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US Mint Suspends Production Of American Eagle Gold And Silver Bullion Coins Due To "Unprecedented Demand"

Tyler Durden's picture




It appears gold mania is spreading, and if this press release by the US Mint is any indication, it has hit the broad population. As a result, the administration is taking prompt "corrective" steps:

The United States Mint will not offer the following products in 2009:  the one-ounce American Eagle Silver Proof Coin; the one-ounce American Eagle Silver Uncirculated Coin; the American Eagle Gold Proof Coins (all weights, as well as the four-coin set); the one-ounce American Eagle Gold Uncirculated Coin; the United States Mint Annual Uncirculated Dollar Coin SetTM, which also includes a one-ounce American Eagle Silver Uncirculated Coin; and the American Eagle Platinum Bullion Coins (all weights).

Because of unprecedented demand for American Eagle Gold and Silver Bullion Coins, the United States Mint suspended production of 2009 proof and uncirculated versions of these coins.   All available 22-karat gold and silver bullion blanks are being allocated to the American Eagle Gold and American Eagle Silver Bullion Coin Programs, as mandated by Public Law 99-185 and Public Law 99-61, respectively.  Both laws direct the agency to produce these coins in quantities sufficient to meet public demand.  The proof and uncirculated versions of the American Eagle Gold and Silver Proof Coins are not mandated by law.

The Mint does promise to promptly reevaluate the supply/demand curve for gold and to allow the public to avoid having to keep its holding in the dollar:

The United States Mint is working diligently with current and potential blank suppliers to increase the supply of bullion coin blanks, so it can offer to the public the proof and uncirculated versions of American Eagle silver, gold, and platinum coins in 2010.

One wonders if the Federal Reserve will have anything to say about that. One also wonders if today's action by the Mint is merely a preamble to the modern version of this particular Presidential Executive Order 6102:

I, Franklin D. Roosevelt, President of the United States of America,
do declare that said national emergency still continues to exist and
pursuant to said section to do hereby prohibit the hoarding gold coin,
gold bullion, and gold certificates within the continental United
States by individuals, partnerships, associations and corporations and
hereby prescribe the following regulations for carrying out the
purposes of the order:

Section 1. For the purpose of this regulation, the term
'hoarding" means the withdrawal and withholding of gold coin, gold
bullion, and gold certificates from the recognized and customary
channels of trade. The term "person" means any individual, partnership,
association or corporation.

Section 2. All persons are hereby required to deliver on or
before May 1, 1933, to a Federal Reserve bank or a branch or agency
thereof or to any member bank of the Federal Reserve System all gold
coin, gold bullion, and gold certificates now owned by them or coming
into their ownership on or before April 28, 1933, except the following:

(a) Such amount of gold as may be required for legitimate and
customary use in industry, profession or art within a reasonable time,
including gold prior to refining and stocks of gold in reasonable
amounts for the usual trade requirements of owners mining and refining
such gold.

(b) Gold coin and gold certificates in an amount not exceeding in
the aggregate $100.00 belonging to any one person; and gold coins
having recognized special value to collectors of rare and unusual coins.

(c) Gold coin and bullion earmarked or held in trust for a
recognized foreign government or foreign central bank or the Bank for
International Settlements.

(d) Gold coin and bullion licensed for the other proper transactions
(not involving hoarding) including gold coin and gold bullion imported
for the re-export or held pending action on applications for export
license.

Section 3. Until otherwise ordered any person becoming the
owner of any gold coin, gold bullion, and gold certificates after April
28, 1933, shall within three days after receipt thereof, deliver the
same in the manner prescribed in Section 2; unless such gold coin, gold
bullion, and gold certificates are held for any of the purposes
specified in paragraphs (a),(b) or (c) of Section 2; or unless such
gold coin, gold bullion is held for purposes specified in paragraph (d)
of Section 2 and the person holding it is, with respect to such gold
coin or bullion, a licensee or applicant for license pending action
thereon.

Section 4. Upon receipt of gold coin, gold bullion, or gold
certificates delivered to it in accordance with Section 2 or 3, the
Federal reserve bank or member bank will pay thereof an equivalent
amount of any other form of coin or currency coined or issued under the
laws of the Unites States.

Section 5. Member banks shall deliver alt gold coin, gold
bullion, and gold certificates owned or received by them (other than as
exempted under the provisions of Section 2) to the Federal reserve
banks of there respective districts and receive credit or payment
thereof.

Section 6. The Secretary of the Treasury, out of the sum made
available to the President by Section 501 of the Act of March 9, 1933,
will in all proper cases pay the reasonable costs of transportation of
gold coin, gold bullion, and gold certificates delivered to a member
bank or Federal reserve bank in accordance with Sections 2, 3, or 5
hereof, including the cost of insurance, protection, and such other
incidental costs as may be necessary, upon production of satisfactory
evidence of such costs. Voucher forms for this purpose may be procured
from Federal reserve banks.

