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US Default Risk Jumps To Highest Since February 2010 On Debt Ceiling Worries

Tyler Durden's picture




So much for the market "completely ignoring" the total chaos and complete cacophony out of the tragicomic DC soap opera which is transitioning into less of a comedy and into more of a tragedy with each passing day. For everyone still wearing rose-colored glasses here's a refresher: stocks dropped, the S&P expressed in dollar terms, or adjusted for loss in dollar purchasing power is now negative for the year, bonds tumbled despite a "strong" auction driven almost entirely by Direct Bidders on the margin, and, the kicker, US CDS is now at 56 bps: US default risk is now the highest since February 2010.

US CDS:

The S&P priced in dollars:

Here is one attempt at an explanation from the media, always so eager to assign plotlines to an otherwise irrational market:

Vigorous bidding for this week's entire $66 billion worth of government debt supply was expected to rekindle a bond market rally that had sent benchmark yields to their lowest more than seven months on Tuesday.

Instead the afternoon market sell-off left traders and analysts scratching heads, looking for answers.

"We were surprised by the resilience of the market going into this week's supply. It's quite ironic that we ended up lower after a strong auction," said Rich Bryant, head of Treasury trading at MF Global in New York.

Traders and analysts blamed the day's perplexing market action on a combination of factors.

Those included Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke's remarks that the U.S. central bank is "not prepared at this point" to take action on more stimulus, competition from a $1.75 billion 30-year bond deal from J.P. Morgan, and a news report Washington has reached a budget deal but the size of cuts was smaller-than-expected.

Shortly after the 30-year auction that briefly helped pare losses, Dow Jones Newswires reported the White House and Congressional leaders could agree to about $1.5 trillion in deficit cuts and might be able to agree to an additional $200 billion in cuts.

"The market is telling you that the cuts are not deep enough," said Mark Pawlak, market strategist with Keefe, Bruyette & Woods in New York.

Here's another: the ponzi is starting to unravel, as evidenced by the unprecedented amount of micromanagement in every single aspect of the market - in the US (the Chairman's every word, out of context, can now move the market up and down by 20 S&P points), in Europe (the ECB - nuff said), in China (Japan 's BOJ JPY intervention last night, China's interbank markets locked up for a third week in a row needing PBOC intervention at each step), and virtually everywhere else where non-centrally planned money still flows.




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Thu, 07/14/2011 - 18:10 | Link to Comment mynhair
mynhair's picture

They are worried the ceiling will be raised.

Anyone else see that dump in the long bond at 1:34 when the Oweblahma blahhed about a deal?

There will be no sell out by the House.  Bank it.

Thu, 07/14/2011 - 19:25 | Link to Comment bankonzhongguo
bankonzhongguo's picture

The BANKS want the US to "fail."  "They" (the market makers) will demand more interest.  Both parties want a "default" or stressed economy.  How else can Bill Gross get the 10 year  yield above 5-10%?

What is going on is no different than what happens to all those "3rd world" countries that borrow World Bank money to build infrastructure, miss payments, the IMF comes in and does a workout for DIP financing to JPM, GS, C, etc. and now there is more debt that can't be serviced.

 

Thu, 07/14/2011 - 20:09 | Link to Comment Girl Trader
Girl Trader's picture

For a detailed exposition, see The Shock Doctrine by Naomi Klein.

Thu, 07/14/2011 - 21:00 | Link to Comment CompassionateFascist
CompassionateFascist's picture

For a steaming pile of crap, see The Shock Doctrine, by Red Jewess. I'm still waiting for her book on Disaster Socialism.

Thu, 07/14/2011 - 21:23 | Link to Comment Crisismode
Crisismode's picture

You are a witless cretin.

 

But, I won't hold that against you.

Fri, 07/15/2011 - 00:38 | Link to Comment 66Sexy
66Sexy's picture

'Debt ceiling' drama is just 'create crisis-introduce solution' tactic by the elite. The facade of rivalry is to secure the dual party paradigm. Democrats, Repblicans all play for the same team. Know which one?

"We must keep the people busy with political antagonisms. We'll therefore speed up the question of reform for the democratic party, and protection for the republican party.

By divinding the electorate this way, we'll be able to have them spend their energies at struggling amongst themselves on questions that have no importance to us."

United States Bankers Magazine, 1892.

Fri, 07/15/2011 - 02:29 | Link to Comment Maxter
Maxter's picture

I hope more people could understand that.  Even here on zerohedge people still blames democrates for this or republicans for that, but while doing so, they forget to see the real ennemies.

 

Edit: see some posts below for a sad exemple of this..

Thu, 07/14/2011 - 22:53 | Link to Comment Ident 7777 economy
Ident 7777 economy's picture

Junked; unreadable format.

 

Remediation: Ditch the italics.

Thu, 07/14/2011 - 21:11 | Link to Comment alagon
alagon's picture

pftt....Read Rothbard....

Thu, 07/14/2011 - 23:16 | Link to Comment Drag Racer
Drag Racer's picture

++ I also like the guy following in his footsteps, Thomas Woods.

Here is a good video of TW offering some good insites relevant to the current topic of the debt thingymagikdud

Gold and the Good Guys

Thu, 07/14/2011 - 22:47 | Link to Comment zeusman
zeusman's picture

I guess after running up huge debt/deficits under Reagan and Bush administrations these righteous god loving, science hating republicans have found religion.

Thu, 07/14/2011 - 23:22 | Link to Comment grey7beard
grey7beard's picture

>> these righteous god loving, science hating republicans have found religion

 

Hey, a lot of that was pissed away on the military so that makes it ok.  Take out of social security what they spend on war.

Fri, 07/15/2011 - 06:39 | Link to Comment mayhem_korner
mayhem_korner's picture

Question: what has a larger unfunded liability - defense or social security?

...waiting...

If you don't like deficits, why do you support social security?  (Note: this is a really tough question for progressive-Marxists)

And the capstone question: What is it that you find so unfair?  (Uh oh...deep stab into the heart of the Marxist's envy gene)

Fri, 07/15/2011 - 10:07 | Link to Comment grey7beard
grey7beard's picture

>> what has a larger unfunded liability - defense or social security?

The military was never funded in the first place so your question is an irrevelant straw man.

>>...waiting...

You expect an instintanious answer?  You don't understand how the internet works, do you?

>> why do you support social security?

