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Updated Local Fallout Forecast
The scientists at the Central Institute for Meteorology and Geodynamics (ZAMG) have released their most recent near-term forecast of Iodine-131 dispersion. The combination of local weather forecasting and emission prediction results in the following animated dispersion map. ZAMG's google-translated narrative: "Today there was a weak disturbance with light showers in northern areas of the impacted area, but no precipitation from Fukushima to Tokyo. Winds are from the northwest, rotating somewhat during the day on Southwest. The next morning a few weak showers are possible, but it will be mostly dry. Wind mostly from southern directions. The day after tomorrow a weather disutrbance is approaching that brings in the impact of precipitation. The wind will turns to westerly. The dispersion calculations show that today a potential radiation cloud of the southeast Pacific is transported to the so away from Japan. Tomorrow by rotation of the wind on the Pacific Southwest further transport to be expected. Tomorrow, inland areas may also temporarily be affected." Look for readings in Ibaraki prefecture, and in Tokyo, to jump should this happen.
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latest news from japan see here:
http://www.netkompakt.de/index.php?option=com_content&view=frontpage&Ite...
The emissions from Fukushima are a serious problem.
The Austrian center for meteorology and geodynamics uses the global monitoring stations set up to monitor the Comprehensive Test Ban Treaty to assess the Fukushima impact.
The data indicates that the site is emitting massive amounts of volatile radio nucleotides, daily about equal to 10% of the total emission from Chernobyl.
Luckily for Japan, the winter winds are very largely offshore, so the impact to date has been small. Unfortunately, the emissions are not declining, probably because they come from spent fuel elements that were in the now damaged spent fuel pools. Moreover, the winds shift more inland as the summer approaches, not good as cesium 137, the second largest component of the plume, has a 30 year half life.
Japan will need to push this mess into the ocean soon, despite the environmental impact, or else risk having a large chunk of Honshu be uninhabitable for the next couple of centuries.
A geiger counter will become a standard accessory at sushi bars in consequence.
this isn't really true. Cs137 is a beta emitter. Not gamma.
Just don't eat anything grown there.
This entire clusterfuck would be a lot easier to forecast if we had decent data on what was being emitted and what the rad levels were at various places
I am having trouble working out why "this isn't really true" - for a start, what is "this"?
Moreover according to Wikipedia, Geiger counters can detect beta rays, so where might the problem be?