Section 7. In cases where the delivery of gold coin, gold
bullion, or gold certificates by the owners thereof within the time set
forth above will involve extraordinary hardship or difficulty, the
Secretary of the Treasury may, in his discretion, extend the time
within which such delivery must be made. Applications for such
extensions must be made in writing under oath; addressed to the
Secretary of the Treasury and filed with a Federal reserve bank. Each
applications must state the date to which the extension is desired, the
amount and location of the gold coin, gold bullion, and gold
certificates in respect of which such application is made and the facts
showing extension to be necessary to avoid extraordinary hardship or
difficulty.

Section 8. The Secretary of the Treasury is hereby authorized
and empowered to issue such further regulations as he may deem
necessary to carry the purposes of this order and to issue licenses
there under, through such officers or agencies as he may designate,
including licenses permitting the Federal reserve banks and member
banks of the Federal Reserve System, in return for an equivalent amount
of other coin, currency or credit, to deliver, earmark or hold in trust
gold coin or bullion to or for persons showing the need for same for
any of the purposes specified in paragraphs (a), (c), and (d) of
Section 2 of these regulations.

Section 9. Whoever willfully violates any provision of this
Executive Order or these regulation or of any rule, regulation or
license issued there under may be fined not more than $10,000, or,if a
natural person may be imprisoned for not more than ten years or both;
and any officer, director, or agent of any corporation who knowingly
participates in any such violation may be punished by a like fine,
imprisonment, or both.

h/t Project Mayhem




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Wed, 10/07/2009 - 11:00 | Link to Comment Gilgamesh
Gilgamesh's picture

The horror stories I've heard of people waiting to receive their orders for these placed and confirmed ages ago...  The responses from the Mint have been mindblowing.  And they always push the option of a refund first.  Let me see if I can get my hands on an actual copy of some of their replies.

Wed, 10/07/2009 - 11:04 | Link to Comment fxguy
fxguy's picture

Move to Canada... you can walk into a bank (Scotia)
and purchase gold and silver ( coins and bullion )
otc at pretty close to spot. (cheaper than over
the internet if you consider shipping) no tax on
bars either.

Wed, 10/07/2009 - 11:26 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Wed, 10/07/2009 - 12:04 | Link to Comment ghostfaceinvestah
ghostfaceinvestah's picture

Do you have to pay HST on them?

Thanks.

 

Edit: nevermind, I see that you don't.  I was worried that Canada would try to impose their tax on you if you bought anything in Canada, but I called up a bank and found that is not the case.

Might be worth a trip up to get some, like you say, buying over the Internet is either expensive (to buy shipping insurance) or risky (not buying shipping insurnace).

Wed, 10/07/2009 - 11:43 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Wed, 10/07/2009 - 14:01 | Link to Comment Gordon_Gekko
Gordon_Gekko's picture

Or China or India for that matter. It's amazing how these "third world" countries are doing a better job of performing THE ACTIONS MANDATED IN THE US CONSTITUTION.

Wed, 10/07/2009 - 15:14 | Link to Comment Cognitive Dissonance
Cognitive Dissonance's picture

Why is it that when Gold hits $1,040 CNBC starts talking about a bubble in Gold (Breaking News......Gold in Bubble? Next on CNBC) but not when the S&P is up 55% from the last bottom?

Just askin'.

Wed, 10/07/2009 - 11:07 | Link to Comment ozziindaus
ozziindaus's picture

Maples are 24k but I heard it's subject to massive tax bringing them into the US.

Wed, 10/07/2009 - 11:20 | Link to Comment peterpeter
peterpeter's picture

Not true.

You can get Maples North of the border, or you can get the in the US from most big dealers.

You'll pay sales tax that varies by state, but there are dealers for pickup or delivery in states with no sales tax (i.e. Delaware).

If you cross the border with under $10K worth of the gold, you need not declare it.

As to how to value the gold, that is an open question with much debate, since there is a face value to the coin which does not match the bullion value, which does not match the street value.

Relative to other coins, the markup on Maples is low - with many claiming that they scratch easily... but I find them by far the nicest looking of the mainstream gold coins and easy to get a hold of.

Wed, 10/07/2009 - 11:25 | Link to Comment somethingisrotten
somethingisrotten's picture

Great info!

Wed, 10/07/2009 - 11:29 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Wed, 10/07/2009 - 11:37 | Link to Comment Project Mayhem
Project Mayhem's picture

I am a big fan of Maples as well.

Wed, 10/07/2009 - 11:44 | Link to Comment ghostfaceinvestah
ghostfaceinvestah's picture

I third that.  Beautiful creatures, those.

Wed, 10/07/2009 - 11:48 | Link to Comment chumbawamba
chumbawamba's picture

I like Maple Leafs because that .9999 purity just means more gold, baby :)

I COULD BE WRONG, BUT I think the face value of the coinage is what you need to declare.  So if you have $10,000 street value of bullion--for the sake of simplicity let's say ten 1oz coins--the face value would be $50 X 10 = $500.  Nothing to declare, move along.