Because it was paid for on a weekly basis by the folks who were promised a payback.  Because social security helps the old folks feed themselves.  I'm more into life and living rather than killing civilians.  What don't you under stand about that?

 

>> progressive-Marxists

My, aren't you a well trained wingnut. Beck/Rush would be proud.  Learn to think for yourself, stooge.

>>What is it that you find so unfair?

How about working class people aren't getting what they paid for in order to fund the militiary industrial complex and give tax breaks to the most well off segment of society?

>>  (Uh oh...deep stab into the heart of the Marxist's envy gene)

Well trained parrot.

Fri, 07/15/2011 - 12:08 | Link to Comment mayhem_korner
mayhem_korner's picture

Nicely arranged empty statements. 

The notion of "working class people" is a moniker of a Marxist.  We don't have classes here, and no one is irrevocably bound to be in any tax bracket indefinitely.  The notion of a "tax break" being "given" also supports your twisted view that the government is the originator of the funds.

You're thought that the unfunded liability of social security is irrelevant is evidence that you live in denial.  Social security was a ruse from its inception by your all-mighty FDR (who used the cover of war to launch into the great socialist society, I might add).  It was a linear transfer payment at the start, and now it is simply a transfer payment that goes through a brokerage house because of the inability to balance the budget.

I may not understand how the internet works, as you say (I'm not Al Gore, I didn't invent it), but I can spell instantaneous correctly.  (They don't teach spelling at Hahvahd?)

Tell you what, let's start by cutting corporate income taxes to zero.  In your view, that would level the playing field with all of the tax-evading corporations, anyway.  Then shift all of the tax burden onto consumption, with obvious exemptions for staple items & necessities.  Fairness as far as the eye can see, as those who can afford more pay more in taxes.  And then investment incentives for those really, really rich people (not you) to start up some new businesses and get more people working.  (Cuz we don't want them just hoarding it, right?).

Let me stop...sorry, I forgot I'm trying to educate an ideologue who has not read the Constitution nor understands free markets.  So dig deep and ask yourself what it is that makes you so mad about your plight and why it's everyone else's fault.

Cheers!  :D

 

Thu, 07/14/2011 - 23:46 | Link to Comment snowball777
snowball777's picture

They never lost their religion. Listen closely, and you can hear them pray:

Tax Cuts! Tax Cuts! Tax Cuts!

Fri, 07/15/2011 - 06:34 | Link to Comment mayhem_korner
mayhem_korner's picture

As I've posted before, I love it when those that earn less than I pay in taxes make "fairness" statements about taxation and what it means to the economy.

Fri, 07/15/2011 - 06:32 | Link to Comment mayhem_korner
mayhem_korner's picture

Where two or more [earth-worshipping, constitution-undoing progressive-Marxists] are gathered in the name of socializing every output...reality will be scarce.

I love it when one progressive-Marxist musters up enough of a green-tea-and-tofu high to blurt out a (seemingly original) salvo against a non-Gaia worshipper - before scampering back under the bed - and a chorus of 'em latch right on with shallow attaboy snipes.

We look forward to y'all having something insightful to offer.  I know it might be a while...

Thu, 07/14/2011 - 18:13 | Link to Comment TruthInSunshine
TruthInSunshine's picture

If you don't want to be exposed to what's likely to become a much more volatile market, just buy some physical gold, which is a traditional™ central banker's preference during such times, and wait for the storm to pass.

 


  Ben Bernanke stars in 'The Gold Tradition'
Thu, 07/14/2011 - 18:13 | Link to Comment mynhair
mynhair's picture

Partial to silver, meeself.  Works better against bearded Libs, and is cheaper.

Thu, 07/14/2011 - 18:16 | Link to Comment Sophist Economicus
Sophist Economicus's picture

Cloves of garlic and a medallion of Graceland around the neck keeps them away too

Thu, 07/14/2011 - 18:18 | Link to Comment mynhair
mynhair's picture

Doesn't work as well in a 12 gauge pump, tho.

Thu, 07/14/2011 - 18:28 | Link to Comment camaro68ss
camaro68ss's picture

i would 2nd that

But add the LED bright light that flickers so you blind the bastered right before you blast him

Thu, 07/14/2011 - 18:36 | Link to Comment Calculated_Risk
Calculated_Risk's picture

I'd throw in a video of seizure bots playing on your smartphone..  http://www.frostbot.com/SR.htm

just to be sure.

Thu, 07/14/2011 - 20:05 | Link to Comment toady
toady's picture

Damn it!

Now my kid is flopping around like a fish out of water!

Thanks alot!

Thu, 07/14/2011 - 18:39 | Link to Comment TheTmfreak
TheTmfreak's picture

Plus a laser. Better for shooting from the hip.

Thu, 07/14/2011 - 20:08 | Link to Comment scatterbrains
scatterbrains's picture

or a sawed-off/pistol gripped auto shotgun loaded with buck shot.. picture a hand grenade that explodes one directionally in your hand.. good for dark spaces and rounding corners.

Thu, 07/14/2011 - 20:48 | Link to Comment Truffle_Shuffle
Truffle_Shuffle's picture

Just got a saiga 12 myself outfitted with a pistol grip.  Picked up several 10-round clips and managed to secure some law enforcement issued 00 tactical buckshot.  Nothing like an AK style shotgun...real zombie killer.    

Thu, 07/14/2011 - 23:34 | Link to Comment JW n FL
JW n FL's picture

you need a good gun smith.. to turn that gun into a gun that wont jam.. or just buy a benelli crio.. ??

Fri, 07/15/2011 - 00:20 | Link to Comment Burnbright
Burnbright's picture

You have obviously never fired a Saiga.

Fri, 07/15/2011 - 00:13 | Link to Comment WhiskeyTangoFoxtrot
WhiskeyTangoFoxtrot's picture

Hey now! Violence is wrong, mmmkaaay . . . 

Fri, 07/15/2011 - 06:41 | Link to Comment Neoisolationist
Neoisolationist's picture

I've been told that #4 buckshot is preferred as a defense load. I think it's got 27 .25 caliber balls in it.

I bought a saiga-12 also. Just need to cycle about 250 rounds through it to break it in.

 

I undersatnd it doesn't handle light loads very well, so watch out.

