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USDCHF In Free Fall, Approaches Parity As Hungary Cries Uncle, The Global QE Monster Stirs, And LBMA Provisionally Nukes Gold

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Another ridiculous market reaction following the ADP read today, when the AUDJPY initially dropped, only to see every deranged Japanese housewife, and anyone else with an FX account plough into it taking full advantage of 50x+ leverage to spook remaining weak short hands out. The catalyst: good news is good news, bad news is better news, as, just like Bank of America which just threw in the towel (more in a post momentarily), any incremental economic snapshot now means either more QE by the Fed or more QE by the Fed (and other CBs). We are back to the regime where dollar weakness is good for risk (especially beta>5.0 risk, meaning all the empty chatterboxes whose only strategy is to lever up on beta and pray will be out in full force on CNBC today). Incidentally, just as we expected, and right on cue, the Hungarian central bank said that the surging CHF poses "risks from the aspect of Hungarian economy's growth prospects, and that the weakening HUFCHF is causing higher than expected loan losses in bank sector." Define zero sum.

Of course, all this means is that fundamentals are pushed even further into the background, as the only thing that matters is which global bank can print bigger, faster, more. To wit: the USDCHF just cut through the bidside like butter, reaching the lowest levels seen since December 2009. So yes - 24 hours in which the US can gloat, then everyone will move from one side of the boat to the other, as the SNB finally says enough. Obviously, that will also be a risk positive, as yet another bank joins the debasement parade.

And yes, all those expecting this latest round of imminent central bank intervention (which is the only thing that matters anymore) to push gold lower, feel free to wait. Which is precisely why the LBMA decided to throw a gentle little intervention party 5 minutes ago in which it took away the entire bid side in gold. Enjoy the chart below of a perfectly and orderly JPM take down.

 

 

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Wed, 09/01/2010 - 08:58 | 557283 VK
VK's picture

Freefall bitchez!

Wed, 09/01/2010 - 11:03 | 557414 hedgeless_horseman
hedgeless_horseman's picture

Which is precisely why the LBMA decided to throw a gentle little intervention party 5 minutes ago in which it took away the entire bid side in gold. Enjoy the chart below of a perfectly and orderly JPM take down.

AYB(ids)ABTU. 

 

Wed, 09/01/2010 - 09:02 | 557287 bullet
bullet's picture

I do not know how you top yesterdays market shitshow comment.. but todays market action seems to be begging for something more..

Wed, 09/01/2010 - 09:07 | 557291 SWRichmond
SWRichmond's picture

FXF, bitches (one of my currency hedges)

Wed, 09/01/2010 - 09:06 | 557292 Goldenballs
Goldenballs's picture

Makes you wonder how long things can last at this rate,its like trying to shore up a boat with a 100 leaks sooner or later ones gonna get you.

Wed, 09/01/2010 - 09:08 | 557297 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

Yea and the leak repair crew have settled on shooting more holes in the hull as the sure fix. Logic being that if theres only enough holes in the boat, the water wont be able to figure out how to get in!

Wed, 09/01/2010 - 09:30 | 557360 flacon
flacon's picture

hahahah! Won't figure out how to get in! 

Wed, 09/01/2010 - 09:10 | 557303 SWRichmond
SWRichmond's picture

yup.  Once the decision is made to "manage" the economy, ever-greater levels of "management" become necessary until the entire economy is nothing more than a facade of happy-looking indicators backed by no meaningful productive activity of any kind.  The Fed now stands astride the entire Western economy, and I am merely waiting for the inevitable.

Wed, 09/01/2010 - 09:23 | 557338 MsCreant
MsCreant's picture

For the economy to "Buck" the Fed?

Wed, 09/01/2010 - 09:40 | 557376 SWRichmond
SWRichmond's picture

Yes; it must happen, absent some kind of martial law.  The Fed has trapped itself.

Wed, 09/01/2010 - 10:35 | 557516 MachoMan
MachoMan's picture

We trapped ourselves.  The FED was just our drug.  It was destined for failure from the start.  A machine of pure misery certain to enslave all who cross its path unless super human diligence and dedication are used to manage it.  All these "experiments" end the same way...

Wed, 09/01/2010 - 10:50 | 557549 DosZap
DosZap's picture

Yes,

Eat ,Drink, and be merry, for tommorrow we die!!!!!!!.

