You're now on the archive server. Commenting has been disabled.

USDCHF In Free Fall, Approaches Parity As Hungary Cries Uncle, The Global QE Monster Stirs, And LBMA Provisionally Nukes Gold

Tyler Durden's picture




Another ridiculous market reaction following the ADP read today, when the AUDJPY initially dropped, only to see every deranged Japanese housewife, and anyone else with an FX account plough into it taking full advantage of 50x+ leverage to spook remaining weak short hands out. The catalyst: good news is good news, bad news is better news, as, just like Bank of America which just threw in the towel (more in a post momentarily), any incremental economic snapshot now means either more QE by the Fed or more QE by the Fed (and other CBs). We are back to the regime where dollar weakness is good for risk (especially beta>5.0 risk, meaning all the empty chatterboxes whose only strategy is to lever up on beta and pray will be out in full force on CNBC today). Incidentally, just as we expected, and right on cue, the Hungarian central bank said that the surging CHF poses "risks from the aspect of Hungarian economy's growth prospects, and that the weakening HUFCHF is causing higher than expected loan losses in bank sector." Define zero sum.

Of course, all this means is that fundamentals are pushed even further into the background, as the only thing that matters is which global bank can print bigger, faster, more. To wit: the USDCHF just cut through the bidside like butter, reaching the lowest levels seen since December 2009. So yes - 24 hours in which the US can gloat, then everyone will move from one side of the boat to the other, as the SNB finally says enough. Obviously, that will also be a risk positive, as yet another bank joins the debasement parade.

And yes, all those expecting this latest round of imminent central bank intervention (which is the only thing that matters anymore) to push gold lower, feel free to wait. Which is precisely why the LBMA decided to throw a gentle little intervention party 5 minutes ago in which it took away the entire bid side in gold. Enjoy the chart below of a perfectly and orderly JPM take down.

 




Similar Articles You Might Enjoy:

Comment viewing options

Select your preferred way to display the comments and click "Save settings" to activate your changes.
Wed, 09/01/2010 - 08:58 | Link to Comment VK
VK's picture

Freefall bitchez!

Wed, 09/01/2010 - 11:03 | Link to Comment hedgeless_horseman
hedgeless_horseman's picture

Which is precisely why the LBMA decided to throw a gentle little intervention party 5 minutes ago in which it took away the entire bid side in gold. Enjoy the chart below of a perfectly and orderly JPM take down.

AYB(ids)ABTU. 

 

Wed, 09/01/2010 - 09:02 | Link to Comment bullet
bullet's picture

I do not know how you top yesterdays market shitshow comment.. but todays market action seems to be begging for something more..

Wed, 09/01/2010 - 09:07 | Link to Comment SWRichmond
SWRichmond's picture

FXF, bitches (one of my currency hedges)

Wed, 09/01/2010 - 09:06 | Link to Comment Goldenballs
Goldenballs's picture

Makes you wonder how long things can last at this rate,its like trying to shore up a boat with a 100 leaks sooner or later ones gonna get you.

Wed, 09/01/2010 - 09:08 | Link to Comment SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

Yea and the leak repair crew have settled on shooting more holes in the hull as the sure fix. Logic being that if theres only enough holes in the boat, the water wont be able to figure out how to get in!

Wed, 09/01/2010 - 09:30 | Link to Comment flacon
flacon's picture

hahahah! Won't figure out how to get in! 

Wed, 09/01/2010 - 09:10 | Link to Comment SWRichmond
SWRichmond's picture

yup.  Once the decision is made to "manage" the economy, ever-greater levels of "management" become necessary until the entire economy is nothing more than a facade of happy-looking indicators backed by no meaningful productive activity of any kind.  The Fed now stands astride the entire Western economy, and I am merely waiting for the inevitable.

Wed, 09/01/2010 - 09:23 | Link to Comment MsCreant
MsCreant's picture

For the economy to "Buck" the Fed?

Wed, 09/01/2010 - 09:40 | Link to Comment SWRichmond
SWRichmond's picture

Yes; it must happen, absent some kind of martial law.  The Fed has trapped itself.

Wed, 09/01/2010 - 10:35 | Link to Comment MachoMan
MachoMan's picture

We trapped ourselves.  The FED was just our drug.  It was destined for failure from the start.  A machine of pure misery certain to enslave all who cross its path unless super human diligence and dedication are used to manage it.  All these "experiments" end the same way...