Thu, 07/14/2011 - 20:09 | Link to Comment poopyjim
poopyjim's picture

but then you reveal your location... =/

Thu, 07/14/2011 - 21:00 | Link to Comment DosZap
DosZap's picture

The Tm.

Adding a laser,or a mounted light on any weapon gives the attacker/intruder the upper hand, even night sights will give your position away.

Never allow the Intruder the upper hand,do not investigate, place yourself in a solid defensive position, and let it/him/them come to YOU.

Thu, 07/14/2011 - 21:32 | Link to Comment Crisismode
Crisismode's picture

Night-vision goggles.

Thu, 07/14/2011 - 21:50 | Link to Comment uneducated minion
uneducated minion's picture

+8 +1 in the chamber... BOOOM!  That pressure switch is the shizz...

Thu, 07/14/2011 - 18:36 | Link to Comment 1100-TACTICAL-12
1100-TACTICAL-12's picture

T                                                                                                                      

   C

       B

Thu, 07/14/2011 - 18:31 | Link to Comment Mr Lennon Hendrix
Mr Lennon Hendrix's picture

Ben Bernanke was appointed by Bush, who is a Republican.  Remember, we are all Keynesians.

Thu, 07/14/2011 - 19:50 | Link to Comment Pirate of the P...
Pirate of the Perineum's picture

I didn't know being a Lib and a Republican were mutually exclusive.

Thu, 07/14/2011 - 20:11 | Link to Comment toady
toady's picture

It can be confusing.

None of my republican friends are conservative...

Black is white, up is down, cats and dogs cohabitating.

I guess we aren't in Kansas anymore Toto.

Fri, 07/15/2011 - 00:27 | Link to Comment Oh regional Indian
Oh regional Indian's picture

Totolly astute observation.

ORI

Thu, 07/14/2011 - 20:23 | Link to Comment Spastica Rex
Spastica Rex's picture

The problem is the terms have gotten all stretchy and queer. It's all double plus good now, I guess.

Thu, 07/14/2011 - 20:31 | Link to Comment V in PA
V in PA's picture

What does Bwaney Fwank have to do with this?

Thu, 07/14/2011 - 21:12 | Link to Comment UGrev
UGrev's picture

There's an asshole in the mix somewhere.. 

Fri, 07/15/2011 - 01:14 | Link to Comment Spastica Rex
Spastica Rex's picture

Your avatar is solid.

Thu, 07/14/2011 - 22:20 | Link to Comment kito
kito's picture

youve taken quite an interest in queers lately spas

Fri, 07/15/2011 - 01:15 | Link to Comment Spastica Rex
Spastica Rex's picture

Your mom has been taking an interest in queers lately.

Fri, 07/15/2011 - 04:35 | Link to Comment Popo
Popo's picture

Right,  because they'll never just tax gold transactions at 50% and drive the price through the floor.

Nor would they ever establish an export tarriff on gold to prevent you from selling it abroad.   

Gold is a fantastic hedge against inflation.  

But be cautious brother:  It is not and has never been, fantastic protection against tyranny.

Keep a few eggs in different baskets.

Fri, 07/15/2011 - 08:31 | Link to Comment mmlevine
mmlevine's picture

Am I on ZH or the "Guns & Ammo" website.

Fri, 07/15/2011 - 08:32 | Link to Comment mmlevine
mmlevine's picture

Oops - dup.

Thu, 07/14/2011 - 18:13 | Link to Comment Nate H
Nate H's picture

tyler can you graph US CDS vs SPX?  My guess is 2007-early 2009 it was pretty correlated but has diverged of late...? 

Thu, 07/14/2011 - 18:14 | Link to Comment Sophist Economicus
Sophist Economicus's picture
US Default Risk Jumps To Highest Since February 2010 On Debt Ceiling Worries

 

Yup, only in this bizarro world would raising the ceiling be considered a default 'de-risk' situation.   Why don't they just add a hundred trillion to the ceiling and boost the rating to AAA

Thu, 07/14/2011 - 18:38 | Link to Comment SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

We're insolvent...so looks like we might be in trouble unless we take on more debt! Bizarro world.

Fri, 07/15/2011 - 00:29 | Link to Comment Oh regional Indian
Oh regional Indian's picture

not really SD1. Rhetorically or other-wise, in this world, debt has only one way to go, higher or Bust. It is the very basis of the game.

Now the thing I wonder about, given that the cartel has detailed notes on history that many of us plebs lack... the out-come of this game is obvious. Given. Baked in the cake.

Timeline is almost a choice thing, so many ways to crash a drunken Elephaunt.

So, what is the trigger? Elenin? 

I'm starting to get "drawn" to the Elenin theory. 

ORI

http://aadivaahan.wordpress.com/2011/07/13/dublinmick-shared-this/

 

Fri, 07/15/2011 - 01:04 | Link to Comment Hapte
Hapte's picture

I was turned on to Elenin via a poster here asking you your thoughts on it. I'm finding it uncomfortably difficult to totally discount the possibility. Good thing is we don't have to wait very long to find out...

Fri, 07/15/2011 - 01:54 | Link to Comment Oh regional Indian
Oh regional Indian's picture

Hapte, good to know. Something of that magnitude, trackable and being tracked as we speak, should be common knowledge, eh?

And it's around the corner, so we'll find out soon enough.

ORI

Thu, 07/14/2011 - 18:53 | Link to Comment Shocker
Shocker's picture

I believe we have been throwing money at the problems for many years now. But yeah your right, why dont we just raise the debt ceiling to umm 700 Trillion? That would at least give us a little breathing room.

A Default would just be another nail in the coffin for this economy. Nothing that has happen recently is to promote any type of growth or expansion.

Its just insane to really say the least     http://www.dailyjobcuts.com

Thu, 07/14/2011 - 19:35 | Link to Comment jm
jm's picture

What is bizarre is that people pay premium on this scenario.  Who actually thinks the Fed will settle up these busted trades wiht no haircut?  What kind of determination will you get with uncle gorilla sitting in the room?

What is bizarre is that none of the actors wrapped up in this hubris are willing to give even an inch for their constituents.

What is bizarre is that people talk as if it is a trfile that the United States defaults. 

Thu, 07/14/2011 - 20:35 | Link to Comment V in PA
V in PA's picture

Michelle has a lot of  determination

Thu, 07/14/2011 - 21:09 | Link to Comment CompassionateFascist
CompassionateFascist's picture

Ur ignorant. Gub'mint has 10x the monthly debt service in real income ea. month. The crap about Default is TARP all over again...."give us another 3 trillion or we''ll crash this sucker now!" Same old.