Said the Fed..........

Still waiting for the US Military Joint Chiefs to take over before we have a major War, the people are not going to like the end to this pisha show.

When the SHTF at the Last Dance, you will not want to be at that dance.

Fk Martial Law, our men in uniform do not want to be a part of that bloodfest.

Civil Wars are Fugly.

Wed, 09/01/2010 - 09:49 | 557386 Vergeltung
Vergeltung's picture

well said SWR

Wed, 09/01/2010 - 11:31 | 557663 aerojet
aerojet's picture

Yup, that was pretty much my appraisal of the situation.  We have backed into a Soviet-style misallocation of resources by "accident."  Central planning by another name is still just central planning.

Wed, 09/01/2010 - 09:58 | 557408 Sancho Ponzi
Sancho Ponzi's picture

They'll fill the hull with pallets of freshly printed FRN's. Paper floats, don't you know.

Wed, 09/01/2010 - 12:47 | 557848 patience...
patience...'s picture

For awhile, them it begins to smell bad and down it goes.

Wed, 09/01/2010 - 09:06 | 557294 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

Utter insanity! Im going to wear my helmet around the streets today in case of any free-falling carbon based traders.

Wed, 09/01/2010 - 09:09 | 557298 zaknick
zaknick's picture

Die, motherfucker, die.

Wed, 09/01/2010 - 09:10 | 557300 Ivanovich
Ivanovich's picture

Nukes gold?  It went down $5?

 

Or is gold allowed to do nothing but go up in a straight line?

Wed, 09/01/2010 - 09:14 | 557313 tmosley
tmosley's picture

Down $5 in a few seconds.  It's the few seconds that is the problem.

Wed, 09/01/2010 - 09:16 | 557318 Ivanovich
Ivanovich's picture

Still not sure I can call that a "nuke".  If $5 is the best the manipulation can acheive these days, I sure am glad I'm long.

Wed, 09/01/2010 - 10:06 | 557424 hedgeless_horseman
hedgeless_horseman's picture
Gold Price Change due to Weakening of US Dollar +12.30
  Gold Price Change due to Predominant Selling -13.30
 
Gold Price: Total Change -1.00
Wed, 09/01/2010 - 09:16 | 557321 N Rothschild
N Rothschild's picture

14 mins by my count..

Wed, 09/01/2010 - 09:24 | 557340 firstdivision
firstdivision's picture

You need to learn to count.  It is 7  min.

Wed, 09/01/2010 - 09:55 | 557402 Turd Ferguson
Turd Ferguson's picture

Yes, it's the old "overwhelm the bid" takedown strategy. Obvious to see but, yes, a $5 move is smalltime compared to what they are capable of.

Kind of like they're testing the waters. Let's see how gold responds between now and 11:00. I smell a larger beatdown coming. An attempt to jam it back under 1240.

Wed, 09/01/2010 - 10:06 | 557430 tmosley
tmosley's picture

You are looking to be correct there.

Wed, 09/01/2010 - 10:21 | 557477 Thomas
Thomas's picture

Gold and silver eagles show up at the local coin shop, I buy them with cash. This has gone on week after week, month after month, year after year since 1999. What's not to like?

Wed, 09/01/2010 - 11:57 | 557610 Turd Ferguson
Turd Ferguson's picture

Here they come, marchin down the street, gettin funny looks from, everyone they meet...

Hey hey its The Evil Empire. About to take the gold market down. Nothin we can do about it. Just makes The Turdman frown.

Its 11:10. Gold takedown on cue. 1242.

Its now 11:55. Very nice dip buying. 1248. Maybe the EE can't pull it off today.

Wed, 09/01/2010 - 15:22 | 558190 lemonobrien
lemonobrien's picture

The problem is, it's a rigged game; they pop gold, tell everyone to buy, then take profit; same as stocks; think about it, if the money dries up from mom/pop/401k stocks, get it from the gold-bugs and doom and gloomers. think about it; are you being sold? Look at the charts, gold went up immediately yesterday in the morning, now it falls just as fast,while you see media after media telling you about gold. Look at the price of silver in comparison; silver should be at $70 an ounce if you factored in pure logic, and the amount of silver in the earth versus gold. look at platinum, palladium, etc.

why gold, cause dey fck'n with your bird mind; which likes shinny things. It's like a fashion magazine; which spells pure trouble; like the tech bubble, the housing bubble, etc.

dey gonna drop gold just as soon as they get enough suckers in the net.