Wed, 09/01/2010 - 10:50 | Link to Comment DosZap
DosZap's picture

Yes,

Eat ,Drink, and be merry, for tommorrow we die!!!!!!!.

Said the Fed..........

Still waiting for the US Military Joint Chiefs to take over before we have a major War, the people are not going to like the end to this pisha show.

When the SHTF at the Last Dance, you will not want to be at that dance.

Fk Martial Law, our men in uniform do not want to be a part of that bloodfest.

Civil Wars are Fugly.

Wed, 09/01/2010 - 09:49 | Link to Comment Vergeltung
Vergeltung's picture

well said SWR

Wed, 09/01/2010 - 11:31 | Link to Comment aerojet
aerojet's picture

Yup, that was pretty much my appraisal of the situation.  We have backed into a Soviet-style misallocation of resources by "accident."  Central planning by another name is still just central planning.

Wed, 09/01/2010 - 09:58 | Link to Comment Sancho Ponzi
Sancho Ponzi's picture

They'll fill the hull with pallets of freshly printed FRN's. Paper floats, don't you know.

Wed, 09/01/2010 - 12:47 | Link to Comment patience...
patience...'s picture

For awhile, them it begins to smell bad and down it goes.

Wed, 09/01/2010 - 09:06 | Link to Comment SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

Utter insanity! Im going to wear my helmet around the streets today in case of any free-falling carbon based traders.

Wed, 09/01/2010 - 09:09 | Link to Comment zaknick
zaknick's picture

Die, motherfucker, die.

Wed, 09/01/2010 - 09:10 | Link to Comment Ivanovich
Ivanovich's picture

Nukes gold?  It went down $5?

 

Or is gold allowed to do nothing but go up in a straight line?

Wed, 09/01/2010 - 09:14 | Link to Comment tmosley
tmosley's picture

Down $5 in a few seconds.  It's the few seconds that is the problem.

Wed, 09/01/2010 - 09:16 | Link to Comment Ivanovich
Ivanovich's picture

Still not sure I can call that a "nuke".  If $5 is the best the manipulation can acheive these days, I sure am glad I'm long.

Wed, 09/01/2010 - 10:06 | Link to Comment hedgeless_horseman
hedgeless_horseman's picture
Gold Price Change due to Weakening of US Dollar +12.30
  Gold Price Change due to Predominant Selling -13.30
 
Gold Price: Total Change -1.00
Wed, 09/01/2010 - 09:16 | Link to Comment N Rothschild
N Rothschild's picture

14 mins by my count..

Wed, 09/01/2010 - 09:24 | Link to Comment firstdivision
firstdivision's picture

You need to learn to count.  It is 7  min.

Wed, 09/01/2010 - 09:55 | Link to Comment Turd Ferguson
Turd Ferguson's picture

Yes, it's the old "overwhelm the bid" takedown strategy. Obvious to see but, yes, a $5 move is smalltime compared to what they are capable of.

Kind of like they're testing the waters. Let's see how gold responds between now and 11:00. I smell a larger beatdown coming. An attempt to jam it back under 1240.

Wed, 09/01/2010 - 10:06 | Link to Comment tmosley
tmosley's picture

You are looking to be correct there.

Wed, 09/01/2010 - 10:21 | Link to Comment Thomas
Thomas's picture

Gold and silver eagles show up at the local coin shop, I buy them with cash. This has gone on week after week, month after month, year after year since 1999. What's not to like?

Wed, 09/01/2010 - 11:57 | Link to Comment Turd Ferguson
Turd Ferguson's picture

Here they come, marchin down the street, gettin funny looks from, everyone they meet...

Hey hey its The Evil Empire. About to take the gold market down. Nothin we can do about it. Just makes The Turdman frown.

Its 11:10. Gold takedown on cue. 1242.

Its now 11:55. Very nice dip buying. 1248. Maybe the EE can't pull it off today.

Wed, 09/01/2010 - 15:22 | Link to Comment lemonobrien
lemonobrien's picture

The problem is, it's a rigged game; they pop gold, tell everyone to buy, then take profit; same as stocks; think about it, if the money dries up from mom/pop/401k stocks, get it from the gold-bugs and doom and gloomers. think about it; are you being sold? Look at the charts, gold went up immediately yesterday in the morning, now it falls just as fast,while you see media after media telling you about gold. Look at the price of silver in comparison; silver should be at $70 an ounce if you factored in pure logic, and the amount of silver in the earth versus gold. look at platinum, palladium, etc.

why gold, cause dey fck'n with your bird mind; which likes shinny things. It's like a fashion magazine; which spells pure trouble; like the tech bubble, the housing bubble, etc.

dey gonna drop gold just as soon as they get enough suckers in the net.