Thu, 07/14/2011 - 22:52 | Link to Comment Ident 7777 economy
Ident 7777 economy's picture

Junked; unreadable format.

Remediation: Ditch the italics.

Thu, 07/14/2011 - 21:05 | Link to Comment CompassionateFascist
CompassionateFascist's picture

No, then they couldn't do this periodic posturing and pretending to "fiscal responsibility". I'm still wondering how much the (fake) spending cutz are going to be; that's the only real excitement.

Thu, 07/14/2011 - 18:15 | Link to Comment spinone
spinone's picture

C'mon. .56, the largest and most liquid market in the world, grain exporter, worlds largest manufacturer, 7 CBG.

Thu, 07/14/2011 - 18:15 | Link to Comment mynhair
mynhair's picture

Vigilantes are gonna get burned.  Anyone betting on a deal will.  Buy GOV on the dips.

Thu, 07/14/2011 - 18:15 | Link to Comment FunkyMonkeyBoy
FunkyMonkeyBoy's picture

Can we just not toss a coin on this debt thing? Double or quits? Far more civil than this sick never-ending charade.

Either way, your jewish overlords will win. You are slaves, you are owned.

Thu, 07/14/2011 - 18:42 | Link to Comment SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

The overlords dont even care about 95% of the people, they serve no purpose theyre called 'useless eaters' and the plan to exterminate them all is already in motion.

Thu, 07/14/2011 - 19:00 | Link to Comment whstlblwr
whstlblwr's picture

WTF you do? Overlords? grow up.

Thu, 07/14/2011 - 20:52 | Link to Comment Cheesy Bastard
Cheesy Bastard's picture

Jewish overlords

Don't blame me, I voted for Kodostein.

Fri, 07/15/2011 - 00:31 | Link to Comment Oh regional Indian
Oh regional Indian's picture

WTF? Overlords? Such a kind term he used.

Perhaps you need a peek into the dark side? 

Pay a visit to Wideawakeistaan. ;-)

ORI

http://aadivaahan.wordpress.com/2011/05/20/hey-america/

Thu, 07/14/2011 - 22:00 | Link to Comment sentient
sentient's picture

so why do we bother dealing with them.....  during the movie gangs of new york at the end the right solution was come to.....

Thu, 07/14/2011 - 18:56 | Link to Comment whstlblwr
whstlblwr's picture

Must be nice have enemy to blame so don't have to look at self, old stinky finger.

Thu, 07/14/2011 - 19:21 | Link to Comment SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

Youre an idiot. Take a hike, or an English class.

Thu, 07/14/2011 - 20:38 | Link to Comment V in PA
V in PA's picture

hukd on fonics werks 4 u

Thu, 07/14/2011 - 19:05 | Link to Comment Deepskyy
Deepskyy's picture

Really?  Are we still riding this whole ideology that these people are "Jews"?

Judaism is a belief system and an ethnic group.  These "overlords" are no more Jewish than I am a table cloth.  They are corrupt, evil, and powerful assholes yes, but Jews, no. 

Thu, 07/14/2011 - 21:15 | Link to Comment CompassionateFascist
CompassionateFascist's picture

Greenspan; Rothschild; Warburg; Strauss-Kahn; Bernanke; Fuld; Madoff; Schapiro; Rubin; J. Paulson...etc.....Netanyahu addresses "US" Congress, gets 29 standing O's.....etc...etc.   Must make memo: "not Jews". OK. Got it.

Thu, 07/14/2011 - 22:51 | Link to Comment Ident 7777 economy
Ident 7777 economy's picture

Junked; unreadable format.

 

Remediation: Ditch the italics.

Thu, 07/14/2011 - 18:16 | Link to Comment Rainman
Rainman's picture

More better news, all the insolvent Euro banks will pass their piss test

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-07-14/stress-test-magic-makes-greece-s-bust-disappear-jonathan-weil.html

Thu, 07/14/2011 - 18:20 | Link to Comment Debt Rolling
Debt Rolling's picture

The problem in pricing the bankruptcy of the US is that we cannot know what the Federal Reserve is doing behind closed doors. Are they still monetizing some coupons without saying it? Everything is possible, after the mountain of lies and "kick-the-can" episodes we've witnessed since 2007. What's for sure is that secrecy would achieve better results than transparency in this case. 

Will the 10yr rate finally cross 4% during our lifetime? Or will Ben monetize before that? Impossible to know. That's why there's only one trade: gold. 

Thu, 07/14/2011 - 20:38 | Link to Comment disabledvet
disabledvet's picture

actually i just recieved this secret video of "what's going on behind the scenes" vis a vis default and "global negotiations" to prevent said catastrophe. See if you can guess which is the American:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=enJwYaeolXc&feature=player_detailpage

Thu, 07/14/2011 - 18:18 | Link to Comment jack stephan
jack stephan's picture

Superb reporting as always ZH.

Thu, 07/14/2011 - 18:20 | Link to Comment Dre4dwolf
Dre4dwolf's picture

Lets be honest, the odds of a default are zero.

 

They are not going to let their debt empire crumble... the elite are obviously doubling back and re-thinking their game plan.

 

They are going to preserve the economy in its current form because of the way that the Euro Experiment is falling apart... they wanted it to collapse, but not that quickly, they don't have the infrustructure in place to maintain control and power with a collapse this soon.

Social Security checks? not going out? doesn't effect me I never get one, never think I am ever going to get one.

If they don't send the checks out, then I guess we can all just stop taking SS deductions on our checks no? seems logical to me, when the remedy of SS is taken away, then they have no authority to collect what they don't intend to pay out.

This is all just a "show", they are manipulating the minds of the public trying to make the dependants fear that they will lose their hand-outs... they are trying to get the dependent class angry and insight rage to vote for the party that promisses the most inter class theft.

Capitalism didn't fail, trickle down economics failed because all the money left the country and went abroad.

Poor business policices completely slaughtered mainstreet... mainstreet has been... EVISCERATED AND GOUGED AND RAPED AND BEATEN AND STEPPED ON, and Wallstreet has eseentially been propped up artificially by the government and fed to "portray" a healthy economic level, while realisticly the cash cow is dead, banks aren't really solvent, they are just "zombie banks" going through the "act and spirit" of banking, but in reality the music has stopped and there are no chairs, everyone falls down, ashes to ashes dust to dust.