I am Chumbawamba.

Wed, 10/07/2009 - 12:04 | Link to Comment Careless Whisper
Careless Whisper's picture

That works for the Maple Leaf & Eagle but the Krugerand has no face value.

Wed, 10/07/2009 - 12:20 | Link to Comment chumbawamba
chumbawamba's picture

Then that makes it a worthless rock.  Nothing to declare, move along.

I am Chumbawamba.

Wed, 10/07/2009 - 12:54 | Link to Comment SilverIsKing
SilverIsKing's picture

Now that's funny.

Yo peoples, how about www.tulving.com?  Talk to Hannes and he'll take care of you.  So easy to deal with and you'll have your shit in a couple of days assuming he has it in stock and you pay promptly.

Fuck the mint!

Wed, 10/07/2009 - 16:40 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Wed, 10/07/2009 - 11:49 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Thu, 10/08/2009 - 06:08 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Wed, 10/07/2009 - 11:08 | Link to Comment callistenes
callistenes's picture

And so it begins. Next up exchange controls.

Wed, 10/07/2009 - 11:35 | Link to Comment Cognitive Dissonance
Cognitive Dissonance's picture

If the law requires the mint to produce these coins in sufficient quantity to meet public demand and Gold is so plentiful (I read all the time how Gold is available in large quantities [meaning 400 oz. Gold bars] to anyone who wishes to buy) why can't the mint get enough Gold to meet demand?

This happened last year as well. It's a simple (and reasonable) question that should be answered.

BTW, if I remember correctly, last year when the mint announced they were out of coins, the price of Gold peaked and reversed a few days later. Is this a repeat?

Wed, 10/07/2009 - 11:38 | Link to Comment lookma
lookma's picture

The law requires them to make other coins (American Eagle Gold and American Eagle Silver Bullion) in sufficient quantity to meet public demand, so they are allocating their efforts towards those (bullion coins) and away from other coins (The proof and uncirculated versions of the American Eagle Gold and Silver Proof Coins).

Instead of making coins for coin collectors (numismatic products), they are pumping out bullion coins.  Neumanistic products are sold for a much higher premium (they are "collector's items"), but the volume of bullion is much greater than neumanistic products.

Wed, 10/07/2009 - 11:48 | Link to Comment Cognitive Dissonance
Cognitive Dissonance's picture

If memory serves me correctly, the same thing happened last year. First they stopped the collector coins, then they just stopped.

Correct me if I'm wrong, which would not be the first time.

Wed, 10/07/2009 - 12:59 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Wed, 10/07/2009 - 11:52 | Link to Comment Project Mayhem
Project Mayhem's picture

Yes, you guys are right.  I believe this happened last year as well.   It indicates high demand for bullion coins, since they are suspending production of proof and uncirculated numanistic coins.

Wed, 10/07/2009 - 14:43 | Link to Comment Deficient Market
Deficient Market's picture

Yes, and last year, just like every time before it, it usually was very close to a short term top. When you add to that the Mr. T indicator, of which I am a big follower, I think we're up for a correction and in the short term this will turn out to be a false breakout: http://www.minyanville.com/articles/gold-mr.+t-indicator-kevin-depew-minyanville/index/a/24787/from/home

Wed, 10/07/2009 - 11:53 | Link to Comment glenlloyd
glenlloyd's picture

I believe that the mint buys manufactured blanks produced to specification and the companies that produce the blanks from larger bars have a huge backlog.

It's not that there is a shortage of gold per se, it's a shortage of the form needed by the mint.

IIRC blank makers were working hand over fist last fall to meet demand, at least I remember reading that.

Wed, 10/07/2009 - 12:15 | Link to Comment Cognitive Dissonance
Cognitive Dissonance's picture

I understand the underlying problem. Regardless, the law doesn't say "unless you have supply problems and can't follow the law."

They have had this problem 3 years running. They are required to comply with the law. The mint knew there was a run on gold coins last year and there was every reason to expect it again this year.

It's not like this is a side line business and they don't know the market. They are the US Mint for God's sake. If they can't find blanks, there is a problem, either with the world or them. Or both.

Only the naive still believes the Fed and other central banks don't attempt to control the price of Gold. The mint is simply one of numerous pawns the Fed controls.

Wed, 10/07/2009 - 12:57 | Link to Comment SilverIsKing
SilverIsKing's picture

There is a run on coins because the price of gold (and silver) is not the market price.  If the govt allowed these PMs to trade freely rather than keep a lid on the prices via the COMEX paper shorting, there'd be fewer issue in terms of supply and demand because of a proper balance could be reached.

Wed, 10/07/2009 - 14:21 | Link to Comment Cognitive Dissonance
Cognitive Dissonance's picture

Bingo!