Wed, 09/01/2010 - 16:36 | 558371 tmosley
tmosley's picture

The difference is that you can't debase gold.  They can try to paper over it, but that just makes it stronger in the long run.

And I predominantly own silver.

Wed, 09/01/2010 - 16:52 | 558390 lemonobrien
lemonobrien's picture

you debase gold when you can't convert it back to fiat at the same rate you bought it; simple. you can say to the farmer, i'll give you gold for food; but he'll say, "I want a lot of gold, cause I don't want to go through the trouble of converting it to fiat." You debase gold through it's conversion rate; which is psychological, cause gold has no real value, other than look'n pretty. Lets put it this way, when it comes time to convert your gold to something you want/need, you're either gonna get fucked or shot. maybe both.

Wed, 09/01/2010 - 10:52 | 557546 TheJudge2012
TheJudge2012's picture

Key word:  Provisionally.

Meaning serving for a time; a measure taken beforehand.

It's a start before the big takedown.

Wed, 09/01/2010 - 09:10 | 557301 Bigger Dickus
Bigger Dickus's picture

And I heard that in Japan all they do is eat bucake.

Touché, Japanese housewives.

 

Wed, 09/01/2010 - 09:12 | 557306 john_connor
john_connor's picture

I'll give this charade a shelf life of about 7 days, maybe less.

Wed, 09/01/2010 - 09:13 | 557307 EscapeKey
EscapeKey's picture

Woohoo, cheaper gold! I, for one, applaud the JPM and LBMA sponsored subsidisation program.

Wed, 09/01/2010 - 09:19 | 557327 RobotTrader
RobotTrader's picture

Just like 2008.

There is going to ba a massive rotation out of gold and into banking, retail, and semiconductor stocks.

Bonds and gold will probably get blowtorched.

Wed, 09/01/2010 - 09:26 | 557351 taraxias
taraxias's picture

Yeah, yeah, yeah, you and Johnny Bravo have been telling us that gold will get "blowtorched" down to 900 for months now.

The way I see it, the only thing that's been getting blowtorched is your ass betting against gold all these months.

Nothing personal, but stick to posting porn, you're much better at it.

Wed, 09/01/2010 - 09:51 | 557393 Turd Ferguson
Turd Ferguson's picture

+++++

Wed, 09/01/2010 - 15:03 | 558135 Hephasteus
Hephasteus's picture

It won't be long till they start all kinds of crazy talk. Out of weak hands to scare out and shit's getting deperate.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Tmbiji_uP6c

Wed, 09/01/2010 - 09:26 | 557354 Quinvarius
Quinvarius's picture

There was never a massive rotation out of gold into stocks in 2008.  It was a massive rotation out of stocks into gold.  Try comparing a chart of gold and the S&P.  Gold was at all time highs when the DOW was at 6500.

Wed, 09/01/2010 - 09:28 | 557356 Steak
Steak's picture

Bonds getting blowtorched is not a probably if we're talking an early '08 style push higher...it is a necessary condition.  The whipsaw of the past few days in treasuries has been puke inducing, but i do think the trend is for higher yields and higher equities.  dance pump monkeys, dance!!!!!!!

Wed, 09/01/2010 - 09:34 | 557369 Internet Tough Guy
Internet Tough Guy's picture

Heh, Robo tell us again how smart you were selling your yellow rocks a while ago. Maybe you feel a bit blowtorched?

Wed, 09/01/2010 - 14:29 | 558053 Spitzer
Spitzer's picture

yeah, he must work for the IMF.

has anyone calculated the loss on that yet ? 200 tons sold @ $1040 ?

Wed, 09/01/2010 - 16:41 | 558379 tmosley
tmosley's picture

A bit shy of US$1.2 billion, by my count.  That's assuming short tons (2000 lbs in a short ton).  It will be more if they were metric tons (2205 lbs per metric ton).

Wed, 09/01/2010 - 09:35 | 557371 SWRichmond
SWRichmond's picture

There is going to ba a massive rotation out of gold and into banking, retail, and semiconductor stocks.

