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US Trade Deficit Deteriorates As US Import Price Index Surges By Most Since June 2009

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Another month, and another confirmation that the US export segment is non-existent. In February the US posted a $45.8 billion trade deficit compared to $47 billion in January, but worse than expectations of $44 billion. Importing our way to prosperity and #Winning_the_Future continues. Comparing the Chinese reported trade surplus with the US and the US reported trade deficit with China we get just a 100%+ difference: $7.8 billion versus $18.8 billion. Gotta love two administrations that just make up numbers trying to reconcile their fraud. This number also means that Q1 GDP will see another major revision lower. And so will Q2, Q3 and so forth, leading to QE3. And while we are at it, let's just make it stagflation: the US import price index surged from 1.4% to 2.7% on expectations of 2.1%: the largest rise since June 2009.

From the report:

Goods and Services

  • Exports decreased to $165.1 billion in February from $167.5
    billion in January. Goods were $118.0 billion in February, down from
    $120.4 billion in January, and services were $47.2 billion in
    February, up from $47.1 billion in January.
  • Imports decreased to $210.9 billion in February from
    $214.5 billion in January. Goods were $177.3 billion in February,
    down from $180.7 billion in January, and services were $33.6 billion in
    February, down from $33.8 billion in January.
  • For goods, the deficit was $59.3 billion in February, down
    from $60.3 billion in January. For services, the surplus was $13.6
    billion, up from $13.3 billion in January.

Goods by Category (Census basis)

  • The January to February decrease in exports of goods
    reflected decreases in automotive vehicles, parts, and engines ($1.0
    billion); industrial supplies and materials ($0.6 billion); other
    goods ($0.5 billion); capital goods ($0.3 billion); consumer goods ($0.2
    billion); and foods, feeds, and beverages ($0.2 billion).
  • The January to February decrease in imports of goods
    reflected decreases in automotive vehicles, parts and engines ($2.3
    billion); capital goods ($2.1 billion); industrial supplies and
    materials ($1.4 billion); and other goods ($0.1 billion). Increases
    occurred in consumer goods ($2.3 billion) and foods, feeds, and
    beverages ($0.1 billion).

Services by Category

  • Exports of services were virtually unchanged from January to
    February. An increase in other private services ($0.1 billion), which
    includes items such as business, professional, and technical services,
    insurance services, and financial services, was partly offset by a
    decrease in other transportation ($0.1 billion), which includes freight
    and port services. Changes in the other categories of services exports
    were small.
  • The January to February decrease in imports of services was
    more than accounted for by decreases in other transportation ($0.2
    billion) and travel ($0.1 billion). An increase in other private
    services ($0.1 billion) was partly offsetting. Changes in the other
    categories of services imports were small.

Goods by Geographic Area (Not Seasonally Adjusted)

  • The goods deficit with China decreased from $23.3 billion in
    January to $18.8 billion in February. Exports increased $0.4 billion
    (primarily passenger cars, soybeans, and steelmaking materials) to $8.4
    billion, while imports decreased $4.1 billion (primarily computers and
    accessories; toys, games, and sporting goods; and electric apparatus) to
    $27.3 billion.
  • The goods deficit with the European Union increased from
    $5.6 billion in January to $6.9 billion in February. Exports decreased
    $0.3 billion (primarily nonmonetary gold; soybeans; and artwork,
    antiques and stamps) to $20.0 billion, while imports increased $1.1
    billion (primarily pharmaceutical preparations, civilian aircraft, and
    household goods) to $26.9 billion.
  • The goods deficit with the Japan increased from $5.0
    billion in January to $5.2 billion in February. Exports increased $0.3
    billion (primarily metallurgical grade coal; civilian aircraft, engines,
    equipment, and parts; and corn) to $5.3 billion, while imports
    increased $0.6 billion (primarily automotive parts and accessories,
    computer accessories, and motorcycles and parts) to $10.5 billion.

Full report

 

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Tue, 04/12/2011 - 08:48 | 1161117 aVian
aVian's picture

dollar just took a huge dump...hope you folks bought the silver dip

Tue, 04/12/2011 - 08:54 | 1161138 cossack55
cossack55's picture

So how much of the $73 billion that Billy had in his pocket just disappeared?

