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USDJPY Hits 79.98, BOJ Intervention Expected

Tyler Durden's picture




 

The USDJPY just took out the 80.00 level, hitting an intraday 79.98. BOJ intervention expected. As a reminder, the 4/21/1995 low was 79.75

 

 

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Wed, 03/16/2011 - 12:22 | 1061172 Abitdodgie
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So this is bad right

Wed, 03/16/2011 - 12:23 | 1061196 ZeroPower
ZeroPower's picture

Bad for carry trade if youre on the wrong side of it; bad for Japanese exporters.

Wed, 03/16/2011 - 12:37 | 1061307 CPL
CPL's picture

the question is:

 

Is there anyone left hanging around to actually execute and manage the the intervention? 

Takes more than 2 people to hold a net to catch something that is falling.

Wed, 03/16/2011 - 12:50 | 1061404 hedgeless_horseman
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GEITHNER: SAYS CHINA NEEDS TO STOP CURRENCY MANIPULATIONS (LOL)

Wed, 03/16/2011 - 13:31 | 1061635 CPL
CPL's picture

HA!  Timmy should put together a stand up routine, stand in front of a brick wall and do that schtick.

Looks like the hail mary play worked though...back at 80.

Wed, 03/16/2011 - 13:40 | 1061683 RichardENixon
RichardENixon's picture

"Welcome to the Recovery--The Musical"

Wed, 03/16/2011 - 12:21 | 1061176 jesse livermoore
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hey,, has any seen Obama's bracket picks yet?

Wed, 03/16/2011 - 12:27 | 1061224 hambone
hambone's picture

Guessing he's going w/ the Blue DEVILS or perhaps the Sun DEVILS???

Wed, 03/16/2011 - 12:32 | 1061259 jesse livermoore
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I heard his dark horse pick was the Red Storm...........

Wed, 03/16/2011 - 12:57 | 1061466 hambone
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Orange Men?

Wed, 03/16/2011 - 12:57 | 1061472 jesse livermoore
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St johns  red storm

Wed, 03/16/2011 - 12:22 | 1061177 camaro68ss
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Why does it matter, there will be no JPY after these nukes explode :-(

Wed, 03/16/2011 - 12:26 | 1061214 LFMayor
LFMayor's picture

dammit, for all the rest of you physics challenged out there too, these nuke plants will not produce a fission or fusion fucking explosion.  The fuel rods, even the new ones, aren't pure enough.

They WILL make one bitch of a poisonous tea kettle though.  The steam coming off is what will carry the zoomies up and away.

Wed, 03/16/2011 - 12:30 | 1061252 LawsofPhysics
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A poisonous tea kettle that will keep dumping itself into the atmosphere and pacific ocean for hundreds of years.  Oh well, how many people depend on the pacific for food anyway?

Wed, 03/16/2011 - 12:45 | 1061379 LFMayor
LFMayor's picture

Agreed... I wasn't referring to the one from Beauty and the Beast (that was levity there).  It could make a fumarole that would last for decades.  tens of decades, depending on water table replenishment.

Wed, 03/16/2011 - 12:49 | 1061411 kkam
kkam's picture

Let's keep things in perspective folks. This incident, terrible as it is, is less severe than Chernobyl. And it is 25 years later, with better technology to deal with it. Chernobyl was capped and this molten radioactive material will also be capped, sooner and more efficiently than Chernobyl. Hundreds of years? Why do you exaggerate so much?

Wed, 03/16/2011 - 12:58 | 1061468 LFMayor
LFMayor's picture

IMHO the wildcard is the storage pools.  If they get hot enough to add to the festival, and if they contain MOX, the plutonium mix, and there are anywhere near the 600k of them like they're purported, it could be very freaking nasty.

the tens of decades I admit would be where the aquifier wasn't constant.  I was thinking gas off steam, go dry  a bit, rinse, repeat.  Considering the location that's not likely, a constant water supply would lead to constant cooling and a "natural" control of temprature if you would.  I'm no geologist.  Or Edward Teller, but I have turned a few valves in my day. 

Wed, 03/16/2011 - 12:30 | 1061256 DeadFred
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Once the plume carries over the US expect food futures to explode.  Go short on West coast milk producers.

Wed, 03/16/2011 - 12:33 | 1061272 TwoShortPlanks
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And Bullish on Genetherapy and Artificial Skin manufacturers.

Wed, 03/16/2011 - 12:31 | 1061258 TwoShortPlanks
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Wonder if they could become a plasma?!

Wed, 03/16/2011 - 12:33 | 1061271 Blano
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"You strain out a gnat but swallow a camel."