Because the recovery is going so well?  Because retail is driven by employment, and because that's going so well?  Because everyone is beating a path to the mall to get the latest electronic gadget for back-to-school / beating the rush for Xmas season?  Because the banking business model is so fundamentally sound?

Nice tits.  Got anything else?

Wed, 09/01/2010 - 11:54 | 557715 Steak
Steak's picture

employment, final demand, fundamentals?  lol...what market have you been trading?  if the past two years proves anything it is that a market can rise on the back of a sinking ship.

Wed, 09/01/2010 - 14:32 | 558061 cougar_w
cougar_w's picture

Because the recovery is going so well?

Because of QE2. They are going to throw everything they've got at it. It will be stunning. Everyone has accepted this. Buying opportunity of the century, starts in about 6 weeks.

It won't work in the end, of course, but it will buy time through the elections. QE2 will trail off about '11/Q2 and then the wheels serious come off.

They'll have their 4-more-years in pocket, and a great selling opportunity that they timed themselves, and then it's down the rabbit hole. You fall forever because there is no bottom.

Wed, 09/01/2010 - 10:09 | 557440 trav7777
trav7777's picture

HUH?  There was a fucking rotation into banking stocks in 2008?  Nigga is you crazy?

I made a fortune shorting bank stocks in 2008; you're full of shit.

Wed, 09/01/2010 - 10:41 | 557526 Hephasteus
Hephasteus's picture

Yup just like the double dip during the great recession.

Oh wait it didn't happen like that at all. The first crash they gave up the good money. Gold. The second crash they gave up the bad money stocks and bonds.

Wed, 09/01/2010 - 14:26 | 558049 Spitzer
Spitzer's picture

one of them is wrong and its not gold.

Wed, 09/01/2010 - 15:33 | 558228 lemonobrien
lemonobrien's picture

there is no right or wrong. just is.

Wed, 09/01/2010 - 09:22 | 557333 Mr.Prussian
Mr.Prussian's picture

I think that was an end to end open ice stick pass from the LBMA to Comex, but the refs still miss the icing call.

Wed, 09/01/2010 - 10:12 | 557453 hedgeless_horseman
hedgeless_horseman's picture

The Healthcare Reform Act removed the blue lines and the red line, among other things.

Wed, 09/01/2010 - 09:25 | 557342 Bill Lumbergh
Bill Lumbergh's picture

I figured something would be pulled out of the bag of tricks to push down the price.  This is an interesting video implying the gold in Fort Knox may not be there (no surprise) and not very pure (no surprise again):  http://www.youtube.com/user/bstill3#p/u/7/PDZioD9QfAA

Wed, 09/01/2010 - 09:38 | 557372 flacon
flacon's picture

Is that Bill Still, the guy who thinks tally sticks are a good form of "money" and gold and silver coins are to blame for the demise of Rome? That guy?

Wed, 09/01/2010 - 09:41 | 557379 Bill Lumbergh
Bill Lumbergh's picture

I do not agree with him on everything but I give him credit for his work on the subject of exposing the money changers as always present to turn a profit at others expense.

Wed, 09/01/2010 - 09:25 | 557344 Clayton Bigsby
Clayton Bigsby's picture

Guns, check.  Ammo, check.  Potable water, check.  Food, check.  Large cache of porn, check.  I'm ready, bitchez...

Wed, 09/01/2010 - 09:30 | 557362 ChopChop
ChopChop's picture

You also need gold or virgins to be able to trade in the world we will plunge into. Actually if you have guns...

Wed, 09/01/2010 - 14:35 | 558068 cougar_w
cougar_w's picture

Not. Even. Close.

Wed, 09/01/2010 - 09:27 | 557353 Dollar Bill Hiccup
Dollar Bill Hiccup's picture

Like to see how BRCM screams into this one given the recent carnage ...

Also fun to see how HFs unwind their defensive "I'm a dividend quality investor" strategy to jump back into the rocket ship.

Wed, 09/01/2010 - 09:39 | 557374 Silversinner
Silversinner's picture

Boatprices going down this year as much as 40% while gold is going up.

Sure I can buy a lot more boat with my gold.

Keep my eyes on the big scene and sceme of things.

Just gold going from the weak hands to the strong hands.