Tue, 04/12/2011 - 09:02 | 1161177 Larry Darrell
Larry Darrell's picture

So, how far underwater (already) is yesterday afternoon's $1 million dollar bet against silver?

Tue, 04/12/2011 - 10:14 | 1161393 Weisbrot
Weisbrot's picture

as of 10:10am in NY it seems just fine

Tue, 04/12/2011 - 08:49 | 1161119 oogs66
oogs66's picture

I'm sure the Fed speakers won't let pesky details like facts stop them from explaining how there is no inflation.

Tue, 04/12/2011 - 09:26 | 1161255 Translational Lift
Translational Lift's picture

Just wait until all that GREEN manufacturing kicks in..................

Bunch of dumbfucks.................

Tue, 04/12/2011 - 08:47 | 1161121 alien-IQ
alien-IQ's picture

and the $DXY goes spelunking to new lows....

Tue, 04/12/2011 - 08:52 | 1161139 topcallingtroll
topcallingtroll's picture

Yeah i was.hoping for just a couple of weeks of strength

Tue, 04/12/2011 - 08:49 | 1161122 franzpick
franzpick's picture

US exports of empty containers at record high.

Tue, 04/12/2011 - 09:04 | 1161174 Thorlyx
Thorlyx's picture

At least something.

Tue, 04/12/2011 - 08:51 | 1161123 John Law Lives
John Law Lives's picture

The US has run a net trade deficit in total goods + services (combined) every single month since January of 1992:

http://www.bea.gov/international/#trade

Every single month with no exceptions.

Free Trade = Yet another brilliant idea brought to you by the elites

 

Tue, 04/12/2011 - 09:00 | 1161145 IBelieveInMagic
IBelieveInMagic's picture

Isn't it by design? Isn't the plan to contribute little and take out a lot from global trade? For example, till recently our town schools would leave lights on in all rooms all-night, (school lights blazing away, a real shining beacon on the hill) -- tells you what we think of the "real" cost of energy!

Tue, 04/12/2011 - 09:06 | 1161181 John Law Lives
John Law Lives's picture

Exporting jobs along with our manufacturing base is a bad design.

Tue, 04/12/2011 - 09:22 | 1161236 IBelieveInMagic
IBelieveInMagic's picture

In my view, it was net gain to our economy but led to severe undervaluing of real resources and to severe misuse of these resources. Now those resources are gone, we are faced with bleaker future earlier than if we had judiciously used those resources -- but the reasoning our strategic thinkers in power have probably applied is that if we don't consume it, someone would -- so might as well consume it.  

Tue, 04/12/2011 - 09:36 | 1161276 John Law Lives
John Law Lives's picture

<<<  In my view, it was net gain to our economy  >>>

In your opinion, a cumulative $6+ Trillion trade deficit over the past 19 years was a net gain to our economy?

You must really believe in magic... and the Tooth Fairy... and Santa...

Tue, 04/12/2011 - 09:37 | 1161284 IBelieveInMagic
IBelieveInMagic's picture

It's just paper for "real" stuff! I will take real stuff any day over paper that our magic banker can create at will.

Tue, 04/12/2011 - 10:11 | 1161381 John Law Lives
John Law Lives's picture

I suppose the 3+ million manufacturing jobs that left America don't matter...

Tue, 04/12/2011 - 11:22 | 1161661 IBelieveInMagic
IBelieveInMagic's picture

You win some, you lose some. They get 99 weeks and SNAP for life! But, gas is relatively cheap (compared to the rest of the world) for most of us to tool around in our F150s!

Tue, 04/12/2011 - 11:46 | 1161761 John Law Lives
John Law Lives's picture

Strange line of reasoning...

Perpetual monthly trade deficits in the tens of billions per month will bleed America.

Tue, 04/12/2011 - 12:07 | 1161819 IBelieveInMagic
IBelieveInMagic's picture

Now I see the flaw in your reasoning -- you are worried about the future. But the system is saying "Don't worry, be happy" - live for the day, consume. GWB said it, Obama is urging us to do as well -- our role in world trade is to be good consumers! Who can see into the future and wonder what will happen if and when we run out of essential resources. The USD is allowing us to enjoy the here and now, so enjoy!