If the market price of gold were truly unfettered, we would have no shortages (at least no shortages for very long) because the price would rise to the point where supply would appear to satisfy demand.

At least that's the way it's supposed to work where they teach capitalism 101. However, the central banks (in particular the Fed) know that if they let go of their gold manipulation and the price were to go up to where it would naturally be considering what is going on, panic would ensue and people would loose faith in the almighty dollar.

That's the only thing keeping the dollar afloat, artificially manufactured faith and no (really truly unobstructed) competition from an alternative store of value that doesn't come from a printing press or a computer.

Wed, 10/07/2009 - 14:24 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Wed, 10/07/2009 - 11:11 | Link to Comment AN0NYM0US
AN0NYM0US's picture

Medium is the Message?

Chip Hanlon Says Gold May Reach $1,500 by Next Year - October 7 (Bloomberg) 

Logic's O'Neill Sees Gold Above $1,100 on Currency Hedge - October 7 (Bloomberg)

Schroeder Says Dump the Dollar' for Medium to Long Term - October 7 (Bloomberg) 

Santer Says Gold Poised to Rise Further on Tight Supply - October 7 (Bloomberg) 

Kiener Recommends Investing in Physical Gold, Miners - October 7 (Bloomberg)

 

Wed, 10/07/2009 - 11:16 | Link to Comment ghostfaceinvestah
ghostfaceinvestah's picture

Late to the game as usual.  Here is what they should have been saying:

"Get The Hell Out of The USD As Bernanke Cranks Up Printing Presses To Buy MBS and UST" - March 18th.

Wed, 10/07/2009 - 11:13 | Link to Comment BobPaulson
BobPaulson's picture

Just this announcement will goose bullion.

Wed, 10/07/2009 - 11:14 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Wed, 10/07/2009 - 11:42 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Wed, 10/07/2009 - 11:15 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Wed, 10/07/2009 - 11:15 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Wed, 10/07/2009 - 11:17 | Link to Comment hp12c
hp12c's picture

"because of unprecedented demand..."

translation: informed citizens are tired of the FED paying us close to 0% risk premium on their hard earned $$...

Wed, 10/07/2009 - 11:34 | Link to Comment Cognitive Dissonance
Cognitive Dissonance's picture

I've always said that the truth is always (eventually) spoken by bureaucrats. It's just not labeled as such.

Obviously the Mint didn't get the memo about extend and pretend and not startling the sheep.

Wed, 10/07/2009 - 12:34 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Wed, 10/07/2009 - 13:35 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Wed, 10/07/2009 - 16:07 | Link to Comment hp12c
hp12c's picture

+1...  Couldn't have said it better myself

Wed, 10/07/2009 - 11:18 | Link to Comment Bruce Krasting
Bruce Krasting's picture

This is bunk. There is plenty of gold around to make coins. They are just stopping this. It begs the question: Why?

Wed, 10/07/2009 - 11:22 | Link to Comment chumbawamba
chumbawamba's picture

So the government can have some gold around so they can continue to buy crack?

I am Chumbawamba.

Wed, 10/07/2009 - 11:33 | Link to Comment hp12c
hp12c's picture

So they can close one path, and heard people to buy treasury debt... most gold coin buyers are only looking for safety and capital preservation, something you won't find in the equity market

Wed, 10/07/2009 - 11:53 | Link to Comment chumbawamba
chumbawamba's picture

Naw, you still have Krugerrands, British Sovereigns, Australian Philharmonics, Australian whatever-the-fuck-they-call-them, Chinese Pandas, not to mention Credit Suisse and Pamp Suisse bars, mint bars, private sales (eBay (not recommended), craigslist), etc.

Shortage?  What shortage?  Only to those who waited too long, perhaps.

I am Chumbawamba.

Wed, 10/07/2009 - 11:58 | Link to Comment perpetual-runner-up
perpetual-runner-up's picture

sealed pamp gold 1oz sizes and bing cashback on ebay are awesome...no way am i touching unsealed and larger amounts - you cant fake the weight plus dimensions...

Wed, 10/07/2009 - 12:24 | Link to Comment chumbawamba
chumbawamba's picture

Do tell.  How does it work out for you?  A mini-tutorial perhaps? ;)

I am Chumbawamba.

Wed, 10/07/2009 - 12:24 | Link to Comment chumbawamba
chumbawamba's picture

Uh, that should be AUSTRIAN Philharmonics.  Still don't know what the Australian coins are dubbed and am too lazy to Google, even though the search tool is just inches away by mouse.

I am Chumbawamba.

Wed, 10/07/2009 - 12:56 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Wed, 10/07/2009 - 19:49 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Wed, 10/07/2009 - 12:25 | Link to Comment E Thomas St.
E Thomas St.'s picture

LMAO at Philharmonics. Austrians are terrible at naming things.