 

Thu, 07/14/2011 - 18:40 | Link to Comment grey7beard
grey7beard's picture

>> make the dependants fear that they will lose their hand-outs.

 

I beg to differ.  SS is not hand outs.  These folks paid out of every check for what they are getting.  If you made your mortgage payments faithfully for 30 years, wouldn't you feel like you owned your house?  I think you'd be a little sensitigve to folks saying it was a hand out.

Thu, 07/14/2011 - 19:06 | Link to Comment oldman
oldman's picture

Hey grey7,

I don't think people understand that those of us already getting a return of our SS contributions is going to be paid; we will be because there's enough for us to get back what we paid in.

The ones who will be shorted are the ones who are still paying in minus 15million without work. you are correct; it is not an entltlement but a return on investment for 40 years of labor that was never funded by the same dudes will not honor a nation's promise.

MSM and the internet have propagandized this 'entitlement' idea until these fools are brain-washed.

Sorry, but there is not a thing-to-do with such material

Thu, 07/14/2011 - 20:07 | Link to Comment tarsubil
tarsubil's picture

You paid what everyone paid, a tax. There is no suit case full of Social Security funds. It has already been spent. It is pay as you go. I'm sorry to break this to you but you were lied to and you are perpetuating that lie.

Here is what the SS trust fund looks like:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7GSXbgfKFWg

Thu, 07/14/2011 - 22:37 | Link to Comment Bob
Bob's picture

Here is, in fact, what the SSTF looks like:

http://www.ssa.gov/oact/progdata/specialissues.html

What part of assets and government debt payment is so hard to understand?

Fri, 07/15/2011 - 08:18 | Link to Comment tarsubil
tarsubil's picture

IOUs from a government which is running trillion dollar annual deficits and has a 14+ trillion dollar debt. Oh, yeah, that is totally different from a suitcase full of IOUs from two broke and unemployed dummies. Thanks for proving my point, nitwit.

Fri, 07/15/2011 - 09:07 | Link to Comment Bob
Bob's picture

No more an "IOU" than any other Treasury debt.  Just the fact of the matter . . . sorry to piss on your Stupid Day Parade. 

Fri, 07/15/2011 - 09:49 | Link to Comment tarsubil
tarsubil's picture

I'd say the difference is that those IOUs are not payable without printing money unlike previous Treasury debt during times of Social Security surpluses. That might be a slight difference.

Fri, 07/15/2011 - 12:03 | Link to Comment Bob
Bob's picture

They're no different wrt government obligation than Treasuries held by foreign sovereigns, pension funds, banks, hedge funds, etc. 

Either the gov pays its debts, or it defaults.  By definition.  

The problem with SS is that there is an army of proudly stupid propagana tools out there spreading indefensible lies about the matter. 

They don't want the truth.  They are passionately committed to spreading lies, pure and simple. 

There's nothing complicated about the financial issue.  But this has nothing to do with fiances for those people, much as they posture being "serious adults" on the matter. 

Fri, 07/15/2011 - 14:23 | Link to Comment tarsubil
tarsubil's picture

So there is no difference between debts the government owes to itself to pay for future liabilities, which are not counted in the total 14+ trillion debt, it says it will pay to its citizens and direct obligations owed to investors who bought Treasuries? Okey dokey.

"The problem with SS is that there is an army of proudly stupid propagana tools out there spreading indefensible lies about the matter. 

They don't want the truth.  They are passionately committed to spreading lies, pure and simple. "

Project much?

Sat, 07/16/2011 - 14:31 | Link to Comment Bob
Bob's picture

Well, when you put it like that . . .

My apologies, by the way. 

My perspective and your analysis both address the SSTF and its stakeholders as "investors."  Clearly this is legitimate, since the SSTF has purchased Treasury debt rather than holding unproductive cash balances, just as any "investors" who have purchased Treasury securities in any form do. 

The sticking point between us appears to be creditor priority.  Thank you for so clearly delineating the argument. 

You view the SSTF's "Special Issue" securities as subordinate to open market treasuries.  And, from a standard business accounting and legal perspective, that does make sense. It would make a strong argument in bankruptcy court. 

But it becomes an issue only when government insolvency/bankruptcy is reached.  Until that time, the debt--like marketable treauries--are simply debts/liabilities.  We could arguably include them with the light bill--as long as Treasury makes its payments, it remains solvent.  When it stops paying its bills, whether by choice or necessity, it is in default.  By definition. 

How we view the various debts, including securities held by SSTF, becomes relevant only when we approach BK.  Obviously the case can be made that we are presently at just that point.  Yet nobody is talking about default in any credible way.  And writing off the treasuries held by SSTF would constitute a default . . . even the ratings agencies would surely have to regard it as a "technical default," yes?

No, I suppose that in reality they would cheerlead it.  But that's the ratings agencies.  The reasoning favoring recognition of a write off as a default is legit.   Of course, default would be subject to political forces, which would favor protection of the SS debts, if anything.  Like it or not, nobody knows what the majority would actually decide in that position and how that might affect the outcome.  Why not nationalize the banking system instead, say? 

Until then, however, it's an absolutely unanswered question of whether we are going to write it off.  And that is a conversation that nobody has had.  At this point, in the reality we all now inhabit, the SSTF is both robustly solvent and not "empty", holding "IOU's," or the sad voice of "the money is gone." 

That's an alternative universe . . . one existing only in the minds of the propagandists. 

Thu, 07/14/2011 - 19:23 | Link to Comment SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

These people paid in $10 a month and are getting $900 a month back, dont tell me they paid, liberal dumbass.

Thu, 07/14/2011 - 19:44 | Link to Comment oldman
oldman's picture

put out a single piece of fact and the trolls deny it without a thought

your facts are WRONG

I know I paid in so much that the first twenty years were not even counted in determination of what I recieve

and even if you had any basis for you comment think about what $10 per month bought in 1939 against now

Com'on, brother do the math  a new ford was only $700 when our grandfathers were kicking in $10/mo and also the employer kicked an equal(a bit more) share in order not to have to pay higher wages.