Tue, 04/12/2011 - 12:25 | 1161905 John Law Lives
John Law Lives's picture

GWB and Obama are clueless, and neither were qualified to be POTUS (imo).  I hope America can find a leader, though my expectations are low because the two-party system has a stranglehold on the process.  I believe Ron Paul is competent and has integrity, but I am equally sure he has zero chance of being POTUS.

Tue, 04/12/2011 - 08:51 | 1161124 overmedicatedun...
overmedicatedundersexed's picture

japan will save our economy..exports of food and lead clothes will soar.along with citi opening new branches to finance construction with 0 down loans.

Tue, 04/12/2011 - 08:49 | 1161127 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

Like in England, you can only raise prices so much on broke unemployed people before sales drop off, just Hood Econ 101.

Tue, 04/12/2011 - 08:52 | 1161137 Sudden Debt
Sudden Debt's picture

You're never to broke.

I'll give you one ounce of silver for your kidney!

I want to cook something special for my dog.

 

 

Tue, 04/12/2011 - 09:09 | 1161200 Trying to Understand
Trying to Understand's picture

You were junked!!  How short sighted!!  My nephew, father of 3, has been on and off 'the dole' since 2008.  In sheer desparation he recently sold a testicle.

Tue, 04/12/2011 - 09:17 | 1161223 Sudden Debt
Sudden Debt's picture

who buys that?

Is that even legal?

 

Tue, 04/12/2011 - 21:36 | 1163759 StychoKiller
StychoKiller's picture

Why not both?  Is he planning on having more children he will struggle to feed in the future??

Tue, 04/12/2011 - 09:07 | 1161185 Larry Darrell
Larry Darrell's picture

Hood Econ 101

 

The frightening thing is sales dropping is only the first hit to the bottom line.

When the people start robbing / stealing / and committing property damage the profitability looks even worse.

Tue, 04/12/2011 - 09:27 | 1161252 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

YEA when the neighborhood economy revolves around who's got the most ammo, then its real interesting times!

Tue, 04/12/2011 - 08:49 | 1161128 Sudden Debt
Sudden Debt's picture

So the US deficit grows constantly...

The trade deficit grows constantly...

Inflation grows constantly...

 

I CALL THOSE GREEN SHOOTS!!!

 

You fill a QE canon with 100$ bills and blast a canon ball from the canon. Whatever money makes it in 1 piece get's to go to the real economy and produce GREEN SHOOTS!!!

SAINT-BERNANKE RULES!!

 

Tue, 04/12/2011 - 08:52 | 1161130 gordengeko
gordengeko's picture

The shitty part is that the goal is the destruction of the dollar and the US to remove it as the global reserve currency and institute a new global regime (financially, think British Empire), so for the good americans that actually give a shit that know this are shorting and hedging against the US because they have to if they want to protect their future further exacerbating the problem.  While the majority that are asleep have no idea what the fuck is going on. 

Tue, 04/12/2011 - 08:56 | 1161144 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

Thats right, and it appears theyre pretty close to go-time.

Tue, 04/12/2011 - 09:03 | 1161178 gordengeko
gordengeko's picture

Actually should have said, to protect their FALSE sense of security because it will not be a good thing.

Tue, 04/12/2011 - 08:51 | 1161131 spartan117
spartan117's picture

We need to export some more of those Chevy Cruzes!

Tue, 04/12/2011 - 08:56 | 1161152 willien1derland
willien1derland's picture

LOL +100 - with the 'detachable' steering wheel feature at NO extra charge

Tue, 04/12/2011 - 09:09 | 1161201 Larry Darrell
Larry Darrell's picture

The fucking asshat on our local "news" radio station mentioned this story this morning.........and then he ended it by saying (paraphrased, but I shit you not he actually said)

"Not to worry though if you own a new Cruze.  This problem was only with 1 car in which the incorrect steering wheel was put on at first"

He made NO MENTION of the fact that they KNOW FOR A FACT that there were a couple of thousand where the steering wheels were swapped in this manner as reported here on ZH yesterday.