Wed, 09/01/2010 - 16:36 | Link to Comment tmosley
tmosley's picture

The difference is that you can't debase gold.  They can try to paper over it, but that just makes it stronger in the long run.

And I predominantly own silver.

Wed, 09/01/2010 - 16:52 | Link to Comment lemonobrien
lemonobrien's picture

you debase gold when you can't convert it back to fiat at the same rate you bought it; simple. you can say to the farmer, i'll give you gold for food; but he'll say, "I want a lot of gold, cause I don't want to go through the trouble of converting it to fiat." You debase gold through it's conversion rate; which is psychological, cause gold has no real value, other than look'n pretty. Lets put it this way, when it comes time to convert your gold to something you want/need, you're either gonna get fucked or shot. maybe both.

Wed, 09/01/2010 - 10:52 | Link to Comment TheJudge2012
TheJudge2012's picture

Key word:  Provisionally.

Meaning serving for a time; a measure taken beforehand.

It's a start before the big takedown.

Wed, 09/01/2010 - 09:10 | Link to Comment Bigger Dickus
Bigger Dickus's picture

And I heard that in Japan all they do is eat bucake.

Touché, Japanese housewives.

 

Wed, 09/01/2010 - 09:12 | Link to Comment john_connor
john_connor's picture

I'll give this charade a shelf life of about 7 days, maybe less.

Wed, 09/01/2010 - 09:13 | Link to Comment EscapeKey
EscapeKey's picture

Woohoo, cheaper gold! I, for one, applaud the JPM and LBMA sponsored subsidisation program.

Wed, 09/01/2010 - 09:19 | Link to Comment RobotTrader
RobotTrader's picture

Just like 2008.

There is going to ba a massive rotation out of gold and into banking, retail, and semiconductor stocks.

Bonds and gold will probably get blowtorched.

Wed, 09/01/2010 - 09:26 | Link to Comment taraxias
taraxias's picture

Yeah, yeah, yeah, you and Johnny Bravo have been telling us that gold will get "blowtorched" down to 900 for months now.

The way I see it, the only thing that's been getting blowtorched is your ass betting against gold all these months.

Nothing personal, but stick to posting porn, you're much better at it.

Wed, 09/01/2010 - 09:51 | Link to Comment Turd Ferguson
Turd Ferguson's picture

+++++

Wed, 09/01/2010 - 15:03 | Link to Comment Hephasteus
Hephasteus's picture

It won't be long till they start all kinds of crazy talk. Out of weak hands to scare out and shit's getting deperate.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Tmbiji_uP6c

Wed, 09/01/2010 - 09:26 | Link to Comment Quinvarius
Quinvarius's picture

There was never a massive rotation out of gold into stocks in 2008.  It was a massive rotation out of stocks into gold.  Try comparing a chart of gold and the S&P.  Gold was at all time highs when the DOW was at 6500.

Wed, 09/01/2010 - 09:28 | Link to Comment Steak
Steak's picture

Bonds getting blowtorched is not a probably if we're talking an early '08 style push higher...it is a necessary condition.  The whipsaw of the past few days in treasuries has been puke inducing, but i do think the trend is for higher yields and higher equities.  dance pump monkeys, dance!!!!!!!

Wed, 09/01/2010 - 09:34 | Link to Comment Internet Tough Guy
Internet Tough Guy's picture

Heh, Robo tell us again how smart you were selling your yellow rocks a while ago. Maybe you feel a bit blowtorched?

Wed, 09/01/2010 - 14:29 | Link to Comment Spitzer
Spitzer's picture

yeah, he must work for the IMF.

has anyone calculated the loss on that yet ? 200 tons sold @ $1040 ?

Wed, 09/01/2010 - 16:41 | Link to Comment tmosley
tmosley's picture

A bit shy of US$1.2 billion, by my count.  That's assuming short tons (2000 lbs in a short ton).  It will be more if they were metric tons (2205 lbs per metric ton).

Wed, 09/01/2010 - 09:35 | Link to Comment SWRichmond
SWRichmond's picture

There is going to ba a massive rotation out of gold and into banking, retail, and semiconductor stocks.

Because the recovery is going so well?  Because retail is driven by employment, and because that's going so well?  Because everyone is beating a path to the mall to get the latest electronic gadget for back-to-school / beating the rush for Xmas season?  Because the banking business model is so fundamentally sound?