Wed, 03/16/2011 - 13:14 | 1061568 Oh regional Indian
Oh regional Indian's picture

Will that be one hump or two?

ORI

PS: ZH overall intelligence/smarts/knowledge/asshole/general quotient is off the charts. Never hung out, virtually or otherwise with such an iconic, smart, over the top and under the bottom group.... and I've been around a few years and quite a few collectives. Hat's off.

Wed, 03/16/2011 - 13:30 | 1061642 CPL
CPL's picture

"Will that be one hump or two?"

These guys don't put it in an inch at a time if anyone was keeping score anymore.

Wed, 03/16/2011 - 12:36 | 1061280 Threeggg
Threeggg's picture

Dude,

Its the meltdown, through the earth to the water table of the molten radioactive mass that everyone is worried about.

 

Superheated steam explosion filled with radioactive particles !

Wed, 03/16/2011 - 12:40 | 1061328 MachoMan
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Wouldn't this resemble the doomsday device/scenario in Dr. Strangelove, at least if the water table was insufficient to contain the process?

Wed, 03/16/2011 - 12:42 | 1061354 LFMayor
LFMayor's picture

Agreed... that's what I said in an earlier post too... Old Faithful puking zoomies.  These John Woo fans keep talking about explosions... I'm just over reacting because I'm a mechanicals nerd.

I think the big mystery and greatest risk at this point is exactly how many rods, depleted and unused both, are in those pools.  And what they're made of.  If they're MOX, that's going to be a cast iron motherfucker.  If there are 600k, as I read earlier here (but I honestly doubt), well, that's even worse.

Wed, 03/16/2011 - 12:35 | 1061299 hambone
hambone's picture

Breathe deep the gathering gloom
Watch lights fade from every room
Bedsitter people look back and lament
Another day's useless energy is spent

Letters I've written
Never meaning to send
Beauty I've always missed
With these eyes before
Just what the truth is
I cant say anymore

Cold hearted orb that rules the night
Removes the colours from our sight
Red is grey and yellow white
But we decide which is right

And which is an illusion

Wed, 03/16/2011 - 13:52 | 1061773 RichardENixon
RichardENixon's picture

Life is short filled with stuff

Don't know what for I can't get enough

I learned all I know by the age of nine

That I could better myself if I could only find

Some new kinda kick something I ain't had

Some new kinda buzz I wanna go hog mad

Wed, 03/16/2011 - 14:31 | 1062093 cranky-old-geezer
cranky-old-geezer's picture

Knights In White Satin - Moody Blues

Still can hear those words in my head.

Ok, I'm dating myself.  70s rock - best around.

Wed, 03/16/2011 - 14:51 | 1062232 cranky-old-geezer
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Dupe (damn 503 errors)

Wed, 03/16/2011 - 12:36 | 1061310 Abitdodgie
Abitdodgie's picture

From what I understand the fuel used in reactors is completely different form bomb material if you explode a nuke the radiation will drop down to safe levels in about a month , as the fuel used in reactors is different the radiation emitted from it stays dangerous for quite some time ,but no there will be no atomic explosion, except maybe in the Hollywood remake.

Wed, 03/16/2011 - 13:23 | 1061600 Oh regional Indian
Oh regional Indian's picture

I'm afraid yoru premise look a bit dodgy, abitdodgie.

There is no saying what the outcome will be here. Unlike bumbs, which have well controlled and laid out structures/strictures/containment/chamber designs and most importantly only one real source of fissile material and one explosive one, here, everything is game. There is the core, there is the constantly generated hydrogen and then of course there is the spent fuel rods.

Then of course, after the 6th largest earthquake ever recorded, there are aftershocks, tsunamis, power blackouts.....

On and on and on....

This one trumps hollywood, it's just that we get to watch it in slowMO!

ORI

http://aadivaahan.wordpress.com/2011/03/16/american-cross-nuclear-rumbles/

Wed, 03/16/2011 - 12:23 | 1061183 Theta_Burn
Theta_Burn's picture

Rut-Roeh...

Wed, 03/16/2011 - 12:25 | 1061198 AccreditedEYE
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Because the last 2 interventions were so successful.... :/  

Wed, 03/16/2011 - 12:26 | 1061210 RmcAZ
Wed, 03/16/2011 - 12:27 | 1061216 spanish inquisition
spanish inquisition's picture

Is it me or have Japanese market futures been locked in at -200 for the last 6 hours on Bloomberg

Wed, 03/16/2011 - 12:33 | 1061270 reading
reading's picture

Down 395 now, were down about a 100 more 20 mins ago...currently -4.28%

Oh, but not sure what bloomberg says...

Wed, 03/16/2011 - 12:28 | 1061239 lsbumblebee
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Forget the news and just enjoy today's manipulation in all markets everywhere.