Tue, 04/12/2011 - 09:13 | 1161215 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

Sick. Even local reporters are in the Gestapo now, carrying the water for Der Furher.

Tue, 04/12/2011 - 09:22 | 1161235 overmedicatedun...
overmedicatedundersexed's picture

Near the end of the segment, Burnett remarked that the United States is "...a very wealthy country. If you look at our assets, we could pay down the debt tomorrow. We choose to borrow because we can borrow at incredibly low interest rates." By "assets," Burnett seemed to be referring to the income of all Americans (unless she plans to auction off the Statue of Liberty to pay our bills).

so many women in positions that were once held by men ..look how much better things are working..

Tue, 04/12/2011 - 09:25 | 1161244 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

Whaaaaaaaaaaaa?

Tue, 04/12/2011 - 08:52 | 1161132 topcallingtroll
topcallingtroll's picture

The usa becoming more export oriented will require getting rid of socialist type regulations and redistribution policies which increase cost of capital and decrease incentive to work.

Tue, 04/12/2011 - 08:52 | 1161136 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

WTF do we 'export' except debt and jobs? We dont even manufacture underwear here anymore.

Tue, 04/12/2011 - 08:55 | 1161140 the not so migh...
the not so mighty maximiza's picture

Any policy that encourages laziness should be outlawed, any one proposing such policies should be arrested.

Tue, 04/12/2011 - 08:53 | 1161133 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

Gold and silver have regained all their drop off and then some, USD 74.6, DOW down 60...enjoy.

Tue, 04/12/2011 - 08:58 | 1161149 overmedicatedun...
overmedicatedundersexed's picture

fwiw: large movement of tank units to Afgan in next 12 months..will it be Iran or Paki that gets nailed or both??

this from one who got his orders to get ready ..

Obuma the man of peace..gotta laugh at the sick fuc* in the white house.

Tue, 04/12/2011 - 08:59 | 1161156 the not so migh...
the not so mighty maximiza's picture

he is a sick f**K

Tue, 04/12/2011 - 09:00 | 1161159 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

Bigger war monger than Hitler in my opinion.

Tue, 04/12/2011 - 09:15 | 1161212 Alcoholic Nativ...
Alcoholic Native American's picture

Fort Benning just built a whole new tank division. Are they really shipping those things?

Tue, 04/12/2011 - 10:06 | 1161365 Coast Watcher
Coast Watcher's picture

"will it be Iran or Paki that gets nailed or both??"

 

Just in time for the (presidential) campaign season. "You gotta reelect me, I'm a waaaaarrrrr president."

Tue, 04/12/2011 - 10:26 | 1161444 overmedicatedun...
overmedicatedundersexed's picture

if congress lets this illegal president start another war or expand it yet again they should all be hung on lamp posts how much more blood and treasure will they spill??

tank units into afgan makes no sense unless you are planning something much larger ten years of this war and no rioting in the streets the left has gone awol.

Tue, 04/12/2011 - 10:39 | 1161493 Printfaster
Printfaster's picture

tank units into afgan makes no sense

Unless you think Pakistan will become unhinged.  Frankly, I would have thought that the rough types in Pak would have set off a few firecrackers just to see what they would do.

 

Tue, 04/12/2011 - 08:53 | 1161141 willien1derland
willien1derland's picture

I want to hear/read the Federal Reserve PhDs explain how food & energy prices are increasing by double digits versus the pathetic CPI calculation - nope, only MODEST inflation here - sarcasm off

Tue, 04/12/2011 - 08:58 | 1161154 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

Like England we'll also run into the brick wall where sales drop off the cliff, because people are simply broke. Only sales #'s will be shoppers maxing out their gubment SNAP cards. Reported yesterday that gas prices are already being met with lowered demand. And its not even 'driving season' yet, where apparently bankrupt americans drive about here and there.

Tue, 04/12/2011 - 09:38 | 1161283 Horatio Beanblower
Horatio Beanblower's picture

"2011 Hunger Champions Award Nominations Open" - http://www.fns.usda.gov/snap/outreach/coalition/2011_hunger_champions.htm

 

Everyone loves a winner?