And if you want to fight an oldman name the time  it is not you, 'bro, but you'll do as an excuse for me to get rid of the frustration of being with so many rednecks

Actually, I feel better for having written the above so--------sail on sailor, it's a big sea

 

Thu, 07/14/2011 - 20:11 | Link to Comment tarsubil
tarsubil's picture

'bro? What letters have been replaced by the apostrophe? Just curious, American dog... |-(

Thu, 07/14/2011 - 23:50 | Link to Comment markam
markam's picture

Gee, lets see a few years for example

year  tax rate

1954  2.25

1970  6.9

1980  8.1

1984 14.0

1990 15.3

I would say anyone paying in over the last 25 years is getting screwed compared to earlier generations.

Thu, 07/14/2011 - 20:18 | Link to Comment lawrence1
lawrence1's picture

You are the an ignorant dumbass.  Consider, too, that the dollars we paid in are being paid in highly inflated my dollars, some worth 10 percent of the dollars we paid in. 

Fri, 07/15/2011 - 08:22 | Link to Comment tarsubil
tarsubil's picture

Yeah, so have the government 'pay you back' with printed dollars, because there is no other way to pay the liabilities, which causes more inflation. You're some kind of genius.

Thu, 07/14/2011 - 18:41 | Link to Comment SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

Not even 1% of the public could tell you anything about the 'debt ceiling' drama, even less could tell you within 5 trillion dollars what the reported debt is. Youre overthinking everything, one morning soon youll see an event that makes 9-11 look small, and it will just be over.

Thu, 07/14/2011 - 21:11 | Link to Comment BlackholeDivestment
BlackholeDivestment's picture

...yeah, it's called ''sudden destruction'', and like a thief it robs a person, but, now it robs the people of every nation. 9, 11, 2011, ten years to the day, Iran as the new Iraq scapegoat combined with a global market that can't handle anything like it!!!

The strong delusion is surely upon the leaders of the nations, to say the least. The fact of just how evil it is defines the banks and the war machines behind the religious dogma and national claims of dominion. It's all bullshit and easy to discern the contempt at this point, no one can hide at this point. People just do not want to know, kinda like what the Germans did as Hitler was put on the stage. Now it's going to be ''Obama'' to the rescue, after the slaughter and the new global security system ''mark of the beast'' reality will seal the deal.

It's prophetic, so you can count on what ever slaughter being soon and it will announce the ensuing peace plan. Watch, this has got to be the time where the whole ''Nobel Prize'' for nuclear nonproliferation comes into play for the American President, which nobody can deny, which nobody can deny. It's just too perfect and ridiculous not to happen.

 

Thu, 07/14/2011 - 23:56 | Link to Comment JW n FL
JW n FL's picture

my guess is Pakistan.. with the Gay Rights Fight that we (America, Oops the Government of America) started a few days a go.. considering the fragmentation within Pakistan's Government since then.. and the Osama (sighting) was found there (says the Corporate Owned News).. and the fact that Pakistan is making nice with China..

 

that whole land bridge from Iran to China, sour / heavy crude pipeline thing.. wowie! they look ripe for some 9-11 drama!

Fri, 07/15/2011 - 03:16 | Link to Comment Maxter
Maxter's picture

Pakistan might be a good guess.  China moved 10 000 troups into Pakistan last year: http://www.newshoggers.com/blog/2010/08/china-deploys-troops-in-pakistan...

 

But hey! why wage war only in one country when you can start WWIII?  I have seen too much propaganda against Iran to not think they will get attacked at the first chance we get.

 

I think what we are witnessing since the last 10 years are the big players positoning their troups around the world for the start of something big.

Thu, 07/14/2011 - 18:46 | Link to Comment LawsofPhysics
LawsofPhysics's picture

Let's be honest, I see a deduction for SS, and so do my employees.  That is paid for fucknut.  So long as we are being honest, when you are borrowing money to pay interest, then you have already defaulted.

Thu, 07/14/2011 - 19:24 | Link to Comment SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

Exactly right, all the emotional twisting and turning aside, when you have to borrow money just to pay the interest on your debt youre already defaulted. And BTW everyone dont forget we are NOT borrowing anymore.

Fri, 07/15/2011 - 01:36 | Link to Comment Hook Line and S...
Hook Line and Sphincter's picture

And BTW everyone don't forget we are NOT borrowing anymore.

Well put SheepDog. It is, after all, impossible to really borrow from yourself. You get to keep your wool this season!

The shearing will commence upon the multitudes without your presence. 

Thu, 07/14/2011 - 19:21 | Link to Comment blunderdog
blunderdog's picture

SS is actually fine if there's no other government spending.  A more logical approach would be to stop paying income taxes and keep paying FICA. 

You could reasonably insist the SS checks must roll, just demand a cut of the rest of the Federal budget to zero.

Thu, 07/14/2011 - 18:24 | Link to Comment mynhair
mynhair's picture

I used to think people with money were smart.  I have since learned they are stupid Lib morons that have been sucking the lifeblood out of the world, with the help of dumber gnats in the LameStream Media.  It stops here and now.  You Libs need to find safe corners in which to cower and soil yourselves.

Thu, 07/14/2011 - 18:34 | Link to Comment Debt Rolling
Debt Rolling's picture

It has always been easier to become rich through monopolies, intellectual scams, porn, entertainment and casinos than from free market innovation. 

Why? Blame those who get sucked into buying. 

Thu, 07/14/2011 - 18:42 | Link to Comment grey7beard
grey7beard's picture

>> You Libs need to find safe corners in which to cower

 

Here I am.  Come and get me, bitch.  I dare you.  You blow hards are going to get a real awakening if things go down.

Thu, 07/14/2011 - 18:43 | Link to Comment SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

We dont want you, fend for yourself.

Thu, 07/14/2011 - 19:47 | Link to Comment Long-John-Silver
Long-John-Silver's picture

Things have already gone down. It just hasn't come to you, yet. It's coming for almost everyone, you included. How do I know?

You have enough food in your house for a maximum of 3 days, at most.

You are completely invested in US Dollars.

You have no guns or any other form of self protection.

In short you are sheep.

Not only will you starve what little you have will be taken from you.

Thu, 07/14/2011 - 21:46 | Link to Comment grey7beard
grey7beard's picture

>>  You have enough food in your house for a maximum of 3 days, at most.

>> You are completely invested in US Dollars.

>> You have no guns or any other form of self protection.

>> In short you are sheep.

>> Not only will you starve what little you have will be taken from you.

