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Trade Against The 90% That Lose Money 8th Dec

Pivotfarm's picture




 


Retail traders are notoriously wrong at picking market direction/tops and bottoms. Most retail traders very naturally seem to adopt a counter-trend stance and this offers very accurate signals for individuals looking to trade against this group. This daily report is designed to help traders focus their efforts on higher probability pairs.

So what are the signals?

Strong Short 66% Retail Longs

Short 60% Retail Longs

Long 60% Retail Shorts

Strong Long 66% Retail Shorts

We are looking for 60%+ (Ideally for best opportunities 66%+) of retail traders to be trading either long or short a currency pair, we then look for opportunities to fade (trade against) this group. For example if 72.99% of traders are long the USD/CHF we look for opportunities to short that pair.

The pairs that we feel offer the highest opportunity for success are described in the Strong Short and Strong Long areas.

What’s New Today? USDJPY has retaken its top spot in the strong short zone.

Provided by Pivotfarm - Click here to learn about Technical Confluence

 

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Wed, 12/08/2010 - 16:02 | 789746 Orly
Orly's picture

Everything depends on the US ten-year right now.  The higher it goes, the longer the USD, especially against the yen.

Personally, I expect it to come off rather severely in the next few hours...

Wed, 12/08/2010 - 11:54 | 788394 LowProfile
LowProfile's picture

Perhaps I don't understand your chart:  Does it say there is strong retail positioning long the JPY, CHF and CAD?

I personally wouldn't be short the USD right here (unless it was in Sing dollars, but then why not buy...)...

Wed, 12/08/2010 - 04:26 | 788202 BeerGoggles
BeerGoggles's picture

still shorting that yen? tut tut

Wed, 12/08/2010 - 08:10 | 788295 Pivotfarm
Pivotfarm's picture

yup. 

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