Tue, 04/12/2011 - 08:56 | 1161148 TexDenim
TexDenim's picture

How can this be a surprise to the markets? It's the "WalMart Effect" -- cheap consumer goods in return for a balloon payment to China that the U.S. cannot meet.

Tue, 04/12/2011 - 08:56 | 1161155 A Man without Q...
A Man without Qualities's picture

re the difference in trade deficit with China, the answer may lie in those corporations that transfer goods via tax shelters, so the export value recognized out of the US is lower than paid by China at the other.  The difference will sit on overseas profits that the corporations want a tax holiday for.

Tue, 04/12/2011 - 09:00 | 1161157 THE DORK OF CORK
THE DORK OF CORK's picture

Trade deficit ? Ireland has the largest trade surplus on record and also the largest depression since the famine.

During the famine we  exported our food , seems we are slow learners.

Large trade surplus nations are colonies .

And yes Germany is a colony - its the Bundesbank's Bitch.

The FED is engaging in a nationalistic policey - like it or not.

The problem with your deficit is that you blow it all on mindless consumption.

Tue, 04/12/2011 - 08:59 | 1161158 THE DORK OF CORK
THE DORK OF CORK's picture

Double Post

Tue, 04/12/2011 - 09:02 | 1161169 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

People cant consume much when theyre broke. The money printing and 'wealth effect' are for Wall St bankers only, the people have never been so broke.

How high can you raise prices on someone with no money? Not very.

Tue, 04/12/2011 - 09:10 | 1161207 THE DORK OF CORK
THE DORK OF CORK's picture

I never said consumption in the US was not shall we say unbalanced but there is too much personal consumption in the US on Aggregate.

Capital formation is a different matter however.

The nationalistic petrodollar regeime has concentrated consumption in New York and other financial centres but that petrodollar does come home to America.

Tue, 04/12/2011 - 09:21 | 1161233 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

I agree and most of the 'consumption' is due to govt handout SNAP cards, 43 million americans would not be eating today if not for that.

Tue, 04/12/2011 - 09:42 | 1161297 THE DORK OF CORK
THE DORK OF CORK's picture

America has a great landmass - stuffed with food growing potential - Food is not a problem.

Reducing oil dependence is however a different matter - there can be huge efficiencies here given the inherent waste withen the system.

And capital expenditure here is sadly weak while increasing tax on gasoline seems almost sacrilegious.

Tue, 04/12/2011 - 09:01 | 1161164 buzzsaw99
buzzsaw99's picture

WINNING!!

Tue, 04/12/2011 - 09:00 | 1161170 Cdad
Cdad's picture

Yeah, not sure I would bite on ANY premarket pricing today...not on anything.  Price discovery suicide...that is what is going on this morning.  RSI on certain things going all infinity-like.  If someone could just run a hose into the room next to where Duncan Niederauer takes his afternoon crap...maybe we could turn things back in the direction of normal again.  Thanks criminal syndicate Wall Street banker fuckwads...love ya.

I suspect almost everything will break down today by the close.  There isn't a market anywhere as far as the eye can see.

Tue, 04/12/2011 - 09:08 | 1161187 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

Alas, prices can only go so high in a bankrupt nation. 

For those calling for $7+ gasoline...already at $4 youre seeing the strangulation effect with demand ropping off the cliff.

Same will be for calls for food to shoot up...go ahead and charge $10 for a loaf of bread, we'll see how many of em you sell to BK americans.

Tue, 04/12/2011 - 09:07 | 1161191 John Law Lives
John Law Lives's picture

Real "price discovery" does not exist in this FUBAR market.

100% Ponzi market

Tue, 04/12/2011 - 09:13 | 1161213 dogismyth
dogismyth's picture

I'd agree with that Cdad!  Pretty sickening how this market continues on without correlations or reason.  Another reason why we should be creating some civil unrest for our so-called leaders.

Amazing that oil is down this morning.  Why would that be?  Libya event is ratcheting up, dollar is down....yet crude decides to do the swan dive at the command of GS and other primary dealers.  Its a farce.  What amazes me is the ever strong allegiance to elliott wave counting and the never-ending failure to get anything right.  I think EWI probably takes the cake in that department.

