This page has been archived and commenting is disabled.

Two Standard Deviation VWAP Outlier Market

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Today's low volume once again brought about an aberrant market, in which a gust of buying late in the morning even as the euro was probing new lows, took the market to a new churn level, which resulted in a close at 2 standard deviations above the VWAP over the past two days. The gap can be seen on the accompanying chart. Should VWAPs reversion algos appear, the SPY will likely retrace the gain back to the computer model favored 1067 level.

Going further back, all the way to the January highs, shows a trimodal market with regimes concetrated around 1062, 1085 and 1110.

 

- advertisements -

Comment viewing options

Select your preferred way to display the comments and click "Save settings" to activate your changes.
Thu, 02/11/2010 - 17:58 | 227419 mynhair
mynhair's picture

Without volume showing up Friday, afraid 1085 will be the close.

Another down Monday in the works?

Thu, 02/11/2010 - 18:03 | 227425 deadhead
deadhead's picture

market closed Monday giving a 3 day weekend.

might impact your 1085 close.... 1082 seems to be resistance line for tomorrow.

Thu, 02/11/2010 - 18:54 | 227502 mynhair
mynhair's picture

Ah shucks, forgot.  Damn beer!

Thu, 02/11/2010 - 19:52 | 227623 Anonymous
Anonymous's picture

Sick of MW MSM bool sheet! -JG

Thu, 02/11/2010 - 18:18 | 227444 VegasBD
VegasBD's picture

I get VWAP finally. I think. And I get why the algos would all be focused on it, but wouldnt it be advantageous for a better algo to take advantage of the algo heard focusing on it which in turn would eventually make it useless?

Or maybe i dont get it....

Thu, 02/11/2010 - 19:02 | 227519 Anonymous
Anonymous's picture

umm i dont think u get it, thats like saying why doesnt buffet make decisions based on roubinis logic. This is a great chart, does anyone know what platform this is?
you can trade of this by watching the zero line, but u need to add 1 really key indicator to this and then its really useful

Thu, 02/11/2010 - 20:24 | 227681 Anonymous
Anonymous's picture

That chart is from a Bloomberg

Fri, 02/12/2010 - 05:37 | 228177 Anonymous
Anonymous's picture

no, no, no. i know better. this must be google finance *lol*

Thu, 02/11/2010 - 18:52 | 227499 RobotTrader
RobotTrader's picture

Sorry I haven't been around.

Working with a group of private investors wanting to purchase a swath of commercial RE loans in the Inland Empire, so this assignment may last a few weeks.

Classic Tomfoolery going on which rivals options expiration week.

All the Algo/Igor/Robo traders who listened to the slide rule technicians about a "chart breakdown" were promptly shanked today.

Just look at the ridiculous put/call ratios today.

Any wonder why the shorts were drawn, quartered, and lashed today?

And it looks to me that if the Euro can get some legs off this bullish spring, we could see a vertical meltup from here.

Don't the semis and trannies typically lead a turn??

Note the sudden whipsaw off the 150-day.

What happens tomorrow into the long weekend?

Who knows??

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Thu, 02/11/2010 - 19:35 | 227579 Bam_Man
Bam_Man's picture

Even compared to fake boobs, those things look fake. Almost as fake as what is commonly referred to as the "stock market".

Thu, 02/11/2010 - 21:05 | 227748 Anonymous
Anonymous's picture

O0 look a little lopsided to me, and stretch marks...move along...nothing to see here.

Fri, 02/12/2010 - 02:06 | 228094 Fish Gone Bad
Fish Gone Bad's picture

The IE is pretty much my old stomping grounds.  I find it hard to believe there is anything worth purchasing out there.  Perhaps the 4 GGP mall properties might be worth something if you can get them for a song.  Other than that, a meteor impact would be an improvement.

Thu, 02/11/2010 - 19:14 | 227537 Anonymous
Anonymous's picture

I mus be getting out of touch RoboTrader, who is she, other than another indenticlone pretty girl?

DavidC

Thu, 02/11/2010 - 21:34 | 227791 delacroix
delacroix's picture

kate bekinsale, and she's got the smarts, to go with the looks.

Fri, 02/12/2010 - 01:18 | 228061 Anonymous
Anonymous's picture

well is she was really that smart, she would hide those fake, fake boobs

Fri, 02/12/2010 - 01:18 | 228062 Anonymous
Anonymous's picture

well is she was really that smart, she would hide those fake, fake boobs

Thu, 02/11/2010 - 19:17 | 227546 Anonymous
Anonymous's picture

Aberrance has been reigning for some time IMO

Thu, 02/11/2010 - 19:27 | 227575 Carl Marks
Carl Marks's picture

A stretch?

Thu, 02/11/2010 - 20:03 | 227634 cantstopselling (not verified)
cantstopselling's picture

Crisis will get worse: http://www.iamned.com good read

Thu, 02/11/2010 - 21:46 | 227815 Brokenarrow
Brokenarrow's picture

Emerson!

 

Em r sum nice ones.........

Thu, 02/11/2010 - 22:52 | 227903 Anonymous
Anonymous's picture

what platform is he using?

Fri, 02/12/2010 - 00:44 | 228033 Grand Supercycle
Grand Supercycle's picture

 

Choppy sideways action with mixed signals for DOW / SP500 / EURO / COPPER continues.

The  DOW / SP500 / EURO / COPPER downtrend will not resume until the ongoing support ceases.

So although trends on their daily charts remain down, more counter trend rally is possible.

http://www.zerohedge.com/forum/market-outlook-0

Fri, 02/12/2010 - 02:21 | 228104 Anonymous
Anonymous's picture

-1

Fri, 02/12/2010 - 06:58 | 228199 Liberdadedescolha
Fri, 02/12/2010 - 07:06 | 228202 Grand Supercycle
Grand Supercycle's picture

 

Previous choppy sideways action for DOW/SP500 and EURO have resolved once again to the downside.

Very choppy mixed signals continue but daily trends for DOW/SP500/EURO will always remain down.

So the SP00/DOW downtrend and the USD uptrend reasert their dominance yet again.

This trend will get stronger.

http://www.zerohedge.com/forum/market-outlook-0

Mon, 04/19/2010 - 10:04 | 307799 Tom123456
Tom123456's picture

ucvhost is a leading web site hosting service provider that is known to provide reliable and affordable hosting packages to customers. The company believes in providing absolute and superior control to the customer as well as complete security and flexibility through its many packages. cheap vps Moreover, the company provides technical support as well as customer service 24x7, in order to enable its customers to easily upgrade their software, install it or even solve their problems. ucvhost offers the following different packages to its customers

Do NOT follow this link or you will be banned from the site!