I love it when you ignorant morons spew your hateful bile out of ignorance and show your hand.

I cashed out of the city a couple  of years ago.  No need to go to deep into  my preps, but I worked hard, saved, and when I saw trouble on the horizon, I was able to make my move and retire to the country. I way ahead of most of you.  I have a farm and I'm well established in farm and ranch country.  I'm looking forward to you young, lean, mean, city shit heads to come on out to take what we've got.  You'll be taken down long before you get anywhere near my neck of the woods, if you're lucky.

Thu, 07/14/2011 - 21:22 | Link to Comment Hapte
Hapte's picture

Lol, junked into oblivion, may I suggest changing your avatar to something less... Black power? btw, these "blowhards" think collecting gunz and gold is going to save them (I think that's the plan for most yes? I'm not trying to strawman and correct me if I am wrong plz). What I think, is that they are very, very soft (no offense, but that's what being an old, covetous, hypocritical white man, does to you). Sry boize, younger, stronger, tougher and much, MUCH hungrier men are out there that are much better suited for the coming transition. Can't wait till it's time to actually sack-the-fuck-up.

Thu, 07/14/2011 - 21:42 | Link to Comment SoNH80
SoNH80's picture

Oogedy boogedy I'm real scared....

Thu, 07/14/2011 - 21:38 | Link to Comment SoNH80
SoNH80's picture

Just to be clear, the H. Rap Brown shtick is getting pretty old among Joe Sixpacks aka The Devil White Man, especially since the Devil White Man - to - Righteous Oppressed Person of Color ratio is getting pretty thin.  As we head towards Detroit/Baltimore levels of demographics, goodies such as EBT cards, cushy VeeP positions in Diversity Development at Fortune 500 Corporations, and the like will start to wear thin too, and there will be fewer white faces to blame for the troublez.  We can either can the cheap "white man" shots and join together to keep the eye on the ball, or logical conclusions will be drawn, and the ol' US vs. THEM dynamic will build and build....

Thu, 07/14/2011 - 22:15 | Link to Comment Hapte
Hapte's picture

I'm sorry if the "blowhards" I was clearly addressing in my post are caucasian, that just happens to be the case. I wouldn't term them "the devil" because I don't use that kind of hyberbole. I would say they are ethically weak, or more likely, they read Ayn Rand novel and becasuse it gave them a convenient way to rationalize thier inhearent selffish, eogtistic, small nature, they latched on to it. Anyway, lets get back on topic (thanks for your inane racebaiting digression btw!) Are YOU are Egoist coward that makes his(her?lol) wealth off the very same system you so despise? Do you throw around (often racist) hyperbole on the web becasue you can't satisfy your lady? Do you do ANYTHING to fight the big bad Feds or the power or the system, or fuck, even the mexicans/immigrants/nigs/whatever you hate?

 

Logic? lolz. Netz=rhetoric, get wise kid. Eye on the ball? Friend you don't know about my laserfuckingfocus ok? Join together? I'm not the whiney blowhard, bigot boyo, and hey, if any one of these dummies came to my door, they'd welcome to an asswhoopin and a hot meal (in that order) Thanks for playing!

Thu, 07/14/2011 - 22:21 | Link to Comment SoNH80
SoNH80's picture

Charlie Sheen!  I knew it was you!

Thu, 07/14/2011 - 22:36 | Link to Comment Hapte
Hapte's picture

Thanks for the victory comment! I knew I was winning but it's nice to get comfirmation.

Thu, 07/14/2011 - 21:57 | Link to Comment grey7beard
grey7beard's picture

>> I suggest changing your avatar to something less... Black power?

I was wondering if anyone in this drawer full of dull knives was going to pick up on that.  Good catch. I'd be willing to bet not a single person who junked me has a clue as to the flag, other than you, possibly.  Junked for not spewing the moronic right wing bullshit.  I'm good with that.  There's some reasoning behind it, but it's not really relevant to much.  Just my own personal statement.  The black power flag means as much to me as the US flag anymore, hypocracy.

Thu, 07/14/2011 - 22:31 | Link to Comment Hapte
Hapte's picture

Relevence? Neh, just bored, op was a troll (White bigots, trip just as hard as they perceive nigs do when racialzied) so I could follow up with some truth (many ZH posters are 100% pusss). Hopefully I elecited a few lols from the literate like-minded, L'chaim! (thats joo for cheers retads)

Fri, 07/15/2011 - 10:01 | Link to Comment SoNH80
SoNH80's picture

No return to Israel for you eh?  Better to be a pompous liberal douche in the U.S. and A. with your N.Y.U.-style baloney slicing, or should I say pastrami slicing?  Also, in Israel, there is a real danger of your having to do something non-kool like picking tomatoes, driving a bus, working in a dull white collar office, just another Average Jacob.  Get a clue, old sport, to quote one Robert Zimmerman, It doesn't take a weatherman to know which way the wind blows, or if you prefer, I ain't gonna work on Blankfein's farm no more.....

Fri, 07/15/2011 - 13:18 | Link to Comment Hapte
Hapte's picture

Lol, what a dumb sucker. Fuck Israel, where were you when operation Cast Lead was launched? Out in front of the Israeli embassy I bet, rabblerousing/vandalising Zionist propaganda/getting aressted? (I didn't see you, but that dosn't mean your weren't there *shrugs*), you ever been to Gaza? The West bank? Can you even define "liberal"? Please do, then apply it to anything I have said (fail much?((hint: yes you do))). I have you spun bucko, what is it that you think I do for a living? (I know you have NO idea) I am clueless because... I don't like all talk, egoist pussies? Keep trying to pegionhole me, and apologize for the enemy (YES all-talk paper trading pussies are the enemy too), it's all your kind is good for; MARXIST! STATIST! LIBTARD! Whatever guy, keep being mediocre? I'm going to contiune to actually fight/ not participate because I care less about personal wealth than I do bringing this system down (I'm in the wrong place I know). GJ once again NOT refuting my claim, I enjoyed you're obvious fallacies. Round 3 fight!?

Salaam (that's A-raaab for peace, see what I did there? Am I a muslim now?)

 

Thu, 07/14/2011 - 18:47 | Link to Comment Raymond Reason
Raymond Reason's picture

That is right.  People with money are generally happy with the status quo, i.e. their status among the common quo.  They find the likelyhood of a collapse to be absurd. 