 

 

Wed, 09/01/2010 - 09:46 | 557383 ChopChop
ChopChop's picture

It`s POMO day, isn`t it? Looks like everyone was expecting it, "knowing" stocks will go up at 11h00am so they tried to get in before... wait and see

Wed, 09/01/2010 - 09:50 | 557387 Bill Lumbergh
Bill Lumbergh's picture

Yesterday was the 6th Hindenburg Omen observation as well...what this means for the markets will be known in the next couple of months.

Wed, 09/01/2010 - 09:49 | 557389 breezer1
breezer1's picture

screw them all , get physical.

Wed, 09/01/2010 - 14:08 | 558007 Steaming_Wookie_Doo
Steaming_Wookie_Doo's picture

Even Olivia Newton-John is into it:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vWz9VN40nCA

Wed, 09/01/2010 - 09:51 | 557392 Threeggg
Threeggg's picture

Gold assault in progress

Wed, 09/01/2010 - 09:54 | 557396 Goldenballs
Goldenballs's picture

More Black Holes in this system than Space.

Wed, 09/01/2010 - 09:54 | 557399 Tarheel
Tarheel's picture

fuck JPM

Wed, 09/01/2010 - 12:30 | 557401 Goldenballs
Goldenballs's picture

Desperate not to give Gold record highs again,the sheeple will realise that all his far from well and "confidence" will evaporate.

Wed, 09/01/2010 - 10:06 | 557428 Sherman McCoy
Sherman McCoy's picture

Even if Gold were to print new highs, it would be against a momentum divergence. I sold the open on the the PM etfs. Talk about your crowded trades.

Wed, 09/01/2010 - 10:44 | 557533 Bam_Man
Bam_Man's picture

Gold is not "a trade".

Wed, 09/01/2010 - 15:36 | 558242 lemonobrien
lemonobrien's picture

yes it is; fiat to gold back to fiat.

Wed, 09/01/2010 - 10:06 | 557432 Spigot
Spigot's picture

They have computers, I have gold.

End of story!

Wed, 09/01/2010 - 10:12 | 557449 trav7777
trav7777's picture

OMGWTF gold is down a couple of bucks...MANIPULATION!!!

Wed, 09/01/2010 - 11:34 | 557666 RockyRacoon
RockyRacoon's picture

Right.  The stock and bond markets are manipulated, but not gold.

I was wondering, Trav, what information would be acceptable to you to call the PM markets "manipulated"?    That's a genuine question, no snarkiness intended.

Oh, and big news on CNBC (yeah, I see the conflict), APPLE introducing "something" new.  What?  Some new piece of i-Shit?

Wed, 09/01/2010 - 11:35 | 557681 Voodoo-economist
Voodoo-economist's picture

no one said its not "maintained". But to shout manipulation on every sell order is just an absolute joke ...

Wed, 09/01/2010 - 15:05 | 558144 RockyRacoon
RockyRacoon's picture

I didn't ask you.  I wanted Trav's opinion.

Wed, 09/01/2010 - 15:12 | 558161 RockyRacoon
RockyRacoon's picture

.

Wed, 09/01/2010 - 16:44 | 558382 tmosley
tmosley's picture

Ignore the pattern at your own peril.  If you knew about the pattern ten years ago, you could have doubled your gains in gold versus simply buying and holding.

Wed, 09/01/2010 - 13:01 | 557884 patience...
patience...'s picture

"some new piece of i-Shit?"  Yea and people are lining up already to buy.

Wed, 09/01/2010 - 11:33 | 557673 Voodoo-economist
Voodoo-economist's picture

yeah, "took away all bid side" ....sure. So you market pro, who did they sell to then? Gold was overbought and this on low volume and steady OI aka distribution, what the heck do you expect?

Wed, 09/01/2010 - 11:50 | 557709 DosZap
DosZap's picture

If this were not a ABSOLUTELY regular on time occurence, it would almost(almost) be totally humorous.

Maybe the Bad Seed is coming out in me, but I am actually looking forward to these SOB's death rattles............

I am so sick of being used as a Chess piece, it's way past time this beast DIES.

They are PURE EVIL...................in the truest sense.

EVIL.

Wed, 09/01/2010 - 12:13 | 557759 GoinFawr
GoinFawr's picture

"Grameen Foundation" ads on ZH. That sure beats the hell out of 'CuhRaimer' ads!

 

Regards

 

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Herry12's picture

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