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Today's Economic Data Highlights

Tyler Durden's picture




 

The preliminary take on fourth-quarter growth, employment costs, and consumer confidence….And just in case greater inventory accumulation for the GDP report is not sufficient to get stocks higher, there will be a $7-9 billion monetization of 02/15/2018 – 11/15/2020 bonds.
 
8:30: GDP for Q4 (prelim estimate)…stronger under the surface.  Although we have one of the lowest estimates for this figure—at an annual rate of just 3%—that reflects a significant correction in inventory accumulation.  Measures of final demand will be much firmer, ranging from about 3½% for final sales to domestic purchasers to about 5 ¼% for total final sales.  Growth in real spending should be between 3½% and 4%.
On GDP, median forecast (of 85): +3.5%, ranging from +2.9% to +5.4%; last (Q3 third estimate) +2.6%.
On the GDP price index, GS: +1.4%; median forecast (of 40): +1.6%, ranging from +0.7% to +2.2%; last: +2.1%.
On the PCE core index: GS: +0.3%; median forecast (of 19): +0.4%, ranging from +0.3% to +0.5%; last: +0.5%.
 
8:30: Employment cost index for Q4…moderation?  This index decelerated in the third quarter, to a rate of change equal to the four quarters of 2009.  We expect more of the same for the fourth quarter, if not a bit further weakening.
Median forecast (of 51): +0.5%, ranging from +0.3% to +0.6%; last +0.4%.
 
10:00 (9:55 to subscribers): Reuters/University of Michigan consumer sentiment for Jan (final)…recoup some of that loss?  This index weakened unexpectedly in early January, and most forecasters appear to think this was a fluke.  The median expectation for inflation five to ten years ahead held steady at 2.8%, where it was in the preceding three months.
Median forecast (of 67): 73.3, ranging from 71.8 to 76; last 72.7 (Jan prelim).

 

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Fri, 01/28/2011 - 08:24 | 912386 66Sexy
66Sexy's picture

more pressure on oil, silver, and gold today?

Fri, 01/28/2011 - 08:25 | 912387 Oh regional Indian
Oh regional Indian's picture

Sure everyone else feels the surreal-ness of sifting through NUMBers while the world goes to hell in a handbasket.

This forum is somehow really important. Bigger than it's message.

And further signals have been received, I'm sure by many, that the world, indeed, is going to hell in a hand basket.

Comfortably NUMBer.

ORI

http://aadivaahan.wordpress.com/2011/01/27/wisdom-for-warriors-6/

Fri, 01/28/2011 - 08:27 | 912388 Racer
Racer's picture

More fake numbers so the extremely rich can get  even richer and the poor can starve

Fri, 01/28/2011 - 08:28 | 912391 Monkey Craig
Monkey Craig's picture

Yo Tyler

NY Sun article on gold standard

http://www.nysun.com/editorials/the-moment-for-gold/87221/

Fri, 01/28/2011 - 08:29 | 912394 HelluvaEngineer
HelluvaEngineer's picture

Ford down 8% right now.  Amazingly the futures are OK though.

Fri, 01/28/2011 - 08:35 | 912403 blindfaith
blindfaith's picture

the engineers that used to work for the auto companies now are engineers at the stock exchange. 

Fri, 01/28/2011 - 08:31 | 912397 tcrown
tcrown's picture

i expect to see the DOW hit 13,000.  i'm long equities, only after dumping my gold, silver and oil. A CPI of around .4% for 2012 and it's Egypts fault for not having satellite iPhones.  How else you expect to stay Twitter accessible?

Fri, 01/28/2011 - 08:33 | 912399 blindfaith
blindfaith's picture

pick a number, any number...imaginary numbers work best.

Fri, 01/28/2011 - 09:37 | 912507 nevadan
nevadan's picture

i^2

Fri, 01/28/2011 - 08:54 | 912423 David99
David99's picture

Ben's POMO's will save the day, nothing to worry

Fri, 01/28/2011 - 08:55 | 912427 David99
David99's picture
Every one must read and distribute as much possible FCIC report

Fraud at all levels, system broken

FCIC released the final version of its 700+ page Inquiry report, which disclosed that all of Wall Street is one big fat fraud, populated by criminals, who never go to jail, and whose settlement arrangements with the SEC is at most 1/50th of the illegally obtained profits.

WH/ Capitol Hill /FED are part of the loot

http://www.fcic.gov/

Fri, 01/28/2011 - 08:57 | 912434 David99
David99's picture

I am cleaning my 12,000 hat as Ben's Ponzi Dow Casino is going to cross 12,000 level today

Fri, 01/28/2011 - 09:03 | 912450 Oh regional Indian
Oh regional Indian's picture

Watch for 12,014 as a key, possibly terminal resistance (a close at that). Or we'll have a few bump-along days and then, boom. 

Or so I saw in a dream once. I heard the dollar broke a key level on it's way down.

!2,000 and change might be the DOWner's last hurrah.

ORI

http://aadivaahan.wordpress.com/2010/06/18/of-tipping-points-and-shape-shifting/

Do NOT follow this link or you will be banned from the site!