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Trade Against The 90% That Lose Money 10th Dec

Pivotfarm's picture




 


Retail traders are notoriously wrong at picking market direction/tops and bottoms. Most retail traders very naturally seem to adopt a counter-trend stance and this offers very accurate signals for individuals looking to trade against this group. This daily report is designed to help traders focus their efforts on higher probability pairs.

So what are the signals?

Strong Short 66% Retail Longs

Short 60% Retail Longs

Long 60% Retail Shorts

Strong Long 66% Retail Shorts

We are looking for 60%+ (Ideally for best opportunities 66%+) of retail traders to be trading either long or short a currency pair, we then look for opportunities to fade (trade against) this group. For example if 72.99% of traders are long the USD/CHF we look for opportunities to short that pair.

The pairs that we feel offer the highest opportunity for success are described in the Strong Short and Strong Long areas.

What’s New Today? No Major changes or shifts, EURUSD bias is edging closer to the long zone.

Provided by Pivotfarm - Click here to learn about Technical Confluence

 

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Fri, 12/10/2010 - 10:01 | 795223 Biggus Dickus Jr.
Biggus Dickus Jr.'s picture

I'm glad to see real data here and not just Doomer porn. Thanks for keeping this site at least superficially about investing.

Fri, 12/10/2010 - 09:19 | 795187 Orly
Orly's picture

The USDJPY may have completed a 50% retracement from the previous move higher.  A violent move to the upside from here could be in the cards, or the pair may churn at this level for weeks.

Only the US ten-year knows for sure.  If the 10-year yields ramp from here, the next upside target for the pair is 86...and it's gonna move fast!

Best of luck trading!

:D

Fri, 12/10/2010 - 08:57 | 795170 Samsonov
Samsonov's picture

Well, which one is it?  Do the retailer traders predictably bet the counter-trend, or do they predictably chase momentum?  I hear both criticisms constantly.  I see now they're also bad at picking tops and bottoms, and perhaps middles as well.  Thanks for the tip.

Fri, 12/10/2010 - 03:56 | 795031 BeerGoggles
BeerGoggles's picture

boooooooooooooooooring

Do NOT follow this link or you will be banned from the site!