Wed, 10/07/2009 - 12:33 | Link to Comment chumbawamba
chumbawamba's picture

I suppose the alternative--Austrian Hitler--just wouldn't be palatable to a world customer base.

Perhaps the Austrian Schwarzeneggar?  Or better yet, the Austrian Terminator?  A nice .9999 round featuring a de-tissued T-1000 skeleton would be fab.

I am Chumbawamba.

Wed, 10/07/2009 - 12:38 | Link to Comment E Thomas St.
E Thomas St.'s picture

I'd be a goldbug if I could own a solid gold T-1000 skeleton.

Wed, 10/07/2009 - 12:59 | Link to Comment SilverIsKing
SilverIsKing's picture

I stay away from Chinese Pandas.  Too much MSG.

Wed, 10/07/2009 - 13:11 | Link to Comment chumbawamba
chumbawamba's picture

I have a 1/20 Toz Chinese Panda coin I got in trade (for weed).

I am Chumbawamba.

Wed, 10/07/2009 - 14:25 | Link to Comment Cognitive Dissonance
Cognitive Dissonance's picture

LOL for the "too much MSG" in the Chinese Pandas comment.

I like my Chinese Pandas black and white and eating bamboo but what do I know?

Wed, 10/07/2009 - 11:25 | Link to Comment lookma
lookma's picture

“All available 22-karat gold and silver bullion blanks are being allocated to the American Eagle gold and American Eagle silver bullion coins programs as mandated by Public Law 99-185 and Public Law 99-61, respectively. Both laws direct the agency to produce these coins in quantities sufficient to meet public demand. ”

Its more a matter of which coins they have to make, not whether they can make any coins.  Although it appears obvious supply contraints are part of the issue.


Wed, 10/07/2009 - 11:36 | Link to Comment Fruffing
Fruffing's picture

Right Lookma.  It's only the collector product. 

Wed, 10/07/2009 - 11:18 | Link to Comment Herr Morgenholz
Herr Morgenholz's picture

See, you guys don't understand economics. When demand goes up, you have to stop production. This makes the product more affordable. Simple, really.

Wed, 10/07/2009 - 13:08 | Link to Comment Ducky
Ducky's picture

Funny! I'll stop scrolling down to post exactly the same thing. Mind boggling

Wed, 10/07/2009 - 11:20 | Link to Comment Stuart
Stuart's picture

SHOCKED!  SHOCKED I SAY!  SHOCKED!

Predictable like clockwork. 

Wed, 10/07/2009 - 11:21 | Link to Comment chumbawamba
chumbawamba's picture

They have been running at chronic shortages since before last year's crash.  This is nothing new.

They won't be able to confiscate gold this time around.  First of all, the dynamic is different.  We don't have gold certificates, and we certainly don't have any gold or silver coin in circulation.  Also, and most importantly, many Americans who "hoard" gold also "hoard" bullets.  And the hoard the latter specifically to protect the former.  We're not imbeciles!  We read our history.

I am Chumbawamba.

Wed, 10/07/2009 - 11:22 | Link to Comment Harbourcity
Harbourcity's picture

Fort Knox doesn't hold gold, it holds twinkies... hmmm.. twinkies...

 

Wed, 10/07/2009 - 11:27 | Link to Comment koaj
koaj's picture

twinkies are sort of gold colored so that's fine

Wed, 10/07/2009 - 11:57 | Link to Comment glenlloyd
glenlloyd's picture

they did advertise them at one time as golden sponge cake!

Wed, 10/07/2009 - 11:58 | Link to Comment Careless Whisper
Careless Whisper's picture

All the gold is at West Point Military & Gold Bullion Academy.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/West_Point_Mint

 

 

Wed, 10/07/2009 - 11:25 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Wed, 10/07/2009 - 13:16 | Link to Comment chumbawamba
chumbawamba's picture

Just because every other financial instrument in recent memory has been a bubble doesn't mean gold is.  Look at the charts: it's been slowly but steadily rising for the past 8 or so years.  That's not a bubble trajectory.

Anyway, talk of a bubble in gold is nonsense.  Look at the fundamentals.  Anyone who is ignoring the fact that the economy is and has been a hollow shell for the better part of the last 8 years, not to mention the over-stretch of the US in its military douchebaggery that has undermined every facet of confidence that the dollar might have once enjoyed, is an idiot, a fool, a moron, a joke (a sick one at that), a dumb-ass, a dork, a maroon, an imbecile, and a retarded monkey.

I am Chumbawamba.

Wed, 10/07/2009 - 16:15 | Link to Comment hp12c
hp12c's picture

Coincidentally, the price of gold has in the last 8 years tracked our growing debt to GDP ratio pretty well...

Wed, 10/07/2009 - 11:26 | Link to Comment Argos
Argos's picture

But if you go to the U.S. mint website, they say that they are taking orders for the new ultra-high relief St. Gaudens 1 oz. coin.  I don't know if they actually will be making any, but they will take your order.