Nice tits.  Got anything else?

Wed, 09/01/2010 - 11:54 | Link to Comment Steak
Steak's picture

employment, final demand, fundamentals?  lol...what market have you been trading?  if the past two years proves anything it is that a market can rise on the back of a sinking ship.

Wed, 09/01/2010 - 14:32 | Link to Comment cougar_w
cougar_w's picture

Because the recovery is going so well?

Because of QE2. They are going to throw everything they've got at it. It will be stunning. Everyone has accepted this. Buying opportunity of the century, starts in about 6 weeks.

It won't work in the end, of course, but it will buy time through the elections. QE2 will trail off about '11/Q2 and then the wheels serious come off.

They'll have their 4-more-years in pocket, and a great selling opportunity that they timed themselves, and then it's down the rabbit hole. You fall forever because there is no bottom.

Wed, 09/01/2010 - 10:09 | Link to Comment trav7777
trav7777's picture

HUH?  There was a fucking rotation into banking stocks in 2008?  Nigga is you crazy?

I made a fortune shorting bank stocks in 2008; you're full of shit.

Wed, 09/01/2010 - 10:41 | Link to Comment Hephasteus
Hephasteus's picture

Yup just like the double dip during the great recession.

Oh wait it didn't happen like that at all. The first crash they gave up the good money. Gold. The second crash they gave up the bad money stocks and bonds.

Wed, 09/01/2010 - 14:26 | Link to Comment Spitzer
Spitzer's picture

one of them is wrong and its not gold.

Wed, 09/01/2010 - 15:33 | Link to Comment lemonobrien
lemonobrien's picture

there is no right or wrong. just is.

Wed, 09/01/2010 - 09:22 | Link to Comment Mr.Prussian
Mr.Prussian's picture

I think that was an end to end open ice stick pass from the LBMA to Comex, but the refs still miss the icing call.

Wed, 09/01/2010 - 10:12 | Link to Comment hedgeless_horseman
hedgeless_horseman's picture

The Healthcare Reform Act removed the blue lines and the red line, among other things.

Wed, 09/01/2010 - 09:25 | Link to Comment Bill Lumbergh
Bill Lumbergh's picture

I figured something would be pulled out of the bag of tricks to push down the price.  This is an interesting video implying the gold in Fort Knox may not be there (no surprise) and not very pure (no surprise again):  http://www.youtube.com/user/bstill3#p/u/7/PDZioD9QfAA

Wed, 09/01/2010 - 09:38 | Link to Comment flacon
flacon's picture

Is that Bill Still, the guy who thinks tally sticks are a good form of "money" and gold and silver coins are to blame for the demise of Rome? That guy?

Wed, 09/01/2010 - 09:41 | Link to Comment Bill Lumbergh
Bill Lumbergh's picture

I do not agree with him on everything but I give him credit for his work on the subject of exposing the money changers as always present to turn a profit at others expense.

Wed, 09/01/2010 - 09:25 | Link to Comment Clayton Bigsby
Clayton Bigsby's picture

Guns, check.  Ammo, check.  Potable water, check.  Food, check.  Large cache of porn, check.  I'm ready, bitchez...

Wed, 09/01/2010 - 09:30 | Link to Comment ChopChop
ChopChop's picture

You also need gold or virgins to be able to trade in the world we will plunge into. Actually if you have guns...

Wed, 09/01/2010 - 14:35 | Link to Comment cougar_w
cougar_w's picture

Not. Even. Close.

Wed, 09/01/2010 - 09:27 | Link to Comment Dollar Bill Hiccup
Dollar Bill Hiccup's picture

Like to see how BRCM screams into this one given the recent carnage ...

Also fun to see how HFs unwind their defensive "I'm a dividend quality investor" strategy to jump back into the rocket ship.

Wed, 09/01/2010 - 09:39 | Link to Comment Silversinner
Silversinner's picture

Boatprices going down this year as much as 40% while gold is going up.

Sure I can buy a lot more boat with my gold.

Keep my eyes on the big scene and sceme of things.

Just gold going from the weak hands to the strong hands.

 

 

Wed, 09/01/2010 - 09:46 | Link to Comment ChopChop
ChopChop's picture

It`s POMO day, isn`t it? Looks like everyone was expecting it, "knowing" stocks will go up at 11h00am so they tried to get in before... wait and see

Wed, 09/01/2010 - 09:50 | Link to Comment Bill Lumbergh
Bill Lumbergh's picture

Yesterday was the 6th Hindenburg Omen observation as well...what this means for the markets will be known in the next couple of months.