Tue, 04/12/2011 - 09:07 | 1161186 THE DORK OF CORK
THE DORK OF CORK's picture

Fuck exports - building internal capital is what the goal should be.

Why would you want to export into such a absurdly mutated global trade nightmare ? 

Tue, 04/12/2011 - 09:18 | 1161220 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

This is what new world order insanity looks like, the 3rd Reich was a walk in the park in spring by comparison.

Tue, 04/12/2011 - 09:08 | 1161188 John McCloy
John McCloy's picture

I like hope QE lite and QE expectations were front run and began to be baked into once Jackson Hole was over yet no apparent need to front run QE ending?
Double standard = rigged in my book

Tue, 04/12/2011 - 09:12 | 1161204 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

Its not even like past monetization examples like Germany and Zimbabwe, at least in those cases the people had the money to fill their wheelbarrows with.

In USA great monetization excercize, the money only goes to Wall St bankers.

Tue, 04/12/2011 - 09:21 | 1161232 Thorlyx
Thorlyx's picture

"In USA great monetization excercize, the money only goes to Wall St bankers."

If you'd be a banker, you'd find that quite smart actually....

 

Tue, 04/12/2011 - 09:23 | 1161241 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

OH well Im sure if I was a criminal Wall St bankster, I'd highly agree with Bernanke handing me billions of dollars daily free of charge to go purchase stocks I was told to buy with it.

Tue, 04/12/2011 - 09:07 | 1161192 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

Hey wheres Robo this morning to throw up some more GLD SLV charts? Huh, must be his day off.

Tue, 04/12/2011 - 09:15 | 1161218 dogismyth
dogismyth's picture

here's one!  And if history is any indication....silver should be a good short soon!!

 

http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=$SILVER&p=W&yr=16&mn=11&dy=12&id=p15808085129&a=221446383&r=3322&cmd=print

Tue, 04/12/2011 - 09:20 | 1161226 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

Well now PM's have to mark to currency drop or its just like equities, loss in purchasing power.

Tue, 04/12/2011 - 09:28 | 1161262 Cdad
Cdad's picture

dogi,

I think you can short ALMOST anything today....minus the VIX or the US dollar.  Unwind day...in the room next to where Duncan Niederauer takes his afternoon dump, the room where Duncan helped the criminal syndicate front run the entire world.

Sweet!  Market?  What market?

Tue, 04/12/2011 - 09:46 | 1161298 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

I think the BS has about run its course for the 'all is well' brigades! Things are lookin ugly, rumors of wars...WTF now we're charging into Iran? Follow Israels orders as usual.

Tue, 04/12/2011 - 10:49 | 1161539 AldoHux_IV
AldoHux_IV's picture

All those fucking retards that were touting that a weak dollar was good for our trade deficit and that we'd see an exporting/manufacturing renaissance should be branded as idiots and banned from speaking their nonsense to the public-- I think that idiot Obama once was saying the same thing which proves he doesn't know shit about shit and only takes orders from the banking cartel that is responsible for the social class genocide.  What a dumb worthless piece of shit.

Tue, 04/12/2011 - 12:23 | 1161887 ebworthen
ebworthen's picture

Hey, what the world needs is more soda pop - more cola - more game console software - more CA porn - more reality T.V. shows - more obtuse financial products to defraud pensioners and savers overseas. 

Do you realize how cheap this makes MBS's for Detroit real estate and bond issues for sewers in LA? 

The Detroit Symphony just came off strike and had to suffer the indignity of accepting an $80,000 a year minimum salary with fully paid health insurance.  Oh the humanity!

Tue, 04/12/2011 - 13:34 | 1162182 DR
DR's picture

Weak dollar not working....time to cut wages/benefits to be competitive in world markets. Isn't that the plan?

Yes...

Tue, 04/12/2011 - 12:02 | 1161821 ebworthen
ebworthen's picture

I have a suspicion they don't mind crushing the dollar as it makes exports cheaper, shrinks the debt (shadow inflation), AND makes it that much harder for a citizen to expatriate and take their money elsewhere.

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