Wed, 10/07/2009 - 12:46 | Link to Comment docsdoc
docsdoc's picture

I own one - it's beautiful.

Wed, 10/07/2009 - 17:17 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Wed, 10/07/2009 - 11:33 | Link to Comment Project Mayhem
Project Mayhem's picture

I am beginning to wonder if in fact we are once again witnessing stealth backwardation.   This is what Rob Kirby is suggesting, because of premiums offered to settle in cash rather than physical metal.  I think things will become more clear over the next month or two.

 

Regardless, do not waste your money on paper gold!  It's not the same as the real thing.

 

Wed, 10/07/2009 - 11:42 | Link to Comment Cognitive Dissonance
Cognitive Dissonance's picture

Paper gold is the biggest scam since the original Ponzi worked his magic. Don't buy paper gold unless you're looking for paper profits.

In fact, don't ever expect to take physical delivery of gold by redeeming your paper gold in whatever form you're holding. It ain't gonna happen. They'll always find an excuse to hand you printed paper for your gold, not the gold itself.

Bank on it. (Pun intended)

Wed, 10/07/2009 - 12:28 | Link to Comment chumbawamba
chumbawamba's picture

How many people are listening...er, reading?

I keep telling everyone who will listen that things are not only going to get bad but they will be worse than anyone can imagine.  I don't know what that means, but I know I'm right about this.  The meaning will become evident as time passes.

Gold and silver, guns and bullets, garden and family.

I am Chumbawamba.

Wed, 10/07/2009 - 14:35 | Link to Comment Cognitive Dissonance
Cognitive Dissonance's picture

Check, check, check, check, check and double check.

Sadly the guns and bullets will be used to protect myself from those that didn't get while the getting was good.

I remember back in April of 2007 when I was telling people there would be massive bank failures, a 50% drop in the stock market and that would only be the beginning. They looked at me like I was crazy.

Now that the market is "only" down 30%+ after the recent run up, the "experts" who didn't see "it" coming are now telling everyone the coast is clear. And I'm back to telling people to watch out below and once again being told I'm crazy.

The average person simply can't comprehend something they don't wish to acknowledge. You can't see what you're not looking for and don't wish to see. This is why we are lied to. To allow us to believe what we want to believe.

 

Thu, 10/08/2009 - 00:28 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Wed, 10/07/2009 - 11:32 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Wed, 10/07/2009 - 13:17 | Link to Comment chumbawamba
chumbawamba's picture

Oh, snap.

I am Chumbawamba.

Wed, 10/07/2009 - 11:36 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Wed, 10/07/2009 - 11:39 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Wed, 10/07/2009 - 11:42 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Wed, 10/07/2009 - 11:47 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Wed, 10/07/2009 - 13:24 | Link to Comment chumbawamba
chumbawamba's picture

OMG, that's F-en brilliant.

I am Chumbawamba.

Wed, 10/07/2009 - 14:41 | Link to Comment Cognitive Dissonance
Cognitive Dissonance's picture

Beautiful. Coins denominated in quantities of oil.

LOL

Wed, 10/07/2009 - 11:48 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Wed, 10/07/2009 - 11:56 | Link to Comment Bankster T Cubed
Bankster T Cubed's picture

Gold?  What is that?  Is it a REIT?  Can I buy shares?

Wed, 10/07/2009 - 11:56 | Link to Comment glenlloyd
glenlloyd's picture

it's a shortage of the blanks needed by the mint, not a shortage of gold.

Wed, 10/07/2009 - 12:00 | Link to Comment nope-1004
nope-1004's picture

This sounds to me like the gubbermint is simply continuing its policy of currency debasement and stock market insanity.

This is all going according to plan, if you look back over the last few months.  How else to stoke the fire at the NYSE?

Announce Gold demand is too high!  Then stop producing something in demand!

Now that's one for the new age economist to grapple with.

"I'm selling oranges, but because demand is too high I've decided not to".  What a load of crap.  F*&K you, Geithner!

Wed, 10/07/2009 - 12:00 | Link to Comment incalculable captcha
incalculable captcha's picture

Guys, the tone of this article is all wrong. As several lucid people have mentioned before me in this very thread, the US mint is NOT suspending the production of ALL Gold and Silver coins, just "proof and uncirculated" versions. Presumably this is actually meant to BOOST the production of American Eagle bullion coins, which makes perfect sense. But don't let this get in the way of a good gold conspiracy.

Wed, 10/07/2009 - 12:35 | Link to Comment rr_
rr_'s picture

excellent handle, incalculable captcha

Wed, 10/07/2009 - 12:44 | Link to Comment Gunther
Gunther's picture

Captcha,

exactly, they are making the standard coins and stopping the fancy stuff.

But, they do not incease the standard coins either.