Wed, 09/01/2010 - 09:49 | Link to Comment breezer1
breezer1's picture

screw them all , get physical.

Wed, 09/01/2010 - 14:08 | Link to Comment Steaming_Wookie_Doo
Steaming_Wookie_Doo's picture

Even Olivia Newton-John is into it:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vWz9VN40nCA

Wed, 09/01/2010 - 09:51 | Link to Comment Threeggg
Threeggg's picture

Gold assault in progress

Wed, 09/01/2010 - 09:54 | Link to Comment Goldenballs
Goldenballs's picture

More Black Holes in this system than Space.

Wed, 09/01/2010 - 09:54 | Link to Comment Tarheel
Tarheel's picture

fuck JPM

Wed, 09/01/2010 - 12:30 | Link to Comment Goldenballs
Goldenballs's picture

Desperate not to give Gold record highs again,the sheeple will realise that all his far from well and "confidence" will evaporate.

Wed, 09/01/2010 - 10:06 | Link to Comment Sherman McCoy
Sherman McCoy's picture

Even if Gold were to print new highs, it would be against a momentum divergence. I sold the open on the the PM etfs. Talk about your crowded trades.

Wed, 09/01/2010 - 10:44 | Link to Comment Bam_Man
Bam_Man's picture

Gold is not "a trade".

Wed, 09/01/2010 - 15:36 | Link to Comment lemonobrien
lemonobrien's picture

yes it is; fiat to gold back to fiat.

Wed, 09/01/2010 - 10:06 | Link to Comment Spigot
Spigot's picture

They have computers, I have gold.

End of story!

Wed, 09/01/2010 - 10:12 | Link to Comment trav7777
trav7777's picture

OMGWTF gold is down a couple of bucks...MANIPULATION!!!

Wed, 09/01/2010 - 11:34 | Link to Comment RockyRacoon
RockyRacoon's picture

Right.  The stock and bond markets are manipulated, but not gold.

I was wondering, Trav, what information would be acceptable to you to call the PM markets "manipulated"?    That's a genuine question, no snarkiness intended.

Oh, and big news on CNBC (yeah, I see the conflict), APPLE introducing "something" new.  What?  Some new piece of i-Shit?

Wed, 09/01/2010 - 11:35 | Link to Comment Voodoo-economist
Voodoo-economist's picture

no one said its not "maintained". But to shout manipulation on every sell order is just an absolute joke ...

Wed, 09/01/2010 - 15:05 | Link to Comment RockyRacoon
RockyRacoon's picture

I didn't ask you.  I wanted Trav's opinion.

Wed, 09/01/2010 - 15:12 | Link to Comment RockyRacoon
RockyRacoon's picture

.

Wed, 09/01/2010 - 16:44 | Link to Comment tmosley
tmosley's picture

Ignore the pattern at your own peril.  If you knew about the pattern ten years ago, you could have doubled your gains in gold versus simply buying and holding.

Wed, 09/01/2010 - 13:01 | Link to Comment patience...
patience...'s picture

"some new piece of i-Shit?"  Yea and people are lining up already to buy.

Wed, 09/01/2010 - 11:33 | Link to Comment Voodoo-economist
Voodoo-economist's picture

yeah, "took away all bid side" ....sure. So you market pro, who did they sell to then? Gold was overbought and this on low volume and steady OI aka distribution, what the heck do you expect?

Wed, 09/01/2010 - 11:50 | Link to Comment DosZap
DosZap's picture

If this were not a ABSOLUTELY regular on time occurence, it would almost(almost) be totally humorous.

Maybe the Bad Seed is coming out in me, but I am actually looking forward to these SOB's death rattles............

I am so sick of being used as a Chess piece, it's way past time this beast DIES.

They are PURE EVIL...................in the truest sense.

EVIL.

Wed, 09/01/2010 - 12:13 | Link to Comment GoinFawr
GoinFawr's picture

"Grameen Foundation" ads on ZH. That sure beats the hell out of 'CuhRaimer' ads!

 

Regards

 

Wed, 09/29/2010 - 06:46 | Link to Comment Herry12
Herry12's picture

Article is very interesting,thanks for your sharing.I will visit this site.welcome to my site!.... cheap site hosting
windows web hosting
windows vps hosting

Do NOT follow this link or you will be banned from the site!