The down and out, on the other hand, don't have any trouble believing things are going to get much worse. 

Thu, 07/14/2011 - 21:35 | Link to Comment Tuco Benedicto ...
Tuco Benedicto Pacifico Juan Maria Ramirez's picture

Yes, you are a sock puppet, but I like you anyway my German friend.  Keep posting your silliness it is very entertaining.

 

Tuco Benedicto Pacifico Juan Maria Ramirez

Thu, 07/14/2011 - 18:24 | Link to Comment chump666
chump666's picture

partial default may occur.

Thu, 07/14/2011 - 18:45 | Link to Comment SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

Default is the plan. More to the point, AUSTERITY is the plan, as Max Keiser laid out a couple months ago when he was in Greece, he said 'Greece goes under, next the US right after'. The plan is not to keep limping along, the plan is to austerity the useless eaters. 

Thu, 07/14/2011 - 18:53 | Link to Comment Deepskyy
Deepskyy's picture

I hope so brother sheepdog, I really do.

Viva Apocalypse.  Lets get this party started.

 

Thu, 07/14/2011 - 19:29 | Link to Comment chump666
chump666's picture

partial default on China not interested in receiving interest in USD...possible. Point is, AAA going.

 

Thu, 07/14/2011 - 20:16 | Link to Comment Kiwi Pete
Kiwi Pete's picture

so you are saying scrap your military and save $680 odd billion a year?

Thu, 07/14/2011 - 21:32 | Link to Comment Tuco Benedicto ...
Tuco Benedicto Pacifico Juan Maria Ramirez's picture

I don't believe Max said the U. S. would be "right after" Greece, but we are definitely in the queue.  I think some more Euro countries and then UK then our turn in the barrel.  You are right on SheepDog-One and I am humbly one Tuco Benedicto Pacifico Juan Maria Ramirez.

Thu, 07/14/2011 - 23:32 | Link to Comment baby_BLYTHE
baby_BLYTHE's picture

Keiser clearly stated US is after Greece. 

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1pJ_Lx9JEZU

Fri, 07/15/2011 - 01:37 | Link to Comment John_Coltrane
John_Coltrane's picture

When, as a nation you live beyond your means for decades, borrowing from posulated future income via debt, austerity is the only solution, the only means to a reset to equilibrium.  We have an unstable dynamical system that is at a critical point-a phase transition will occur.  Only the time frame is uncertain.

Thu, 07/14/2011 - 18:27 | Link to Comment chump666
chump666's picture

i am not a robot, weird triple posts

Thu, 07/14/2011 - 18:31 | Link to Comment mynhair
mynhair's picture

So edit them to blank, ya chump.

Thu, 07/14/2011 - 19:24 | Link to Comment chump666
chump666's picture

you do it for me pussy...just to busy

Thu, 07/14/2011 - 20:07 | Link to Comment mynhair
mynhair's picture

It's 'too', moron.

Thu, 07/14/2011 - 23:12 | Link to Comment chump666
chump666's picture

oh a grammer checker...nice.  This guy probably only trades peanuts from his butnut...am I right?  Sad thing about forums is losarios

Thu, 07/14/2011 - 22:02 | Link to Comment VisualCSharp
VisualCSharp's picture

This guy is pretty much incomprehensible.

Thu, 07/14/2011 - 18:31 | Link to Comment PulauHantu29
PulauHantu29's picture

Default is in the cards.....promise Notes (Dollars) backed by Debt...backed by ? the ability of taxpayers to pay the Debt?

Municipalities are insolvent across the country....real unemployment rates are over 20%...70% of our economy is consumer spending for things they don't need with money they don't have....25% is paperwork shuffling on Wall Street....only 5% of the GDP is actually productive....and to make matters worse....the "Job Czar" Immelt sent more jobs overseas then ANY other CEO in history....and so on.

My bet is on default....whther they word it that way or not, in reality we are already insolvent according to many economists.

Sad.....where is the Leadership?

Thu, 07/14/2011 - 18:50 | Link to Comment LawsofPhysics
LawsofPhysics's picture

Yep, all things physical continue to detach further from all things paper.  Ergo, keep dumping paper to acquire, well anything physical and of survival/bartering value.  Empty heating oil tanks?  Fill them up, gonna be a long winter.

Thu, 07/14/2011 - 18:31 | Link to Comment chet
chet's picture

That's actually not that high, is it?  Considering the circumstances.  What was happening in Feb of 2010?

Thu, 07/14/2011 - 18:41 | Link to Comment Debt Rolling
Debt Rolling's picture

It is high considering the fact that US bonds have been ridiculously flat and overpriced for 1 year now, with rates not even in phase with inflation, and free market participation banned. 

The FED seems to have really stopped intervening since the end of QE2, and the results are beginning to appear. 

Thu, 07/14/2011 - 18:40 | Link to Comment Shocker
Shocker's picture

Its a good thing no one can remember back that far

Thu, 07/14/2011 - 18:37 | Link to Comment kito
kito's picture

sorry to digress, but did tyler cover the latest on the remaining silver sliver?

http://jessescrossroadscafe.blogspot.com/2011/07/silver-dealer-inventory-continues-to.html

Thu, 07/14/2011 - 18:44 | Link to Comment Tyler Durden
Tyler Durden's picture

Hasn't really moved much recently. Registered is at 27.3 MM, total moved back up to over 100 MM.

By now we expect most readers will have the link and can check on their own.

Thu, 07/14/2011 - 22:21 | Link to Comment kito
kito's picture

sorry tyler, the dog ate my link....

Thu, 07/14/2011 - 18:43 | Link to Comment swissinv
swissinv's picture

I really start to believe that the Republicans are serious about not raising the debt ceiling. Ron Paul is a honest man with ethical principals and he seems dead serious about not giving Obama a free ride. What if the unbelievable is getting true? They have good intention doing the right things but they seem not be aware what the consequences really are. You can't exit a Ponzi in one day.

Thu, 07/14/2011 - 18:48 | Link to Comment SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

Its not even a 'will they or wont they', its not about the budget or the debt, the plan is its time to pull the rug out from millions of americans....'useless eaters' as the elite calls them. All they do now is receive a check so they can eat, and the world it is a changin. Time to offload the ballast, in the ruling elites eyes. Dont get mad at me, they let it happen.

Do NOT follow this link or you will be banned from the site!