The sales volume is published here:

 

http://usmint.gov/mint_programs/american_eagles/index.cfm?action=sales&year=2009

 

Wed, 10/07/2009 - 12:03 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Wed, 10/07/2009 - 13:05 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Wed, 10/07/2009 - 13:26 | Link to Comment chumbawamba
chumbawamba's picture

Yeah, for real.  You douche.

Or should I say, TIM GEITHNER!!!

Anonymous postings from any .gov (or related) domain should be banned.

I am Chumbawamba.

Wed, 10/07/2009 - 12:11 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Wed, 10/07/2009 - 13:27 | Link to Comment chumbawamba
chumbawamba's picture

DEBTOR'S REVOLT!

The time is ripe to default on all your credit cards.

STARVE THE BEAST.

And if you get a traffic ticket, go to court and plead not guilty.  If even a minority of "offenders" did this it would grind the system to a dead halt.

I am Chumbawamba.

Wed, 10/07/2009 - 12:25 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Wed, 10/07/2009 - 12:34 | Link to Comment rr_
rr_'s picture

Toppy headline. Managing perception maybe? Lots of people have lots of gold to sell, I think.

Wed, 10/07/2009 - 12:38 | Link to Comment Gunther
Gunther's picture

 

The US mint has a website showing the sales voulme:
http://usmint.gov/mint_programs/american_eagles/index.cfm?action=sales&year=2009
The other years are there to be found as well.
Around 1998 was a peak in sales, since 2000 the sales are comparatively low.
The LBMA publishes monthly averages of daily sales:
http://www.lbma.org.uk/stats/clearing
The sales volume of LBMA and the US mint peaked August/September 2008 and are trending down since then.
Does nobody else check sales volumes of real metal?
Goldbugs, I am diasppointed.
The Mint in Austria http://www.austrian-mint.at/cms/start.php
produces gold and silver coins in three shifts seven days a week due to the high demand.
http://diepresse.com/home/wirtschaft/economist/504351/index.do (German)

 

Wed, 10/07/2009 - 12:48 | Link to Comment demsco
demsco's picture

Yawn, old story has been going on since last year. Yes, demand is high, but you see the US government an only buy from US gold producers and there aren't that many left. There is no shortage, there is no conspiracy, just a cautious US mint that does not want to over order gold blank at record high gold prices. Seems reasonable to me. Has nothing to do with FDR's executive order, put away the tin foil hat folks.

Wed, 10/07/2009 - 13:05 | Link to Comment Lndmvr
Lndmvr's picture

I think nuministic coins were not subject to confiscation in the 30. Most small holders didn't give their's back anyways. The tax case in NV cleared up the face value issue.

Wed, 10/07/2009 - 13:29 | Link to Comment chumbawamba
chumbawamba's picture

Did that dude win?

I am Chumbawamba.

Wed, 10/07/2009 - 13:53 | Link to Comment SWRichmond
SWRichmond's picture

"it has hit the broad population"

Not even close.  Ask people on the street or in your office what the price of gold is, if they've considered buying any, if they know where any coin shops are, if they know what an American Gold Eagle coin is.  Blank stares.  The mania phase is years away, unless we blow up.

Edit: The mania phase of a PM bull is when the MSM talk about the price of gold on the 6 O'Clock news every night, when the water cooler convo is dominated by the office's self-declared investment guru blathering on about his gold juniors, when you personally know the location, hours and spread of each coin shop within 50 miles of your home and often run into people there that you know, and when capitulation has hit the USD.

Then it is time to look for a greater fool.  Not one moment earlier.

Wed, 10/07/2009 - 14:49 | Link to Comment orca
orca's picture

Yeah, and then what? Sell it for what to the next fool? His ugly wife? His shoes?
These discussions are all very funny, but the whole object of buying gold is not selling it for anything, but using it when the need arises (barter). I am long long gold, not enough though, want to get long long LONG gold, all physical, no hedging, no shit. I can't be bothered with today's prices, want/need/demand an enormous move lower to buy more.

Wed, 10/07/2009 - 14:04 | Link to Comment prudentinvestor
Wed, 10/07/2009 - 14:10 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Wed, 10/07/2009 - 14:37 | Link to Comment MyKillK
MyKillK's picture

Your reading comprehension is not very good then

Wed, 10/07/2009 - 14:24 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Wed, 10/07/2009 - 14:33 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Wed, 10/07/2009 - 15:12 | Link to Comment Cognitive Dissonance
Cognitive Dissonance's picture

If you give me Rosie's weight in gold, I'll take Rosie and the gold. Otherwise, you can keep her.

Wed, 10/07/2009 - 16:46 | Link to Comment MyKillK
MyKillK's picture

Today's NYMEX gold chart is very interesting. Any dips down were quickly bought up and even after a big day yesterday and the dollar up today, it still ended in the green.

Wed, 10/07/2009 - 16:48 | Link to Comment genieous
genieous's picture

Could someone kindly send me a link to both 99-185 and 99-61, the pertinent legislation dealing with the production of the gold and silver eagles?