Wed, 03/16/2011 - 12:30 | 1061242 bob_dabolina
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Do I hear the roaring of Ben Bernankes armada of G6 money printers ready to carpet bomb the markets?

Wed, 03/16/2011 - 12:30 | 1061244 Yikes
Yikes's picture

Carry trade unwinding. I get that.   But how can BOJ do an intervention when they are going to have to sell US Treasuries to raise Yen.  They want to buy and sell Yen at the same time?  I'm I getting that right or is it just a timing thing?

I gladly sell you some Yen today to buy it back tomorrow.  

Wed, 03/16/2011 - 12:29 | 1061250 Ferg .
Ferg .'s picture

These relentless stop predators will not give up until they've claimed that all time low . There's nothing left after that , no tangible targets . Intervention would probably be more successful once 79.75 has been taken out .

Wed, 03/16/2011 - 12:50 | 1061425 I Got Worms
I Got Worms's picture

I'm new to currency exchange - can someone explain to a noob what the significance of going "below 80" means?

Wed, 03/16/2011 - 13:09 | 1061530 Yen Cross
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You are not a noob. Ask away. Below 80 referred to usd/jpy Bank of Japan intervention along with Kampo.

Wed, 03/16/2011 - 13:45 | 1061725 RichardENixon
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It costs less than 80 yen to buy a dollar. Some of us are old enough to remember when it cost 360.

Wed, 03/16/2011 - 12:32 | 1061261 passive_lurker
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Who's left to intervene if everyone's running for the hills?

Wed, 03/16/2011 - 13:10 | 1061539 cougar_w
cougar_w's picture

"Future generations" is the asnwer you seek, grasshopper.

Wed, 03/16/2011 - 14:36 | 1061546 Yen Cross
Yen Cross's picture

once.

Wed, 03/16/2011 - 13:13 | 1061557 Yen Cross
Yen Cross's picture

I'm going to say this once JR called USD/JPY a year ago. I thought he was nuts. He missed it by several months, but he called it RIGHT. Mid 77's

Wed, 03/16/2011 - 13:33 | 1061657 pazmaker
pazmaker's picture

you said it twice...haha :)

Wed, 03/16/2011 - 12:31 | 1061266 Ruffcut
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fukushima "not out of control".

Subprime is contained.

yen trying to bounch, with mega volitility.

Wed, 03/16/2011 - 12:35 | 1061284 Josh Randall
Josh Randall's picture

The Atomic Punks are kicking over the Japanese Lemonade stand:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1m-DYM7JvMA

 

Wed, 03/16/2011 - 12:36 | 1061305 Threeggg
Threeggg's picture

Here is to frontrunning N95 facemasks and bottled water.

 

Biatchez !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! 

Wed, 03/16/2011 - 12:36 | 1061312 bgilliam83
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I'm having a hard time deciding, does this mean wait to buy the Mitsubishi LaserVue?  Or buy because supply interruptions?

Wed, 03/16/2011 - 12:38 | 1061316 pazmaker
pazmaker's picture

It's not working.

 

Wed, 03/16/2011 - 14:37 | 1061406 Yen Cross
Yen Cross's picture

I can rest. A light day in the markets.

Wed, 03/16/2011 - 12:56 | 1061452 cranky-old-geezer
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I'm confused.

Doesn't USDJPY falling say the Yen is strengthening against the dollar?

If so, why?  It's a major disaster over there in Japan, their infastructure and economy isn't going to recover for a long time.

Or is the dollar just weakening?

But dollar index has been rising since mid-day yesterday.

Wed, 03/16/2011 - 13:52 | 1061774 NotApplicable
NotApplicable's picture

It's a race for the exits trying to liquefy falling paper assets in order to raise cash (and/or retain wealth). Add to that the fact that a lot of these assets are bound up in a Yen carry-trade, causing the volatility to feed upon itself as the Risk-On trade of the good ole days becomes the Risk-Off trade of today.

Wed, 03/16/2011 - 14:36 | 1061515 Yen Cross
Yen Cross's picture

Ya can't fight repatiation.

Wed, 03/16/2011 - 13:35 | 1061661 Money_for_Nothing
Money_for_Nothing's picture

It looks to me like Japan would welcome the rise. They are going to be a net importer till they get their infrasturcture rebuilt. The intervention may not happen.

 

 

Wed, 03/16/2011 - 13:43 | 1061704 faustian bargain
faustian bargain's picture

[posting something ironic and clever about fiat money and radioactivity.]

Wed, 03/16/2011 - 14:14 | 1061956 Blano
Blano's picture

I see a 79.82 print on the chart.

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