Today's Economic Data Docket - Durable Goods And Second Q1 GDP Revision
Today's durable goods and second GDP revision will be largely non-market moving with all the headlines coming out of Europe and the EURUSD as is now standard.
8:30 Durable goods orders for May...a small rebound? After April's sharp drop in durable goods orders, Goldman expects a 1% increase in May. Consensus is slightly more optimistic at +1.5%. An increase in aircraft bookings should be worth at least 1/2 point on total orders; this looks consistent with consensus expectations for ex-transportation orders (+0.9%).
8:30 Second revision of first-quarter GDP growth....marginal upgrade expected. The Bloomberg consensus expectation for first-quarter growth is an upgrade from 1.8% to 1.9%; GS expects 2.0%. Goldman and the consensus expect no change in the GDP price index (+1.9% qoq ann) or the core PCE price index (+1.4%).
11:00 5th to last QE2 POMO completed as Fed buy $4-5 billion in bonds maturing 12/31/2013 - 05/31/2015. If no 3 year OTRs are monetized, it indicates Dealers are set with expecting an OT2 twist announcement at Jackson Hole ver 2011 as tweeted by Bill Gross.
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