 

Thomas register is NO help....thanks

Wed, 10/07/2009 - 17:12 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Wed, 10/07/2009 - 17:58 | Link to Comment Snoobob
Snoobob's picture

It's been my experience that those that trash gold are just morons who were to dumb not to buy it at $300.00 and are now really pissed off....as for "confiscation" it's a myth and will never happen

Wed, 10/07/2009 - 23:04 | Link to Comment wcvarones
wcvarones's picture

Confiscation could certainly be ordered, but how are they going to find it?  I'll shove it up my ass and take it out of the country.

 

 

 

 

Wed, 10/07/2009 - 18:05 | Link to Comment Snoobob
Snoobob's picture

The US Mint usually halts production in the first week of December not first week of  October I assume  they having problems with getting blanks as was the case in January and Febuary would not discount they missed calculating the increased demand ...again!

Wed, 10/07/2009 - 22:46 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Wed, 10/07/2009 - 23:01 | Link to Comment wcvarones
wcvarones's picture

Mint is full of bullscheisse. "Nobody can produce blanks," my ass.

http://wcvarones.blogspot.com/2009/10/gold-gone-wild.html

Wed, 10/07/2009 - 23:09 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Wed, 10/07/2009 - 23:41 | Link to Comment time123
time123's picture

Looks like gold has become respectable again and people are flocking into it. While the dollar moves lower, it will be OK. But when the dollar turns, I believe gold may have a hard time moving higher, and will likely fall.

admin

Trading signals: http://invetrics.com

Thu, 10/08/2009 - 01:00 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Thu, 10/08/2009 - 02:19 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Thu, 10/08/2009 - 02:38 | Link to Comment Anonymous
Thu, 10/08/2009 - 09:15 | Link to Comment Bron Suchecki
Bron Suchecki's picture

There is no problem with getting raw gold. It is blank manufacturing that is the problem, and it is a significant bottleneck for the minting industry as a whole.

Blank manufacturing involves melting, casting, rolling, cutting out of the blanks (blanking), annealing and various surface treatment processes. It is a far more involved and “messy” process than minting. There may be enough presses in the world to stamp out gold coins there is simply not enough gold blank manufacturing capacity in the world to meet the current demand levels. So why not convert existing base metal blank manufacturing to gold?

Mass base metal blank manufacturing deals in metals that are significantly less value that the face value of the coin. As a result, the process is optimised for speed, not quality or security: if a blank is no good, throw it away; weight control tolerances are lax (do you care if your copper coin has slightly more or less copper in it?); metal evaporating when it is melted is not recovered and so on. You cannot allow any of these things with gold, due to its high cost. To convert base metal blank manufacturing you would have to install weight control machines, scrubbers to collect evaporated gold, lock down the building and install greater physical security, etc. These are major changes and without them the cost of production of a gold coin would be very high.

Mints will only invest capital in precious metal production facilities if they believe that the current demand for gold coins will continue for a number of years, otherwise they will not recover their investment. The hesitancy of mints to gear up is because the cost of a modern full precious metal coin production line is high.

What sort of investment is required? One Grabener coin press (the most commonly used one) is circa $1 million. That is just for the press, for blank manufacture you need melting furnaces, breakdown mills, pickling plants, weighing machines, scrubbers, vacuum furnances etc etc. If you look at the last Perth Mint annual report (which is almost exclusively a precious metals mint), you will see that on page 24 the cost of plant and equipment (pre depreciation) is AUD 22 million. That equipment supported only 8.1 million blanks and an 8% share of the world gold bullion coin market. And we haven’t even begun to consider working capital requirements cover cash costs and work-in-progress inventory.

One can see that to meet mass market demand for real (gold) money many times the Perth Mint’s capacity would be required across the minting industry (public and/or private). Thus a substantial amount of dollar investment is required.

I think, as a general statement, that we cannot expect Government mints to make the sort of decisive and entrepreneurial decision required to invest to meet future demand; to take the gamble that retail coin demand will continue. This sort of high risk/high return is not in their bureaucratic nature. For those of a conspiracy bent, this is an academic question anyway as the mints have been told by their masters to make as few gold coins as (plausibly) possible.

This then leaves us relying on private mints to meet the demand. But in these markets where will they get the funding from?

The conclusion is that we can expect coin shortages (and high premiums) when retail demand for gold is high. In some sense this is necessary, as it is an economic signal to minters to encourage them to invest to make these extraordinary profits. But will this signal work in the current environment?

The key is belief by minters (government or private) in sustainable demand (see this blog for a discussion on the types of issues involved). While you may consider the unprecedented demand that has occurred as a clear signal, the minters obviously do not as they rationed supply instead of increasing it last time we had increased interest in physical gold.

This step by the US mint, while it is only referring to uncirculated and proof coins, not true investment bullion, indicates that the industry will ration again if retail physical demand for coins increases and remains high.

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