money on their Ameritrade accounts.  Real smart to 50% your account in Citigroup?  We will see

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